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Gross Domestic Product: Fourth Quarter 2005 "preliminary" estimates
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Virginia H. Mannering: (202) 606-5304 BEA 06-05 Recorded message: (202) 606-5306 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FOURTH QUARTER 2005 (PRELIMINARY) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2005, according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.1 percent. The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the advance estimates issued last month. In the advance estimates, the increase in real GDP was 1.1 percent (see "Revisions" on page 3). The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from private inventory investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, equipment and software, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by a negative contribution from federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. The deceleration in real GDP growth in the fourth quarter primarily reflected a deceleration in PCE, an acceleration in imports, a downturn in federal government spending, and decelerations in equipment and software and in residential fixed investment that were partly offset by an upturn in inventory investment. Final sales of computers contributed 0.34 percentage point to the fourth-quarter growth in real GDP after contributing 0.16 percentage point to the third-quarter growth. Motor vehicle output subtracted 0.63 percentage point from the fourth-quarter growth in real GDP after contributing 0.56 percentage point to the third-quarter growth. FOOTNOTE.--Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and annualized. "Real" estimates are in chained (2000) dollars. Prices indexes are chain-type measures. This new release is available on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov/bea/rels.htm. The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 3.6 in the fourth quarter, 0.3 percentage point more than the advance estimate; this index increased 4.2 percent in the third quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.0 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the third. Real personal consumption expenditures increased 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 4.1 percent in the third. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 5.4 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 8.5 percent in the third. Nonresidential structures increased 3.3 percent, compared with an increase of 2.2 percent. Equipment and software increased 6.2 percent, compared with an increase of 10.6 percent. Real residential fixed investment increased 2.6 percent, compared with an increase of 7.3 percent. Real exports of goods and services increased 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the third. Real imports of goods and services increased 12.8 percent, compared with an increase of 2.4 percent. Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter, in contrast to an increase of 7.4 percent in the third. National defense decreased 9.0 percent, in contrast to an increase of 10.0 percent. Nondefense increased 11.9 percent, compared with an increase of 2.4 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 0.4 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent. The real change in private inventories added 1.62 percentage points to the fourth-quarter change in real GDP, after subtracting 0.43 percentage point from the third-quarter change. Private businesses increased inventories $30.4 billion in the fourth quarter, following decreases of $13.3 billion in the third quarter and $1.7 billion in the second. Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- was unchanged in the fourth quarter, in contrast to an increase of 4.6 percent in the third. Gross domestic purchases Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 4.0 percent in the third. Current-dollar GDP Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 5.0 percent, or $154.7 billion, in the fourth quarter to a level of $12,760.4 billion. In the third quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 7.6 percent, or $227.7 billion. Revisions The preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.5 percentage point, or $14.1 billion, higher than the advance estimate issued last month. The upward revision to the percentage change in real GDP primarily reflected upward revisions to exports, to federal government spending, to equipment and software, and to change in private inventories that were partly offset by an upward revision to imports. Advance Preliminary (Percent change from preceding quarter) Real GDP.............................. 1.1 1.6 Current-dollar GDP.................... 4.2 5.0 Gross domestic purchases price index.. 3.3 3.6 2005 GDP Real GDP increased 3.5 percent in 2005 (that is, from the 2004 annual level to the 2005 annual level), the same as in the advance estimate. In 2004, real GDP increased 4.2 percent. During 2005 (that is, measured from the fourth quarter of 2004 to the fourth quarter of 2005), real GDP increased 3.2 percent, 0.1 percentage point more than in the advance estimate. Real GDP increased 3.8 percent during 2004. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.5 percent during 2005, 0.1 percentage point more than in the advance estimate. During 2004, this index increased 3.4 percent. * * * BEA's national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. Summary BEA estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the following telephone numbers: (202) 606-5306 Gross domestic product (202) 606-5303 Personal income and outlays * * * Next release - March 30, 2006, at 8:30 A.M. EST for: Gross Domestic Product: Fourth Quarter 2005 (Final) Corporate Profits: Fourth Quarter 2005 Table 1.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05r IV 05r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.6 Personal consumption expenditures... 2.9 3.9 3.6 1.4 2.4 2.3 1.4 2.5 3.6 5.8 3.1 4.7 1.9 4.4 4.3 3.5 3.4 4.1 1.2 Durable goods..................... 6.6 6.0 4.5 -4.2 3.6 11.5 -5.2 3.6 15.1 19.8 -.3 4.4 .4 10.8 5.5 2.6 7.9 9.3 -16.6 Nondurable goods.................. 3.2 4.7 4.4 3.3 1.3 .3 3.6 3.2 1.9 8.3 3.1 6.6 2.6 3.9 5.5 5.3 3.6 3.5 5.1 Services.......................... 2.0 3.0 2.9 1.8 2.6 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.0 3.8 3.8 1.8 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.3 3.3 3.0 Gross private domestic investment... 3.9 11.9 6.0 13.6 1.9 5.8 -1.0 -.4 2.7 17.5 12.0 10.1 20.9 4.6 6.8 8.6 -3.7 5.3 14.8 Fixed investment.................. 3.6 9.7 8.1 -6.3 -1.4 -.7 -1.4 .8 8.8 14.8 6.9 6.9 15.1 8.4 7.2 7.0 9.5 8.0 4.4 Nonresidential.................. 1.3 9.4 8.7 -12.8 -6.1 -2.0 -5.0 -1.1 8.4 11.2 4.4 7.9 13.5 11.8 10.4 5.7 8.8 8.5 5.4 Structures.................... -4.2 2.2 2.0 -19.0 -19.0 -15.5 -5.3 -8.4 13.3 -.1 1.3 -3.5 8.8 1.4 4.7 -2.0 2.7 2.2 3.3 Equipment and software........ 