News Release
Personal Income and Outlays, January 2006
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James E. Rankin: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income)BEA 06-06 Michael Armah: (202) 606-5302 (Personal Outlays) PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS: JANUARY 2006 Personal income increased $75.2 billion, or 0.7 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $50.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, in January, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $76.7 billion, or 0.9 percent. In December, personal income increased $54.8 billion, or 0.5 percent, DPI increased $47.6 billion, or 0.5 percent, and PCE increased $64.2 billion, or 0.7 percent, based on revised estimates. 2005 2006 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. (Percent change from preceding month) Personal income, current dollars 3.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 Chained (2000) dollars 2.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 Chained (2000) dollars -0.5 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 This news release presents revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for July through September 2005 (third quarter). These estimates reflect newly available third-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the quarterly census of employment and wages from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The January change in personal income was boosted by several special factors. New Medicare Prescription Drug Plan (Medicare Plan D) payments and cost-of-living adjustments to several federal transfer payment programs boosted current personal transfer receipts; pay raises for federal civilian and military personnel boosted government wage and salary disbursements. The January change was reduced by annual adjustments to personal contributions for government social insurance and by lump-sum social security benefit payments that had boosted December personal income. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $37.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, in January, after increasing $48.3 billion, or 0.5 percent, in December. These special factors are discussed more fully below. Compensation of employees Private wage and salary disbursements increased $34.2 billion in January, compared with an increase of $24.2 billion in December. Goods-producing industries' payrolls increased $5.2 billion, compared with an increase of $3.7 billion; manufacturing payrolls increased $1.3 billion, compared with an increase of $0.9 billion. Services-producing industries' payrolls increased $29.0 billion, compared with an increase of $20.5 billion. Government wage and salary disbursements increased $6.6 billion in January, compared with an increase of $1.5 billion in December. Pay raises for civilian and military personnel added $5.4 billion to government payrolls in January. Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds increased $9.6 billion in January, compared with an increase of $3.4 billion in December. Employer contributions for government social insurance increased $7.0 billion in January, compared with an increase of $1.4 billion in December. The January increase reflected an increase in the tax rate paid by employers to state unemployment insurance funds and an increase in the social security taxable wage base (from $90,000 to $94,200); together, these changes added $4.2 billion in January. (Changes in employer contributions for government social insurance do not affect personal income, because employer contributions for government social insurance are also included in total contributions for government social insurance, which is a subtraction in the calculation of personal income.) Other personal income Proprietors' income increased $2.7 billion in January, compared with an increase of $5.1 billion in December. Farm proprietors' income decreased $3.2 billion, in contrast to an increase of $2.0 billion. Nonfarm proprietors' income increased $5.9 billion, compared with an increase of $3.1 billion. Rental income of persons decreased $2.7 billion in January, compared with a decrease of $3.0 billion in December. Personal income receipts on assets (personal interest income plus personal dividend income) increased $7.6 billion, compared with an increase of $16.7 billion. Personal current transfer receipts increased $27.9 billion in January, compared with an increase of $8.7 billion in December. The January change in current transfer receipts reflected payments for the new Medicare Prescription Drug Plan (Medicare Part D) and 4.1-percent cost- of-living adjustments to social security benefits