News Release
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U.S. International Transactions, 4th quarter and Year 2015
Current Account The U.S. current-account deficit—a net measure of transactions between the United States and the rest of the world in goods, services, primary income (investment income and compensation), and secondary income (current transfers)—decreased to $125.3 billion (preliminary) in the fourth quarter of 2015 from $129.9 billion (revised) in the third quarter. The deficit decreased to 2.8 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.9 percent in the third quarter. The decrease in the current-account deficit was accounted for by decreases in the deficits on goods and secondary income and an increase in the surplus on services. These changes were partly offset by a decrease in the surplus on primary income. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Notice About the 2016 Annual Revision of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts The annual revision of the U.S. international transactions accounts will be released along with preliminary estimates for the first quarter of 2016 on June 16, 2016. An article previewing the annual revisions will appear in the April 2016 issue of the Survey of Current Business. _______________________________________________________________________________________________ Goods and services The deficit on goods and services decreased to $133.7 billion in the fourth quarter from $138.6 billion in the third quarter. Goods The deficit on goods decreased to $187.3 billion in the fourth quarter from $190.5 billion in the third quarter. Goods exports decreased to $366.7 billion from $379.4 billion. Exports decreased in four of the six major general-merchandise end-use categories and in nonmonetary gold. The largest decrease was in industrial supplies and materials and was largely due to decreases in petroleum and products and in chemicals except medicinals. Exports also decreased in foods, feeds, and beverages, in capital goods except automotive, and in automotive vehicles, parts, and engines. The decrease in foods, feeds, and beverages mostly reflected a decrease in grains and preparations, primarily corn. The decrease in capital goods except automotive mostly reflected the net effect of a decrease in machinery and equipment except consumer-type and an increase in civilian aircraft, engines, and parts. The decrease in automotive vehicles, parts, and engines was more than accounted for by a decrease in exports of passenger cars (ITA Table 2.1). Goods imports decreased to $553.9 billion from $570.0 billion. Imports decreased in five of the six major general-merchandise end-use categories and in nonmonetary gold. The largest decrease— which accounted for more than two-thirds of the total decrease in goods imports—was in industrial supplies and materials; the decrease mostly reflected a decrease in petroleum and products. Imports also decreased in consumer goods except food and automotive, reflecting decreases in both durable and nondurable goods. In nondurable goods, the largest decrease was in apparel, footwear, and household goods (ITA Table 2.1). Services The surplus on services increased to $53.5 billion in the fourth quarter from $51.9 billion in the third quarter. Services exports increased to $177.7 billion from $175.9 billion. Exports increased in seven of the nine major services categories. The largest increases were in financial services, in maintenance and repair services, and in other business services. The increase in financial services was largely due to an increase in financial management, financial advisory, and custody services. The increase in other business services was largely due to an increase in professional and management consulting services (ITA Table 3.1). Services imports increased to $124.1 billion from $123.9 billion. Imports increased in four of the nine major services categories. The largest increases were in travel (for all purposes including education), reflecting increases in both business and personal travel, and in other business services. The largest decrease was in insurance services (ITA Table 3.1). Primary income The surplus on primary income decreased to $42.8 billion in the fourth quarter from $45.4 billion in the third quarter. Investment income Income receipts from foreigners on U.S. holdings of financial assets abroad decreased to $190.0 billion from $195.7 billion (ITA Table 4.1). The decrease was primarily accounted for by a decrease in direct investment income on equity from foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies, especially holding company affiliates, and a decrease in portfolio investment income on equity and investment fund shares (ITA Table 4.2 and ITA Table 4.3). Income payments to foreigners on U.S. liabilities decreased to $144.6 billion from $147.8 billion (ITA Table 4.1). Direct investment income payments to foreigners decreased, especially in manufacturing (ITA Table 4.2). Portfolio investment income payments also decreased. Income on equity and investment fund shares decreased, and interest on debt securities increased (ITA Table 4.3). Compensation of employees Receipts for compensation of U.S. residents paid by nonresidents were nearly unchanged at $1.8 billion in the fourth quarter. Payments for compensation of foreign residents paid by U.S. residents increased to $4.4 billion from $4.3 billion. Secondary income (current transfers) The deficit on secondary income decreased to $34.3 billion in the fourth quarter from $36.7 billion in the