3.2 11.9 11.0 -10.4 -.9 3.3 -4.9 1.6 6.7 15.4 5.5 12.0 15.2 15.5 12.4 8.3 10.9 10.6 6.2 Residential..................... 8.4 10.3 7.1 10.4 9.5 2.0 6.4 4.7 9.6 21.9 11.5 5.2 17.8 2.6 1.6 9.5 10.8 7.3 2.6 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 1.8 8.4 7.0 5.2 10.6 2.9 -3.1 -2.9 -2.1 11.5 19.1 5.0 6.9 5.5 7.1 7.5 10.7 2.5 5.7 Goods........................... 1.8 8.9 7.3 -1.6 14.2 2.2 -9.1 1.5 .0 9.1 17.2 7.5 7.9 8.2 3.7 5.3 16.0 3.2 7.7 Services........................ 1.7 7.4 6.2 22.9 2.7 4.6 11.7 -11.9 -6.6 17.2 23.7 -.4 4.8 -.6 15.5 12.5 -.4 1.0 1.2 Imports........................... 4.6 10.7 6.4 11.7 12.5 5.7 9.0 -2.5 3.3 4.1 16.5 12.0 14.5 4.7 11.3 7.4 -.3 2.4 12.8 Goods........................... 4.9 11.0 6.9 9.2 16.0 6.5 8.1 -2.6 6.3 .9 17.7 12.4 14.7 4.7 13.0 8.2 -1.1 3.5 14.0 Services........................ 3.0 9.6 3.7 24.7 -3.0 1.7 14.0 -2.2 -10.2 21.4 10.7 10.0 13.7 4.6 3.1 3.7 4.4 -3.2 6.3 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 2.8 2.2 1.8 4.3 4.8 2.3 4.8 -.3 7.2 .5 .5 3.3 2.3 1.8 .9 1.9 2.5 2.9 -.7 Federal........................... 6.9 5.2 2.3 5.9 12.5 3.0 10.2 .3 22.1 -2.0 3.1 10.7 3.2 3.6 -.6 2.4 2.4 7.4 -2.6 National defense................ 8.8 7.0 2.6 3.7 11.5 4.1 14.8 -3.6 37.4 -6.5 7.9 13.8 .8 9.0 -3.3 3.0 3.7 10.0 -9.0 Nondefense...................... 3.4 1.8 1.9 10.2 14.1 1.2 2.1 8.0 -2.4 7.2 -5.8 4.9 8.1 -6.4 5.2 1.1 -.2 2.4 11.9 State and local................... .6 .4 1.5 3.5 1.0 1.9 2.0 -.6 -.3 2.0 -.9 -.7 1.8 .8 1.8 1.6 2.6 .2 .4 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 2.7 3.9 3.9 -.2 1.7 1.4 .1 1.9 4.6 6.9 2.8 3.8 2.6 4.6 3.3 3.5 5.6 4.6 .0 Gross domestic purchases.......... 3.0 4.7 3.6 3.6 2.7 2.8 1.7 1.5 4.2 6.5 3.9 5.2 4.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 2.1 4.0 2.9 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 3.0 4.4 3.9 .7 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.7 5.0 6.1 3.2 4.8 3.8 4.5 4.1 3.7 4.2 4.5 1.3 Gross national product (GNP)...... 3.0 4.0 ..... .8 1.8 2.9 1.0 1.5 4.5 7.2 4.5 3.8 2.2 4.0 2.9 3.9 3.2 4.4 ..... Disposable personal income........ 2.4 3.4 1.5 11.6 1.9 -1.6 .2 2.5 4.5 7.2 1.0 3.6 1.2 2.8 9.1 -3.4 .2 -1.4 7.1 Current-dollar measures: GDP............................. 4.8 7.0 6.4 4.3 3.7 3.9 2.4 4.8 4.8 9.3 5.5 8.1 7.5 5.3 6.1 7.0 6.0 7.6 5.0 Final sales of domestic product. 4.8 6.6 6.8 1.4 3.2 3.0 2.4 5.1 5.7 8.8 4.8 7.5 6.6 6.1 6.2 6.7 8.3 8.1 3.4 Gross domestic purchases........ 5.3 7.7 6.9 4.9 5.2 4.4 3.9 5.7 4.6 8.6 5.6 9.7 9.0 5.9 7.4 7.0 5.5 8.4 6.5 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 5.3 7.4 7.3 2.2 4.8 3.6 3.8 5.9 5.4 8.2 4.9 9.2 8.1 6.6 7.4 6.7 7.6 8.9 5.0 GNP............................. 5.1 6.8 ..... 2.3 3.3 4.4 3.2 4.6 5.7 9.2 6.4 7.7 6.1 5.4 5.7 7.0 5.9 7.8 ..... Disposable personal income...... 4.3 6.1 4.3 12.6 4.7 .2 1.9 5.6 5.2 9.4 2.3 7.6 5.1 4.3 12.5 -1.3 3.5 2.3 9.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 2.--Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product.......... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.6 Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures. 2.05 2.71 2.49 1.01 1.64 1.57 .97 1.70 2.55 4.13 2.15 3.27 1.33 3.05 3.01 2.44 2.35 2.85 .81 Durable goods................... .57 .51 .37 -.39 .31 .98 -.47 .31 1.23 1.64 -.03 .38 .03 .88 .45 .22 .64 .76 -1.47 Motor vehicles and parts...... .19 .06 -.03 -1.07 .02 .89 -.75 .22 .53 .77 -.43 -.02 -.19 .44 .11 -.31 .27 .45 -1.93 Furniture and household equipment.................... .26 .34 .28 .50 .23 .06 .21 .03 .48 .63 .30 .31 .24 .34 .21 .32 .17 .37 .33 Other......................... .11 .10 .13 .18 .07 .02 .07 .06 .22 .23 .10 .08 -.02 .10 .14 .20 .20 -.06 .13 Nondurable goods................ .63 .94 .90 .65 .26 .06 .70 .63 .37 1.65 .61 1.31 .53 .78 1.09 1.07 .74 .73 1.04 Food.......................... .25 .48 .49 .21 .18 .00 .20 .38 .05 .69 .20 .88 .27 .32 .63 .50 .42 .61 .51 Clothing and shoes............ .14 .17 .17 .23 .04 -.05 .31 -.04 .27 .33 .04 .37 -.09 .17 .25 .15 .20 .08 .28 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. .01 .03 .04 -.06 .06 .04 -.04 -.01 -.04 .12 .07 -.04 .03 .02 .07 .21 -.11 -.11 .04 Other......................... .22 .26 .21 .27 -.01 .07 .23 .29 .09 .51 .31 .11 .33 .28 .14 .20 .23 .15 .20 Services........................ .85 1.27 1.22 .75 1.07 .54 .74 .76 .94 .84 1.57 1.58 .77 1.39 1.47 1.15 .97 1.36 1.24 Housing....................... .07 .30 .24 .06 -.03 -.11 -.07 .08 .13 .24 .31 .39 .27 .29 .29 .23 .22 .20 .19 Household operation........... .05 .07 .11 .07 .29 -.11 .19 .01 -.06 -.02 .25 .07 -.07 .04 .34 .07 -.02 .17 .07 Electricity and gas......... .02 .03 .06 .11 .25 -.07 .23 -.05 -.13 -.07 .22 .02 -.11 -.05 .37 .02 -.08 .10 .09 Other household operation... .03 .05 .04 -.05 .04 -.04 -.04 .07 .07 .05 .03 .05 .05 .10 -.03 .05 .06 .08 -.02 Transportation................ .00 .03 .04 .01 -.04 -.07 -.01 .07 -.05 .02 .02 .13 -.01 .00 -.01 .06 .06 .05 .10 Medical care.................. .49 .49 .57 .59 .67 .59 .59 .45 .42 .31 .59 .37 .56 .64 .54 .53 .50 .66 .61 Recreation.................... .10 .11 .06 .09 .07 .04 .16 .04 .15 .07 .21 .17 .00 .10 .02 .14 .02 .02 .04 Other......................... .14 .26 .21 -.08 .12 .20 -.12 .10 .35 .22 .19 .44 .02 .33 .29 .11 .18 .26 .23 Gross private domestic investment. .58 1.82 .98 1.92 .30 .87 -.14 -.03 .42 2.53 1.78 1.52 3.10 .75 1.11 1.42 -.63 .87 2.35 Fixed investment................ .54 1.47 1.30 -1.04 -.23 -.12 -.21 .13 1.26 2.15 1.03 1.04 2.22 1.31 1.13 1.12 1.51 1.31 .73 Nonresidential................ .13 .92 .88 -1.50 -.66 -.21 -.52 -.10 .79 1.08 .43 .76 1.29 1.15 1.04 .58 .90 .88 .57 Structures.................. -.11 .06 .05 -.60 -.58 -.44 -.14 -.22 .32 .00 .03 -.09 .22 .04 .12 -.05 .07 .06 .09 Equipment and software...... .24 .86 .83 -.90 -.09 .23 -.38 .12 .47 1.09 .40 .85 1.07 1.12 .92 .64 .83 .82 .48 Information processing equipment and software... .19 .49 .49 -.28 .06 .23 -.38 .21 .20 .79 .52 .61 .38 .31 .34 .72 .53 .42 .39 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. .09 .19 .24 .15 -.06 .16 -.04 .07 .10 .21 .17 .20 .18 .16 .27 .31 .23 .11 .28 Software................ .06 .11 .17 -.04 .15 .12 -.17 .04 .04 .29 .15 .08 .05 .10 .09 .22 .29 .14 .17 Other................... .05 .19 .08 -.38 -.03 -.05 -.17 .10 .05 .29 .20 .33 .16 .05 -.02 .18 .01 .17 -.05 Industrial equipment...... .00 .04 .09 .01 -.12 .08 .01 .15 -.12 -.04 -.14 .19 -.05 .30 .06 .23 -.27 .20 .17 Transportation equipment.. -.03 .15 .17 -.53 -.16 -.07 -.02 -.25 .36 .01 -.16 -.04 .56 .23 .39 -.16 .33 .18 -.19 Other equipment........... .08 .18 .09 -.10 .14 .00 .02 .01 .04 .33 .18 .09 .18 .28 .13 -.14 .23 .02 .10 Residential................... .41 .55 .41 .46 .43 .09 .30 .23 .47 1.07 .59 .28 .93 .15 .09 .54 .62 .43 .16 Change in private inventories... .05 .35 -.31 2.95 .53 .98 .08 -.16 -.84 .38 .75 .48 .87 -.56 -.03 .29 -2.14 -.43 1.62 Farm.......................... .03 .03 -.07 .24 -.39 .31 .03 .17 -.21 -.07 .19 -.20 .45 -.01 -.28 -.11 -.09 -.02 .02 Nonfarm....................... .02 .32 -.24 2.71 .92 .67 .04 -.33 -.63 .45 .57 .68 .42 -.55 .25 .40 -2.05 -.42 1.60 Net exports of goods and services. -.46 -.73 -.29 -.97 -.62 -.49 -1.52 .08 -.66 .48 -.47 -1.16 -1.37 -.17 -.98 -.40 1.11 -.12 -1.40 Exports......................... .17 .80 .70 .47 .96 .27 -.31 -.29 -.20 1.04 1.69 .49 .67 .53 .70 .74 1.07 .26 .58 Goods......................... .12 .59 .51 -.11 .88 .14 -.64 .09 .00 .58 1.05 .50 .53 .55 .25 .37 1.08 .23 .54 Services...................... .05 .22 .19 .59 .08 .13 .33 -.38 -.20 .46 .64 -.01 .14 -.02 .44 .37 -.01 .03 .04 Imports......................... -.63 -1.53 -.99 -1.44 -1.58 -.76 -1.21 .37 -.46 -.56 -2.16 -1.65 -2.03 -.70 -1.68 -1.14 .04 -.38 -1.98 Goods......................... -.56 -1.30 -.90 -.95 -1.65 -.72 -.90 .32 -.71 -.10 -1.91 -1.41 -1.71 -.59 -1.60 -1.05 .15 -.46 -1.82 Services...................... -.07 -.23 -.09 -.48 .07 -.04 -.31 .05 .26 -.46 -.25 -.23 -.32 -.11 -.08 -.10 -.11 .09 -.16 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. .53 .41 .34 .79 .88 .43 .89 -.05 1.37 .11 .10 .62 .43 .35 .17 .35 .47 .54 -.13 Federal......................... .45 .36 .16 .36 .76 .20 .64 .03 1.40 -.14 .21 .71 .22 .25 -.04 .17 .17 .52 -.18 National defense.............. .37 .32 .12 .14 .45 .17 .59 -.15 1.46 -.31 .35 .60 .04 .41 -.16 .14 .17 .46 -.44 Consumption expenditures.... .33 .26 .11 .13 .29 .07 .67 -.19 1.35 -.34 .32 .46 .01 .39 -.26 .34 .04 .37 -.49 Gross investment............ .04 .06 .01 .01 .16 .10 -.08 .04 .11 .03 .03 .14 .02 .02 .10 -.20 .13 .09 .05 Nondefense.................... .08 .04 .04 .22 .31 .03 .05 .18 -.06 .17 -.14 .11 .19 -.16 .12 .03 -.01 .06 .26 Consumption expenditures..... .08 .04 .02 .14 .21 .11 .07 .18 -.19 .29 -.10 .11 .04 -.04 .08 .02 -.09 .08 .14 Gross investment............. .00 .00 .02 .07 .10 -.08 -.02 .00 .14 -.12 -.04 .00 .15 -.12 .04 .01 .08 -.02 .13 State and local................. .08 .05 .18 .43 .12 .23 .25 -.08 -.04 .25 -.11 -.09 .21 .10 .21 .19 .31 .03 .05 Consumption expenditures.... .06 .04 .11 .30 .24 .17 .15 -.02 -.01 -.01 .02 .00 .07 .14 .16 .08 .08 .17 .09 Gross investment............ .02 .01 .06 .12 -.12 .06 .10 -.07 -.03 .26 -.13 -.08 .14 -.04 .05 .11 .23 -.14 -.04 Addenda: Goods........................... 1.10 2.06 1.48 1.30 .49 1.69 -1.74 1.38 .75 5.19 .96 2.29 1.53 2.10 1.26 1.41 1.58 1.70 .49 Services........................ 1.30 1.59 1.55 1.43 1.95 .98 1.65 .41 2.15 .78 2.20 1.90 .71 1.75 1.82 1.86 .88 2.09 .85 Structures...................... .31 .57 .49 .01 -.26 -.29 .29 -.08 .76 1.28 .41 .06 1.26 .13 .23 .53 .85 .35 .29 Motor vehicle output............ .14 .16 .12 .53 .20 .40 .01 .00 -.09 .72 -.13 .49 -.26 .11 .29 .15 -.01 .56 -.63 Final sales of computers........ .15 .15 .28 -.06 .01 .20 .11 .05 .10 .45 .09 .08 .08 .10 .36 .37 .32 .16 .34 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (2000) dollars ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding at annual rates at annual rates period -------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- ------------------------- 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r 2005r III 05 IV 05r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product....... 12,485.7 11,995.2 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,760.4 11,134.6 10,897.1 10,999.3 11,089.2 11,202.3 11,247.6 378.9 113.1 45.3 Personal consumption expenditures. 8,746.2 8,416.1 8,535.8 8,677.0 8,844.0 8,927.9 7,858.2 7,698.8 7,764.9 7,829.5 7,907.9 7,930.6 269.6 78.4 22.7 Durable goods................... 1,026.5 1,008.6 1,017.3 1,035.5 1,050.9 1,002.2 1,138.4 1,115.1 1,122.3 1,143.9 1,169.7 1,117.8 48.5 25.8 -51.9 Motor vehicles and parts...... 446.8 452.8 449.6 458.5 468.7 410.4 452.8 464.6 455.0 463.3 477.3 415.4 -4.2 14.0 -61.9 Furniture and household equipment.................... 373.2 360.6 366.9 370.0 374.9 381.0 485.0 456.8 469.2 475.9 490.5 504.3 42.1 14.6 13.8 Other......................... 206.5 195.2 200.8 207.0 207.2 210.8 211.4 200.2 206.5 212.9 211.0 215.1 15.6 -1.9 4.1 Nondurable goods................ 2,564.6 2,437.1 2,476.6 2,533.7 2,604.9 2,643.1 2,298.0 2,236.5 2,265.6 2,285.9 2,305.8 2,334.8 97.6 19.9 29.0 Food.......................... 1,218.7 1,166.4 1,184.2 1,207.1 1,229.9 1,253.6 1,081.2 1,047.4 1,060.9 1,072.2 1,088.7 1,103.0 52.1 16.5 14.3 Clothing and shoes............ 345.5 335.2 340.5 344.9 343.9 352.6 376.6 363.0 367.9 374.4 377.2 387.0 21.6 2.8 9.8 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. 310.7 267.9 275.2 296.4 338.3 333.0 204.9 203.0 207.7 205.2 203.0 203.8 3.5 -2.2 .8 Other......................... 689.7 667.6 676.8 685.3 692.8 703.9 639.6 625.5 631.2 637.7 641.9 647.8 22.9 4.2 5.9 Services........................ 5,155.1 4,970.4 5,041.8 5,107.8 5,188.3 5,282.6 4,437.5 4,362.1 4,392.0 4,417.6 4,453.5 4,487.0 126.6 35.9 33.5 Housing....................... 1,281.7 1,244.7 1,260.6 1,275.3 1,288.2 1,302.6 1,103.8 1,089.5 1,095.6 1,101.4 1,106.6 1,111.7 25.4 5.2 5.1 Household operation........... 482.4 457.9 465.3 471.4 484.4 508.4 416.8 412.4 414.3 413.8 418.5 420.5 11.2 4.7 2.0 Electricity and gas......... 202.3 185.9 189.5 192.4 202.1 225.0 155.4 154.7 155.2 153.2 155.5 157.6 6.2 2.3 2.1 Other household operation... 280.1 272.1 275.8 279.0 282.3 283.4 261.1 257.3 258.8 260.5 262.7 262.2 4.8 2.2 -.5 Transportation................ 321.1 309.2 312.3 318.5 324.1 329.6 287.2 283.0 284.6 286.3 287.6 290.4 3.8 1.3 2.8 Medical care.................. 1,509.4 1,441.6 1,470.5 1,492.6 1,522.0 1,552.5 1,291.8 1,255.4 1,269.1 1,282.3 1,299.6 1,316.1 58.3 17.3 16.5 Recreation.................... 355.3 344.3 350.3 353.1 356.6 361.3 308.7 304.1 307.7 308.3 308.9 309.9 6.3 .6 1.0 Other......................... 1,205.2 1,172.6 1,182.8 1,196.8 1,213.0 1,228.2 1,028.0 1,016.6 1,019.5 1,024.3 1,031.1 1,037.2 21.3 6.8 6.1 Gross private domestic investment. 2,103.1 2,004.5 2,058.5 2,054.4 2,099.5 2,200.0 1,918.4 1,863.9 1,902.9 1,885.0 1,909.4 1,976.3 108.6 24.4 66.9 Fixed investment................ 2,086.5 1,952.6 1,998.7 2,058.5 2,119.2 2,169.5 1,897.6 1,811.3 1,842.2 1,884.7 1,921.5 1,942.2 142.5 36.8 20.7 Nonresidential................ 1,330.6 1,252.9 1,280.1 1,313.5 1,348.9 1,380.0 1,289.7 1,235.1 1,252.2 1,279.0 1,305.2 1,322.5 103.0 26.2 17.3 Structures.................. 335.3 309.8 315.9 325.6 340.2 359.6 253.5 252.3 251.0 252.7 254.1 256.2 5.1 1.4 2.1 Equipment and software...... 995.3 943.1 964.3 987.9 1,008.7 1,020.3 1,051.5 994.2 1,014.2 1,040.9 1,067.5 1,083.5 103.9 26.6 16.0 Information processing equipment and software... 489.5 456.3 474.6 486.6 494.5 502.4 591.3 539.7 565.1 584.6 600.2 615.4 68.9 15.6 15.2 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. 