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Gross Domestic Product and Corporate Profits, 1st quarter 2007 (preliminary)
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Virginia H. Mannering: (202) 606-5304 (GDP) BEA 07-21 Andrew Hodge: (202) 606-5564 (Profits) Recorded message: (202) 606-5306 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FIRST QUARTER 2007 (PRELIMINARY) CORPORATE PROFITS: FIRST QUARTER 2007 ( PRELIMINARY) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the first quarter of 2007, according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.5 percent. The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the advance estimates issued last month. In the advance estimates, the increase in real GDP was 1.3 percent (see "Revisions" on page 3). The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and state and local government spending that were partly offset by negative contributions from private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. The deceleration in real GDP growth in the first quarter primarily reflected an upturn in imports, downturns in exports and in federal government spending, and a deceleration in PCE for nondurable goods that were partly offset by an upturn in equipment and software, a smaller decrease in residential fixed investment, accelerations in PCE for durable goods and in PCE for services, and a smaller decrease in private inventory investment. Final sales of computers subtracted 0.04 percentage point from the first-quarter growth in real GDP after contributing 0.22 percentage point to the fourth-quarter growth. Motor vehicle output contributed 0.10 percentage point to the first-quarter growth in real GDP after subtracting 1.18 percentage points from the fourth-quarter growth. FOOTNOTE.--Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. "Real" estimates are in chained (2000) dollars. Prices indexes are chain-type measures. This news release is available on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov/newsreleases/rels.htm. The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 3.6 percent in the first quarter, the same as in the advance estimate; this index increased 0.2 percent in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.8 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.4 percent in the fourth. About 0.2 percentage point of the first-quarter increase in the index was accounted for by the pay raise for federal civilian and military personnel, which is treated as an increase in the price index of employee services purchased by the federal government. Real personal consumption expenditures increased 4.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 4.2 percent in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 2.9 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 3.1 percent. Nonresidential structures increased 5.1 percent, compared with an increase of 0.8 percent. Equipment and software increased 2.0 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 4.8 percent. Real residential fixed investment decreased 15.4 percent, compared with a decrease of 19.8 percent. Real exports of goods and services decreased 0.6 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of 10.6 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 5.7 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 2.6 percent. Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 3.9 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of 4.6 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased 7.3 percent, in contrast to an increase of 12.3 percent. Nondefense increased 3.6 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 9.6 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 3.9 percent, compared with an increase of 2.7 percent. The real change in private inventories subtracted 0.98 percentage point from the first-quarter change in real GDP, after subtracting 1.16 percentage points from the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses decreased inventories $4.5 billion in the first quarter, following increases of $22.4 billion in the fourth quarter and $55.4 billion in the third. Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- increased 1.6 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 3.7 percent in the fourth. Gross domestic purchases Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 1.6 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 0.8 percent in the fourth. Gross national product Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents -- increased 0.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 3.5 percent in the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world, which decreased $7.0 billion in the first quarter after increasing $29.4 billion in the fourth; in the first quarter, receipts increased $11.0 billion, and payments increased $18.0 billion. Current-dollar GDP Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 4.7 percent, or $154.8 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $13,613.0 billion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 4.1 percent, or $135.6 billion. Revisions The preliminary estimate of the first-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.7 percentage point, or $17.4 billion, lower than the advance estimate issued last month. The downward revision to the percent change in real GDP primarily reflected a downward revision to private inventory investment and an upward revision to imports that were partly offset by an upward revision to personal consumption expenditures. Advance Preliminary (Percent change from preceding quarter) Real GDP............................... 1.3 0.6 Current-dollar GDP.................... 5.3 4.7 Gross domestic purchases price index.. 3.6 3.6 Corporate Profits Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $20.3 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $4.9 billion in the fourth quarter. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- decreased $4.6 billion in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of $1.1 billion in the fourth. Taxes on corporate income increased $8.8 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $14.4 billion in the fourth. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased $11.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $9.6 billion in the fourth. Dividends increased $20.6 billion, compared with an increase of $21.0 billion; current- production undistributed profits decreased $9.2 billion, compared with a decrease of $11.5 billion. Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $4.8 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $20.5 billion in the fourth. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $16.2 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $62.6 billion. In the first quarter, both real gross corporate value added of nonfinancial corporations and profits per unit of real value added increased. The increase in unit profits reflected an increase in unit prices that was partly offset increases in both the unit labor and nonlabor costs that corporations incurred. The rest-of-the-world component of profits decreased $0.8 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of $37.3 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter decrease was accounted for by a smaller increase in receipts than in payments. Profits before tax increased $20.9 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $16.4 billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment increased $14.4 billion in the first quarter (from -$171.7 billion to -$157.3 billion), in contrast to a decrease of $9.3 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $15.0 billion (from -$17.5 billion to -$32.5 billion), in contrast to an increase of $20.7 billion. BEA's national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. BOX Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts The annual revision of the national income and product accounts, covering the first quarter of 2004 through the first quarter of 2007, will be released along with the "advance" estimates of GDP for the second quarter of 2007 on July 27. An article describing the revision will appear in the August 2007 issue of the Survey of Current Business. * * * Next release -- June 28, 2007, at 8:30 A.M. EDT for: Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2007 (Final) Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2007 (Final) - more - Table 1.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006r II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06r I 07r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.5 7.5 2.7 3.9 4.0 3.1 2.6 3.4 3.3 4.2 1.8 5.6 2.6 2.0 2.5 .6 Personal consumption expenditures... 