third quarter. Secondary income receipts and payments include U.S. government and private transfers, such as U.S. government grants and pensions, fines and penalties, withholding taxes, personal transfers (remittances), insurance-related transfers, and other current transfers. Secondary income receipts increased to $32.5 billion from $32.0 billion. The increase was accounted for by increases in both U.S. government transfers and private transfers, primarily insurance-related transfers (ITA Table 5.1). Secondary income payments decreased to $66.9 billion from $68.7 billion. The decrease was more than accounted for a decrease in U.S. government grants to foreigners (ITA Table 5.1). Financial Account Net U.S. borrowing measured by financial-account transactions was $29.4 billion in the fourth quarter, down from $59.5 billion in the third quarter. Both net U.S. sales of financial assets excluding financial derivatives and net U.S. repayment of liabilities to foreigners excluding financial derivatives increased in the fourth quarter, but the repayment of liabilities increased more. In addition, net transactions in financial derivatives other than reserves reflected more net lending than in the third quarter. Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives Net U.S. sales of financial assets excluding financial derivatives were $126.1 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $95.9 billion in the third quarter. Direct investment assets (equity and debt instruments) Net acquisition of direct investment assets was $101.9 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $67.8 billion in the third quarter because of a shift to net acquisition of debt instruments by both U.S. parent companies and U.S. affiliates of foreign parent companies (ITA Table 6.1). Portfolio investment assets (equity and investment fund shares and debt securities) Net U.S. sales of portfolio investment assets abroad were $108.9 billion in the fourth quarter, down from $111.3 billion in the third quarter. The decrease was more than accounted for by a decrease in net sales of equity and investment fund shares to $52.0 billion in the fourth quarter, down from $61.4 billion in the third quarter. The decrease in net sales of equity and investment funds shares was partly offset by an increase in net sales of debt securities to $56.9 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $49.9 billion in the third quarter (ITA Table 7.1). Other investment assets (currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, and trade credit and advances) Transactions decreased other investment assets abroad by $118.1 billion in the fourth quarter after decreasing them by $52.1 billion in the third quarter. The fourth-quarter decrease was larger because of a shift to net repayment of loans from third-quarter net provision of loans (ITA Table 8.1). Reserve assets Transactions in U.S. reserve assets decreased holdings by $1.0 billion in the fourth quarter, after decreasing holdings by $0.3 billion in the third quarter. The decreases in both quarters reflected decreases in the U.S. reserve position in the International Monetary Fund. Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives Net U.S. repayment of liabilities to foreigners excluding financial derivatives was $84.4 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $35.7 billion in the third quarter. Direct investment liabilities (equity and debt instruments) Net incurrence of direct investment liabilities to foreigners was $58.9 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $49.1 billion in the third quarter. The increase was more than accounted for by an increase in net foreign-parent equity investment other than reinvestment of earnings. Net incurrence of debt instrument liabilities decreased (ITA Table 6.1). Portfolio investment liabilities (equity and investment fund shares and debt securities) Net U.S. incurrence of portfolio investment liabilities to foreigners was $17.1 billion in the fourth quarter, a shift from net repayment of $117.0 billion in the third quarter. Net foreign sales of U.S. equity and investment fund shares were $158.5 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $30.4 billion in the third quarter. Net foreign purchases of U.S. debt securities were $175.6 billion in the fourth quarter, a shift from net sales of $86.6 billion in the third quarter (ITA Table 7.1). Other investment liabilities (currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, trade credit and advances, and special drawing rights allocations) Net U.S. repayment of other investment liabilities to foreigners was $160.4 billion in the fourth quarter, a shift from net incurrence of $32.2 billion in the third quarter. The shift was more than accounted for by a shift to net repayment of loan liabilities (ITA Table 8.1). Financial derivatives other than reserves Net transactions in financial derivatives other than reserves were $12.3 billion in the fourth quarter, representing net lending. This was an increase from net lending of $0.7 billion in the third quarter. Transactions in financial derivatives are only available as a net value equal to transactions for assets less transactions for liabilities. A positive value represents net cash payments by U.S. residents to foreign residents from settlements of derivatives contracts (net lending) and a negative value represents net U.S. cash receipts (net borrowing). Statistical Discrepancy The statistical discrepancy is the difference between net acquisition of assets and net incurrence of liabilities in the