105.7 97.5 102.7 105.6 105.0 109.5 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Software................ 198.4 181.1 188.3 197.3 201.3 206.5 210.5 192.8 199.8 209.1 213.7 219.3 21.7 4.6 5.6 Other................... 185.5 177.8 183.6 183.6 188.2 186.3 198.8 190.3 196.3 196.5 202.1 200.3 9.9 5.6 -1.8 Industrial equipment...... 161.3 152.6 161.3 154.9 161.3 167.6 149.1 144.5 150.9 143.2 148.8 153.7 9.7 5.6 4.9 Transportation equipment.. 171.5 168.4 163.8 172.8 177.9 171.6 157.0 153.3 148.8 158.1 163.3 157.9 18.3 5.2 -5.4 Other equipment........... 173.0 165.8 164.6 173.7 175.0 178.7 159.9 158.0 153.9 160.6 161.1 164.0 9.9 .5 2.9 Residential................... 755.8 699.7 718.5 745.0 770.3 789.5 601.8 571.0 584.1 599.3 610.0 613.9 40.0 10.7 3.9 Change in private inventories... 16.6 51.9 59.9 -4.2 -19.7 30.5 18.4 50.1 58.2 -1.7 -13.3 30.4 -33.6 -11.6 43.7 Farm.......................... -8.4 -3.0 -6.5 -8.5 -9.5 -8.9 -3.7 -.2 -2.3 -4.2 -4.5 -3.7 -6.0 -.3 .8 Nonfarm....................... 25.0 54.8 66.4 4.3 -10.2 39.3 23.1 50.8 61.8 3.4 -8.1 35.3 -26.8 -11.5 43.4 Net exports of goods and services. -726.9 -685.4 -697.5 -691.0 -730.4 -788.8 -633.3 -634.1 -645.4 -614.2 -617.5 -656.2 -32.0 -3.3 -38.7 Exports......................... 1,301.6 1,217.1 1,253.2 1,297.1 1,314.6 1,341.5 1,195.7 1,144.5 1,165.3 1,195.4 1,202.7 1,219.4 77.8 7.3 16.7 Goods......................... 905.5 845.0 865.4 904.7 914.8 937.0 840.9 800.3 810.7 841.3 847.9 863.8 57.3 6.6 15.9 Services...................... 396.1 372.1 387.7 392.5 399.9 404.5 354.7 344.0 354.3 353.9 354.8 355.8 20.6 .9 1.0 Imports......................... 2,028.6 1,902.5 1,950.6 1,988.1 2,045.1 2,130.4 1,829.0 1,778.6 1,810.7 1,809.6 1,820.2 1,875.7 109.8 10.6 55.5 Goods......................... 1,701.3 1,588.4 1,627.6 1,661.8 1,718.6 1,797.0 1,553.5 1,507.3 1,537.3 1,532.9 1,546.1 1,597.6 100.8 13.2 51.5 Services...................... 327.3 314.1 323.0 326.3 326.4 333.3 276.9 272.3 274.8 277.7 275.5 279.7 9.8 -2.2 4.2 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. 2,363.4 2,260.0 2,302.0 2,337.6 2,392.7 2,421.4 1,987.2 1,962.8 1,971.9 1,984.1 1,998.1 1,994.7 34.9 14.0 -3.4 Federal......................... 877.8 840.8 860.2 869.8 892.2 888.8 740.5 727.6 731.8 736.1 749.5 744.6 16.8 13.4 -4.9 National defense.............. 587.2 562.0 575.3 582.5 601.7 589.2 493.6 483.7 487.3 491.7 503.6 491.8 12.3 11.9 -11.8 Consumption expenditures.... 515.9 490.1 508.9 512.3 528.6 514.0 424.1 413.4 421.9 422.9 432.2 419.4 10.8 9.3 -12.8 Gross investment............ 71.2 71.9 66.4 70.2 73.1 75.2 70.0 71.2 65.3 69.2 72.0 73.6 1.5 2.8 1.6 Nondefense.................... 290.6 278.8 285.0 287.3 290.5 299.6 246.7 243.6 244.3 244.2 245.6 252.6 4.5 1.4 7.0 Consumption expenditures.... 253.7 245.1 250.7 250.5 254.3 259.1 210.6 209.9 210.4 208.2 210.1 213.6 2.0 1.9 3.5 Gross investment............ 37.0 33.8 34.3 36.8 36.3 40.5 36.3 33.6 33.8 36.3 35.6 39.6 2.9 -.7 4.0 State and local................. 1,485.6 1,419.1 1,441.7 1,467.7 1,500.4 1,532.6 1,246.5 1,235.0 1,239.8 1,247.8 1,248.5 1,249.8 18.1 .7 1.3 Consumption expenditures.... 1,193.2 1,143.1 1,159.0 1,175.7 1,205.7 1,232.6 991.1 984.8 986.8 988.8 993.3 995.5 11.6 4.5 2.2 Gross investment............ 292.4 276.1 282.7 292.0 294.7 300.0 255.6 250.3 253.2 259.4 255.4 254.4 6.7 -4.0 -1.0 Residual.......................... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... -63.6 -37.5 -48.0 -60.1 -69.6 -77.3 ..... ..... ..... Addenda: Final sales of domestic product. 12,469.1 11,943.3 12,138.9 12,382.1 12,625.4 12,730.0 11,114.6 10,846.0 10,940.3 11,089.2 11,214.4 11,214.5 412.2 125.2 .1 Gross domestic purchases........ 13,212.7 12,680.6 12,896.3 13,069.0 13,336.1 13,549.2 11,759.2 11,522.0 11,635.4 11,694.8 11,811.2 11,895.3 410.5 116.4 84.1 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 13,196.0 12,628.7 12,836.4 13,073.1 13,355.8 13,518.8 11,739.0 11,470.7 11,576.2 11,694.6 11,823.0 11,862.1 443.7 128.4 39.1 Gross domestic product.......... 12,485.7 11,995.2 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,760.4 11,134.6 10,897.1 10,999.3 11,089.2 11,202.3 11,247.6 378.9 113.1 45.3 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world.......... ..... 462.4 462.3 489.4 520.8 ..... ..... 423.2 420.4 441.7 465.5 ..... ..... 23.8 ..... Less: Income payments to the rest of the world.......... ..... 425.6 422.9 453.9 476.6 ..... ..... 388.5 383.3 408.2 424.4 ..... ..... 16.2 ..... Equals: Gross national product.. ..... 12,032.0 12,238.2 12,413.5 12,650.0 ..... ..... 10,931.8 11,036.3 11,122.5 11,243.2 ..... ..... 120.7 ..... Net domestic product............ 10,911.9 10,553.2 10,750.4 10,920.7 10,741.9 11,234.5 9,639.9 9,514.2 9,608.3 9,689.7 9,456.1 9,805.7 274.4 -233.6 349.6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Note.--Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real GDP, use table 2. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 4.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.9 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.3 Personal consumption expenditures... 1.9 2.6 2.8 .9 2.8 1.8 1.7 3.0 .6 2.0 1.3 3.9 3.8 1.5 3.1 2.3 3.3 3.7 2.7 Durable goods..................... -3.5 -1.9 -.5 -3.2 -1.9 -1.8 -2.7 -4.3 -4.3 -4.4 -4.1 .1 -.1 -2.4 .6 .9 -.5 -3.0 -.8 Nondurable goods.................. 2.0 3.3 3.7 .2 5.4 .9 1.2 5.6 -2.4 3.1 .6 6.0 6.6 .1 4.5 1.3 5.7 7.9 .8 Services.......................... 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.8 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.1 4.3 Gross private domestic investment... 1.6 3.1 3.1 -.2 .5 .2 2.9 2.9 -.5 1.7 3.7 3.4 4.6 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.7 5.0 Fixed investment.................. 1.7 3.2 3.1 -.3 .5 .2 3.0 3.1 -.5 1.7 3.9 3.5 4.6 3.0 2.2 2.6 2.7 4.0 5.2 Nonresidential.................. .3 1.3 2.1 -.1 -.2 -.4 1.1 .1 -1.0 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.8 .9 1.1 3.1 1.9 2.5 3.9 Structures.................... 3.5 5.5 10.1 3.8 5.2 4.3 5.1 4.0 .3 2.9 4.6 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.6 10.3 9.9 16.5 20.9 Equipment and software........ -.9 -.1 -.4 -1.5 -2.1 -2.0 -.3 -1.2 -1.4 .6 1.0 -.8 .2 -.9 -.4 .9 -.7 -1.8 -1.4 Residential..................... 4.8 6.7 4.7 -.8 2.2 1.5 7.0 9.3 .3 2.7 7.6 8.0 9.7 6.9 4.2 1.6 4.3 6.5 7.6 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 2.1 3.6 3.7 -1.1 2.8 3.0 .6 4.1 1.0 .9 2.9 5.9 4.8 1.7 4.3 4.6 3.7 2.9 2.6 Goods........................... 2.0 3.7 3.1 -1.4 2.2 3.3 .5 3.6 1.6 -.7 4.1 6.5 5.3 1.0 3.8 4.5 2.9 1.3 2.2 Services........................ 2.5 3.1 4.9 -.3 4.3 2.1 .7 5.2 -.3 4.6 .1 4.4 3.7 3.2 5.6 4.7 5.4 6.7 3.5 Imports........................... 3.4 5.0 6.1 -1.7 10.3 3.5 .6 11.2 -4.4 2.6 1.1 9.6 6.6 5.7 6.8 2.9 8.2 9.4 4.4 Goods........................... 