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.6 5.8 2.3 4.7 2.9 3.9 4.3 2.7 4.2 3.9 .8 4.8 2.6 2.8 4.2 4.4 Durable goods..................... 6.4 5.5 5.0 16.8 16.7 .7 6.1 1.7 8.7 6.1 2.4 12.8 9.0 -12.3 19.8 -.1 6.4 4.4 8.8 Nondurable goods.................. 3.6 4.5 3.7 2.3 7.7 1.8 4.3 1.7 3.7 5.4 5.2 4.9 3.4 3.9 5.9 1.4 1.5 5.9 3.5 Services.......................... 3.5 2.6 2.6 1.8 2.9 2.8 4.6 3.8 3.1 3.4 1.6 2.3 3.2 2.0 1.6 3.7 2.8 3.4 4.0 Gross private domestic investment... 9.8 5.4 4.3 3.3 17.7 9.3 4.8 21.7 2.0 5.1 8.2 -3.6 5.2 16.2 7.8 1.0 -.8 -15.2 -9.3 Fixed investment.................. 7.3 7.5 2.9 10.6 13.6 5.5 2.2 11.7 7.6 4.9 7.8 10.5 6.3 2.8 8.2 -1.6 -1.2 -9.1 -3.5 Nonresidential.................. 5.9 6.8 7.2 10.7 9.4 2.8 1.7 7.2 10.3 8.3 6.0 5.2 5.9 5.2 13.7 4.4 10.0 -3.1 2.9 Structures.................... 2.2 1.1 9.0 14.7 -.8 -4.7 3.3 6.9 3.1 -2.0 5.3 -2.0 -7.0 12.0 8.7 20.3 15.7 .8 5.1 Equipment and software........ 7.3 8.9 6.5 9.3 13.2 5.6 1.2 7.3 13.0 12.3 6.3 7.9 11.0 2.8 15.6 -1.4 7.7 -4.8 2.0 Residential..................... 9.9 8.6 -4.2 10.5 22.2 10.6 3.1 19.8 3.2 -.6 11.1 20.0 7.1 -.9 -.3 -11.1 -18.7 -19.8 -15.4 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 9.2 6.8 8.9 -1.7 11.4 20.8 7.2 6.2 4.8 9.9 4.7 9.4 3.2 9.6 14.0 6.2 6.8 10.6 -.6 Goods........................... 9.0 7.5 10.5 -1.2 8.8 19.8 7.1 6.4 8.3 6.1 5.5 12.8 3.7 11.5 17.3 6.0 9.4 8.4 -.6 Services........................ 9.7 5.1 5.4 -2.8 17.5 23.1 7.5 5.6 -2.8 19.2 2.9 2.0 2.1 5.5 6.7 6.7 .8 16.3 -.6 Imports........................... 10.8 6.1 5.8 4.1 3.7 17.6 10.2 16.0 4.4 12.0 4.1 1.4 2.5 13.2 9.1 1.4 5.6 -2.6 5.7 Goods........................... 10.9 6.7 5.9 8.6 .6 17.2 10.1 17.7 4.7 12.6 4.9 2.0 2.7 14.1 9.4 -.1 7.1 -4.1 6.2 Services........................ 10.0 2.8 5.3 -15.7 21.2 19.6 10.9 7.6 3.1 9.0 -.2 -1.5 1.2 8.3 7.4 9.9 -2.6 6.2 3.3 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 1.9 .9 2.1 6.1 1.5 .7 2.9 2.2 1.3 -1.9 1.6 1.1 3.4 -1.1 4.9 .8 1.7 3.4 1.0 Federal........................... 4.3 1.5 2.0 19.7 .4 3.1 7.2 2.5 5.0 -5.2 3.4 .4 9.6 -4.6 8.8 -4.5 1.3 4.6 -3.9 National defense................ 5.9 1.7 1.9 36.3 -5.3 8.1 9.1 2.0 9.1 -9.1 4.5 2.9 11.2 -9.9 8.9 -2.0 -1.2 12.3 -7.3 Nondefense...................... 1.2 1.1 2.1 -6.4 12.4 -6.0 3.6 3.5 -2.9 3.4 1.2 -4.4 6.2 7.1 8.5 -9.3 6.5 -9.6 3.6 State and local................... .5 .5 2.1 -.8 2.1 -.6 .5 2.1 -.9 .1 .6 1.5 -.1 1.0 2.7 4.0 1.9 2.7 3.9 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 3.5 3.5 3.1 4.5 6.9 2.1 3.4 2.6 4.0 2.6 3.3 5.6 4.4 -.3 5.6 2.1 1.9 3.7 1.6 Gross domestic purchases.......... 4.4 3.3 3.2 4.0 6.6 3.0 4.4 5.5 3.1 3.3 3.4 2.4 4.0 2.7 5.3 2.0 2.0 .8 1.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 4.0 3.6 2.9 5.1 6.1 2.5 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.2 3.3 4.6 4.2 .7 5.4 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.5 Gross national product (GNP)...... 3.8 3.1 3.3 4.1 7.3 3.5 3.5 2.9 3.3 2.0 3.6 3.0 4.9 .5 6.1 2.3 1.8 3.5 .4 Disposable personal income........ 3.6 1.2 2.6 5.0 6.3 1.7 3.9 2.4 2.8 7.5 -4.0 .5 -.6 5.5 4.6 -1.5 3.2 6.4 4.7 Current-dollar measures: GDP............................. 6.9 6.3 6.3 4.8 9.7 4.9 7.8 7.9 5.3 5.9 7.0 5.8 7.6 5.1 9.0 5.9 3.8 4.1 4.7 Final sales of domestic product. 6.5 6.7 6.1 5.8 9.1 4.4 7.3 6.4 6.2 5.9 6.9 8.2 7.8 3.0 9.1 5.5 3.8 5.4 5.7 Gross domestic purchases........ 7.6 6.9 6.4 4.7 9.1 4.9 8.9 9.7 5.8 7.0 6.7 5.8 8.5 6.3 8.2 6.1 4.2 1.0 5.2 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 7.2 7.2 6.1 5.7 8.5 4.4 8.5 8.3 6.7 7.0 6.7 8.1 8.8 4.3 8.2 5.7 4.2 2.1 6.2 GNP............................. 6.7 6.2 6.3 5.4 9.6 5.8 7.4 6.7 5.4 5.3 7.2 5.6 8.4 3.8 9.6 5.7 3.7 5.2 4.4 Disposable personal income...... 6.4 4.1 5.5 5.7 8.9 3.2 7.7 6.0 4.7 10.7 -1.8 3.6 3.5 8.6 6.8 2.5 5.7 5.4 8.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 2.--Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product.......... 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.5 7.5 2.7 3.9 4.0 3.1 2.6 3.4 3.3 4.2 1.8 5.6 2.6 2.0 2.5 .6 Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures. 2.71 2.44 2.24 2.53 4.13 1.59 3.30 2.07 2.74 2.97 1.94 2.94 2.76 .53 3.38 1.81 1.96 2.93 3.01 Durable goods................... .54 .45 .41 1.35 1.39 .06 .51 .14 .71 .50 .20 1.02 .74 -1.08 1.50 -.01 .50 .35 .68 Motor vehicles and parts...... .07 .02 -.04 .65 .46 -.29 .09 -.14 .22 .17 -.29 .50 .38 -1.51 .60 -.04 .28 -.15 .37 Furniture and household equipment.................... .35 .29 .36 .49 .67 .27 .33 .28 .36 .21 .27 .28 .40 .33 .65 .10 .20 .38 .28 Other......................... .11 .14 .09 .21 .26 .08 .10 .01 .13 .12 .21 .24 -.03 .10 .26 -.06 .03 .12 .03 Nondurable goods................ .73 .90 .76 .45 1.53 .36 .86 .34 .74 1.07 1.04 .98 .70 .79 1.20 .30 .32 1.18 .71 Food.......................... .33 .51 .41 .04 .61 .02 .54 .16 .28 .70 .53 .55 .61 .39 .64 .19 -.07 .62 .14 Clothing and shoes............ .14 .17 .14 .29 .31 -.02 .32 -.14 .18 .19 .17 .25 .08 .27 .23 -.10 .15 .18 .22 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. .02 -.01 -.02 -.02 .10 .06 .00 .00 -.04 .01 .12 -.10 -.15 -.06 -.03 .02 .14 .03 .16 Other......................... .24 .23 .23 .14 .52 .30 .00 .32 .32 .16 .21 .28 .16 .19 .36 .19 .11 .35 .18 Services........................ 1.45 1.09 1.07 .73 1.21 1.18 1.92 1.59 1.30 1.39 .70 .94 1.32 .83 .67 1.52 1.14 1.41 1.63 Housing....................... .40 .30 .24 .18 .35 .40 .49 .42 .37 .32 .29 .28 .24 .18 .24 .25 .27 .33 .24 Household operation........... .10 .08 -.02 .00 .02 .17 .11 .10 .06 .25 .01 .04 .09 .01 -.58 .31 .35 .13 .32 Electricity and gas......... .02 .04 -.05 -.08 -.03 .12 .06 -.06 -.07 .25 .00 .00 .03 .03 -.58 .23 .32 .08 .28 Other household operation... .08 .04 .03 .08 .05 .05 .05 .16 .13 .00 .01 .04 .06 -.02 .00 .08 .04 .05 .04 Transportation................ .03 .00 .04 -.03 .03 .02 .05 .06 .00 .04 .02 -.03 -.04 .00 .10 .04 .03 .10 .07 Medical care.................. .37 .43 .42 .28 .28 .28 .33 .47 .53 .43 .32 .40 .53 .44 .52 .31 .25 .42 .56 Recreation.................... .14 .08 .06 .15 .13 .16 .18 .13 .09 .05 .13 .05 .05 .04 .09 .02 .08 .09 -.01 Other......................... .41 .20 .33 .16 .40 .15 .76 .42 .24 .30 -.07 .20 .44 .16 .31 .58 .15 .33 .44 Gross private domestic investment. 1.49 .87 .70 .51 2.56 1.39 .74 3.17 .32 .82 1.32 -.61 .84 2.51 1.31 .17 -.13 -2.71 -1.55 Fixed investment................ 1.11 1.17 .47 1.52 2.00 .83 .34 1.72 1.16 .77 1.22 1.62 1.02 .46 1.34 -.27 -.19 -1.54 -.57 Nonresidential................ .58 .67 .73 1.01 .92 .29 .18 .69 .97 .81 .59 .51 .59 .52 1.36 .45 1.01 -.34 .31 Structures.................. .06 .03 .26 .35 -.02 -.12 .08 .17 .08 -.05 .14 -.06 -.20 .31 .25 .56 .46 .03 .16 Equipment and software...... .52 .64 .47 .66 .95 .41 .10 .52 .90 .86 .45 .56 .78 .21 1.11 -.10 .55 -.36 .14 Information processing equipment and software... .36 .30 .31 .13 .82 .70 .30 .05 .21 .33 .43 .29 .26 .25 .74 -.04 .35 -.07 .63 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. .10 .12 .10 .00 .26 .21 -.03 -.03 .21 .17 .10 .10 .06 .16 .15 .03 .13 .00 .26 Software................ .15 .09 .10 .05 .32 .20 .17 .03 .12 .16 .03 .12 .07 .04 .18 .07 .09 .05 .16 Other................... .11 .10 .11 .08 .23 .29 .16 .05 -.12 .00 .30 .06 .13 .04 .40 -.14 .13 -.11 .20 Industrial equipment...... -.05 .10 .07 .14 -.14 -.22 -.09 -.05 .19 .05 .16 -.07 .23 .19 -.05 .16 .00 -.07 -.04 Transportation equipment.. .14 .15 .00 .31 .01 -.13 -.08 .46 .39 .40 -.14 .11 .27 -.31 .31 -.32 .15 -.22 -.13 Other equipment........... .07 .09 .08 .08 .26 .07 -.04 .06 .10 .08 .01 .24 .03 .08 .11 .09 .05 -.01 -.31 Residential................... .53 .50 -.27 .51 1.08 .55 .16 1.03 .18 -.04 .63 1.11 .43 -.06 -.02 -.72 -1.20 -1.21 -.87 Change in private inventories... .38 -.30 .23 -1.01 .56 .56 .40 1.44 -.84 .05 .09 -2.23 -.18 2.05 -.03 .44 .06 -1.16 -.98 Farm.......................... .07 -.06 .03 -.16 -.06 -.05 .27 .61 -.48 -.38 .16 -.26 .28 .14 -.01 -.09 .02 -.01 .01 Nonfarm....................... .31 -.24 .21 -.85 .62 .60 .13 .84 -.35 .43 -.06 -1.97 -.46 1.90 -.02 .54 .05 -1.15 -.99 Net exports of goods and services. -.65 -.26 -.02 -.73 .51 -.47 -.73 -1.62 -.20 -.81 -.16 .72 -.06 -1.07 -.04 .42 -.19 1.59 -1.00 Exports......................... .88 .68 .93 -.16 1.02 1.81 .69 .60 .46 .96 .47 .94 .33 .97 1.41 .66 .73 1.14 -.07 Goods......................... .60 .52 .76 -.08 .55 1.20 .47 .43 .55 .42 .38 .88 .27 .80 1.20 .45 .71 .65 -.05 Services...................... .28 .16 .17 -.08 .47 .61 .22 .17 -.09 .54 .09 .06 .06 .17 .21 .21 .03 .50 -.02 Imports......................... -1.53 -.94 -.95 -.57 -.51 -2.29 -1.42 -2.22 -.66 -1.77 -.63 -.22 -.39 -2.04 -1.46 -.24 -.93 .45 -.93 Goods......................... -1.29 -.87 -.82 -.97 -.07 -1.86 -1.17 -2.03 -.59 -1.55 -.64 -.26 -.36 -1.84 -1.27 .01 -1.00 .61 -.84 Services...................... -.24 -.07 -.14 .40 -.44 -.43 -.25 -.18 -.08 -.22 .01 .04 -.03 -.20 -.19 -.25 .07 -.16 -.09 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. .36 .17 .40 1.16 .29 .14 .55 .43 .24 -.37 .31 .21 .64 -.21 .94 .16 .32 .64 .19 Federal......................... .30 .11 .14 1.26 .03 .21 .49 .18 .34 -.38 .23 .03 .66 -.33 .61 -.32 .09 .31 -.28 National defense.............. .27 .08 .09 1.41 -.25 .35 .41 .09 .41 -.45 .21 .13 .52 -.49 .41 -.09 -.06 .55 -.36 Consumption expenditures.... .22 .05 .05 1.30 -.32 .31 .40 .00 .34 -.44 .25 .03 .45 -.47 .37 -.17 -.04 .43 -.29 Gross investment............ .05 .03 .04 .12 .07 .05 .00 .10 .08 -.01 -.04 .10 .07 -.02 .05 .08 -.02 .11 -.06 Nondefense.................... .03 .03 .05 -.16 .28 -.14 .09 .08 -.07 .08 .03 -.11 .14 .16 .20 -.23 .15 -.23 .08 Consumption expenditures..... .03 .00 .04 -.21 .27 -.12 .11 .03 -.06 .05 .01 -.09 .08 .05 .16 -.10 .13 -.19 .11 Gross investment............. .00 .02 .01 .06 .01 -.03 -.03 .05 -.01 .03 .01 -.02 .06 .11 .03 -.12 .02 -.04 -.03 State and local................. .06 .06 .26 -.10 .26 -.07 .06 .25 -.10 .01 .08 .18 -.01 .13 .33 .48 .23 .33 .47 Consumption expenditures.... .10 .08 .18 -.07 -.04 .07 .19 .15 .08 .15 .02 .05 .14 .09 .17 .20 .30 .33 .25 Gross investment............ -.04 -.02 .08 -.02 .30 -.15 -.13 .11 -.18 -.14 .06 .13 -.15 .03 .16 .28 -.08 .00 .21 Addenda: Goods........................... 1.56 1.43 1.90 .56 5.00 .81 1.20 .99 1.56 1.43 1.51 1.09 2.07 .97 3.86 1.12 1.17 1.25 -.36 Services........................ 1.84 1.31 1.37 2.06 1.15 1.63 2.59 1.74 1.48 1.47 1.07 1.04 2.02 .46 1.39 1.40 1.63 2.32 1.59 Structures...................... .51 .49 .05 .85 1.33 .22 .05 1.31 .06 -.29 .82 1.13 .09 .33 .33 .04 -.84 -1.11 -.58 Motor vehicle output............ .12 .20 -.06 .36 .30 -.23 .33 -.24 .52 .06 .38 -.03 .70 -.71 .12 -.31 .76 -1.18 .10 Final sales of computers........ .06 .16 .11 -.02 .50 .15 -.13 -.14 .15 .26 .16 .20 .08 .20 .07 .04 .07 .22 -.04 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (2000) dollars ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding at annual rates at annual rates period -------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- ------------------------- 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r 2006 IV 06 I 07r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product....... 13,246.6 13,008.4 13,197.3 13,322.6 13,458.2 13,613.0 11,415.3 11,316.4 11,388.1 11,443.5 11,513.0 11,531.7 366.7 69.5 18.7 Personal consumption expenditures. 9,268.9 9,079.2 9,228.1 9,346.7 9,421.8 9,601.3 8,091.4 8,003.8 8,055.0 8,111.2 8,195.9 8,284.0 250.2 84.7 88.1 Durable goods................... 1,070.3 1,064.1 1,061.8 1,075.5 1,079.8 1,097.5 1,202.9 1,190.5 1,190.3 1,208.8 1,221.9 1,247.8 57.6 13.1 25.9 Motor vehicles and parts...... 444.7 442.7 441.7 451.3 443.3 453.9 447.4 445.1 443.7 452.9 447.8 460.5 -5.5 -5.1 12.7 Furniture and household equipment.................... 404.6 402.3 401.3 403.2 411.4 416.6 550.5 538.5 542.9 551.7 569.1 582.1 59.9 17.4 13.0 Other......................... 221.0 219.1 218.8 221.0 225.2 227.1 224.5 224.6 222.5 223.4 227.5 228.4 11.9 4.1 .9 Nondurable goods................ 2,714.9 2,658.2 2,721.4 2,747.7 2,732.1 2,790.0 2,362.0 2,342.8 2,351.1 2,360.1 2,394.0 2,414.8 85.2 33.9 20.8 Food.......................... 1,281.1 1,262.3 1,274.0 1,280.7 1,307.5 1,327.9 1,110.9 1,103.4 1,108.8 1,106.8 1,124.5 1,128.7 45.2 17.7 4.2 Clothing and shoes............ 358.6 355.4 355.1 358.7 365.3 373.2 392.5 391.1 387.4 392.6 399.1 407.0 19.8 6.5 7.9 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. 338.3 316.2 359.1 369.4 308.5 327.0 197.6 196.0 196.3 198.7 199.3 202.8 -1.9 .6 3.5 Other......................... 736.8 724.2 733.3 738.9 750.8 761.9 671.1 662.6 668.3 671.5 682.2 687.7 27.2 10.7 5.5 Services........................ 5,483.7 5,356.8 5,444.9 5,523.5 5,609.8 5,713.7 4,550.4 4,494.5 4,535.4 4,566.6 4,605.2 4,650.1 113.8 38.6 44.9 Housing....................... 1,382.2 1,345.4 1,370.1 1,394.2 1,419.2 1,439.9 1,148.7 1,137.6 1,144.5 1,151.7 1,160.8 1,167.5 26.1 9.1 6.7 Household operation........... 506.4 494.8 499.1 512.3 519.2 539.5 416.2 404.3 412.5 422.1 425.8 434.6 -1.8 3.7 8.8 Electricity and gas......... 212.2 206.2 206.9 216.6 219.2 236.0 149.9 141.7 147.0 154.4 156.4 163.0 -3.9 2.0 6.6 Other household operation... 294.1 288.6 292.2 295.7 300.0 303.6 267.4 264.8 267.0 268.1 269.6 270.9 3.3 1.5 1.3 Transportation................ 337.1 330.4 335.9 339.5 342.7 346.5 288.4 286.3 287.5 288.5 291.2 293.3 4.0 2.7 2.1 Medical care.................. 1,588.5 1,557.2 1,578.2 1,597.5 1,621.0 1,658.3 1,305.0 1,292.6 1,300.9 1,307.6 1,319.0 1,334.4 44.1 11.4 15.4 Recreation.................... 379.4 372.4 377.2 382.7 385.1 386.1 319.7 317.5 318.1 320.4 323.0 322.6 6.6 2.6 -.4 Other......................... 1,290.2 1,256.5 1,284.3 1,297.3 1,322.6 1,343.4 1,071.1 1,054.9 1,070.6 1,074.8 1,083.9 1,096.1 34.9 9.1 12.2 Gross private domestic investment. 2,212.5 2,214.8 2,237.1 2,235.5 2,162.6 2,120.2 1,945.6 1,963.6 1,968.5 1,964.8 1,885.6 1,840.0 79.3 -79.2 -45.6 Fixed investment................ 2,162.9 2,167.7 2,174.8 2,171.4 2,137.6 2,127.7 1,894.7 1,914.6 1,906.8 1,901.3 1,856.3 1,839.7 52.7 -45.0 -16.6 Nonresidential................ 1,396.2 1,359.2 1,384.3 1,420.8 1,420.5 1,437.2 1,312.4 1,288.8 1,302.8 1,334.2 1,323.7 1,333.3 88.6 -10.5 9.6 Structures.................. 411.2 378.2 406.3 426.9 433.5 438.9 274.0 259.6 271.9 282.0 282.6 286.1 22.5 .6 3.5 Equipment and software...... 985.0 981.0 977.9 994.0 987.0 998.2 1,048.6 1,044.8 1,041.2 1,060.7 1,047.8 1,053.0 63.7 -12.9 5.2 Information processing equipment and software... 484.3 482.4 479.9 489.6 485.2 505.3 601.2 595.9 594.3 608.6 605.9 632.4 48.6 -2.7 26.5 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. 86.5 88.0 85.9 87.2 85.1 91.7 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Software................ 208.3 203.6 207.0 210.8 212.0 218.4 219.3 215.6 217.8 221.0 222.6 228.4 13.1 1.6 5.8 Other................... 189.4 190.8 187.1 191.7 188.1 195.1 209.2 211.6 206.7 211.3 207.1 214.6 15.6 -4.2 7.5 Industrial equipment...... 169.0 163.4 170.1 172.0 170.6 170.8 152.2 149.0 153.9 153.9 151.9 150.7 8.7 -2.0 -1.2 Transportation equipment.. 158.5 165.7 155.9 157.5 154.8 155.5 145.7 152.2 142.7 147.3 140.5 136.5 .3 -6.8 -4.0 Other equipment........... 173.2 169.4 172.1 174.9 176.5 166.7 157.1 154.3 157.1 158.6 158.3 149.0 9.8 -.3 -9.3 Residential................... 766.7 808.5 790.6 750.5 717.1 690.5 582.2 618.5 600.5 570.3 539.7 517.6 -25.8 -30.6 -22.1 Change in private inventories... 49.6 47.2 62.3 64.2 24.9 -7.5 43.2 41.2 53.7 55.4 22.4 -4.5 23.6 -33.0 -26.9 Farm.......................... 3.1 5.4 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.1 2.8 4.3 1.9 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.6 -.1 .2 Nonfarm....................... 46.5 41.8 59.9 61.6 22.7 -9.6 40.6 36.8 52.2 53.3 20.0 -7.8 21.0 -33.3 -27.8 Net exports of goods and services. -762.5 -765.2 -781.8 -801.7 -701.2 -726.9 -618.0 -636.6 -624.2 -628.8 -582.6 -611.8 1.2 46.2 -29.2 Exports......................... 1,466.2 1,405.4 1,448.1 1,488.3 1,523.0 1,533.9 1,302.8 1,269.3 1,288.5 1,310.0 1,343.5 1,341.4 106.7 33.5 -2.1 Goods......................... 1,035.4 989.3 1,019.1 1,055.8 1,077.4 1,086.0 931.4 906.2 919.5 940.4 959.5 958.0 88.2 19.1 -1.5 Services...................... 430.8 416.0 429.0 432.5 445.6 447.9 372.0 363.6 369.5 370.3 384.5 383.9 19.1 14.2 -.6 Imports......................... 2,228.7 2,170.6 2,229.8 2,290.1 2,224.2 2,260.8 1,920.9 1,905.9 1,912.7 1,938.8 1,926.1 1,953.2 105.6 -12.7 27.1 Goods......................... 1,879.5 1,832.6 1,879.0 1,938.8 1,867.5 1,899.7 1,641.5 1,631.9 1,631.7 1,660.1 1,642.6 1,667.6 91.6 -17.5 25.0 Services...................... 349.2 338.1 350.8 351.3 356.6 361.1 281.6 276.6 283.2 281.3 285.5 287.9 14.1 4.2 2.4 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. 2,527.7 2,479.6 2,513.9 2,542.1 2,575.1 2,618.5 1,998.4 1,987.1 1,991.2 1,999.4 2,016.1 2,021.1 40.4 16.7 5.0 Federal......................... 926.6 921.7 919.7 927.2 937.7 943.1 741.9 745.1 736.6 738.9 747.2 739.8 14.4 8.3 -7.4 National defense.............. 621.0 613.5 616.5 618.1 635.8 633.5 492.8 491.8 489.3 487.8 502.2 492.7 9.2 14.4 -9.5 Consumption expenditures.... 542.0 537.7 537.7 539.3 553.0 552.7 418.1 419.0 414.7 413.7 424.8 417.2 4.8 11.1 -7.6 Gross investment............ 79.0 75.8 78.8 78.8 82.7 80.8 76.4 74.0 76.5 75.9 79.4 77.4 5.2 3.5 -2.0 Nondefense.................... 305.6 308.2 303.2 309.0 301.9 309.6 248.9 253.1 247.0 250.9 244.7 246.8 5.2 -6.2 2.1 Consumption expenditures.... 