financial account (including financial derivatives) less the difference between total credits and total debits recorded in the current and capital accounts. The statistical discrepancy was $95.9 billion in the fourth quarter compared with $70.4 billion in the third quarter. * * * In the fourth quarter, the U.S. dollar appreciated 1.4 percent on a trade-weighted basis against a group of 7 major currencies, after appreciating 2.0 percent on the same basis in the third quarter. Exchange rate data are based on Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.10. * * * The Year 2015 Current Account The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $484.1 billion (preliminary) in 2015 from $389.5 billion in 2014. The deficit was 2.7 percent of current-dollar GDP in 2015, up from 2.2 percent in 2014. Goods and services The deficit on goods and services increased to $539.8 billion in 2015 from $508.3 billion in 2014. Goods The deficit on goods increased to $759.3 billion in 2015 from $741.5 billion in 2014. Goods exports decreased to $1,513.5 billion from $1,632.6 billion, the first decrease since 2009. The largest decrease—which accounted for more than two-thirds of the total decrease in goods exports—was in industrial supplies and materials. The decrease was mainly due to a decrease in petroleum and products (ITA Table 2.1). Goods imports decreased to $2,272.8 billion from $2,374.1 billion. A decrease in industrial supplies and materials was partly offset by increases in the other five major general-merchandise end-use categories. The decrease in industrial supplies and materials largely reflected a decrease in imports of petroleum and products. The largest increase was in consumer goods except food and automotive, followed by automotive vehicles, parts, and engines. Much of the increase in consumer goods except food and automotive was in nondurable goods, mainly medicinal, dental, and pharmaceutical products (ITA Table 2.1). Services The surplus on services decreased to $219.6 billion in 2015 from $233.1 billion in 2014. Services exports decreased to $710.2 billion from $710.6 billion. The largest decreases were in transport and in charges for the use of intellectual property. The decrease in transport was more than accounted for by a decrease in air transport. The largest increase was in other business services, primarily in professional and management consulting services (ITA Table 3.1). Services imports increased to $490.6 billion from $477.4 billion. The largest increase was in travel (for all purposes including education), specifically in personal travel. The largest decrease was in charges for the use of intellectual property, primarily in charges for the use of industrial processes (ITA Table 3.1). Primary income The surplus on primary income decreased to $191.3 billion in 2015 from $238.0 billion in 2014. Investment income Income receipts from foreigners on U.S. holdings of financial assets abroad decreased to $776.0 billion from $816.4 billion (ITA Table 4.1). The decrease was more than accounted for by a decrease in direct investment income, which reflected a decrease in earnings of foreign affiliates of U.S. parent companies (ITA Table 4.2). Portfolio investment income receipts increased, partly offsetting the decrease in direct investment income receipts. The increase in portfolio investment income receipts was accounted for by increases in income on equity and investment fund shares and in interest on debt securities (ITA Table 4.3). Income payments to foreigners on U.S. liabilities increased to $574.5 billion from $569.0 billion (ITA Table 4.1). The increase primarily reflected an increase in portfolio investment income payments, both interest on debt securities and income on equity and investment fund shares (ITA Table 4.3). Direct investment income payments decreased (ITA Table 4.2). Compensation of employees Receipts for compensation of U.S. residents paid by nonresidents increased to $7.1 billion from $6.9 billion. Payments for compensation of foreign residents paid by U.S. residents increased to $17.3 billion from $16.3 billion. Secondary income (current transfers) The deficit on secondary income increased to $135.6 billion in 2015 from $119.2 billion in 2014. Secondary income receipts decreased to $132.0 billion from $140.0 billion; the decrease was more than accounted for by a decrease in transfers to the U.S. government, primarily fines and penalties paid by foreign residents (ITA Table 5.1). Secondary income payments increased to $267.6 billion from $259.2 billion; the increase was primarily accounted for by an increase in private transfers, primarily insurance-related transfers (ITA Table 5.1). Financial Account Net U.S. borrowing measured by financial-account transactions was $209.2 billion in 2015, down from $239.6 billion in 2014. Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives and net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives decreased by similar amounts in 2015. A decrease in net borrowing accounted for by transactions in financial derivatives other than reserves of $29.0 billion was responsible for most of the decrease in net borrowing measured by financial-account transactions in 2015. Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives was $242.2 billion in 2015, down from $792.1 billion in 2014. Direct investment assets (equity and debt instruments) Net acquisition of direct investment assets was $345.1 billion in 2015, down from $357.2 billion in 2014. The decrease was accounted for by a decrease in U.S. parents’ reinvestment of earnings in their foreign affiliates that was partly offset by an increase in net acquisition of debt instruments (ITA Table 6.1). Portfolio investment assets (equity and investment fund shares and debt securities) Net U.S. acquisition of portfolio investment assets abroad was $186.3 billion in 2015, down from $538.1 billion in 2014. The decrease was primarily accounted for by a decrease in net U.S. acquisition of equity and investment fund shares. Net U.S. acquisition of debt securities also decreased. Holdings of long-term corporate bonds and notes declined (ITA Table 7.1). Other investment assets (currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, and trade credit and advances) Transactions decreased other investment assets abroad by $282.9 billion in 2015 after decreasing them by $99.5 billion in 2014. The 2015 decrease was larger mainly because of a shift to net repayment of loans. Net withdrawal of deposits abroad also increased (ITA Table 8.1). Reserve assets Transactions in U.S. reserve assets decreased holdings by $6.3 billion in 2015, after decreasing holdings by $3.6 billion in 2014. The decreases in both years were more than accounted for by decreases in the U.S. reserve position in the International Monetary Fund. Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities to foreigners excluding financial derivatives was $426.0 billion in 2015, down from $977.4 billion in 2014. Direct investment liabilities (equity and debt instruments) Net incurrence of direct investment liabilities to foreigners was $409.9 billion in 2015, up from $131.8 billion in 2014. The increase was largely accounted for by a shift to net foreign-parent equity investment other than reinvestment of earnings (ITA Table 6.1). Portfolio investment liabilities (equity and investment fund shares and debt securities) Net U.S. incurrence of portfolio investment liabilities to foreigners was $263.4 billion in 2015, down from $705.0 billion in 2014. Net foreign sales of U.S. equity and investment fund shares were $171.3 billion, a shift from net foreign purchases of $155.1 billion in 2014. Net foreign purchases of U.S. debt securities were $434.6 billion, down from $550.0 billion (ITA Table 7.1). Other investment liabilities (currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, trade credit and advances, and special drawing rights allocations) Net U.S. repayment of other investment liabilities to foreigners was $247.2 billion in 2015, a shift from net incurrence of $140.6 billion in 2014. The shift reflected a shift from net incurrence to net repayment of loans from foreign residents (ITA Table 8.1). Financial derivatives other than reserves Net transactions in financial derivatives other than reserves were –$25.4 billion in 2015, representing net borrowing, a decrease from net borrowing of $54.3 billion in 2014. Transactions in financial derivatives are only available as a net value equal to transactions for assets less transactions for liabilities. A positive value represents net cash payments by U.S. residents to foreign residents from settlements of derivatives contracts (net lending) and a negative value represents net U.S. cash receipts (net borrowing). Statistical Discrepancy The statistical discrepancy was $274.9 billion in 2015 compared with $149.9 billion in 2014. * * * In 2015, the U.S. dollar appreciated 16.2 percent on a trade-weighted basis against a group of 7 major currencies. In 2014, the U.S. dollar appreciated 3.3 percent on the same basis. Exchange rate data are based on Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.10. Revisions Statistics for the first three quarters of 2015 were revised to reflect revised seasonal adjustments and newly available and revised source data for the third quarter. Preliminary and Revised Third-Quarter 2015 Statistics [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Preliminary Revised Balance on goods................................. –190.0 –190.5 Balance on services.............................. 56.3 51.9 Balance on primary income........................ 46.1 45.4 Balance on secondary income (current transfers).. –36.6 –36.7 Balance on current account....................... –124.1 –129.9 Net U.S. sales of financial assets excluding financial derivatives........................ 89.9 95.9 Net U.S. repayment of liabilities excluding financial derivatives........................ 64.6 35.7 Net borrowing from financial-account transactions................................. 24.7 59.5 * * * Release dates in 2016: Fourth Quarter and Year 2015....................................March 17, 2016 (Thursday) First Quarter 2016 and Annual Revisions..........................June 16, 2016 (Thursday) Second Quarter 2016.........................................September 15, 2016 (Thursday) Third Quarter 2016...........................................December 15, 2016 (Thursday) * * * BEA’s national, international, regional, and industry statistics; the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA’s Web site at www.bea.gov. At the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. ________________ NOTE: This news release is available on BEA's Web site along with Highlights related to this release, the latest detailed statistics for U.S. international transactions, and a description of the estimation methods used to compile them. The fourth-quarter statistics in this release are preliminary and will be revised on June 16, 2016. All links in the text of this release—including archived versions of this release—refer to the latest available statistics.