2.9 5.0 6.4 -2.0 10.8 2.6 .4 11.9 -6.7 2.5 .5 10.1 7.9 5.4 6.9 1.9 9.9 10.6 4.8 Services........................ 5.8 4.9 4.6 -.3 7.6 8.1 1.4 8.0 7.5 3.2 4.2 7.5 .3 7.4 6.5 7.9 -.2 3.4 2.3 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 3.7 3.7 4.8 5.2 2.9 2.6 3.6 8.9 .0 2.5 1.4 6.2 5.0 3.2 4.1 5.7 3.7 6.7 5.6 Federal........................... 3.9 4.2 3.7 10.1 .5 1.0 4.6 9.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 9.7 4.9 2.2 2.6 7.0 2.1 3.0 1.1 National defense................ 4.4 4.0 3.6 9.1 1.3 2.4 6.9 9.3 1.1 1.3 1.5 7.8 5.6 2.8 2.7 6.6 1.4 3.5 1.1 Nondefense...................... 3.0 4.6 3.8 12.0 -.8 -1.4 .5 11.0 1.6 1.0 .7 13.7 3.6 1.2 2.5 7.9 3.6 2.1 1.0 State and local................... 3.7 3.4 5.5 2.7 4.2 3.4 3.0 8.4 -.7 3.2 1.6 4.2 5.0 3.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 9.0 8.4 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.8 1.4 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.4 Gross domestic purchases.......... 2.2 2.9 3.2 1.5 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 2.2 2.9 3.2 1.5 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.3 3.6 Gross national product (GNP)...... 2.0 2.6 ..... 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.8 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 ..... Implicit price deflators: GDP............................. 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.4 1.5 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 3.7 3.9 1.3 2.7 3.0 2.6 3.3 3.3 Gross domestic purchases........ 2.2 2.9 3.2 1.3 2.4 1.6 2.2 4.1 .4 2.1 1.6 4.3 4.1 1.9 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.6 GNP............................. 2.0 2.6 ..... 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.3 3.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 3.7 3.8 1.3 2.7 3.0 2.6 3.3 ..... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 5.--Real Gross Domestic Product, Quantity Indexes [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 105.130 109.562 113.422 111.003 112.044 112.959 114.112 114.573 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 108.416 112.601 116.602 114.236 115.217 116.176 117.338 117.676 Durable goods............................ 119.134 126.245 131.867 129.166 129.999 132.499 135.492 129.477 Nondurable goods......................... 107.938 113.000 118.016 114.857 116.351 117.392 118.413 119.907 Services................................. 106.493 109.725 112.947 111.027 111.789 112.440 113.353 114.206 Gross private domestic investment.......... 93.195 104.286 110.540 107.398 109.645 108.615 110.023 113.877 Fixed investment......................... 95.297 104.534 113.024 107.880 109.722 112.252 114.443 115.677 Nonresidential......................... 88.063 96.314 104.679 100.246 101.633 103.806 105.935 107.343 Structures........................... 77.621 79.314 80.935 80.554 80.145 80.680 81.123 81.791 Equipment and software............... 92.154 103.126 114.434 108.201 110.376 113.274 116.170 117.917 Residential............................ 113.989 125.714 134.660 127.772 130.695 134.100 136.484 137.360 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 94.064 101.970 109.069 104.398 106.295 109.037 109.710 111.234 Imports of goods and services.............. 105.205 116.495 123.939 120.518 122.698 122.620 123.340 127.098 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 111.009 113.398 115.428 114.008 114.537 115.248 116.063 115.863 Federal.................................. 118.839 125.038 127.945 125.704 126.446 127.188 129.491 128.656 State and local.......................... 107.042 107.487 109.070 108.069 108.489 109.183 109.246 109.362 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product.......... 105.564 109.650 113.874 111.122 112.088 113.613 114.896 114.897 Gross domestic purchases................. 106.285 111.301 115.326 113.000 114.112 114.695 115.836 116.661 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 106.708 111.394 115.770 113.124 114.164 115.332 116.598 116.984 Gross national product................... 105.370 109.637 ..... 110.916 111.977 112.851 114.076 ..... ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 6.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 106.310 109.102 112.165 110.111 110.950 111.655 112.567 113.488 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)..................................... 105.520 108.246 111.299 109.326 109.936 110.832 111.846 112.583 Durable goods............................ 92.372 90.631 90.168 90.449 90.648 90.527 89.839 89.660 Nondurable goods......................... 104.151 107.634 111.595 108.982 109.327 110.854 112.985 113.215 Services................................. 109.246 112.695 116.171 113.955 114.803 115.633 116.508 117.739 Gross private domestic investment.......... 103.311 106.555 109.820 107.733 108.427 109.164 110.169 111.521 Fixed investment......................... 103.432 106.697 109.957 107.831 108.522 109.254 110.318 111.732 Nonresidential......................... 99.764 101.025 103.168 101.455 102.244 102.715 103.358 104.355 Structures........................... 113.889 120.124 132.278 122.827 125.876 128.886 133.914 140.435 Equipment and software............... 95.133 95.022 94.658 94.854 95.067 94.910 94.491 94.162 Residential............................ 112.379 119.935 125.604 122.574 123.062 124.359 126.335 128.659 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 101.398 104.999 108.862 106.366 107.559 108.534 109.323 110.033 Imports of goods and services.............. 99.610 104.571 110.940 107.026 107.783 109.925 112.413 113.639 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 109.460 113.505 118.929 115.148 116.747 117.820 119.751 121.399 Federal.................................. 109.740 114.354 118.537 115.575 117.550 118.168 119.056 119.373 State and local.......................... 109.303 113.022 119.186 114.914 116.291 117.635 120.186 122.630 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ 105.082 107.156 109.295 107.980 108.617 109.083 109.450 110.029 Market-based PCE\1\...................... 105.009 107.422 110.331 108.378 108.948 109.860 110.917 111.598 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... 104.348 105.898 107.671 106.514 107.106 107.506 107.797 108.275 Final sales of domestic product.......... 106.330 109.124 112.185 110.124 110.963 111.667 112.589 113.521 Gross domestic purchases................. 105.863 108.899 112.391 110.092 110.883 111.785 112.953 113.944 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 105.883 108.921 112.412 110.106 110.898 111.798 112.976 113.977 Gross national product................... 106.304 109.094 ..... 110.100 110.933 111.638 112.550 ..... Implicit price deflators: Gross domestic product................. 106.305 109.099 112.134 110.077 110.905 111.622 112.527 113.450 Final sales of domestic product........ 