News Release
These data have been superseded. Please see our latest releases for current estimates and contact information.
Gross Domestic Product, 1st quarter 2011 (second estimate); Corporate Profits, 1st quarter 2011 (preliminary estimate)
Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent. The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was also 1.8 percent (see "Revisions" on page 3). The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by negative contributions from federal government spending and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. ______________________ BOX. Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts The annual revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs) will be released along with the "advance" estimate of GDP for the second quarter of 2011 on July 29. In addition to the regular revision of estimates for the most recent 3 years and the first quarter of 2011, GDP and some components will be revised back to the first quarter of 2003 (see "Preview of the Upcoming Annual NIPA Revision" in the May Survey of Current Business). The August Survey will contain an article that describes the annual revision in detail. ______________________ FOOTNOTE. Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. "Real" estimates are in chained (2005) dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures. This news release is available on BEAs Web site along with the Technical Note and Highlights related to this release. ______________________ The deceleration in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected a sharp upturn in imports, a deceleration in PCE, a larger decrease in federal government spending, and a deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by a sharp upturn in private inventory investment. Motor vehicle output added 1.28 percentage points to the first-quarter change in real GDP after subtracting 0.27 percentage point from the fourth-quarter change. Final sales of computers added 0.06 percentage point to the first-quarter change in real GDP after adding 0.35 percentage point to the fourth- quarter change. The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 3.8 percent in the first quarter, unrevised from the advance estimate; this index increased 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.1 percent in the fourth. Real personal consumption expenditures increased 2.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 4.0 percent in the fourth. Durable goods increased 8.9 percent, compared with an increase of 21.1 percent. Nondurable goods increased 1.1 percent, compared with an increase of 4.1 percent. Services increased 1.5 percent, the same increase as in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 3.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 7.7 percent in the fourth. Nonresidential structures decreased 16.8 percent, in contrast to an increase of 7.6 percent. Equipment and software increased 11.6 percent, compared with an increase of 7.7 percent. Real residential fixed investment decreased 3.3 percent, in contrast to an increase of 3.3 percent. Real exports of goods and services increased 9.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 8.6 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 7.5 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 12.6 percent. Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 7.9 percent in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 0.3 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased 11.7 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.2 percent. Nondefense increased 0.1 percent, compared with an increase of 3.7 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 3.2 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.6 percent. The change in real private inventories added 1.19 percentage points to the first-quarter change in real GDP, after subtracting 3.42 percentage points from the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses increased inventories $52.2 billion in the first quarter, following increases of $16.2 billion in the fourth quarter and $121.4 billion in the third. Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- increased 0.6 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 6.7 percent in the fourth. Gross domestic purchases Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 1.8 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 0.2 percent in the fourth. Gross national product Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents -- increased 3.1 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.8 percent in the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world, which increased $42.4 billion in the first quarter after decreasing $10.5 billion in the fourth; in the first quarter, receipts increased $29.0 billion, and payments decreased $13.3 billion. Current-dollar GDP Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 3.8 percent, or $138.9 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $15,010.3 billion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 3.5 percent, or $126.3 billion. Revisions The "second" estimate of the first-quarter increase in real GDP is the same as the advance estimate. Upward revisions to exports, to private inventory investment, and to nonresidential fixed investment were offset by an upward revision to imports and a downward revision to personal consumption expenditures. Advance Estimate Second Estimate (Percent change from preceding quarter) Real GDP.......................................... 1.8 1.8 Current-dollar GDP................................ 3.7 3.8 Gross domestic purchases price index.............. 3.8 3.8 Corporate Profits Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $21.9 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $38.2 billion in the fourth quarter. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation adjustment) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- decreased $11.0 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $36.9 billion in the fourth. Taxes on corporate income increased $33.6 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $1.3 billion in the fourth. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments decreased $11.6 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $39.5 billion in the fourth. Dividends increased $15.4 billion compared with an increase of $8.9 billion; current-production undistributed profits decreased $27.0 billion, in contrast to an increase of $30.6 billion. Domestic profits of financial corporations decreased $70.6 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $57.7 billion in the fourth. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $45.8 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $10.1 billion in the fourth. In the first quarter, real gross value added of nonfinancial corporations increased, and profits per unit of real value added increased. The increase in unit profits reflected decreases in both the unit labor and nonlabor costs corporations incurred; unit prices were unchanged. The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $46.8 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $9.4 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter increase was accounted for by an increase in receipts and a decrease in payments. Profits before tax increased $113.8 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $48.3 billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment decreased $90.1 billion in the first quarter (from -$15.8 billion to -$105.9 billion), in contrast to an increase of $153.5 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $1.8 billion (from -$103.2 billion to -$105.0 billion), compared with a decrease of $66.8 billion. The large decrease in the first-quarter capital consumption adjustment reflects the expiration of "bonus depreciation" claimed under the Small Business Jobs and Credit Act of 2010. (Current bonus depreciation estimates are net of offsetting bonus depreciation that was claimed in earlier years. For detailed data, see the table "Net Effects of the Tax Acts of 2002, 2003, 2008, 2009, and 2010 on Selected Measures of Corporate Profits.) Profits from current production are not affected because they do not depend on the depreciation-accounting practices used for federal income tax returns; rather they are based on depreciation of fixed assets valued at current cost and using consistent depreciation profiles based on used-asset prices. * * * BEA's national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. * * * Next release -- June 24, 2011, at 8:30 A.M. EDT for: Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2011 (Third Estimate) Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2011 (Revised)