and to several other federal transfer payment programs; together, these changes added $49.7 billion to the January increase. The January change in current transfer receipts was reduced by lump-sum social security benefits payments, which had added $6.5 billion to December benefit payments; these benefit payments resulted from a recalculation of the earnings base underlying the benefits for recent retirees. Contributions for government social insurance -- a subtraction in calculating personal income -- increased $17.6 billion in January, compared with an increase of $3.0 billion in December. The January increase reflected increases in both employer and personal contributions for government social insurance. As noted above, employer contributions were boosted $4.2 billion in January by increases in unemployment-insurance rates and in the social security taxable wage base. The January increase in personal contributions for government social insurance reflected an increase in the monthly premium paid by participants in the supplementary medical insurance program (Medicare B) and the increase in the social security taxable wage base; together, these changes added $6.8 billion to January personal contributions. Personal current taxes and disposable personal income Personal current taxes increased $25.0 billion in January, compared with an increase of $7.2 billion in December. Indexation provisions of current tax law reduced federal withheld income taxes by $4.1 billion in January. Federal net nonwithheld income taxes (payments of estimated taxes plus final settlements less refunds) boosted the January increase by $5.6 billion, based on federal budget projections for 2006. Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less personal current taxes -- increased $50.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, in January, compared with an increase of $47.6 billion, or 0.5 percent, in December. Personal outlays and personal saving Personal outlays -- PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments increased $77.9 billion in January, compared with an increase of $65.6 billion in December. PCE increased $76.7 billion, compared with an increase of $64.2 billion. Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was a negative $63.3 billion in January, compared with a negative $35.7 billion in December. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was a negative 0.7 percent in January, compared with a negative 0.4 percent in December. Negative personal saving reflects personal outlays that exceed disposable personal income. Saving from current income may be near zero or negative when outlays are financed by borrowing (including borrowing financed through credit cards or home equity loans), by selling investments or other assets, or by using savings from previous periods. For more information, see the FAQs on "Personal Saving" on BEA's Web site. Real DPI and real PCE Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.1 percent in January, compared with an increase of 0.5 percent in December. In January, the smaller increase in real DPI than in current-dollar DPI reflected an increase in the PCE implicit price deflator, which is used to deflate DPI. The PCE price deflator increased 0.5 percent in January; following no change in December; most of the January increase was accounted for by increases in food and energy prices. Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.4 percent in January, compared with an increase of 0.7 percent in December. Purchases of durable goods increased 1.3 percent, compared with an increase of 4.1 percent. Purchases of motor vehicles and parts decelerated sharply in January. Purchases of nondurable goods increased 1.3 percent, compared with an increase of 0.4 percent. Purchases of services decreased 0.3 percent, in contrast to an increase of 0.3 percent. 2005 Personal Income and Outlays Personal income increased 5.5 percent in 2005 (that is, from the 2004 annual level to the 2005 annual level), compared with an increase of 5.9 percent in 2004. DPI increased 4.3 percent, compared with an increase of 6.1 percent. PCE increased 6.5 percent, the same increase as in 2004. Real DPI increased 1.5 percent in 2005, compared with an increase of 3.4 percent in 2004. Real PCE increased 3.6 percent, compared with an increase of 3.9 percent. Revisions Estimates have been revised for July through December. Changes in personal income, current-dollar and chained (2000) dollar DPI, and current-dollar and chained (2000) dollar PCE for November and December -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below. For July through December, the revisions to wages and salaries reflected the incorporation of the most recently available BLS tabulations of third-quarter private wages and salaries from the quarterly census of employment and wages. Wages and salaries were revised up for all six months. Revisions to personal current taxes and to contributions for government social insurance reflected the revisions to wages and salaries. Change from preceding month November December Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent) Personal Income: Current dollars........... 