106.330 109.124 112.187 110.117 110.956 111.659 112.582 113.513 Gross domestic purchases............... 105.858 108.896 112.361 110.055 110.837 111.750 112.911 113.904 Final sales to domestic purchasers..... 105.883 108.920 112.412 110.095 110.886 111.787 112.965 113.966 Gross national product................. 106.299 109.091 ..... 110.064 110.890 111.607 112.512 ..... ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Percentage changes for these series are included in the addenda to table 8 and appendix table A. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 7.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Year ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... 1.9 -.2 3.3 2.7 4.0 2.5 3.7 4.5 4.2 4.5 3.7 .8 1.6 2.7 4.2 3.5 Personal consumption expenditures...... 2.0 .2 3.3 3.3 3.7 2.7 3.4 3.8 5.0 5.1 4.7 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.9 3.6 Durable goods........................ -.3 -5.6 5.9 7.8 8.4 4.4 7.8 8.6 11.3 11.7 7.3 4.3 7.1 6.6 6.0 4.5 Nondurable goods..................... 1.6 -.2 2.0 2.7 3.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 4.0 4.6 3.8 2.0 2.5 3.2 4.7 4.4 Services............................. 2.9 1.7 3.5 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.0 4.5 2.4 1.9 2.0 3.0 2.9 Gross private domestic investment...... -3.4 -8.1 8.1 8.9 13.6 3.1 8.9 12.4 9.8 7.8 5.7 -7.9 -2.6 3.9 11.9 6.0 Fixed investment..................... -2.1 -6.5 5.9 8.6 9.3 6.5 9.0 9.2 10.2 8.3 6.5 -3.0 -5.2 3.6 9.7 8.1 Nonresidential..................... .5 -5.4 3.2 8.7 9.2 10.5 9.3 12.1 11.1 9.2 8.7 -4.2 -9.2 1.3 9.4 8.7 Structures....................... 1.5 -11.1 -6.0 -.7 1.8 6.4 5.6 7.3 5.1 -.4 6.8 -2.3 -17.1 -4.2 2.2 2.0 Equipment and software........... .0 -2.6 7.3 12.5 11.9 12.0 10.6 13.8 13.3 12.7 9.4 -4.9 -6.2 3.2 11.9 11.0 Residential........................ -8.6 -9.6 13.8 8.2 9.6 -3.2 8.0 1.9 7.6 6.0 .8 .4 4.8 8.4 10.3 7.1 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. 9.0 6.6 6.9 3.2 8.7 10.1 8.4 11.9 2.4 4.3 8.7 -5.4 -2.3 1.8 8.4 7.0 Goods.............................. 8.4 6.9 7.5 3.3 9.7 11.7 8.8 14.3 2.2 3.8 11.2 -6.1 -4.0 1.8 8.9 7.3 Services........................... 10.5 6.0 5.5 3.2 6.3 6.3 7.2 5.9 2.9 5.6 2.9 -3.7 1.9 1.7 7.4 6.2 Imports.............................. 3.6 -.6 7.0 8.8 11.9 8.0 8.7 13.6 11.6 11.5 13.1 -2.7 3.4 4.6 10.7 6.4 Goods.............................. 3.0 -.1 9.3 10.1 13.3 9.0 9.3 14.4 11.7 12.4 13.5 -3.2 3.7 4.9 11.0 6.9 Services........................... 6.5 -2.6 -2.6 2.9 5.7 3.3 5.5 9.4 11.4 6.9 11.1 -.3 2.1 3.0 9.6 3.7 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 3.2 1.1 .5 -.9 .0 .5 1.0 1.9 1.9 3.9 2.1 3.4 4.4 2.8 2.2 1.8 Federal.............................. 2.0 -.2 -1.7 -4.2 -3.7 -2.7 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 2.2 .9 3.9 7.0 6.9 5.2 2.3 National defense................... .0 -1.1 -5.0 -5.6 -4.9 -3.8 -1.4 -2.8 -2.1 1.9 -.5 3.9 7.4 8.8 7.0 2.6 Nondefense......................... 8.3 2.4 6.9 -.7 -1.2 -.4 -.7 2.6 .7 2.8 3.5 3.9 6.3 3.4 1.8 1.9 State and local...................... 4.1 2.1 2.2 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.3 3.6 3.6 4.7 2.7 3.2 3.1 .6 .4 1.5 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 2.1 .1 3.0 2.6 3.4 3.0 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.5 3.8 1.6 1.2 2.7 3.9 3.9 Gross domestic purchases............. 1.4 -.8 3.3 3.2 4.4 2.4 3.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 4.4 .9 2.2 3.0 4.7 3.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers... 1.6 -.6 3.1 3.2 3.8 2.8 3.8 4.3 5.3 5.4 4.5 1.8 1.8 3.0 4.4 3.9 Gross national product............... 2.0 -.3 3.3 2.7 3.9 2.6 3.7 4.4 4.0 4.6 3.7 .8 1.5 3.0 4.0 ..... Real disposable personal income...... 1.9 .5 3.4 1.0 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.5 5.8 3.0 4.8 1.9 3.1 2.4 3.4 1.5 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 4.1 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 .6 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.2 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.4 2.5 GDP................................ 3.9 3.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.8 GDP excluding food and energy...... 3.7 3.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.7 Personal consumption expenditures.. 4.6 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.7 .9 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.9 2.6 2.8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. Table 8.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05r IV 05r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... 1.0 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.6 2.0 3.2 4.0 4.7 4.6 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)................................. 2.8 3.1 3.2 1.9 2.1 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.9 3.8 3.0 Durable goods........................ 7.8 8.9 11.0 1.2 3.2 6.0 7.9 9.2 9.4 5.8 3.7 5.2 4.7 6.7 6.3 .2 Nondurable goods..................... 2.6 3.0 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2 4.2 4.1 4.9 5.1 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.4 Services............................. 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 Gross private domestic investment...... -7.7 -5.4 -1.4 4.9 1.5 1.7 4.4 7.7 10.5 15.1 11.8 10.4 10.1 4.0 4.1 6.0 Fixed investment..................... -7.6 -5.8 -4.9 -2.5 -.7 1.8 5.6 7.7 9.3 10.9 9.3 9.4 9.4 8.0 7.9 7.2 Nonresidential..................... -11.7 -9.8 -8.7 -6.5 -3.5 .0 3.2 5.6 7.9 9.2 9.4 10.9 10.3 9.2 8.3 7.1 Structures....................... -13.9 -17.4 -22.0 -14.9 -12.2 -4.5 -.5 1.2 2.6 1.5 1.9 2.7 3.1 1.7 1.9 1.5 Equipment and software........... -10.9 -6.8 -3.2 -3.4 -.3 1.6 4.4 7.2 9.8 11.9 12.0 13.8 12.8 11.7 10.5 9.0 Residential........................ 3.4 4.3 4.4 7.0 5.6 5.6 10.5 11.8 11.9 13.9 9.1 6.6 7.7 6.1 7.2 7.5 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. -9.5 -4.0 1.6 3.8 1.7 -1.3 .7 6.0 8.1 10.5 9.0 6.1 6.7 7.7 6.9 6.5 Goods.............................. -12.2 -4.9 1.1 1.1 1.9 -1.5 .2 6.7 8.3 10.4 10.1 6.8 6.2 8.2 6.9 7.9 Services........................... -2.8 -2.0 2.8 10.2 1.4 -1.0 1.9 4.5 7.8 10.9 6.4 4.6 7.9 6.5 6.9 3.4 Imports.............................. -4.1 2.1 6.4 9.7 6.0 3.8 3.4 5.1 8.8 11.7 11.8 10.6 9.4 5.7 5.1 5.5 Goods.............................. -5.0 3.2 7.2 9.9 6.8 4.5 3.1 5.3 9.2 11.2 12.3 11.1 10.1 6.1 5.8 6.0 Services........................... .7 -3.0 2.4 8.8 2.4 .5 5.0 4.2 7.3 13.8 9.7 7.7 6.2 3.9 2.0 2.7 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 4.7 4.0 4.9 4.0 2.9 3.5 3.0 1.9 2.9 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.6 Federal.............................. 5.9 6.7 7.5 7.8 6.4 8.6 7.2 5.5 8.1 3.6 5.1 4.2 2.1 1.9 2.9 2.3 National defense................... 5.6 7.4 7.9 8.4 6.5 12.2 9.2 7.5 12.1 3.7 7.8 4.9 2.3 3.0 3.3 1.7 Nondefense......................... 