266.1 265.9 264.6 269.8 264.0 272.6 211.2 212.8 210.1 213.4 208.5 211.4 3.9 -4.9 2.9 Gross investment............ 39.5 42.4 38.6 39.3 37.9 36.9 38.2 41.1 37.2 37.8 36.4 35.4 1.5 -1.4 -1.0 State and local................. 1,601.1 1,557.9 1,594.2 1,614.9 1,637.4 1,675.4 1,256.4 1,242.0 1,254.4 1,260.3 1,268.7 1,280.9 26.0 8.4 12.2 Consumption expenditures.... 1,288.3 1,256.2 1,280.7 1,300.0 1,316.5 1,342.0 1,006.0 996.1 1,001.2 1,009.0 1,017.5 1,024.1 18.0 8.5 6.6 Gross investment............ 312.8 301.7 313.5 315.0 320.9 333.5 250.2 245.7 253.1 251.1 251.0 256.5 8.1 -.1 5.5 Residual.......................... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... -85.8 -78.7 -77.6 -88.3 -97.4 -118.8 ..... ..... ..... Addenda: Final sales of domestic product. 13,197.0 12,961.2 13,135.1 13,258.4 13,433.3 13,620.6 11,365.8 11,269.0 11,328.0 11,381.6 11,484.5 11,531.4 340.6 102.9 46.9 Gross domestic purchases........ 14,009.1 13,773.6 13,979.1 14,124.3 14,159.4 14,340.0 12,027.3 11,946.3 12,005.9 12,066.6 12,090.6 12,138.0 367.6 24.0 47.4 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 13,959.5 13,726.4 13,916.8 14,060.1 14,134.5 14,347.5 11,977.8 11,898.7 11,945.9 12,004.7 12,062.0 12,137.5 341.7 57.3 75.5 Gross domestic product.......... 13,246.6 13,008.4 13,197.3 13,322.6 13,458.2 13,613.0 11,415.3 11,316.4 11,388.1 11,443.5 11,513.0 11,531.7 366.7 69.5 18.7 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world.......... 665.6 603.3 661.4 682.3 715.5 734.7 574.8 526.4 571.4 586.5 614.7 625.7 117.9 28.2 11.0 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world.......... 635.7 574.3 638.6 665.7 664.4 691.4 547.7 499.7 550.3 570.9 569.7 587.7 120.5 -1.2 18.0 Equals: Gross national product.. 13,276.5 13,037.4 13,220.1 13,339.2 13,509.3 13,656.3 11,441.7 11,342.7 11,408.5 11,458.5 11,557.3 11,568.9 363.8 98.8 11.6 Net domestic product............ 11,669.8 11,460.3 11,624.6 11,740.6 11,853.6 11,994.8 9,983.1 9,896.5 9,959.8 10,007.3 10,068.9 10,080.6 425.9 61.6 11.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Note.--Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real GDP, use table 2. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 4.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 2.8 3.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.7 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.5 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.7 4.0 Personal consumption expenditures... 2.6 2.9 2.7 .7 2.4 1.5 3.7 3.6 1.9 3.0 2.3 3.1 4.1 2.9 2.0 4.0 2.4 -1.0 3.3 Durable goods..................... -1.6 -.7 -1.3 -4.2 -4.0 -3.5 .0 .3 -2.3 .3 .3 -.6 -2.9 -1.3 -1.0 -.8 -1.1 -2.7 -1.9 Nondurable goods.................. 3.3 3.6 3.1 -2.9 3.9 .5 5.7 6.0 1.1 4.4 1.1 4.8 9.0 .6 1.1 8.3 2.3 -7.7 5.1 Services.......................... 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 5.0 3.1 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.5 Gross private domestic investment... 3.3 3.4 3.2 -.7 1.3 3.5 4.2 4.5 3.6 3.7 3.0 2.7 3.7 4.3 3.7 3.1 .6 3.4 1.8 Fixed investment.................. 3.4 3.5 3.3 -.8 1.3 3.5 4.3 4.6 3.6 3.7 3.1 2.7 4.0 4.6 3.8 3.0 .5 3.4 1.7 Nonresidential.................. 1.2 2.6 2.9 -1.3 .7 1.4 1.0 2.1 1.4 2.6 3.6 2.0 2.2 3.5 3.7 3.0 .9 3.1 1.8 Structures.................... 6.2 11.3 11.4 -.2 2.3 4.2 6.7 7.8 10.2 12.0 11.6 9.2 13.2 16.8 12.4 10.7 5.3 5.5 .0 Equipment and software........ -.4 -.4 -.2 -1.7 .1 .4 -.9 .2 -1.5 -.5 .9 -.4 -1.5 -1.0 .6 .1 -.9 2.1 2.6 Residential..................... 7.3 5.1 4.0 .2 2.6 7.7 10.5 9.0 7.4 5.6 2.3 3.8 6.9 6.3 3.8 2.9 -.1 3.9 1.6 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 3.7 3.6 3.3 1.1 .9 3.0 6.1 5.0 1.8 4.0 4.6 3.6 2.6 2.8 2.3 6.1 4.5 -.9 3.5 Goods........................... 3.7 3.1 3.3 1.6 -.7 4.1 6.5 5.2 1.1 3.6 4.4 3.0 1.3 2.3 2.8 6.2 5.3 .0 3.9 Services........................ 3.5 4.8 3.3 -.2 4.7 .7 5.0 4.5 3.5 5.0 5.1 4.9 5.6 4.2 1.2 6.0 2.5 -3.1 2.8 Imports........................... 5.0 6.3 4.3 -3.9 2.6 .4 9.7 7.3 5.5 6.7 2.6 9.2 10.2 4.3 -.7 9.8 5.4 -8.6 1.0 Goods........................... 5.0 6.5 4.5 -6.7 2.5 .5 10.1 7.9 5.4 6.8 1.8 10.1 11.3 5.1 -1.6 10.6 5.8 -10.2 .8 Services........................ 5.1 5.4 3.4 11.8 3.1 .0 8.0 4.4 6.2 6.3 6.8 5.1 4.3 -.1 4.5 5.5 3.2 .1 1.8 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 4.4 5.6 4.4 1.3 2.5 2.2 6.8 5.3 4.6 5.7 7.0 4.6 5.9 4.7 4.4 4.8 2.8 1.8 5.9 Federal........................... 4.7 4.8 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.1 11.5 5.3 2.2 2.9 11.3 2.2 3.3 .4 7.6 3.8 2.0 .0 6.5 National defense................ 4.7 5.1 3.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 10.5 5.8 2.8 3.2 11.6 2.4 3.4 1.0 6.7 4.1 2.3 -.3 6.4 Nondefense...................... 4.7 4.1 3.5 1.6 .6 .6 13.7 4.3 .9 2.3 10.6 1.8 3.2 -.7 9.5 3.2 1.4 .8 6.7 State and local................... 4.3 6.2 4.9 1.1 3.3 2.9 4.1 5.3 6.1 7.4 4.6 6.1 7.4 7.3 2.6 5.4 3.4 2.9 5.5 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 2.8 3.0 3.0 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.7 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.5 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.7 4.0 Gross domestic purchases.......... 3.1 3.5 3.1 .6 2.2 1.9 4.3 4.1 2.6 3.6 3.2 3.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 4.0 2.2 .2 3.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 3.1 3.5 3.1 .6 2.2 1.9 4.3 4.1 2.6 3.6 3.2 3.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 4.0 2.2 .2 3.5 Gross national product (GNP)...... 2.8 3.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.7 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.5 2.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.7 4.0 Implicit price deflators: GDP............................. 2.8 3.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.8 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.4 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.6 4.0 Gross domestic purchases........ 3.1 3.5 3.1 .6 2.3 1.9 4.3 4.0 2.6 3.6 3.2 3.4 4.3 3.5 2.7 4.0 2.1 .2 3.6 GNP............................. 2.8 3.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.8 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.4 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.6 4.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 5.--Real Gross Domestic Product, Quantity Indexes [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 109.031 112.546 116.281 115.274 116.004 116.569 117.277 117.467 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 112.430 116.349 120.062 118.761 119.521 120.355 121.612 122.920 Durable goods............................ 125.753 132.666 139.329 137.893 137.868 140.019 141.534 144.536 Nondurable goods......................... 111.913 116.924 121.301 120.313 120.742 121.204 122.947 124.014 Services................................. 110.055 112.925 115.822 114.398 115.440 116.234 117.215 118.359 Gross private domestic investment.......... 102.026 107.537 112.109 113.143 113.429 113.215 108.649 106.025 Fixed investment......................... 102.080 109.708 112.851 114.033 113.570 113.240 110.561 109.571 Nonresidential......................... 92.995 99.326 106.519 104.606 105.738 108.292 107.440 108.219 Structures........................... 79.418 80.302 87.496 82.893 86.819 90.044 90.228 91.358 Equipment and software............... 98.400 107.180 114.121 113.704 113.313 115.434 114.032 114.596 Residential............................ 125.281 136.050 130.283 138.391 134.368 127.601 120.770 115.812 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 102.201 109.105 118.841 115.783 117.536 119.495 122.549 122.357 Imports of goods and services.............. 115.962 123.007 130.162 129.146 129.608 131.378 130.516 132.352 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 112.720 113.731 116.081 115.423 115.657 116.136 117.107 117.395 Federal.................................. 123.813 125.701 128.191 128.728 127.262 127.669 129.106 127.820 State and local.......................... 107.094 107.660 109.934 108.682 109.762 110.277 111.016 112.080 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product.......... 109.096 112.958 116.447 115.455 116.060 116.609 117.663 118.144 Gross domestic purchases................. 110.691 114.351 117.956 117.161 117.746 118.341 118.577 119.041 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 110.761 114.755 118.125 117.345 117.810 118.390 118.955 119.700 Gross national product................... 109.039 112.399 116.090 115.085 115.753 116.260 117.263 117.380 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 6.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 109.429 112.744 116.062 114.967 115.905 116.446 116.930 118.082 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)..................................... 