44.6 32.0 0.4 0.3 41.1 54.8 0.4 0.5 Disposable personal income: Current dollars........... 39.0 28.4 0.4 0.3 35.5 47.6 0.4 0.5 Chained (2000) dollars.... 64.7 58.5 0.8 0.7 33.2 42.8 0.4 0.5 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars........... 48.6 45.7 0.5 0.5 80.2 64.2 0.9 0.7 Chained (2000) dollars.... 72.2 72.8 0.9 0.9 72.9 57.4 0.9 0.7 This release also includes revised estimates of population, per capita disposable personal income (DPI), and per capita real DPI. The revised population estimates reflect newly available estimates from the Census Bureau for April 2000 through January 2006. The revised per capita estimates reflect the revisions to the population estimates. Estimates for the complete revision period are available on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov/bea/dn/nipaweb/SelectTable.asp?Selected=Y#S2. BEA's national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. * * * Next release -- Personal Income and Outlays for February will be released on March 31, 2006, at 8:30 A.M. EST. Table 1.--Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months) [Billions of dollars; months seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05\r\ Aug 05\r\ Sep 05\r\ Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ 10,231.5 10,283.9 10,078.3 10,389.1 10,448.1 10,480.1 10,534.9 10,610.1 Compensation of employees, received...... 7,086.1 7,150.4 7,170.1 7,212.4 7,250.1 7,258.0 7,288.4 7,345.7 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5,695.7 5,744.2 5,755.1 5,787.7 5,817.5 5,822.2 5,847.8 5,888.6 Private industries................... 4,727.4 4,772.6 4,780.5 4,808.8 4,837.3 4,839.3 4,863.5 4,897.7 Goods-producing industries......... 1,111.8 1,123.8 1,131.6 1,134.5 1,145.6 1,144.4 1,148.1 1,153.3 Manufacturing.................... 717.5 721.8 725.9 726.3 735.6 730.6 731.5 732.8 Services-producing industries...... 3,615.6 3,648.9 3,648.9 3,674.3 3,691.7 3,694.9 3,715.4 3,744.4 Trade, transportation, and utilities....................... 955.9 963.6 961.1 963.7 967.7 971.0 975.4 978.3 Other services-producing industries...................... 2,659.7 2,685.2 2,687.8 2,710.6 2,724.0 2,723.9 2,740.0 2,766.1 Government........................... 968.4 971.6 974.6 978.9 980.2 982.8 984.3 990.9 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,390.4 1,406.2 1,415.0 1,424.7 1,432.6 1,435.8 1,440.6 1,457.1 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds......... 965.6 978.5 987.0 994.8 1,000.5 1,003.6 1,007.0 1,016.6 Employer contributions for government social insurance.................... 424.8 427.7 428.0 429.8 432.1 432.1 433.5 440.5 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 945.7 947.3 891.4 958.4 961.4 968.3 973.4 976.1 Farm................................... 15.8 19.0 17.4 17.7 19.1 21.0 23.0 19.8 Nonfarm................................ 929.9 928.2 874.1 940.7 942.3 947.3 950.4 956.3 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 99.7 96.5 -213.4 83.6 80.2 84.5 81.5 78.8 Personal income receipts on assets....... 1,452.8 1,460.9 1,468.8 1,476.9 1,493.6 1,510.3 1,527.0 1,534.6 Personal interest income............... 944.9 948.1 951.2 954.4 965.9 977.5 989.0 992.3 Personal dividend income............... 507.9 512.8 517.6 522.5 527.7 532.9 538.0 542.3 Personal current transfer receipts....... 1,514.8 1,502.4 1,635.9 1,536.0 1,545.0 1,541.5 1,550.2 1,578.1 Government social benefits to persons.. 1,485.5 1,473.1 1,478.1 1,498.5 1,504.6 1,512.1 1,520.7 1,548.8 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits........... 845.6 847.3 851.2 851.9 854.8 855.3 865.5 908.3 Government unemployment insurance benefits............................ 28.1 27.9 27.6 30.0 30.7 29.6 28.8 27.2 Other................................ 611.8 597.9 599.3 616.5 619.1 627.1 626.4 613.2 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)........................ 29.3 29.3 157.8 37.5 40.4 29.5 29.5 29.3 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... 867.6 873.5 874.5 878.1 882.2 882.6 885.6 903.2 Less: Personal current taxes............... 1,216.1 1,217.2 1,219.2 1,224.8 1,236.4 1,240.1 1,247.3 1,272.3 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 9,015.4 9,066.7 8,859.2 9,164.3 9,211.6 9,240.0 9,287.6 9,337.8 Less: Personal outlays..................... 