6.3 5.5 6.8 6.8 6.2 2.1 3.6 1.6 .8 3.5 .0 2.8 1.8 -.2 2.1 3.7 State and local...................... 4.1 2.6 3.6 2.1 1.1 .7 .8 .0 .0 .5 .2 .9 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.2 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 1.0 1.2 1.7 .8 1.3 2.0 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.6 3.5 4.2 4.3 3.4 Gross domestic purchases............. 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.5 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.1 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.5 3.2 Final sales to domestic purchasers... 1.4 1.9 2.3 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.6 4.0 4.7 4.5 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.4 Gross national product............... .9 1.0 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.4 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.6 ..... Real disposable personal income...... 3.7 4.6 1.4 2.9 .7 1.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.2 2.1 4.1 2.3 2.1 1.0 .5 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.5 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.6 GDP................................ 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 GDP excluding food and energy...... 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.8 PCE................................ 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.7 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.5 3.1 3.0 PCE excluding food and energy...... 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 Market-based PCE\1\................ .7 .9 1.1 1.7 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.4 3.1 3.0 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\..................... 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Table 9.--Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05r IV 05r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product..................... 10,971.2 11,734.3 12,485.7 11,995.2 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,760.4 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world..................................... 343.7 415.4 ..... 462.4 462.3 489.4 520.8 ..... Less: Income payments to the rest of the world..................................... 275.6 361.7 ..... 425.6 422.9 453.9 476.6 ..... Equals: Gross national product............. 11,039.3 11,788.0 ..... 12,032.0 12,238.2 12,413.5 12,650.0 ..... Less: Consumption of fixed capital......... 1,331.3 1,435.3 1,573.8 1,442.0 1,448.4 1,457.2 1,863.8 1,526.0 Less: Statistical discrepancy.............. 47.1 76.8 ..... 30.6 39.4 78.3 44.3 ..... Equals: National income.................... 9,660.9 10,275.9 ..... 10,559.3 10,750.4 10,878.0 10,741.9 ..... Compensation of employees................ 6,321.1 6,687.6 7,126.2 6,895.8 7,001.7 7,060.2 7,177.6 7,265.5 Wage and salary accruals............... 5,111.1 5,389.4 5,723.4 5,562.9 5,629.9 5,672.3 5,762.3 5,829.2 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,210.0 1,298.1 1,402.8 1,332.9 1,371.8 1,387.9 1,415.3 1,436.3 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 810.2 889.6 938.7 900.9 917.9 936.6 932.4 967.7 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 131.7 134.2 73.3 128.7 118.0 104.4 -11.1 82.1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1,031.8 1,161.5 ..... 1,219.5 1,288.2 1,347.5 1,293.1 ..... Net interest and miscellaneous payments.. 528.5 505.5 497.1 492.7 498.3 488.7 497.6 503.9 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies............................... 754.8 809.4 847.9 824.4 833.2 848.0 853.4 856.8 Business current transfer payments....... 81.6 91.1 79.4 102.6 99.0 99.6 21.8 97.3 Current surplus of government enterprises............................. 1.3 -3.0 -11.2 -5.2 -6.1 -7.0 -22.8 -9.0 Addendum: Gross domestic income.................... 10,924.2 11,657.5 ..... 11,964.6 12,159.4 12,299.7 12,561.4 ..... ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. Table 10.--Personal Income and Its Disposition [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05r IV 05r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income\1\......................... 9,169.1 9,713.3 10,249.3 10,024.8 10,073.4 10,185.7 10,250.4 10,487.7 Compensation of employees, received...... 6,321.1 6,687.6 7,126.2 6,895.8 7,001.7 7,060.2 7,177.6 7,265.5 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5,111.1 5,389.4 5,723.4 5,562.9 5,629.9 5,672.3 5,762.3 5,829.2 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,210.0 1,298.1 1,402.8 1,332.9 1,371.8 1,387.9 1,415.3 1,436.3 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 810.2 889.6 938.7 900.9 917.9 936.6 932.4 967.7 Farm................................... 27.7 35.8 20.8 24.6 24.7 19.6 18.0 21.0 Nonfarm................................ 782.4 853.8 917.8 876.3 893.2 917.1 914.3 946.6 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 131.7 134.2 73.3 128.7 118.0 104.4 -11.1 82.1 Personal income receipts on assets....... 1,338.7 1,396.5 1,456.7 1,493.6 1,407.9 1,439.8 1,468.9 1,510.3 Personal interest income............... 917.6 905.9 945.0 907.4 915.4 936.0 951.2 977.5 Personal dividend income............... 421.1 490.6 511.7 586.2 492.5 503.8 517.6 532.9 Personal current transfer receipts....... 1,344.0 1,427.5 1,525.5 1,449.2 1,488.8 1,509.6 1,558.1 1,545.6 Less: Contributions for government social insurance........................ 776.6 822.2 871.2 843.5 861.0 864.9 875.4 883.5 Less: Personal current taxes............... 999.9 1,049.1 1,209.8 1,094.3 1,171.4 1,206.0 1,220.4 1,241.3 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 8,169.2 8,664.2 9,039.5 8,930.4 8,902.0 8,979.7 9,030.0 9,246.4 Less: Personal outlays..................... 7,996.3 8,512.5 9,073.4 8,725.0 8,854.6 9,001.2 9,173.9 9,263.8 Equals: Personal saving.................... 172.8 151.8 -33.9 205.4 47.4 -21.5 -143.9 -17.4 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.............. 2.1 1.8 -.4 2.3 .5 -.2 -1.6 -.2 Addendum: Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............... 7,741.8 8,004.3 8,121.8 8,169.2 8,098.1 8,102.6 8,074.2 8,213.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2005. 1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments, current surplus of government enterprises, and wage accruals less disbursements, plus personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Appendix Table A.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates and Price Indexes: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP) and related aggregates: GDP............................... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.7 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.6 Goods............................. 3.4 6.5 4.6 3.9 1.5 5.2 -5.2 4.3 2.3 16.8 2.9 7.2 4.7 6.6 3.9 4.4 5.0 5.3 1.5 Services.......................... 