108.373 111.493 114.556 113.445 114.573 115.241 114.966 115.911 Durable goods............................ 90.845 90.198 88.981 89.385 89.206 88.967 88.366 87.953 Nondurable goods......................... 107.617 111.530 114.959 113.484 115.769 116.442 114.141 115.556 Services................................. 112.863 116.529 120.509 119.194 120.059 120.960 121.824 122.880 Gross private domestic investment.......... 106.645 110.284 113.834 112.860 113.717 113.895 114.864 115.391 Fixed investment......................... 106.811 110.542 114.178 113.238 114.074 114.224 115.175 115.674 Nonresidential......................... 100.834 103.428 106.390 105.471 106.266 106.501 107.321 107.800 Structures........................... 120.951 134.647 149.972 145.684 149.432 151.372 153.402 153.412 Equipment and software............... 94.503 94.134 93.926 93.887 93.920 93.704 94.194 94.797 Residential............................ 120.618 126.714 131.757 130.765 131.696 131.655 132.911 133.452 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 105.151 108.949 112.537 110.737 112.400 113.631 113.379 114.372 Imports of goods and services.............. 104.678 111.268 116.043 113.918 116.608 118.143 115.503 115.779 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 114.718 121.183 126.484 124.791 126.262 127.150 127.731 129.568 Federal.................................. 115.249 120.726 124.892 123.721 124.871 125.482 125.495 127.487 State and local.......................... 114.417 121.463 127.434 125.434 127.095 128.147 129.061 130.809 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ 107.314 109.559 111.974 110.983 111.738 112.337 112.838 113.457 Market-based PCE\1\...................... 107.393 110.339 113.171 112.116 113.272 113.879 113.417 114.396 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... 105.865 107.713 109.706 108.810 109.524 110.033 110.457 111.054 Final sales of domestic product.......... 109.455 112.783 116.115 115.025 115.961 116.498 116.978 118.125 Gross domestic purchases................. 109.210 112.981 116.498 115.313 116.455 117.080 117.145 118.175 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 109.235 113.021 116.552 115.371 116.510 117.133 117.192 118.218 Gross national product................... 109.419 112.733 116.055 114.958 115.897 116.440 116.924 118.076 Implicit price deflators: Gross domestic product................. 109.426 112.737 116.043 114.951 115.887 116.420 116.895 118.049 Final sales of domestic product........ 109.455 112.783 116.112 115.017 115.952 116.490 116.969 118.117 Gross domestic purchases............... 109.207 112.975 116.477 115.296 116.435 117.053 117.110 118.142 Final sales to domestic purchasers..... 109.235 113.021 116.544 115.360 116.499 117.122 117.182 118.208 Gross national product................. 109.416 112.726 116.036 114.942 115.879 116.414 116.889 118.044 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Percentage changes for these series are included in the addenda to table 8 and in appendix table A. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 7.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Year ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... -.2 3.3 2.7 4.0 2.5 3.7 4.5 4.2 4.5 3.7 .8 1.6 2.5 3.9 3.2 3.3 Personal consumption expenditures...... .2 3.3 3.3 3.7 2.7 3.4 3.8 5.0 5.1 4.7 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.9 3.5 3.2 Durable goods........................ -5.6 5.9 7.8 8.4 4.4 7.8 8.6 11.3 11.7 7.3 4.3 7.1 5.8 6.4 5.5 5.0 Nondurable goods..................... -.2 2.0 2.7 3.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 4.0 4.6 3.8 2.0 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.5 3.7 Services............................. 1.7 3.5 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.0 4.5 2.4 1.9 1.9 3.5 2.6 2.6 Gross private domestic investment...... -8.1 8.1 8.9 13.6 3.1 8.9 12.4 9.8 7.8 5.7 -7.9 -2.6 3.6 9.8 5.4 4.3 Fixed investment..................... -6.5 5.9 8.6 9.3 6.5 9.0 9.2 10.2 8.3 6.5 -3.0 -5.2 3.4 7.3 7.5 2.9 Nonresidential..................... -5.4 3.2 8.7 9.2 10.5 9.3 12.1 11.1 9.2 8.7 -4.2 -9.2 1.0 5.9 6.8 7.2 Structures....................... -11.1 -6.0 -.7 1.8 6.4 5.6 7.3 5.1 -.4 6.8 -2.3 -17.1 -4.1 2.2 1.1 9.0 Equipment and software........... -2.6 7.3 12.5 11.9 12.0 10.6 13.8 13.3 12.7 9.4 -4.9 -6.2 2.8 7.3 8.9 6.5 Residential........................ -9.6 13.8 8.2 9.6 -3.2 8.0 1.9 7.6 6.0 .8 .4 4.8 8.4 9.9 8.6 -4.2 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. 6.6 6.9 3.2 8.7 10.1 8.4 11.9 2.4 4.3 8.7 -5.4 -2.3 1.3 9.2 6.8 8.9 Goods.............................. 6.9 7.5 3.3 9.7 11.7 8.8 14.3 2.2 3.8 11.2 -6.1 -4.0 1.8 9.0 7.5 10.5 Services........................... 6.0 5.5 3.2 6.3 6.3 7.2 5.9 2.9 5.6 2.9 -3.7 1.9 .0 9.7 5.1 5.4 Imports.............................. -.6 7.0 8.8 11.9 8.0 8.7 13.6 11.6 11.5 13.1 -2.7 3.4 4.1 10.8 6.1 5.8 Goods.............................. -.1 9.3 10.1 13.3 9.0 9.3 14.4 11.7 12.4 13.5 -3.2 3.7 4.9 10.9 6.7 5.9 Services........................... -2.6 -2.6 2.9 5.7 3.3 5.5 9.4 11.4 6.9 11.1 -.3 2.1 .0 10.0 2.8 5.3 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 1.1 .5 -.9 .0 .5 1.0 1.9 1.9 3.9 2.1 3.4 4.4 2.5 1.9 .9 2.1 Federal.............................. -.2 -1.7 -4.2 -3.7 -2.7 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 2.2 .9 3.9 7.0 6.8 4.3 1.5 2.0 National defense................... -1.1 -5.0 -5.6 -4.9 -3.8 -1.4 -2.8 -2.1 1.9 -.5 3.9 7.4 8.7 5.9 1.7 1.9 Nondefense......................... 2.4 6.9 -.7 -1.2 -.4 -.7 2.6 .7 2.8 3.5 3.9 6.3 3.4 1.2 1.1 2.1 State and local...................... 2.1 2.2 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.3 3.6 3.6 4.7 2.7 3.2 3.1 .2 .5 .5 2.1 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... .1 3.0 2.6 3.4 3.0 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.5 3.8 1.6 1.2 2.5 3.5 3.5 3.1 Gross domestic purchases............. -.8 3.3 3.2 4.4 2.4 3.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 4.4 .9 2.2 2.8 4.4 3.3 3.2 Final sales to domestic purchasers... -.6 3.1 3.2 3.8 2.8 3.8 4.3 5.3 5.4 4.5 1.8 1.8 2.8 4.0 3.6 2.9 Gross national product............... -.3 3.3 2.7 3.9 2.6 3.7 4.4 4.0 4.6 3.7 .8 1.5 2.7 3.8 3.1 3.3 Real disposable personal income...... .5 3.4 1.0 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.5 5.8 3.0 4.8 1.9 3.1 2.2 3.6 1.2 2.6 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 .6 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.1 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.7 2.8 2.7 GDP................................ 3.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.0 2.9 GDP excluding food and energy...... 3.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.7 3.0 2.9 Personal consumption expenditures.. 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.7 .9 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. Table 8.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06r I 07r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... 1.8 3.1 3.7 4.3 4.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.1 3.7 3.5 3.0 3.1 1.9 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)................................. 2.3 3.2 3.4 4.1 3.9 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.8 3.8 2.9 3.4 3.0 2.7 3.6 3.5 Durable goods........................ 5.5 6.7 8.3 9.8 6.1 4.2 5.6 4.7 7.4 7.5 2.5 6.6 3.4 2.8 7.4 4.8 Nondurable goods..................... 2.5 4.3 3.9 4.0 3.8 2.9 3.8 4.0 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.5 3.6 3.2 3.7 3.1 Services............................. 1.6 2.0 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.9 3.5 Gross private domestic investment...... 1.6 4.4 7.0 8.6 13.2 9.2 8.2 9.0 2.8 3.6 6.3 6.2 7.4 5.9 -2.1 -6.3 Fixed investment..................... 1.9 5.4 7.2 7.9 8.2 6.7 6.6 8.0 7.7 7.4 6.8 6.9 3.9 2.0 -1.1 -3.9 Nonresidential..................... .1 2.9 4.9 6.1 5.2 5.5 6.9 8.0 7.4 6.3 5.6 7.4 7.2 8.3 6.1 3.5 Structures....................... -3.9 .1 .2 2.9 1.1 2.0 2.7 3.2 1.0 -1.6 1.8 2.6 8.0 14.1 11.2 10.2 Equipment and software........... 1.5 3.9 6.6 7.2 6.7 6.7 8.3 9.7 9.8 9.3 7.0 9.2 6.8 6.0 4.0 .8 Residential........................ 5.7 10.6 11.7 11.4 13.7 9.0 6.1 8.1 8.1 9.1 9.0 6.1 -1.5 -8.1 -12.8 -16.3 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. -1.9 .1 5.8 9.1 11.2 9.6 7.0 6.4 7.2 6.8 6.7 9.0 8.2 9.1 9.4 5.7 Goods.............................. -1.6 -.1 7.1 8.4 10.4 10.3 7.0 6.6 8.1 7.0 8.3 11.2 9.5 11.0 10.2 5.7 Services........................... -2.4 .5 3.0 10.9 13.2 7.9 7.1 5.9 5.0 6.3 3.1 4.0 5.2 4.9 7.5 5.6 Imports.............................. 3.3 2.8 4.8 8.8 11.7 11.9 10.6 9.0 5.4 4.9 5.2 6.4 6.4 7.2 3.3 2.5 Goods.............................. 