9,065.4 9,186.8 9,149.1 9,185.9 9,210.5 9,257.7 9,323.3 9,401.2 Personal consumption expenditures........ 8,737.3 8,858.0 8,819.1 8,854.8 8,876.0 8,921.7 8,985.9 9,062.6 Durable goods.......................... 1,051.2 1,130.0 1,031.7 990.9 965.5 1,000.9 1,040.3 1,054.2 Nondurable goods....................... 2,546.8 2,566.9 2,603.6 2,644.1 2,658.9 2,633.0 2,637.5 2,697.0 Services............................... 5,139.2 5,161.2 5,183.8 5,219.8 5,251.6 5,287.9 5,308.2 5,311.4 Personal interest payments\1\............ 208.8 209.5 210.1 210.7 211.6 212.4 213.2 213.7 Personal current transfer payments....... 119.3 119.4 119.8 120.4 122.9 123.6 124.2 124.8 To government.......................... 74.4 75.0 75.4 76.0 76.7 77.4 78.0 78.6 To the rest of the world (net)......... 44.9 44.4 44.4 44.4 46.2 46.2 46.2 46.2 Equals: Personal saving.................... -50.0 -120.2 -289.9 -21.7 1.1 -17.7 -35.7 -63.3 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.............. -.6 -1.3 -3.3 -.2 .0 -.2 -.4 -.7 Addenda: Disposable personal income: Total, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............................ 8,133.0 8,155.2 7,935.0 8,131.4 8,160.3 8,218.8 8,261.6 8,266.4 Per capita: Current dollars...................... 30,404 30,551 29,826 30,827 30,960 31,032 31,171 31,320 Chained (2000) dollars............... 27,428 27,480 26,715 27,352 27,427 27,602 27,728 27,726 Population (midperiod, thousands)\3\..... 296,522 296,769 297,027 297,285 297,534 297,756 297,954 298,147 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 3. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the annual and quarterly estimates are averages of the monthly estimates. Table 2.--Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters) [Billions of dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005\r\ III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05\r\ IV 05\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ 9,713.3 10,249.3 9,729.2 10,024.8 10,073.4 10,185.7 10,250.4 10,487.7 Compensation of employees, received...... 6,687.6 7,126.2 6,724.2 6,895.8 7,001.7 7,060.2 7,177.6 7,265.5 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5,389.4 5,723.4 5,422.0 5,562.9 5,629.9 5,672.3 5,762.3 5,829.2 Private industries................... 4,450.0 4,751.8 4,479.2 4,612.9 4,668.1 4,705.0 4,787.3 4,846.7 Goods-producing industries......... 1,049.9 1,120.6 1,062.3 1,083.0 1,099.2 1,107.2 1,130.0 1,146.1 Manufacturing.................... 687.7 722.0 696.1 707.8 715.3 715.5 724.7 732.6 Services-producing industries...... 3,400.1 3,631.2 3,416.8 3,529.9 3,568.8 3,597.9 3,657.4 3,700.7 Trade, transportation, and utilities....................... 899.7 955.8 906.3 931.1 937.8 951.1 962.8 971.4 Other services-producing industries...................... 2,500.4 2,675.4 2,510.5 2,598.8 2,631.0 2,646.8 2,694.5 2,729.3 Government........................... 939.5 971.6 942.8 950.0 961.8 967.3 975.0 982.4 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,298.1 1,402.8 1,302.3 1,332.9 1,371.8 1,387.9 1,415.3 1,436.3 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds......... 895.5 976.2 897.9 919.6 950.0 964.4 986.8 1,003.7 Employer contributions for government social insurance.................... 402.7 426.6 404.4 413.4 421.9 423.5 428.5 432.6 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 889.6 938.7 889.1 900.9 917.9 936.6 932.4 967.7 Farm................................... 35.8 20.8 29.7 24.6 24.7 19.6 18.0 21.0 Nonfarm................................ 853.8 917.8 859.4 876.3 893.2 917.1 914.3 946.6 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 134.2 73.3 122.1 128.7 118.0 104.4 -11.1 82.1 Personal income receipts on assets....... 1,396.5 1,456.7 1,378.2 1,493.6 1,407.9 1,439.8 1,468.9 1,510.3 Personal interest income............... 905.9 945.0 904.7 907.4 915.4 936.0 951.2 977.5 Personal dividend income............... 490.6 511.7 473.5 586.2 492.5 503.8 517.6 532.9 Personal current transfer receipts....... 1,427.5 1,525.5 1,441.5 1,449.2 1,488.8 1,509.6 1,558.1 1,545.6 Government social benefits to persons.. 1,394.5 1,483.9 1,397.1 1,419.5 1,459.7 1,480.4 1,483.2 1,512.5 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits........... 789.3 844.7 793.7 805.5 828.0 842.2 850.1 858.6 Government unemployment insurance benefits............................ 36.0 28.9 33.3 32.4 29.4 28.0 28.5 29.7 Other................................ 569.2 610.3 570.1 581.5 602.2 610.2 604.6 624.2 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)........................ 33.0 41.6 44.4 29.8 29.1 29.2 74.8 33.1 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... 