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.5 3.4 1.7 2.9 .7 3.7 1.3 3.8 3.3 1.2 3.0 3.2 3.2 1.5 3.6 1.5 Structures........................ 3.2 5.7 4.8 -.1 -2.7 -3.0 3.1 -.9 8.2 13.6 4.1 .6 13.1 1.2 2.2 5.2 8.4 3.3 2.7 Motor vehicle output.............. 3.8 4.6 3.4 15.5 5.7 11.6 .5 .3 -2.5 22.6 -3.6 14.4 -7.3 3.0 8.8 4.3 -.3 17.6 -17.1 GDP excuding motor vehicle output........................... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 .2 1.8 3.9 6.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.1 3.8 3.4 3.7 2.3 Final sales of computers\1\....... 20.2 20.4 39.7 -7.6 .7 29.3 15.3 7.1 14.4 78.0 11.9 10.2 10.3 13.3 56.5 54.9 45.4 20.3 47.6 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 2.6 4.1 3.3 2.8 2.2 2.2 .1 1.7 3.6 6.8 3.5 4.2 3.4 3.9 3.0 3.5 3.0 4.0 1.3 Farm gross value added\2\......... 8.4 .0 -8.0 -64.0 133.6 63.9 34.2 -22.3 27.0 -34.1 -13.1 89.8 -31.5 -11.3 -17.1 7.3 -31.1 20.9 36.9 Nonfarm business gross value added\3\......................... 3.3 4.8 4.2 3.5 1.4 3.1 .1 2.0 4.7 10.4 2.8 4.2 4.6 4.6 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.7 1.5 Price indexes: GDP............................... 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.9 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.3 GDP excluding food and energy..... 1.8 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.6 .9 1.6 1.7 3.3 3.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 2.2 2.7 3.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 2.4 3.2 1.2 2.0 1.9 3.7 3.9 1.6 2.9 3.3 2.8 3.5 3.5 Gross domestic purchases.......... 2.2 2.9 3.2 1.5 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.6 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy.................. 1.8 2.4 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.5 1.0 1.7 1.8 3.4 3.2 2.0 2.4 3.0 2.1 2.5 3.0 Gross domestic purchases excluding final sales of computers to domestic purchasers.............. 2.4 3.0 3.4 1.7 2.6 1.9 2.4 4.3 .5 2.2 1.8 4.3 4.3 2.2 3.4 3.1 3.5 4.5 3.8 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)............................ 1.9 2.6 2.8 .9 2.8 1.8 1.7 3.0 .6 2.0 1.3 3.9 3.8 1.5 3.1 2.3 3.3 3.7 2.7 Personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy........ 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.7 2.5 1.5 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.4 2.1 Market-based PCE\4\............... 1.9 2.3 2.7 .6 2.8 1.7 1.7 3.1 .5 1.9 .9 3.4 3.7 1.1 2.8 2.1 3.4 3.9 2.5 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\4\.................... 1.2 1.5 1.7 .9 1.6 1.7 1.2 .8 1.0 1.4 .9 1.9 2.0 1.1 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.1 1.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. For some components of final sales of computers, includes computer parts. 2. Farm output less intermediate goods and services purchased. 3. Consists of GDP less gross value added of farm, of households and institutions, and of general government. 4. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Explanatory Note: NIPA Measures of Quantities and Prices Current-dollar GDP is a measure of the market value of goods, services, and structures produced in the economy in a particular period. Changes in current-dollar GDP can be decomposed into quantity and price components. Quantities, or "real" measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with the reference year -- at present, the year 2000 -- equal to 100. Annual changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent years. (Quarterly changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent quarters; quarterly indexes are adjusted for consistency to the annual indexes before percent changes are calculated.) For example, the 2003-04 annual percent change in real GDP uses prices for 2003 and 2004 as weights, and the 2003-04 annual percent change in GDP prices uses quantities for 2003 and 2004 as weights. These annual changes are "chained" (multiplied) together to form time series of quantity and price indexes. Percent changes in Fisher indexes are not affected by the choice of reference year. (BEA also publishes a measure of the price level known as the implicit price deflator (IPD), which is calculated as the ratio of the current-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value, multiplied by 100. The values of the IPD are very close to the values of the corresponding "chain-type" price index.) Index numbers of quantity and price indexes for GDP and its major components are presented in this release in tables 5 and 6. Percent changes from the preceding period are presented in tables 1, 4, 7, and 8. Contributions by major components to changes in real GDP are presented in table 2. Measures of real GDP and its major components are also presented in dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (2000) dollar estimates." For most series, these estimates, which are presented in table 3, are computed by multiplying the current-dollar value in 2000 by a corresponding quantity index number and then dividing by 100. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 2000 and if real output for this component increased 10 percent in 2001, then the chained (2000) dollar value of this component in 2001 would be $110 (= $100 x 110 / 100). Percent changes calculated from chained-dollar estimates and from chain-type quantity indexes are the same; any differences will be small and due to rounding. Chained-dollar values for the detailed GDP components will not necessarily sum to the chained-dollar estimate of GDP (or to any intermediate aggregate). This is because the relative prices used as weights for any period other than the reference year differ from those of the reference year. A measure of the extent of such differences is provided by a "residual" line, which indicates the difference between GDP (or other major aggregate) and the sum of the most detailed components in the table. For periods close to the reference year, when there usually has not been much change in the relative prices that are used as weights, the residuals tend to be small, and the chained-dollar estimates can be used to approximate the contributions to growth and to aggregate the detailed estimates. For periods further from the reference year, the residuals tend to be larger, and the chained-dollar estimates are less useful for analyses of contributions to growth. Thus, the contributions to percent change shown in table 2 provide a better measure of the composition of GDP growth. In particular, for components for which relative prices are changing rapidly, calculation of contributions using chained-dollar estimates may be misleading even just a few years from the reference year. Reference: "Chained-Dollar Indexes: Issues, Tips on Their Use, and Upcoming Changes," November 2003 Survey, pp. 8-16.