4.7 3.2 5.3 9.0 11.2 12.3 11.2 9.8 6.0 5.5 5.8 6.9 6.4 7.5 2.9 2.2 Services........................... -3.3 1.0 2.2 7.9 14.7 10.1 7.6 4.8 2.5 2.0 1.9 3.7 6.6 5.6 5.1 4.1 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 2.9 2.7 1.7 2.8 1.8 1.8 1.1 .8 .5 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.0 1.6 2.7 1.7 Federal.............................. 8.0 7.3 5.5 7.4 3.3 4.4 2.3 1.3 .8 1.9 2.1 3.4 2.1 .1 2.4 -.7 National defense................... 11.7 9.1 7.5 11.1 3.3 7.0 2.5 1.4 1.6 2.1 1.9 2.9 1.7 -1.3 4.3 .2 Nondefense......................... 1.3 4.0 1.9 .6 3.2 -.5 1.8 1.2 -.7 1.5 2.4 4.2 2.9 2.9 -1.4 -2.5 State and local...................... .2 .3 -.4 .3 1.0 .3 .4 .5 .3 .5 .8 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.1 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 1.8 3.2 3.7 4.2 3.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.9 4.0 3.2 3.8 2.9 2.3 3.3 2.3 Gross domestic purchases............. 2.3 3.3 3.6 4.5 4.9 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.6 3.5 3.0 2.5 1.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers... 2.4 3.4 3.7 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.7 3.0 2.4 2.7 2.0 Gross national product............... 2.2 3.3 3.9 4.6 4.3 3.3 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.6 3.4 2.7 3.4 2.0 Real disposable personal income...... 1.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 3.6 2.7 4.1 2.1 1.6 .8 .3 2.5 2.0 2.9 3.2 3.2 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.4 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.3 2.5 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.6 GDP................................ 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.7 GDP excluding food and energy...... 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.6 PCE................................ 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.3 2.8 1.9 2.2 PCE excluding food and energy...... 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.2 Market-based PCE\1\................ 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.5 2.4 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.2 2.6 1.6 2.0 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\..................... 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Table 9.--Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006r I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06r I 07r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product..................... 11,712.5 12,455.8 13,246.6 13,008.4 13,197.3 13,322.6 13,458.2 13,613.0 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world..................................... 410.2 513.3 665.6 603.3 661.4 682.3 715.5 734.7 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world..................................... 363.9 481.5 635.7 574.3 638.6 665.7 664.4 691.4 Equals: Gross national product............. 11,758.7 12,487.7 13,276.5 13,037.4 13,220.1 13,339.2 13,509.3 13,656.3 Less: Consumption of fixed capital......... 1,436.2 1,604.8 1,576.9 1,548.0 1,572.8 1,582.0 1,604.6 1,618.2 Less: Statistical discrepancy.............. 66.7 71.0 -11.4 -61.9 35.8 23.5 -43.0 -10.1 Equals: National income.................... 10,255.9 10,811.8 11,711.0 11,551.3 11,611.5 11,733.7 11,947.6 12,048.3 Compensation of employees................ 6,650.3 7,030.3 7,498.4 7,400.3 7,425.5 7,489.3 7,678.7 7,750.5 Wage and salary accruals............... 5,377.1 5,664.8 6,043.6 5,970.1 5,980.9 6,027.6 6,195.6 6,241.8 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,273.2 1,365.5 1,454.9 1,430.3 1,444.5 1,461.6 1,483.1 1,508.7 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 911.1 970.7 1,015.1 1,008.3 1,011.9 1,014.8 1,025.3 1,038.6 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 127.0 72.8 77.4 76.8 71.4 78.3 83.1 86.0 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1,182.6 1,330.7 1,615.7 1,569.1 1,591.8 1,653.3 1,648.4 1,668.7 Net interest and miscellaneous payments.. 485.1 483.4 509.3 514.8 513.2 498.6 510.4 494.0 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies............................... 819.4 865.1 912.5 897.4 914.0 916.8 921.9 928.8 Business current transfer payments....... 85.5 74.2 92.6 93.8 93.1 92.8 90.8 95.1 Current surplus of government enterprises............................. -5.0 -15.4 -9.9 -9.2 -9.4 -10.2 -10.9 -13.4 Addendum: Gross domestic income.................... 11,645.8 12,384.8 13,258.0 13,070.3 13,161.6 13,299.1 13,501.2 13,623.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. Table 10.--Personal Income and Its Disposition [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006r I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06r I 07r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income\1\......................... 9,731.4 10,239.2 10,891.2 10,721.4 10,807.3 10,939.4 11,096.6 11,347.6 Compensation of employees, received...... 6,665.3 7,030.3 7,485.9 7,400.3 7,425.5 7,489.3 7,628.7 7,800.5 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5,392.1 5,664.8 6,031.1 5,970.1 5,980.9 6,027.6 6,145.6 6,291.8 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,273.2 1,365.5 1,454.9 1,430.3 1,444.5 1,461.6 1,483.1 1,508.7 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 911.1 970.7 1,015.1 1,008.3 1,011.9 1,014.8 1,025.3 1,038.6 Farm................................... 36.2 30.2 22.6 23.9 17.5 21.7 27.3 31.7 Nonfarm................................ 874.9 940.4 992.5 984.4 994.3 993.2 998.0 1,006.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 127.0 72.8 77.4 76.8 71.4 78.3 83.1 86.0 Personal income receipts on assets....... 1,427.9 1,519.4 1,656.3 1,602.3 1,647.7 1,683.6 1,691.6 1,729.2 Personal interest income............... 890.8 945.0 1,016.7 989.1 1,019.2 1,035.8 1,022.8 1,039.8 Personal dividend income............... 537.1 574.4 639.6 613.2 628.5 647.8 668.8 689.4 Personal current transfer receipts....... 1,426.5 1,526.6 1,602.2 1,570.4 1,589.7 1,618.6 1,629.9 1,685.1 Less: Contributions for government social insurance........................ 826.4 880.6 945.7 936.7 938.8 945.2 961.9 991.9 Less: Personal current taxes............... 1,049.8 1,203.1 1,362.1 1,332.6 1,361.0 1,362.5 1,392.3 1,449.5 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 8,681.6 9,036.1 9,529.1 9,388.8 9,446.2 9,577.0 9,704.3 9,898.0 Less: Personal outlays..................... 8,507.2 9,070.9 9,625.5 9,418.5 9,577.0 9,710.0 9,796.5 9,980.3 Equals: Personal saving.................... 174.3 -34.8 -96.4 -29.7 -130.8 -133.0 -92.2 -82.3 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.............. 2.0 -.4 -1.0 -.3 -1.4 -1.4 -.9 -.8 Addendum: Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............... 8,010.8 8,104.6 8,318.6 8,276.8 8,245.4 8,311.0 8,441.7 8,540.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. 1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments, current surplus of government enterprises, and wage accruals less disbursements, plus personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Table 11.--Corporate Profits: Level and Percent Change ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of dollars Percent change from preceding period ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ Seasonally adjusted Quarterly Quarter one at annual rates rates year ago --------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------- 2004 2005 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07 2005 2006 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07 I 07 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......................... 1,182.6 1,330.7 1,615.7 1,569.1 1,591.8 1,653.3 1,648.4 1,668.7 12.5 21.4 1.4 3.9 -.3 1.2 6.3 Less: Taxes on corporate income...... 300.1 399.3 474.9 456.9 476.1 490.6 476.2 485.0 33.1 18.9 4.2 3.0 -2.9 1.9 6.1 Equals: Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............. 882.5 931.4 1,140.7 1,112.1 1,115.7 1,162.7 1,172.3 1,183.7 5.5 22.5 .3 4.2 .8 1.0 6.4 Net dividends...................... 539.5 576.9 642.2 615.7 631.1 650.4 671.4 692.0 6.9 11.3 2.5 3.1 3.2 3.1 12.4 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........... 343.0 354.5 498.6 496.4 484.6 512.4 500.9 491.7 3.4 40.6 -2.4 5.7 -2.2 -1.8 -.9 Cash flow: Net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments....................... 1,139.2 1,211.3 1,364.9 1,349.2 1,350.3 1,380.5 1,379.4 1,374.8 6.3 12.7 .1 2.2 -.1 -.3 1.9 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......... 343.0 354.5 498.6 496.4 484.6 512.4 500.9 491.7 3.4 40.6 -2.4 5.7 -2.2 -1.8 -.9 Consumption of fixed capital..... 796.2 856.8 866.3 852.8 865.6 868.2 878.5 883.1 7.6 1.1 1.5 .3 1.2 .5 3.6 Less: Inventory valuation adjustment........................ -39.8 -32.6 -34.4 -22.9 -58.9 -38.2 -17.5 -32.5 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Equals: Net cash flow.............. 1,178.9 1,243.9 1,399.2 1,372.1 1,409.2 1,418.8 1,396.9 1,407.2 5.5 12.5 2.7 .7 -1.5 .7 2.6 Addenda: Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).......... 1,144.3 1,518.7 1,810.9 1,740.6 1,811.5 1,854.0 1,837.6 1,858.5 32.7 19.2 4.1 2.3 -.9 1.1 6.8 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).......... 844.2 1,119.4 1,336.0 1,283.7 1,335.4 1,363.4 1,361.5 1,373.5 32.6 19.4 4.0 2.1 -.1 .9 7.0 Inventory valuation adjustment..... -39.8 -32.6 -34.4 -22.9 -58.9 -38.2 -17.5 -32.5 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Capital consumption adjustment..... 78.1 -155.5 -160.9 -148.6 -160.8 -162.4 -171.7 -157.3 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table 12.--Corporate Profits by Industry: Level and Change From Preceding Period [Billions of dollars] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Level Change from preceding period ---------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07 2005 2006 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1,182.6 1,330.7 1,615.7 1,569.1 1,591.8 1,653.3 1,648.4 1,668.7 148.1 285.0 22.7 61.5 -4.9 20.3 Domestic industries.......................... 1,006.3 1,133.7 1,372.6 1,343.0 1,351.9 1,418.7 1,376.6 1,397.6 127.4 238.9 8.9 66.8 -42.1 21.0 Financial.................................. 353.7 369.4 474.0 442.2 483.9 474.8 495.3 500.1 15.7 104.6 41.7 -9.1 20.5 4.8 Nonfinancial............................... 652.6 764.2 898.5 900.9 868.1 943.9 881.3 897.5 111.6 134.3 -32.8 75.8 -62.6 16.2 Rest of the world............................ 176.3 197.0 243.1 226.1 239.9 234.6 271.9 271.1 20.7 46.1 13.8 -5.3 37.3 -.8 Receipts from the rest of the world........ 302.0 338.0 403.8 376.3 402.0 408.9 428.1 435.0 36.0 65.8 25.7 6.9 19.2 6.9 Less: Payments to the rest of the world.... 125.8 141.0 160.7 150.2 162.1 174.2 156.2 163.9 15.2 19.7 11.9 12.1 -18.0 7.7 Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment.................... 1,104.5 1,486.1 1,776.6 1,717.7 1,752.6 1,815.8 1,820.2 1,826.0 381.6 290.5 34.9 63.2 4.4 5.8 Domestic industries.......................... 928.2 1,289.1 1,533.4 1,491.6 1,512.7 1,581.1 1,548.3 1,554.9 360.9 244.3 21.1 68.4 -32.8 6.6 Financial.................................. 344.2 389.0 498.7 463.9 508.2 500.1 522.7 526.8 44.8 109.7 44.3 -8.1 22.6 4.1 Federal Reserve banks.................... 20.0 26.6 33.8 30.9 33.7 35.8 34.7 38.5 6.6 7.2 2.8 2.1 -1.1 3.8 Other financial.......................... 324.1 362.5 464.9 433.0 474.4 464.3 488.0 488.3 38.4 102.4 41.4 -10.1 23.7 .3 Nonfinancial............................... 584.0 900.1 1,034.7 1,027.7 1,004.5 1,081.0 1,025.6 1,028.1 316.1 134.6 -23.2 76.5 -55.4 2.5 Utilities................................ 16.2 30.3 48.6 39.7 46.8 52.8 54.9 ..... 14.1 18.3 7.1 6.0 2.1 ..... Manufacturing............................ 150.2 254.8 311.7 300.7 289.9 331.9 324.5 ..... 104.6 56.9 -10.8 42.0 -7.4 ..... Durable goods.......................... 31.3 73.8 108.0 102.2 78.7 115.9 135.2 ..... 42.5 34.2 -23.5 37.2 19.3 ..... Fabricated metal products............ 12.3 20.6 26.2 25.7 24.1 24.8 30.1 ..... 8.3 5.6 -1.6 .7 5.3 ..... Machinery............................ 7.0 13.8 19.2 19.1 18.3 18.5 21.1 ..... 6.8 5.4 -.8 .2 2.6 ..... Computer and electronic products..... -6.7 3.9 13.4 12.3 13.1 13.2 15.1 ..... 10.6 9.5 .8 .1 1.9 ..... Electrical equipment, appliances, and components...................... .2 5.7 10.0 8.4 6.8 10.3 14.6 ..... 5.5 4.3 -1.6 3.5 4.3 ..... Motor vehicles, bodies and trailers, and parts........................... -11.2 -17.9 -17.9 -18.2 -25.4 -16.6 -11.3 ..... -6.7 .0 -7.2 8.8 5.3 ..... Other durable goods.................. 29.7 47.7 57.0 54.9 41.9 65.7 65.6 ..... 18.0 9.3 -13.0 23.8 -.1 ..... Nondurable goods....................... 118.9 181.0 203.7 198.5 211.2 216.0 189.3 ..... 62.1 22.7 12.7 4.8 -26.7 ..... Food and beverage and tobacco products............................ 22.4 28.5 31.9 29.6 29.5 34.4 33.9 ..... 6.1 3.4 -.1 4.9 -.5 ..... Petroleum and coal products.......... 49.3 70.4 84.3 74.5 92.4 101.1 69.4 ..... 21.1 13.9 17.9 8.7 -31.7 ..... Chemical products.................... 23.8 45.3 49.1 54.1 53.6 46.6 41.9 ..... 21.5 3.8 -.5 -7.0 -4.7 ..... Other nondurable goods............... 23.4 36.8 38.5 40.1 35.7 33.9 44.2 ..... 13.4 1.7 -4.4 -1.8 10.3 ..... Wholesale trade.......................... 69.9 97.6 106.0 107.2 98.3 125.1 93.7 ..... 27.7 8.4 -8.9 26.8 -31.4 ..... Retail trade............................. 89.3 113.7 130.1 123.0 121.2 131.3 145.0 ..... 24.4 16.4 -1.8 10.1 13.7 ..... Transportation and warehousing........... 11.8 21.0 34.7 27.3 38.6 39.6 33.3 ..... 9.2 13.7 11.3 1.0 -6.3 ..... Information.............................. 37.7 77.5 87.7 89.8 85.9 83.3 91.9 ..... 39.8 10.2 -3.9 -2.6 8.6 ..... Other nonfinancial....................... 208.8 305.2 315.8 340.1 323.9 317.1 282.2 ..... 96.4 10.6 -16.2 -6.8 -34.9 ..... Rest of the world............................ 176.3 197.0 243.1 226.1 239.9 234.6 271.9 271.1 20.7 46.1 13.8 -5.3 37.3 -.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Note.--Estimates in this table are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Table 13.--Gross Value Added of Nonfinancial Domestic Corporate Business ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006r I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06r I 07 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business.................... 5,932.9 6,369.7 6,858.6 6,788.2 6,790.0 6,898.9 6,957.1 7,032.8 Consumption of fixed capital............... 686.2 739.7 744.8 733.7 744.4 746.3 754.9 758.5 Net value added............................ 5,246.7 5,630.1 6,113.7 6,054.5 6,045.7 6,152.6 6,202.2 6,274.3 Compensation of employees................ 3,873.4 4,099.7 4,390.5 4,341.0 4,350.6 4,382.5 4,487.7 4,541.4 Wage and salary accruals............... 3,158.4 3,335.1 3,573.5 3,537.5 3,539.7 3,562.5 3,654.4 3,694.8 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 714.9 764.6 816.9 803.5 811.0 820.0 833.3 846.7 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies............................... 522.9 558.1 584.4 576.7 585.3 586.5 589.3 593.1 Net operating surplus.................... 850.4 972.2 1,138.8 1,136.8 1,109.7 1,183.7 1,125.2 1,139.8 Net interest and miscellaneous payments.............................. 137.8 156.6 178.3 175.1 180.0 177.2 180.7 178.2 Business current transfer payments..... 60.0 51.4 62.1 60.9 61.7 62.5 63.2 64.0 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... 652.6 764.2 898.5 900.9 868.1 943.9 881.3 897.5 Taxes on corporate income............ 185.3 251.4 285.4 280.9 283.3 299.6 277.8 283.5 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......................... 467.4 512.9 613.1 620.0 584.8 644.3 603.4 614.0 Net dividends...................... 366.9 228.5 411.3 377.7 392.8 407.5 467.3 415.1 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........... 100.5 284.4 201.8 242.3 192.0 236.8 136.1 198.9 Addenda: Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments)............................ 623.8 932.6 1,069.1 1,050.6 1,063.5 1,119.2 1,043.0 1,060.6 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments)............................ 438.6 681.3 783.7 769.7 780.2 819.6 765.2 777.1 Inventory valuation adjustment........... -39.8 -32.6 -34.4 -22.9 -58.9 -38.2 -17.5 -32.5 Capital consumption adjustment........... 68.6 -135.8 -136.2 -126.8 -136.5 -137.1 -144.3 -130.6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2000) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business\1\................. 5,630.0 5,852.9 6,133.8 6,111.2 6,069.0 6,158.9 6,196.2 6,207.1 Consumption of fixed capital\2\............ 650.9 681.6 670.5 666.1 669.2 672.0 674.6 676.8 Net value added\3\......................... 4,979.2 5,171.2 5,463.3 5,445.0 5,399.8 5,486.9 5,521.6 5,530.2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price, costs, and profits per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business: Price per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business\4\... 1.054 1.088 1.118 1.111 1.119 1.120 1.123 1.133 Compensation of employees (unit labor cost)................................... .688 .700 .716 .710 .717 .712 .724 .732 Unit nonlabor cost....................... .250 .257 .255 .253 .260 .255 .256 .257 Consumption of fixed capital........... .122 .126 .121 .120 .123 .121 .122 .122 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies plus business current transfer payments..................... .104 .104 .105 .104 .107 .105 .105 .106 Net interest and miscellaneous payments .024 .027 .029 .029 .030 .029 .029 .029 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (unit profits from current production)........ .116 .131 .146 .147 .143 .153 .142 .145 Taxes on corporate income.............. .033 .043 .047 .046 .047 .049 .045 .046 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... .083 .088 .100 .101 .096 .105 .097 .099 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2006. 1. The current-dollar gross value added is deflated using the gross value added chain-type price index for nonfinancial industries from the GDP-by-industry accounts. For periods when this price index is not available, the chain-type price index for GDP goods and structures is used. 2. Chained-dollar consumption of fixed capital of nonfinancial corporate business is calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 2000 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. 3. Chained-dollar net value added of nonfinancial corporate business is the difference between the gross value added and the consumption of fixed capital. 4. The deflator for gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business divided by 100. Note.--Estimates in this table are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Appendix Table A.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates and Price Indexes: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005 2006 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 II 06 III 06 IV 06 I 07r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP) and related aggregates: GDP............................... 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.5 7.5 2.7 3.9 4.0 3.1 2.6 3.4 3.3 4.2 1.8 5.6 2.6 2.0 2.5 .6 Goods............................. 4.9 4.6 6.2 1.6 16.2 2.5 3.7 3.0 5.0 4.6 4.9 3.5 6.7 3.1 12.8 3.6 3.8 4.0 -1.1 Services.......................... 3.2 2.3 2.3 3.6 1.9 2.8 4.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 3.5 .8 2.4 2.4 2.8 4.1 2.8 Structures........................ 5.2 4.6 .5 9.2 14.1 2.2 .5 13.6 .6 -2.7 8.0 11.1 .7 3.1 2.9 .3 -7.4 -9.9 -5.4 Motor vehicle output.............. 3.5 5.9 -1.7 10.9 8.9 -6.5 9.9 -7.1 16.6 1.9 12.0 -.7 22.6 -19.1 3.8 -9.4 27.4 -32.0 3.5 GDP excuding motor vehicle output........................... 3.9 3.1 3.5 3.2 7.4 3.0 3.6 4.5 2.7 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 2.6 5.6 3.0 1.2 3.8 .6 Final sales of computers\1\....... 8.2 24.5 16.8 -2.5 90.4 20.0 -16.0 -17.4 23.0 42.8 24.3 31.5 11.6 33.8 9.5 6.7 11.7 40.9 -5.6 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 3.9 3.1 3.2 3.5 7.0 2.5 4.0 4.2 3.0 2.4 3.3 3.1 4.1 1.6 5.6 2.5 1.9 2.2 .7 Farm gross value added\2\......... 7.4 1.0 4.8 26.6 -34.7 -36.1 120.0 -17.4 19.4 23.7 -2.0 -24.6 11.3 8.1 14.1 3.9 -2.0 -.9 -14.6 Nonfarm business gross value added\3\......................... 4.3 3.8 3.8 4.3 11.0 1.6 3.6 5.2 3.2 2.4 4.2 4.4 4.9 1.8 6.7 2.7 1.9 2.9 .6 Price indexes: GDP............................... 2.8 3.0 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.2 3.7 3.7 2.1 3.2 3.5 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.9 1.7 4.0 GDP excluding food and energy..... 2.7 3.0 2.9 1.1 1.7 2.1 3.4 3.4 2.6 3.1 3.4 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.3 3.0 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 2.9 3.2 3.1 1.4 2.2 2.3 3.8 3.7 2.2 3.4 3.7 2.6 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.5 2.0 1.8 4.1 Gross domestic purchases.......... 3.1 3.5 3.1 .6 2.2 1.9 4.3 4.1 2.6 3.6 3.2 3.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 4.0 2.2 .2 3.6 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy.................. 2.7 2.8 2.7 1.3 1.8 2.0 3.5 3.3 2.5 2.9 3.4 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.2 2.4 2.8 Gross domestic purchases excluding final sales of computers to domestic purchasers.............. 3.2 3.7 3.3 .7 2.4 2.0 4.4 4.2 2.8 3.8 3.4 3.5 4.6 3.7 2.9 4.2 2.3 .3 3.7 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)............................ 2.6 2.9 2.7 .7 2.4 1.5 3.7 3.6 1.9 3.0 2.3 3.1 4.1 2.9 2.0 4.0 2.4 -1.0 3.3 Personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy........ 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.3 1.8 1.6 2.5 2.5 1.7 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.6 2.5 2.1 2.7 2.2 1.8 2.2 Market-based PCE\4\............... 2.3 2.7 2.6 .3 2.2 .9 3.3 3.4 1.5 2.9 2.1 3.1 4.3 2.5 1.7 4.2 2.2 -1.6 3.5 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\4\.................... 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.0 1.4 .9 1.7 1.9 1.2 1.8 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.9 1.6 2.7 1.9 1.6 2.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. Some components of final sales of computers include computer parts. 2. Farm output less intermediate goods and services purchased. 3. Consists of GDP less gross value added of farm, of households and institutions, and of general government. 4. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Explanatory Note: NIPA Measures of Quantities and Prices Current-dollar GDP is a measure of the market value of goods, services, and structures produced in the economy in a particular period. Changes in current-dollar GDP can be decomposed into quantity and price components. Quantities, or "real" measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with the reference year -- at present, the year 2000 -- equal to 100. Annual changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent years. (Quarterly changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent quarters; quarterly indexes are adjusted for consistency to the annual indexes before percent changes are calculated.) For example, the 2004-05 annual percent change in real GDP uses prices for 2004 and 2005 as weights, and the 2004-05 annual percent change in GDP prices uses quantities for 2004 and 2005 as weights. These annual changes are "chained" (multiplied) together to form time series of quantity and price indexes. Percent changes in Fisher indexes are not affected by the choice of reference year. (BEA also publishes a measure of the price level known as the implicit price deflator (IPD), which is calculated as the ratio of the current-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value, multiplied by 100. The values of the IPD are very close to the values of the corresponding "chain-type" price index.) Index numbers of quantity and price indexes for GDP and its major components are presented in this release in tables 5 and 6. Percent changes from the preceding period are presented in tables 1, 4, 7, and 8. Contributions by major components to changes in real GDP are presented in table 2. Measures of real GDP and its major components are also presented in dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (2000) dollar estimates." For most series, these estimates, which are presented in table 3, are computed by multiplying the current-dollar value in 2000 by a corresponding quantity index number and then dividing by 100. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 2000 and if real output for this component increased 10 percent in 2001, then the chained (2000) dollar value of this component in 2001 would be $110 (= $100 x 110 / 100). Percent changes calculated from chained-dollar estimates and from chain-type quantity indexes are the same; any differences will be small and due to rounding. Chained-dollar values for the detailed GDP components will not necessarily sum to the chained-dollar estimate of GDP (or to any intermediate aggregate). This is because the relative prices used as weights for any period other than the reference year differ from those of the reference year. A measure of the extent of such differences is provided by a "residual" line, which indicates the difference between GDP (or other major aggregate) and the sum of the most detailed components in the table. For periods close to the reference year, when there usually has not been much change in the relative prices that are used as weights, the residuals tend to be small, and the chained-dollar estimates can be used to approximate the contributions to growth and to aggregate the detailed estimates. For periods further from the reference year, the residuals tend to be larger, and the chained-dollar estimates are less useful for analyses of contributions to growth. Thus, the contributions to percent change shown in table 2 provide a better measure of the composition of GDP growth. In particular, for components for which relative prices are changing rapidly, calculation of contributions using chained-dollar estimates may be misleading even just a few years from the reference year. Reference: "Chained-Dollar Indexes: Issues, Tips on Their Use, and Upcoming Changes," November 2003 Survey, pp. 8-16.