822.2 871.2 825.9 843.5 861.0 864.9 875.4 883.5 Less: Personal current taxes............... 1,049.1 1,209.8 1,058.4 1,094.3 1,171.4 1,206.0 1,220.4 1,241.3 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 8,664.2 9,039.5 8,670.9 8,930.4 8,902.0 8,979.7 9,030.0 9,246.4 Less: Personal outlays..................... 8,512.5 9,073.4 8,566.3 8,725.0 8,854.6 9,001.2 9,173.9 9,263.8 Personal consumption expenditures........ 8,214.3 8,746.2 8,263.2 8,416.1 8,535.8 8,677.0 8,844.0 8,927.9 Durable goods.......................... 987.8 1,026.5 993.8 1,008.6 1,017.3 1,035.5 1,050.9 1,002.2 Nondurable goods....................... 2,368.3 2,564.6 2,378.4 2,437.1 2,476.6 2,533.7 2,604.9 2,643.1 Services............................... 4,858.2 5,155.1 4,891.0 4,970.4 5,041.8 5,107.8 5,188.3 5,282.6 Personal interest payments\1\............ 186.7 206.5 190.3 196.2 198.1 205.3 210.1 212.4 Personal current transfer payments....... 111.5 120.7 112.8 112.7 120.8 118.8 119.9 123.6 To government.......................... 68.6 74.8 69.4 71.0 72.5 73.9 75.4 77.3 To the rest of the world (net)......... 42.9 46.0 43.4 41.7 48.3 44.9 44.4 46.2 Equals: Personal saving.................... 151.8 -33.9 104.6 205.4 47.4 -21.5 -143.9 -17.4 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.............. 1.8 -.4 1.2 2.3 .5 -.2 -1.6 -.2 Addenda: Disposable personal income: Total, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............................ 8,004.3 8,121.8 7,993.3 8,169.2 8,098.1 8,102.6 8,074.2 8,213.6 Per capita: Current dollars...................... 29,477 30,469 29,463 30,269 30,111 30,307 30,401 31,054 Chained (2000) dollars............... 27,232 27,376 27,160 27,689 27,391 27,347 27,183 27,586 Population (midperiod, thousands)\3\..... 293,933 296,677 294,301 295,037 295,643 296,289 297,027 297,748 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 3. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the annual and quarterly estimates are averages of the monthly estimates. Table 3.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Months) [Billions of dollars; months seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05\r\ Aug 05\r\ Sep 05\r\ Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ 50.9 52.4 -205.6 310.8 59.0 32.0 54.8 75.2 Compensation of employees, received...... 27.3 64.3 19.7 42.3 37.7 7.9 30.4 57.3 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 24.6 48.5 10.9 32.6 29.8 4.7 25.6 40.8 Private industries................... 23.8 45.2 7.9 28.3 28.5 2.0 24.2 34.2 Goods-producing industries......... 5.0 12.0 7.8 2.9 11.1 -1.2 3.7 5.2 Manufacturing.................... 2.4 4.3 4.1 .4 9.3 -5.0 .9 1.3 Services-producing industries...... 18.8 33.3 .0 25.4 17.4 3.2 20.5 29.0 Trade, transportation, and utilities....................... 5.0 7.7 -2.5 2.6 4.0 3.3 4.4 2.9 Other services-producing industries...................... 13.8 25.5 2.6 22.8 13.4 -.1 16.1 26.1 Government........................... .9 3.2 3.0 4.3 1.3 2.6 1.5 6.6 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 2.7 15.8 8.8 9.7 7.9 3.2 4.8 16.5 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds......... 1.2 12.9 8.5 7.8 5.7 3.1 3.4 9.6 Employer contributions for government social insurance.................... 1.4 2.9 .3 1.8 2.3 .0 1.4 7.0 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 12.2 1.6 -55.9 67.0 3.0 6.9 5.1 2.7 Farm................................... -3.9 3.2 -1.6 .3 1.4 1.9 2.0 -3.2 Nonfarm................................ 16.1 -1.7 -54.1 66.6 1.6 5.0 3.1 5.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. -4.4 -3.2 -309.9 297.0 -3.4 4.3 -3.0 -2.7 Personal income receipts on assets....... 13.1 8.1 7.9 8.1 16.7 16.7 16.7 7.6 Personal interest income............... 8.9 3.2 3.1 3.2 11.5 11.6 11.5 3.3 Personal dividend income............... 4.1 4.9 4.8 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.3 Personal current transfer receipts....... 5.7 -12.4 133.5 -99.9 9.0 -3.5 8.7 27.9 Government social benefits to persons.. 5.7 -12.4 5.0 20.4 6.1 7.5 8.6 28.1 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits........... 3.4 1.7 3.9 .7 2.9 .5 10.2 42.8 Government unemployment insurance benefits............................ .4 -.2 -.3 2.4 .7 -1.1 -.8 -1.6 Other................................ 1.9 -13.9 1.4 17.2 2.6 8.0 -.7 -13.2 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)........................ .1 .0 128.5 -120.3 2.9 -10.9 .0 -.2 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... 2.9 5.9 1.0 3.6 4.1 .4 3.0 17.6 Less: Personal current taxes............... 10.1 1.1 2.0 5.6 11.6 3.7 7.2 25.0 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 40.8 51.3 -207.5 305.1 47.3 28.4 47.6 50.2 Less: Personal outlays..................... 