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EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, Friday, August 30, 2019

BEA 19-42

Personal Income and Outlays, July 2019

Personal income increased $23.9 billion (0.1 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $44.4 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $93.1 billion (0.6 percent).

Real DPI increased 0.1 percent in July and Real PCE increased 0.4 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.2 percent.

	2019
	Mar.	Apr.	May	Jun.	Jul.
	Percent change from preceding month
Personal income:
Current dollars	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.1
Disposable personal income:
Current dollars	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.3
Chained (2012) dollars	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE):
Current dollars	1.0	0.7	0.5	0.3	0.6
Chained (2012) dollars	0.8	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.4
Price indexes:
PCE	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.2
PCE, excluding food and energy	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.2
Price indexes:	Percent change from month one year ago
PCE	1.4	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.4
PCE, excluding food and energy	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.6	1.6

The increase in personal income in July primarily reflected increases in compensation of employees and government social benefits to persons that were partially offset by a decrease in personal interest income (table 3).

The $56.9 billion increase in real PCE in July reflected an increase of $36.4 billion in spending for goods and a $23.8 billion increase in spending for services (table 7). Within goods, recreational goods and vehicles was the leading contributor to the increase. Within services, the largest contributor to the increase was spending for household electricity and gas. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found in Table 2.3.6U.

Personal outlays increased $96.4 billion in July (table 3). Personal saving was $1.27 trillion in July and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 7.7 percent (table 1).

Updates to Personal Income and Outlays

Estimates have been updated for January through June. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2012) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

	Change from preceding month
	May				June
	Previous	Revised	Previous	Revised	Previous	Revised	Previous	Revised
	(Billions of dollars)		(Percent)		(Billions of dollars)		(Percent)
Personal income:
Current dollars	69.9	68.3	0.4	0.4	83.6	83.8	0.4	0.5
Disposable personal income:
Current dollars	55.8	51.4	0.3	0.3	69.7	69.7	0.4	0.4
Chained (2012) dollars	31.2	32.2	0.2	0.2	45.5	45.9	0.3	0.3
Personal consumption expenditures:
Current dollars	67.7	69.5	0.5	0.5	41.0	50.3	0.3	0.3
Chained (2012) dollars	44.4	50.5	0.3	0.4	21.4	30.2	0.2	0.2

QCEW Data Included in the First Quarter of 2019

This news release includes revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for January through March 2019 (first quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of the most recently available first-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program.

Next release: September 27, 2019 at 8:30 A.M. EDT
Personal Income and Outlays: August 2019

Full Release & Tables (PDF)

Tables Only (Excel)

Release Highlights (PDF)

Historical Comparison (PDF)

Personal Income

Brian Smith

(301) 278-9625

piniwd@bea.gov

PCE Goods

Kyle Brown

301-278-9086

pce@bea.gov

Media

Connie O'Connell

301-278-9003

Connie.OConnell@bea.gov

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NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts

Definitions

Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses.

Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes.

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, "persons" who reside in the United States.

Personal outlays is the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments.

Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes.

The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.

Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at "market value." Also referred to as "nominal estimates" or as "current-price estimates."

Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes.

For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts.

Statistical conventions

Annual rates. Monthly and quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR). Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For detail, see the FAQ "Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?"

Month-to-month percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are not annualized.

Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual rates. For detail, see the FAQ "How is average annual growth calculated?"

Quantities and prices. Quantities, or "real" volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2012). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (months for monthly data, quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). For details on the calculation of quantity and price indexes, see Chapter 4: Estimating Methods in the NIPA Handbook.

Chained-dollar values are calculated by multiplying the quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2012) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. In tables that display chained-dollar values, a "residual" line shows the difference between the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate.

List of Personal Income and Outlays News Release Tables

Table 1. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months)

Table 2. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters)

Table 3. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Months)

Table 4. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters)

Table 5. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months)

Table 6. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters)

Table 7. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months)

Table 8. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Years and Quarters)

Table 9. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months)

Table 10. Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago

Table 11. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago

Table 12. Revisions to Personal Income and Its Disposition

Table 13. Changes in Personal Income and Related Measures: Comparisons with Previously Published Estimates (Months)

Table 14. Changes in Personal Income and Related Measures: Comparisons with Previously Published Estimates (Years and Quarters)