94.0 121.4 -37.7 36.8 24.6 47.2 65.6 77.9 Personal consumption expenditures........ 90.1 120.7 -38.9 35.7 21.2 45.7 64.2 76.7 Durable goods.......................... 42.3 78.8 -98.3 -40.8 -25.4 35.4 39.4 13.9 Nondurable goods....................... 21.7 20.1 36.7 40.5 14.8 -25.9 4.5 59.5 Services............................... 26.0 22.0 22.6 36.0 31.8 36.3 20.3 3.2 Personal interest payments\1\............ 3.5 .7 .6 .6 .9 .8 .8 .5 Personal current transfer payments....... .5 .1 .4 .6 2.5 .7 .6 .6 To government.......................... .4 .6 .4 .6 .7 .7 .6 .6 To the rest of the world (net)......... .0 -.5 .0 .0 1.8 .0 .0 .0 Equals: Personal saving.................... -53.2 -70.2 -169.7 268.2 22.8 -18.8 -18.0 -27.6 Addendum: Real disposable personal income, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............ 35.9 22.2 -220.2 196.4 28.9 58.5 42.8 4.8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Table 4.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) [Billions of dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005\r\ III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05\r\ IV 05\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ 544.2 536.0 114.9 295.6 48.6 112.3 64.7 237.3 Compensation of employees, received...... 366.5 438.6 120.6 171.6 105.9 58.5 117.4 87.9 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 278.3 334.0 103.9 140.9 67.0 42.4 90.0 66.9 Private industries................... 242.2 301.8 98.9 133.7 55.2 36.9 82.3 59.4 Goods-producing industries......... 42.7 70.7 26.7 20.7 16.2 8.0 22.8 16.1 Manufacturing.................... 19.0 34.3 18.5 11.7 7.5 .2 9.2 7.9 Services-producing industries...... 199.5 231.1 72.0 113.1 38.9 29.1 59.5 43.3 Trade, transportation, and utilities....................... 41.1 56.1 16.8 24.8 6.7 13.3 11.7 8.6 Other services-producing industries...................... 158.4 175.0 55.2 88.3 32.2 15.8 47.7 34.8 Government........................... 36.2 32.1 5.1 7.2 11.8 5.5 7.7 7.4 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 88.1 104.7 16.8 30.6 38.9 16.1 27.4 21.0 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds......... 65.5 80.7 10.4 21.7 30.4 14.4 22.4 16.9 Employer contributions for government social insurance.................... 22.7 23.9 6.4 9.0 8.5 1.6 5.0 4.1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 79.4 49.1 -9.3 11.8 17.0 18.7 -4.2 35.3 Farm................................... 8.1 -15.0 -14.4 -5.1 .1 -5.1 -1.6 3.0 Nonfarm................................ 71.4 64.0 5.2 16.9 16.9 23.9 -2.8 32.3 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 2.5 -60.9 -19.7 6.6 -10.7 -13.6 -115.5 93.2 Personal income receipts on assets....... 57.8 60.2 14.3 115.4 -85.7 31.9 29.1 41.4 Personal interest income............... -11.7 39.1 -.4 2.7 8.0 20.6 15.2 26.3 Personal dividend income............... 69.5 21.1 14.7 112.7 -93.7 11.3 13.8 15.3 Personal current transfer receipts....... 83.5 98.0 21.7 7.7 39.6 20.8 48.5 -12.5 Government social benefits to persons.. 81.0 89.4 6.3 22.4 40.2 20.7 2.8 29.3 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits........... 50.0 55.4 8.8 11.8 22.5 14.2 7.9 8.5 Government unemployment insurance benefits............................ -16.8 -7.1 -2.0 -.9 -3.0 -1.4 .5 1.2 Other................................ 47.8 41.1 -.6 11.4 20.7 8.0 -5.6 19.6 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)........................ 2.5 8.6 15.5 -14.6 -.7 .1 45.6 -41.7 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... 45.6 49.0 12.9 17.6 17.5 3.9 10.5 8.1 Less: Personal current taxes............... 49.2 160.7 24.4 35.9 77.1 34.6 14.4 20.9 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 495.0 375.3 90.6 259.5 -28.4 77.7 50.3 216.4 Less: Personal outlays..................... 516.2 560.9 127.2 158.7 129.6 146.6 172.7 89.9 Personal consumption expenditures........ 504.4 531.9 117.6 152.9 119.7 141.2 167.0 83.9 Durable goods.......................... 37.7 38.7 19.2 14.8 8.7 18.2 15.4 -48.7 Nondurable goods....................... 179.3 196.3 23.2 58.7 39.5 57.1 71.2 38.2 Services............................... 287.4 296.9 75.1 79.4 71.4 66.0 80.5 94.3 Personal interest payments\1\............ 3.5 19.8 8.1 5.9 1.9 7.2 4.8 2.3 Personal current transfer payments....... 8.2 9.2 1.5 -.1 8.1 -2.0 1.1 3.7 To government.......................... 6.5 6.2 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.9 To the rest of the world (net)......... 1.7 3.1 -.1 -1.7 6.6 -3.4 -.5 1.8 Equals: Personal saving.................... -21.0 -185.7 -36.6 100.8 -158.0 -68.9 -122.4 126.5 Addendum: Real disposable personal income, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............ 262.5 117.5 54.5 175.9 -71.1 4.5 -28.4 139.4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Table 5.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months) [Months seasonally adjusted at monthly rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05\r\ Aug 05\r\ Sep 05\r\ Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ .5 .5 -2.0 3.1 .6 .3 .5 .7 Compensation of employees, received...... .4 .9 .3 .6 .5 .1 .4 .8 Wage and salary disbursements.......... .4 .9 .2 .6 .5 .1 .4 .7 Supplements to wages and salaries...... .2 1.1 .6 .7 .6 .2 .3 1.1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1.3 .2 -5.9 7.5 .3 .7 .5 .3 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. -4.3 -3.2 ..... ..... -4.1 5.4 -3.5 -3.4 Personal income receipts on assets....... .9 .6 .5 .5 1.1 1.1 1.1 .5 Personal interest income............... 1.0 .3 .3 .3 1.2 1.2 1.2 .3 Personal dividend income............... .8 1.0 .9 .9 1.0 1.0 1.0 .8 Personal current transfer receipts....... .4 -.8 8.9 -6.1 .6 -.2 .6 1.8 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... .3 .7 .1 .4 .5 .0 .3 2.0 Less: Personal current taxes............... .8 .1 .2 .5 .9 .3 .6 2.0 Equals: Disposable personal income......... .5 .6 -2.3 3.4 .5 .3 .5 .5 Addenda: Personal consumption expenditures........ 1.0 1.4 -.4 .4 .2 .5 .7 .9 Durable goods.......................... 4.2 7.5 -8.7 -4.0 -2.6 3.7 3.9 1.3 Nondurable goods....................... .9 .8 1.4 1.6 .6 -1.0 .2 2.3 Services............................... .5 .4 .4 .7 .6 .7 .4 .1 Real disposable personal income.......... .4 .3 -2.7 2.5 .4 .7 .5 .1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. Table 6.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005\r\ III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05\r\ IV 05\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income............................ 5.9 5.5 4.9 12.7 2.0 4.5 2.6 9.6 Compensation of employees, received...... 5.8 6.6 7.5 10.6 6.3 3.4 6.8 5.0 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5.4 6.2 8.0 10.8 4.9 3.0 6.5 4.7 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 7.3 8.1 5.3 9.8 12.2 4.8 8.1 6.1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 9.8 5.5 -4.0 5.4 7.8 8.4 -1.8 16.0 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 1.9 -45.4 -44.9 23.6 -29.5 -38.6 ..... ..... Personal income receipts on assets....... 4.3 4.3 4.3 37.9 -21.0 9.4 8.3 11.8 Personal interest income............... -1.3 4.3 -.2 1.2 3.6 9.3 6.7 11.5 Personal dividend income............... 16.5 4.3 13.5 134.9 -50.2 9.5 11.4 12.3 Personal current transfer receipts....... 6.2 6.9 6.3 2.2 11.4 5.7 13.5 -3.2 Less: Contributions for government social insurance............................... 5.9 6.0 6.5 8.8 8.5 1.8 4.9 3.7 Less: Personal current taxes............... 4.9 15.3 9.8 14.3 31.3 12.4 4.8 7.0 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 6.1 4.3 4.3 12.5 -1.3 3.5 2.3 9.9 Addenda: Personal consumption expenditures........ 6.5 6.5 5.9 7.6 5.8 6.8 7.9 3.8 Durable goods.......................... 4.0 3.9 8.1 6.1 3.5 7.3 6.1 -17.3 Nondurable goods....................... 8.2 8.3 4.0 10.3 6.6 9.5 11.7 6.0 Services............................... 6.3 6.1 6.4 6.7 5.9 5.3 6.5 7.5 Real disposable personal income.......... 3.4 1.5 2.8 9.1 -3.4 .2 -1.4 7.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. Table 7.--Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05 Aug 05 Sep 05 Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2000) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 7,882.1 7,967.5 7,899.2 7,856.9 7,863.0 7,935.8 7,993.2 8,022.8 Durable goods............................ 1,163.5 1,255.9 1,149.8 1,103.6 1,075.1 1,116.5 1,161.8 1,176.4 Nondurable goods......................... 2,304.3 2,306.1 2,314.5 2,296.7 2,316.9 2,339.1 2,348.6 2,378.8 Services................................. 4,435.0 4,443.7 4,452.2 4,464.5 4,472.1 4,488.7 4,500.2 4,488.3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Change from preceding period in billions of chained (2000) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 80.4 85.4 -68.3 -42.3 6.1 72.8 57.4 29.6 Durable goods............................ 51.4 92.4 -106.1 -46.2 -28.5 41.4 45.3 14.6 Nondurable goods......................... 24.5 1.8 8.4 -17.8 20.2 22.2 9.5 30.2 Services................................. 13.5 8.7 8.5 12.3 7.6 16.6 11.5 -11.9 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from preceding period in chained (2000) dollars, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 1.0 1.1 -.9 -.5 .1 .9 .7 .4 Durable goods............................ 4.6 7.9 -8.5 -4.0 -2.6 3.9 4.1 1.3 Nondurable goods......................... 1.1 .1 .4 -.8 .9 1.0 .4 1.3 Services................................. .3 .2 .2 .3 .2 .4 .3 -.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised Table 8.--Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Years and Quarters) [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 2005\r\ III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2000) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 7,588.6 7,858.2 7,617.5 7,698.8 7,764.9 7,829.5 7,907.9 7,930.6 Durable goods............................ 1,089.9 1,138.4 1,100.4 1,115.1 1,122.3 1,143.9 1,169.7 1,117.8 Nondurable goods......................... 2,200.4 2,298.0 2,206.9 2,236.5 2,265.6 2,285.9 2,305.8 2,334.8 Services................................. 4,310.9 4,437.5 4,324.0 4,362.1 4,392.0 4,417.6 4,453.5 4,487.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Change from preceding period in billions of chained (2000) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 282.0 269.6 80.9 81.3 66.1 64.6 78.4 22.7 Durable goods............................ 61.4 48.5 27.9 14.7 7.2 21.6 25.8 -51.9 Nondurable goods......................... 98.6 97.6 20.8 29.6 29.1 20.3 19.9 29.0 Services................................. 127.0 126.6 35.4 38.1 29.9 25.6 35.9 33.5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from preceding period in chained (2000) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures.......... 3.9 3.6 4.4 4.3 3.5 3.4 4.1 1.2 Durable goods............................ 6.0 4.5 10.8 5.5 2.6 7.9 9.3 -16.6 Nondurable goods......................... 4.7 4.4 3.9 5.5 5.3 3.6 3.5 5.1 Services................................. 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.3 3.3 3.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Table 9.--Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05 Aug 05 Sep 05 Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chain-type price indexes (2000=100), seasonally adjusted ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE).... 110.858 111.181 111.651 112.707 112.890 112.432 112.426 112.969 Durable goods............................ 90.354 89.979 89.742 89.795 89.804 89.637 89.537 89.606 Nondurable goods......................... 110.536 111.318 112.499 115.138 114.766 112.572 112.307 113.385 Services................................. 115.888 116.154 116.442 116.929 117.440 117.813 117.965 118.347 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ 109.203 109.264 109.428 109.658 109.846 110.045 110.196 110.369 Market-based PCE\1\...................... 109.864 110.213 110.704 111.834 111.988 111.418 111.388 111.936 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... 107.617 107.657 107.787 107.946 108.098 108.288 108.439 108.548 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from preceding period in price indexes, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PCE........................................ .0 .3 .4 .9 .2 -.4 .0 .5 Durable goods............................ -.4 -.4 -.3 .1 .0 -.2 -.1 .1 Nondurable goods......................... -.2 .7 1.1 2.3 -.3 -1.9 -.2 1.0 Services................................. .2 .2 .2 .4 .4 .3 .1 .3 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ .1 .1 .2 .2 .2 .2 .1 .2 Market-based PCE\1\...................... .0 .3 .4 1.0 .1 -.5 .0 .5 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... .0 .0 .1 .1 .1 .2 .1 .1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Table 10.--Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05\r\ Aug 05\r\ Sep 05\r\ Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disposable personal income................. 2.5 2.3 -.9 1.6 1.5 1.8 -1.6 2.2 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 4.6 4.7 3.8 2.9 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.6 Durable goods............................ 9.1 13.1 5.0 .7 -2.3 .9 2.1 6.3 Nondurable goods......................... 5.4 5.0 5.2 3.3 3.6 4.8 4.8 5.0 Services................................. 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. Table 11.--Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jun 05 Jul 05 Aug 05 Sep 05 Oct 05\r\ Nov 05\r\ Dec 05\r\ Jan 06\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE).... 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.8 3.1 Durable goods............................ -.5 -.6 -.5 -.5 -.7 -.9 -1.1 -1.3 Nondurable goods......................... 2.0 3.3 4.4 6.8 5.2 3.1 3.3 4.3 Services................................. 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 Market-based PCE\1\...................... 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.8 3.5 2.7 2.7 3.1 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions.