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Gross Domestic Product and Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2006 "preliminary" estimates
Available for this release: Full Release (PDF) | Technical Note, Tables (XLS), Highlights (PDF) Sign up for e-mail subscriptions. Note: Table Headers and Stubs for the July 28, 2006 Gross Domestic Product News Release Virginia H. Mannering: (202) 606-5304 (GDP) BEA 06-20 Greg Key: (202) 606-9727 (Profits) Recorded message: (202) 606-5306 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FIRST QUARTER 2006 (PRELIMINARY) CORPORATE PROFITS: FIRST QUARTER 2006 (PRELIMINARY) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 2006, according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 1.7 percent. The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the advance estimates issued last month. In the advance estimates, the increase in real GDP was 4.8 percent (see "Revisions" on page 3). The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, equipment and software, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. The acceleration in real GDP growth in the first quarter primarily reflected an upturn in PCE for durable goods, an acceleration in exports, an upturn in federal government spending, and an acceleration in equipment and software that were partly offset by a downturn in private inventory investment. Final sales of computers contributed 0.05 percentage point to the first-quarter growth in real GDP after contributing 0.33 percentage point to the fourth-quarter growth. Motor vehicle output subtracted 0.11 percentage point from the first-quarter growth in real GDP after subtracting 0.64 percentage point from the fourth-quarter growth. FOOTNOTE.--Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and annualized. ?Real? estimates are in chained (2000) dollars. Prices indexes are chain-type measures. This new release is available on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov/bea/rels.htm. The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 2.8 percent in the first quarter, 0.1 percentage point more than in the advance estimate; this index increased 3.7 percent in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.2 percent in the first quarter, the same increase as in the fourth. About 0.2 percentage point of the first-quarter increase in the index was accounted for by the pay raise for federal civilian and military personnel, which is treated as an increase in the price index of employee services purchased by the federal government. Real personal consumption expenditures increased 5.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 13.1 percent, compared with an increase of 4.5 percent. Nonresidential structures increased 11.3 percent, compared with an increase of 3.1 percent. Equipment and software increased 13.8 percent, compared with an increase of 5.0 percent. Real residential fixed investment increased 3.1 percent, compared with an increase of 2.8 percent. Real exports of goods and services increased 14.7 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 5.1 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 12.8 percent, compared with an increase of 12.1 percent. Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 10.5 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 2.6 percent in the fourth. National defense increased 9.6 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 8.9 percent. Nondefense increased 12.2 percent, compared with an increase of 11.7 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment increased 0.8 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent. The real change in private inventories subtracted 0.14 percentage point from the first-quarter change in real GDP, after adding 1.89 percentage points to the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses increased inventories $32.3 billion in the first quarter, following an increase of $37.9 billion in the fourth quarter and a decrease of $13.3 billion in the third. Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- increased 5.5 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 0.2 percent in the fourth. Gross domestic purchases Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 5.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.9 percent in the fourth. Gross national product Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents -- increased 5.2 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 0.7 percent in the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world, which decreased $3.1 billion in the first quarter after decreasing $25.6 billion in the fourth; in the first quarter, receipts increased $28.1 billion, and payments increased $31.2 billion. Current-dollar GDP Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 8.8 percent, or $271.3 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $13,037.4 billion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 5.2 percent, or $160.4 billion. Revisions The preliminary estimate of the first-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.5 percentage point, or $13.3 billion, more than the advance estimate issued last month. The upward revision to the percentage change in real GDP primarily reflected upward revisions to private inventory investment and to exports that were partly offset by downward revisions to personal consumption expenditures for services and to equipment and software. Advance Preliminary (Percent change from preceding quarter) Real GDP............................... 4.8 5.3 Current-dollar GDP.................... 8.2 8.8 Gross domestic purchases price index... 2.7 2.8 Corporate Profits Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $116.5 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $185.8 billion in the fourth. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- increased $84.6 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $43.1 billion in the fourth. Fourth-quarter profits from current production were reduced by $22.9 billion because of Hurricane Wilma, reflecting the net benefits paid by domestic insurance companies and the uninsured losses of corporate property. Taxes on corporate income increased $23.2 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $56.8 billion in the fourth. Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments increased $93.3 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $129.0 billion in the fourth. Dividends increased $13.4 billion, compared with an increase of $15.3 billion; current- production undistributed profits increased $79.9 billion, compared with an increase of $113.8 billion. Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $67.1 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $104.9 billion in the fourth. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $40.5 billion, compared with an increase of $95.5 billion. In the first quarter, real gross corporate value added increased, and profits per unit of real value added increased. The increase in unit profits reflected an increase in unit prices that was partly offset by increases in both unit labor and nonlabor costs that corporations incurred. The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $8.9 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $14.5 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter increase was accounted for by a larger increase in receipts than in payments. Profits before tax increased $89.8 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $177.5 billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert depreciation of fixed assets and inventory withdrawals reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment increased $6.9 billion in the first quarter (from -$50.7 billion to -$43.8 billion), compared with an increase of $21.4 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment increased $19.6 billion (from -$40.4 billion to -$20.8 billion), in contrast to a decrease of $12.9 billion. BEA's national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site at www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries of BEA releases and announcements. Summary BEA estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the following telephone numbers: (202) 606-5306 Gross domestic product (202) 606-5303 Personal income and outlays BOX Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts The annual revision of the national income and product accounts, covering the first quarter of 2003 through the first quarter of 2006, will be released along with the ?advance? estimates of GDP for the second quarter of 2006 on July 28. An article describing the revision will appear in the August 2006 issue of the Survey of Current Business. * * * Next release: June 29, 2006, at 8:30 A.M. EDT for: Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2006 (Final) Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2006 (Final) Table 1.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r I 06r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.7 5.3 Personal consumption expenditures... 2.9 3.9 3.5 2.4 2.3 1.4 2.5 3.6 5.8 3.1 4.7 1.9 4.4 4.3 3.5 3.4 4.1 .9 5.2 Durable goods..................... 6.6 6.0 4.5 3.6 11.5 -5.2 3.6 15.1 19.8 -.3 4.4 .4 10.8 5.5 2.6 7.9 9.3 -16.6 20.5 Nondurable goods.................. 3.2 4.7 4.4 1.3 .3 3.6 3.2 1.9 8.3 3.1 6.6 2.6 3.9 5.5 5.3 3.6 3.5 5.0 5.7 Services.......................... 2.0 3.0 2.9 2.6 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.0 3.8 3.8 1.8 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.3 3.3 2.6 2.2 Gross private domestic investment... 3.9 11.9 6.1 1.9 5.8 -1.0 -.4 2.7 17.5 12.0 10.1 20.9 4.6 6.8 8.6 -3.7 5.3 16.1 8.3 Fixed investment.................. 3.6 9.7 8.1 -1.4 -.7 -1.4 .8 8.8 14.8 6.9 6.9 15.1 8.4 7.2 7.0 9.5 8.0 3.9 9.3 Nonresidential.................. 1.3 9.4 8.6 -6.1 -2.0 -5.0 -1.1 8.4 11.2 4.4 7.9 13.5 11.8 10.4 5.7 8.8 8.5 4.5 13.1 Structures.................... -4.2 2.2 2.0 -19.0 -15.5 -5.3 -8.4 13.3 -.1 1.3 -3.5 8.8 1.4 4.7 -2.0 2.7 2.2 3.1 11.3 Equipment and software........ 3.2 11.9 10.9 -.9 3.3 -4.9 1.6 6.7 15.4 5.5 12.0 15.2 15.5 12.4 8.3 10.9 10.6 5.0 13.8 Residential..................... 8.4 10.3 7.1 9.5 2.0 6.4 4.7 9.6 21.9 11.5 5.2 17.8 2.6 1.6 9.5 10.8 7.3 2.8 3.1 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 1.8 8.4 6.9 10.6 2.9 -3.1 -2.9 -2.1 11.5 19.1 5.0 6.9 5.5 7.1 7.5 10.7 2.5 5.1 14.7 Goods........................... 1.8 8.9 7.3 14.2 2.2 -9.1 1.5 .0 9.1 17.2 7.5 7.9 8.2 3.7 5.3 16.0 3.2 8.0 20.8 Services........................ 1.7 7.4 6.0 2.7 4.6 11.7 -11.9 -6.6 17.2 23.7 -.4 4.8 -.6 15.5 12.5 -.4 1.0 -1.4 1.5 Imports........................... 4.6 10.7 6.3 12.5 5.7 9.0 -2.5 3.3 4.1 16.5 12.0 14.5 4.7 11.3 7.4 -.3 2.4 12.1 12.8 Goods........................... 4.9 11.0 6.9 16.0 6.5 8.1 -2.6 6.3 .9 17.7 12.4 14.7 4.7 13.0 8.2 -1.1 3.5 13.5 13.9 Services........................ 3.0 9.6 3.6 -3.0 1.7 14.0 -2.2 -10.2 21.4 10.7 10.0 13.7 4.6 3.1 3.7 4.4 -3.2 4.8 6.9 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 2.8 2.2 1.8 4.8 2.3 4.8 -.3 7.2 .5 .5 3.3 2.3 1.8 .9 1.9 2.5 2.9 -.8 4.3 Federal........................... 6.9 5.2 2.3 12.5 3.0 10.2 .3 22.1 -2.0 3.1 10.7 3.2 3.6 -.6 2.4 2.4 7.4 -2.6 10.5 National defense................ 8.8 7.0 2.6 11.5 4.1 14.8 -3.6 37.4 -6.5 7.9 13.8 .8 9.0 -3.3 3.0 3.7 10.0 -8.9 9.6 Nondefense...................... 3.4 1.8 1.8 14.1 1.2 2.1 8.0 -2.4 7.2 -5.8 4.9 8.1 -6.4 5.2 1.1 -.2 2.4 11.7 12.2 State and local................... .6 .4 1.5 1.0 1.9 2.0 -.6 -.3 2.0 -.9 -.7 1.8 .8 1.8 1.6 2.6 .2 .2 .8 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 2.7 3.9 3.8 1.7 1.4 .1 1.9 4.6 6.9 2.8 3.8 2.6 4.6 3.3 3.5 5.6 4.6 -.2 5.5 Gross domestic purchases.......... 3.0 4.7 3.6 2.7 2.8 1.7 1.5 4.2 6.5 3.9 5.2 4.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 2.1 4.0 2.9 5.5 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 3.0 4.4 3.9 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.7 5.0 6.1 3.2 4.8 3.8 4.5 4.1 3.7 4.2 4.5 1.1 5.7 Gross national product (GNP)...... 3.0 4.0 3.3 1.8 2.9 1.0 1.5 4.5 7.2 4.5 3.8 2.2 4.0 2.9 3.9 3.2 4.4 .7 5.2 Disposable personal income........ 2.4 3.4 1.3 1.9 -1.6 .2 2.5 4.5 7.2 1.0 3.6 1.2 2.8 9.1 -3.4 .2 -1.4 5.1 2.1 Current-dollar measures: GDP............................. 4.8 7.0 6.4 3.7 3.9 2.4 4.8 4.8 9.3 5.5 8.1 7.5 5.3 6.1 7.0 6.0 7.6 5.2 8.8 Final sales of domestic product. 4.8 6.6 6.8 3.2 3.0 2.4 5.1 5.7 8.8 4.8 7.5 6.6 6.1 6.2 6.7 8.3 8.1 3.2 9.0 Gross domestic purchases........ 5.3 7.7 6.9 5.2 4.4 3.9 5.7 4.6 8.6 5.6 9.7 9.0 5.9 7.4 7.0 5.5 8.4 6.7 8.5 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 5.3 7.4 7.2 4.8 3.6 3.8 5.9 5.4 8.2 4.9 9.2 8.1 6.6 7.4 6.7 7.6 8.9 4.8 8.7 GNP............................. 5.1 6.8 6.2 3.3 4.4 3.2 4.6 5.7 9.2 6.4 7.7 6.1 5.4 5.7 7.0 5.9 7.8 4.2 8.6 Disposable personal income...... 4.3 6.1 4.2 4.7 .2 1.9 5.6 5.2 9.4 2.3 7.6 5.1 4.3 12.5 -1.3 3.5 2.3 8.1 4.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 2.--Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product.......... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.7 5.3 Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures. 2.05 2.71 2.48 1.64 1.57 .97 1.70 2.55 4.13 2.15 3.27 1.33 3.05 3.01 2.44 2.35 2.85 .62 3.63 Durable goods................... .57 .51 .37 .31 .98 -.47 .31 1.23 1.64 -.03 .38 .03 .88 .45 .22 .64 .76 -1.47 1.51 Motor vehicles and parts...... .19 .06 -.03 .02 .89 -.75 .22 .53 .77 -.43 -.02 -.19 .44 .11 -.31 .27 .45 -1.92 .59 Furniture and household equipment.................... .26 .34 .28 .23 .06 .21 .03 .48 .63 .30 .31 .24 .34 .21 .32 .17 .37 .33 .67 Other......................... .11 .10 .13 .07 .02 .07 .06 .22 .23 .10 .08 -.02 .10 .14 .20 .20 -.06 .12 .26 Nondurable goods................ .63 .94 .90 .26 .06 .70 .63 .37 1.65 .61 1.31 .53 .78 1.09 1.07 .74 .73 1.02 1.18 Food.......................... .25 .48 .49 .18 .00 .20 .38 .05 .69 .20 .88 .27 .32 .63 .50 .42 .61 .50 .63 Clothing and shoes............ .14 .17 .17 .04 -.05 .31 -.04 .27 .33 .04 .37 -.09 .17 .25 .15 .20 .08 .27 .22 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. .01 .03 .04 .06 .04 -.04 -.01 -.04 .12 .07 -.04 .03 .02 .07 .21 -.11 -.11 .03 -.02 Other......................... .22 .26 .21 -.01 .07 .23 .29 .09 .51 .31 .11 .33 .28 .14 .20 .23 .15 .21 .35 Services........................ .85 1.27 1.21 1.07 .54 .74 .76 .94 .84 1.57 1.58 .77 1.39 1.47 1.15 .97 1.36 1.08 .94 Housing....................... .07 .30 .24 -.03 -.11 -.07 .08 .13 .24 .31 .39 .27 .29 .29 .23 .22 .20 .16 .19 Household operation........... .05 .07 .10 .29 -.11 .19 .01 -.06 -.02 .25 .07 -.07 .04 .34 .07 -.02 .17 .00 -.48 Electricity and gas......... .02 .03 .06 .25 -.07 .23 -.05 -.13 -.07 .22 .02 -.11 -.05 .37 .02 -.08 .10 .03 -.48 Other household operation... .03 .05 .04 .04 -.04 -.04 .07 .07 .05 .03 .05 .05 .10 -.03 .05 .06 .08 -.02 .00 Transportation................ .00 .03 .04 -.04 -.07 -.01 .07 -.05 .02 .02 .13 -.01 .00 -.01 .06 .06 .05 .11 .13 Medical care.................. .49 .49 .56 .67 .59 .59 .45 .42 .31 .59 .37 .56 .64 .54 .53 .50 .66 .58 .60 Recreation.................... .10 .11 .06 .07 .04 .16 .04 .15 .07 .21 .17 .00 .10 .02 .14 .02 .02 .02 .10 Other......................... .14 .26 .21 .12 .20 -.12 .10 .35 .22 .19 .44 .02 .33 .29 .11 .18 .26 .20 .40 Gross private domestic investment. .58 1.82 1.00 .30 .87 -.14 -.03 .42 2.53 1.78 1.52 3.10 .75 1.11 1.42 -.63 .87 2.54 1.41 Fixed investment................ .54 1.47 1.29 -.23 -.12 -.21 .13 1.26 2.15 1.03 1.04 2.22 1.31 1.13 1.12 1.51 1.31 .65 1.56 Nonresidential................ .13 .92 .88 -.66 -.21 -.52 -.10 .79 1.08 .43 .76 1.29 1.15 1.04 .58 .90 .88 .48 1.37 Structures.................. -.11 .06 .05 -.58 -.44 -.14 -.22 .32 .00 .03 -.09 .22 .04 .12 -.05 .07 .06 .09 .31 Equipment and software...... .24 .86 .82 -.09 .23 -.38 .12 .47 1.09 .40 .85 1.07 1.12 .92 .64 .83 .82 .39 1.05 Information processing equipment and software... .19 .49 .48 .06 .23 -.38 .21 .20 .79 .52 .61 .38 .31 .34 .72 .53 .42 .32 .66 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. .09 .19 .24 -.06 .16 -.04 .07 .10 .21 .17 .20 .18 .16 .27 .31 .23 .11 .28 .13 Software................ .06 .11 .17 .15 .12 -.17 .04 .04 .29 .15 .08 .05 .10 .09 .22 .29 .14 .09 .10 Other................... .05 .19 .08 -.03 -.05 -.17 .10 .05 .29 .20 .33 .16 .05 -.02 .18 .01 .17 -.06 .44 Industrial equipment...... .00 .04 .09 -.12 .08 .01 .15 -.12 -.04 -.14 .19 -.05 .30 .06 .23 -.27 .20 .16 -.04 Transportation equipment.. -.03 .15 .17 -.16 -.07 -.02 -.25 .36 .01 -.16 -.04 .56 .23 .39 -.16 .33 .18 -.19 .38 Other equipment........... .08 .18 .09 .14 .00 .02 .01 .04 .33 .18 .09 .18 .28 .13 -.14 .23 .02 .10 .06 Residential................... .41 .55 .41 .43 .09 .30 .23 .47 1.07 .59 .28 .93 .15 .09 .54 .62 .43 .17 .19 Change in private inventories... .05 .35 -.29 .53 .98 .08 -.16 -.84 .38 .75 .48 .87 -.56 -.03 .29 -2.14 -.43 1.89 -.14 Farm.......................... .03 .03 -.07 -.39 .31 .03 .17 -.21 -.07 .19 -.20 .45 -.01 -.28 -.11 -.09 -.02 .02 -.02 Nonfarm....................... .02 .32 -.22 .92 .67 .04 -.33 -.63 .45 .57 .68 .42 -.55 .25 .40 -2.05 -.42 1.87 -.13 Net exports of goods and services. -.46 -.73 -.29 -.62 -.49 -1.52 .08 -.66 .48 -.47 -1.16 -1.37 -.17 -.98 -.40 1.11 -.12 -1.36 -.55 Exports......................... .17 .80 .70 .96 .27 -.31 -.29 -.20 1.04 1.69 .49 .67 .53 .70 .74 1.07 .26 .52 1.47 Goods......................... .12 .59 .51 .88 .14 -.64 .09 .00 .58 1.05 .50 .53 .55 .25 .37 1.08 .23 .56 1.42 Services...................... .05 .22 .18 .08 .13 .33 -.38 -.20 .46 .64 -.01 .14 -.02 .44 .37 -.01 .03 -.05 .05 Imports......................... -.63 -1.53 -.98 -1.58 -.76 -1.21 .37 -.46 -.56 -2.16 -1.65 -2.03 -.70 -1.68 -1.14 .04 -.38 -1.88 -2.02 Goods......................... -.56 -1.30 -.89 -1.65 -.72 -.90 .32 -.71 -.10 -1.91 -1.41 -1.71 -.59 -1.60 -1.05 .15 -.46 -1.76 -1.85 Services...................... -.07 -.23 -.09 .07 -.04 -.31 .05 .26 -.46 -.25 -.23 -.32 -.11 -.08 -.10 -.11 .09 -.12 -.17 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. .53 .41 .34 .88 .43 .89 -.05 1.37 .11 .10 .62 .43 .35 .17 .35 .47 .54 -.15 .82 Federal......................... .45 .36 .16 .76 .20 .64 .03 1.40 -.14 .21 .71 .22 .25 -.04 .17 .17 .52 -.18 .71 National defense.............. .37 .32 .12 .45 .17 .59 -.15 1.46 -.31 .35 .60 .04 .41 -.16 .14 .17 .46 -.44 .43 Consumption expenditures.... .33 .26 .11 .29 .07 .67 -.19 1.35 -.34 .32 .46 .01 .39 -.26 .34 .04 .37 -.49 .40 Gross investment............ .04 .06 .01 .16 .10 -.08 .04 .11 .03 .03 .14 .02 .02 .10 -.20 .13 .09 .05 .04 Nondefense.................... .08 .04 .04 .31 .03 .05 .18 -.06 .17 -.14 .11 .19 -.16 .12 .03 -.01 .06 .26 .28 Consumption expenditures..... .08 .04 .02 .21 .11 .07 .18 -.19 .29 -.10 .11 .04 -.04 .08 .02 -.09 .08 .14 .23 Gross investment............. .00 .00 .02 .10 -.08 -.02 .00 .14 -.12 -.04 .00 .15 -.12 .04 .01 .08 -.02 .12 .05 State and local................. .08 .05 .17 .12 .23 .25 -.08 -.04 .25 -.11 -.09 .21 .10 .21 .19 .31 .03 .03 .10 Consumption expenditures.... .06 .04 .11 .24 .17 .15 -.02 -.01 -.01 .02 .00 .07 .14 .16 .08 .08 .17 .09 .12 Gross investment............ .02 .01 .06 -.12 .06 .10 -.07 -.03 .26 -.13 -.08 .14 -.04 .05 .11 .23 -.14 -.06 -.02 Addenda: Goods........................... 1.10 2.06 1.49 .49 1.69 -1.74 1.38 .75 5.19 .96 2.29 1.53 2.10 1.26 1.41 1.58 1.70 .73 3.39 Services........................ 1.30 1.59 1.54 1.95 .98 1.65 .41 2.15 .78 2.20 1.90 .71 1.75 1.82 1.86 .88 2.09 .65 1.56 Structures...................... .31 .57 .49 -.26 -.29 .29 -.08 .76 1.28 .41 .06 1.26 .13 .23 .53 .85 .35 .28 .36 Motor vehicle output............ .14 .16 .12 .20 .40 .01 .00 -.09 .72 -.13 .49 -.26 .11 .29 .15 -.01 .56 -.64 -.11 Final sales of computers........ .15 .15 .28 .01 .20 .11 .05 .10 .45 .09 .08 .08 .10 .36 .37 .32 .16 .33 .05 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (2000) dollars ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding at annual rates at annual rates period -------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- ------------------------- 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r 2005 IV 05 I 06r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product....... 12,487.1 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,766.1 13,037.4 11,134.8 10,999.3 11,089.2 11,202.3 11,248.3 11,394.7 379.1 46.0 146.4 Personal consumption expenditures. 8,745.7 8,535.8 8,677.0 8,844.0 8,926.2 9,084.4 7,856.9 7,764.9 7,829.5 7,907.9 7,925.4 8,026.7 268.3 17.5 101.3 Durable goods................... 1,026.5 1,017.3 1,035.5 1,050.9 1,002.1 1,047.9 1,138.4 1,122.3 1,143.9 1,169.7 1,117.7 1,171.1 48.5 -52.0 53.4 Motor vehicles and parts...... 446.8 449.6 458.5 468.7 410.5 432.3 452.8 455.0 463.3 477.3 415.5 434.4 -4.2 -61.8 18.9 Furniture and household equipment.................... 373.2 366.9 370.0 374.9 381.1 398.1 485.0 469.2 475.9 490.5 504.4 532.3 42.1 13.9 27.9 Other......................... 206.4 200.8 207.0 207.2 210.5 217.6 211.3 206.5 212.9 211.0 214.7 223.0 15.5 3.7 8.3 Nondurable goods................ 2,564.4 2,476.6 2,533.7 2,604.9 2,642.5 2,686.7 2,297.9 2,265.6 2,285.9 2,305.8 2,334.2 2,367.0 97.5 28.4 32.8 Food.......................... 1,218.6 1,184.2 1,207.1 1,229.9 1,253.3 1,281.8 1,081.1 1,060.9 1,072.2 1,088.7 1,102.8 1,120.3 52.0 14.1 17.5 Clothing and shoes............ 345.4 340.5 344.9 343.9 352.3 358.3 376.5 367.9 374.4 377.2 386.7 394.2 21.5 9.5 7.5 Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods................. 310.6 275.2 296.4 338.3 332.6 327.0 204.9 207.7 205.2 203.0 203.5 203.2 3.5 .5 -.3 Other......................... 689.8 676.8 685.3 692.8 704.2 719.6 639.7 631.2 637.7 641.9 648.0 658.1 23.0 6.1 10.1 Services........................ 5,154.9 5,041.8 5,107.8 5,188.3 5,281.6 5,349.7 4,436.4 4,392.0 4,417.6 4,453.5 4,482.6 4,507.6 125.5 29.1 25.0 Housing....................... 1,281.5 1,260.6 1,275.3 1,288.2 1,301.8 1,318.9 1,103.7 1,095.6 1,101.4 1,106.6 1,111.0 1,116.3 25.3 4.4 5.3 Household operation........... 481.8 465.3 471.4 484.4 506.1 497.6 416.3 414.3 413.8 418.5 418.5 405.8 10.7 .0 -12.7 Electricity and gas......... 201.7 189.5 192.4 202.1 222.9 212.0 155.0 155.2 153.2 155.5 156.1 145.3 5.8 .6 -10.8 Other household operation... 280.1 275.8 279.0 282.3 283.2 285.7 261.0 258.8 260.5 262.7 262.0 262.1 4.7 -.7 .1 Transportation................ 321.2 312.3 318.5 324.1 329.9 336.7 287.3 284.6 286.3 287.6 290.6 294.4 3.9 3.0 3.8 Medical care.................. 1,510.0 1,470.5 1,492.6 1,522.0 1,554.7 1,578.4 1,291.6 1,269.1 1,282.3 1,299.6 1,315.2 1,331.2 58.1 15.6 16.0 Recreation.................... 355.2 350.3 353.1 356.6 360.7 365.6 308.6 307.7 308.3 308.9 309.4 312.1 6.2 .5 2.7 Other......................... 1,205.3 1,182.8 1,196.8 1,213.0 1,228.4 1,252.4 1,027.8 1,019.5 1,024.3 1,031.1 1,036.5 1,047.1 21.1 5.4 10.6 Gross private domestic investment. 2,105.0 2,058.5 2,054.4 2,099.5 2,207.5 2,273.4 1,919.8 1,902.9 1,885.0 1,909.4 1,981.9 2,021.7 110.0 72.5 39.8 Fixed investment................ 2,086.1 1,998.7 2,058.5 2,119.2 2,168.0 2,239.8 1,897.1 1,842.2 1,884.7 1,921.5 1,940.0 1,983.8 142.0 18.5 43.8 Nonresidential................ 1,329.8 1,280.1 1,313.5 1,348.9 1,376.7 1,432.8 1,289.0 1,252.2 1,279.0 1,305.2 1,319.7 1,361.0 102.3 14.5 41.3 Structures.................. 335.1 315.9 325.6 340.2 359.0 381.1 253.4 251.0 252.7 254.1 256.0 263.0 5.0 1.9 7.0 Equipment and software...... 994.7 964.3 987.9 1,008.7 1,017.7 1,051.7 1,050.8 1,014.2 1,040.9 1,067.5 1,080.6 1,116.0 103.2 13.1 35.4 Information processing equipment and software... 488.9 474.6 486.6 494.5 500.1 517.1 590.6 565.1 584.6 600.2 612.4 638.2 68.2 12.2 25.8 Computers and peripheral equipment.............. 105.7 102.7 105.6 105.0 109.6 109.3 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Software................ 197.8 188.3 197.3 201.3 204.3 208.1 209.9 199.8 209.1 213.7 216.9 220.1 21.1 3.2 3.2 Other................... 185.4 183.6 183.6 188.2 186.2 199.8 198.7 196.3 196.5 202.1 200.1 215.1 9.8 -2.0 15.0 Industrial equipment...... 161.3 161.3 154.9 161.3 167.5 167.2 149.1 150.9 143.2 148.8 153.6 152.3 9.7 4.8 -1.3 Transportation equipment.. 171.5 163.8 172.8 177.9 171.6 185.5 157.0 148.8 158.1 163.3 157.9 168.8 18.3 -5.4 10.9 Other equipment........... 172.9 164.6 173.7 175.0 178.5 181.8 159.9 153.9 160.6 161.1 163.9 165.5 9.9 2.8 1.6 Residential................... 756.3 718.5 745.0 770.3 791.4 806.9 601.9 584.1 599.3 610.0 614.2 618.8 40.1 4.2 4.6 Change in private inventories... 18.9 59.9 -4.2 -19.7 39.4 33.7 20.3 58.2 -1.7 -13.3 37.9 32.3 -31.7 51.2 -5.6 Farm.......................... -8.4 -6.5 -8.5 -9.5 -8.9 -9.6 -3.7 -2.3 -4.2 -4.5 -3.7 -4.5 -6.0 .8 -.8 Nonfarm....................... 27.2 66.4 4.3 -10.2 48.3 43.3 25.0 61.8 3.4 -8.1 43.0 38.1 -24.9 51.1 -4.9 Net exports of goods and services. -726.5 -697.5 -691.0 -730.4 -787.1 -794.2 -633.1 -645.4 -614.2 -617.5 -655.2 -669.9 -31.8 -37.7 -14.7 Exports......................... 1,301.2 1,253.2 1,297.1 1,314.6 1,339.8 1,394.5 1,195.3 1,165.3 1,195.4 1,202.7 1,217.6 1,260.2 77.4 14.9 42.6 Goods......................... 905.6 865.4 904.7 914.8 937.4 989.2 841.1 810.7 841.3 847.9 864.4 906.2 57.5 16.5 41.8 Services...................... 395.6 387.7 392.5 399.9 402.4 405.3 354.1 354.3 353.9 354.8 353.5 354.8 20.0 -1.3 1.3 Imports......................... 2,027.7 1,950.6 1,988.1 2,045.1 2,126.9 2,188.7 1,828.3 1,810.7 1,809.6 1,820.2 1,872.9 1,930.1 109.1 52.7 57.2 Goods......................... 1,700.7 1,627.6 1,661.8 1,718.6 1,794.8 1,849.3 1,553.0 1,537.3 1,532.9 1,546.1 1,595.8 1,648.7 100.3 49.7 52.9 Services...................... 327.0 323.0 326.3 326.4 332.1 339.4 276.7 274.8 277.7 275.5 278.7 283.4 9.6 3.2 4.7 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............. 2,362.9 2,302.0 2,337.6 2,392.7 2,419.6 2,473.8 1,987.1 1,971.9 1,984.1 1,998.1 1,994.1 2,015.2 34.8 -4.0 21.1 Federal......................... 877.7 860.2 869.8 892.2 888.5 924.7 740.5 731.8 736.1 749.5 744.6 763.4 16.8 -4.9 18.8 National defense.............. 587.1 575.3 582.5 601.7 589.1 611.0 493.6 487.3 491.7 503.6 492.0 503.3 12.3 -11.6 11.3 Consumption expenditures.... 515.9 508.9 512.3 528.6 514.0 534.4 424.1 421.9 422.9 432.2 419.6 429.7 10.8 -12.6 10.1 Gross investment............ 71.2 66.4 70.2 73.1 75.1 76.7 70.0 65.3 69.2 72.0 73.5 74.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 Nondefense.................... 290.6 285.0 287.3 290.5 299.4 313.6 246.6 244.3 244.2 245.6 252.5 259.9 4.4 6.9 7.4 Consumption expenditures.... 253.7 250.7 250.5 254.3 259.1 271.7 210.6 210.4 208.2 210.1 213.7 219.7 2.0 3.6 6.0 Gross investment............ 36.9 34.3 36.8 36.3 40.3 41.9 36.3 33.8 36.3 35.6 39.4 40.8 2.9 3.8 1.4 State and local................. 1,485.2 1,441.7 1,467.7 1,500.4 1,531.1 1,549.2 1,246.3 1,239.8 1,247.8 1,248.5 1,249.3 1,251.9 17.9 .8 2.6 Consumption expenditures.... 1,193.0 1,159.0 1,175.7 1,205.7 1,231.7 1,245.1 991.1 986.8 988.8 993.3 995.6 998.7 11.6 2.3 3.1 Gross investment............ 292.2 282.7 292.0 294.7 299.4 304.1 255.4 253.2 259.4 255.4 253.7 253.2 6.5 -1.7 -.5 Residual.......................... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... -63.6 -48.0 -60.1 -69.6 -77.1 -99.0 ..... ..... ..... Addenda: Final sales of domestic product. 12,468.3 12,138.9 12,382.1 12,625.4 12,726.7 13,003.8 11,112.8 10,940.3 11,089.2 11,214.4 11,207.5 11,357.9 410.4 -6.9 150.4 Gross domestic purchases........ 13,213.7 12,896.3 13,069.0 13,336.1 13,553.3 13,831.6 11,759.1 11,635.4 11,694.8 11,811.2 11,895.0 12,056.6 410.4 83.8 161.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................... 13,194.8 12,836.4 13,073.1 13,355.8 13,513.8 13,798.0 11,737.0 11,576.2 11,694.6 11,823.0 11,854.1 12,019.7 441.7 31.1 165.6 Gross domestic product.......... 12,487.1 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,766.1 13,037.4 11,134.8 10,999.3 11,089.2 11,202.3 11,248.3 11,394.7 379.1 46.0 146.4 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world.......... 507.6 462.3 489.4 520.8 558.0 593.6 455.5 420.4 441.7 465.5 494.4 522.5 71.8 28.9 28.1 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world.......... 474.0 422.9 453.9 476.6 542.6 582.0 423.7 383.3 408.2 424.4 478.9 510.1 90.2 54.5 31.2 Equals: Gross national product.. 12,520.8 12,238.2 12,413.5 12,650.0 12,781.6 13,049.0 11,166.4 11,036.3 11,122.5 11,243.2 11,263.5 11,406.6 360.7 20.3 143.1 Net domestic product............ 10,913.1 10,750.4 10,920.7 10,741.9 11,239.3 11,513.4 9,640.1 9,608.3 9,689.7 9,456.1 9,806.5 9,966.6 274.6 350.4 160.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Note.--Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real GDP, use table 2. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 4.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP). 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.9 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 Personal consumption expenditures... 1.9 2.6 2.8 2.8 1.8 1.7 3.0 .6 2.0 1.3 3.9 3.8 1.5 3.1 2.3 3.3 3.7 2.9 2.0 Durable goods..................... -3.5 -1.9 -.5 -1.9 -1.8 -2.7 -4.3 -4.3 -4.4 -4.1 .1 -.1 -2.4 .6 .9 -.5 -3.0 -.8 -.8 Nondurable goods.................. 2.0 3.3 3.7 5.4 .9 1.2 5.6 -2.4 3.1 .6 6.0 6.6 .1 4.5 1.3 5.7 7.9 .8 1.1 Services.......................... 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.6 3.0 2.8 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.8 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.1 4.6 2.9 Gross private domestic investment... 1.6 3.1 3.1 .5 .2 2.9 2.9 -.5 1.7 3.7 3.4 4.6 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.7 5.2 3.9 Fixed investment.................. 1.7 3.2 3.1 .5 .2 3.0 3.1 -.5 1.7 3.9 3.5 4.6 3.0 2.2 2.6 2.7 4.0 5.4 4.2 Nonresidential.................. .3 1.3 2.1 -.2 -.4 1.1 .1 -1.0 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.8 .9 1.1 3.1 1.9 2.5 3.8 3.7 Structures.................... 3.5 5.5 10.1 5.2 4.3 5.1 4.0 .3 2.9 4.6 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.6 10.3 9.9 16.5 20.3 14.2 Equipment and software........ -.9 -.1 -.4 -2.1 -2.0 -.3 -1.2 -1.4 .6 1.0 -.8 .2 -.9 -.4 .9 -.7 -1.8 -1.3 .3 Residential..................... 4.8 6.7 4.8 2.2 1.5 7.0 9.3 .3 2.7 7.6 8.0 9.7 6.9 4.2 1.6 4.3 6.5 8.3 4.9 Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports........................... 2.1 3.6 3.7 2.8 3.0 .6 4.1 1.0 .9 2.9 5.9 4.8 1.7 4.3 4.6 3.7 2.9 2.7 2.3 Goods........................... 2.0 3.7 3.1 2.2 3.3 .5 3.6 1.6 -.7 4.1 6.5 5.3 1.0 3.8 4.5 2.9 1.3 2.1 2.6 Services........................ 2.5 3.1 5.0 4.3 2.1 .7 5.2 -.3 4.6 .1 4.4 3.7 3.2 5.6 4.7 5.4 6.7 4.0 1.5 Imports........................... 3.4 5.0 6.1 10.3 3.5 .6 11.2 -4.4 2.6 1.1 9.6 6.6 5.7 6.8 2.9 8.2 9.4 4.4 -.6 Goods........................... 2.9 5.0 6.4 10.8 2.6 .4 11.9 -6.7 2.5 .5 10.1 7.9 5.4 6.9 1.9 9.9 10.6 4.8 -1.1 Services........................ 5.8 4.9 4.6 7.6 8.1 1.4 8.0 7.5 3.2 4.2 7.5 .3 7.4 6.5 7.9 -.2 3.4 2.2 2.1 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment............... 3.7 3.7 4.8 2.9 2.6 3.6 8.9 .0 2.5 1.4 6.2 5.0 3.2 4.1 5.7 3.7 6.7 5.4 4.8 Federal........................... 3.9 4.2 3.6 .5 1.0 4.6 9.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 9.7 4.9 2.2 2.6 7.0 2.1 3.0 .9 6.2 National defense................ 4.4 4.0 3.6 1.3 2.4 6.9 9.3 1.1 1.3 1.5 7.8 5.6 2.8 2.7 6.6 1.4 3.5 .9 5.6 Nondefense...................... 3.0 4.6 3.8 -.8 -1.4 .5 11.0 1.6 1.0 .7 13.7 3.6 1.2 2.5 7.9 3.6 2.1 .9 7.3 State and local................... 3.7 3.4 5.4 4.2 3.4 3.0 8.4 -.7 3.2 1.6 4.2 5.0 3.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 9.0 8.2 3.9 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product... 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.8 1.4 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 Gross domestic purchases.......... 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.7 2.8 Final sales to domestic purchasers....................... 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.3 3.7 2.8 Gross national product (GNP)...... 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.8 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 Implicit price deflators: GDP............................. 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.4 1.5 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 3.7 3.9 1.3 2.7 3.0 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 Gross domestic purchases........ 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.4 1.6 2.2 4.1 .4 2.1 1.6 4.3 4.1 1.9 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.7 2.8 GNP............................. 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.5 2.3 3.1 1.1 1.9 1.8 3.7 3.8 1.3 2.7 3.0 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 5.--Real Gross Domestic Product, Quantity Indexes [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 105.130 109.562 113.424 112.044 112.959 114.112 114.580 116.071 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 108.416 112.601 116.582 115.217 116.176 117.338 117.598 119.102 Durable goods............................ 119.134 126.245 131.864 129.999 132.499 135.492 129.468 135.645 Nondurable goods......................... 107.938 113.000 118.008 116.351 117.392 118.413 119.875 121.557 Services................................. 106.493 109.725 112.919 111.789 112.440 113.353 114.094 114.730 Gross private domestic investment.......... 93.195 104.286 110.621 109.645 108.615 110.023 114.201 116.495 Fixed investment......................... 95.297 104.534 112.990 109.722 112.252 114.443 115.544 118.153 Nonresidential......................... 88.063 96.314 104.622 101.633 103.806 105.935 107.116 110.462 Structures........................... 77.621 79.314 80.925 80.145 80.680 81.123 81.753 83.966 Equipment and software............... 92.154 103.126 114.355 110.376 113.274 116.170 117.600 121.450 Residential............................ 113.989 125.714 134.678 130.695 134.100 136.484 137.434 138.471 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 94.064 101.970 109.028 106.295 109.037 109.710 111.070 114.956 Imports of goods and services.............. 105.205 116.495 123.892 122.698 122.620 123.340 126.908 130.788 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 111.009 113.398 115.420 114.537 115.248 116.063 115.830 117.056 Federal.................................. 118.839 125.038 127.945 126.446 127.188 129.491 128.657 131.896 State and local.......................... 107.042 107.487 109.058 108.489 109.183 109.246 109.313 109.541 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product.......... 105.564 109.650 113.856 112.088 113.613 114.896 114.825 116.366 Gross domestic purchases................. 106.285 111.301 115.325 114.112 114.695 115.836 116.658 118.243 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 106.708 111.394 115.750 114.164 115.332 116.598 116.905 118.538 Gross national product................... 105.370 109.637 113.296 111.977 112.851 114.076 114.282 115.734 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 6.--Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 2000=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product............. 106.310 109.102 112.176 110.950 111.655 112.567 113.532 114.456 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)..................................... 105.520 108.246 111.313 109.936 110.832 111.846 112.637 113.186 Durable goods............................ 92.372 90.631 90.168 90.648 90.527 89.839 89.659 89.489 Nondurable goods......................... 104.151 107.634 111.596 109.327 110.854 112.985 113.218 113.521 Services................................. 109.246 112.695 116.195 114.803 115.633 116.508 117.834 118.692 Gross private domestic investment.......... 103.311 106.555 109.836 108.427 109.164 110.169 111.586 112.660 Fixed investment......................... 103.432 106.697 109.970 108.522 109.254 110.318 111.787 112.934 Nonresidential......................... 99.764 101.025 103.161 102.244 102.715 103.358 104.327 105.291 Structures........................... 113.889 120.124 132.228 125.876 128.886 133.914 140.234 144.955 Equipment and software............... 95.133 95.022 94.661 95.067 94.910 94.491 94.174 94.235 Residential............................ 112.379 119.935 125.661 123.062 124.359 126.335 128.889 130.445 Change in private inventories............ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.............. 101.398 104.999 108.867 107.559 108.534 109.323 110.052 110.673 Imports of goods and services.............. 99.610 104.571 110.937 107.783 109.925 112.413 113.626 113.458 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.......................... 109.460 113.505 118.915 116.747 117.820 119.751 121.343 122.763 Federal.................................. 109.740 114.354 118.525 117.550 118.168 119.056 119.327 121.132 State and local.......................... 109.303 113.022 119.170 116.291 117.635 120.186 122.568 123.756 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............ 105.082 107.156 109.311 108.617 109.083 109.450 110.095 110.641 Market-based PCE\1\...................... 105.009 107.422 110.336 108.948 109.860 110.917 111.619 112.087 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\........................... 104.348 105.898 107.678 107.106 107.506 107.797 108.302 108.745 Final sales of domestic product.......... 106.330 109.124 112.196 110.963 111.667 112.589 113.563 114.499 Gross domestic purchases................. 105.863 108.899 112.401 110.883 111.785 112.953 113.981 114.764 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 105.883 108.921 112.421 110.898 111.798 112.976 114.013 114.806 Gross national product................... 106.304 109.094 112.158 110.933 111.638 112.550 113.514 114.436 Implicit price deflators: Gross domestic product................. 106.305 109.099 112.145 110.905 111.622 112.527 113.494 114.417 Final sales of domestic product........ 106.330 109.124 112.197 110.956 111.659 112.582 113.556 114.491 Gross domestic purchases............... 105.858 108.896 112.370 110.837 111.750 112.911 113.941 114.723 Final sales to domestic purchasers..... 105.883 108.920 112.421 110.886 111.787 112.965 114.001 114.795 Gross national product................. 106.299 109.091 112.129 110.890 111.607 112.512 113.477 114.399 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Percentage changes for these series are included in the addenda to table 8 and appendix table A. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Table 7.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Year ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... 1.9 -.2 3.3 2.7 4.0 2.5 3.7 4.5 4.2 4.5 3.7 .8 1.6 2.7 4.2 3.5 Personal consumption expenditures...... 2.0 .2 3.3 3.3 3.7 2.7 3.4 3.8 5.0 5.1 4.7 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.9 3.5 Durable goods........................ -.3 -5.6 5.9 7.8 8.4 4.4 7.8 8.6 11.3 11.7 7.3 4.3 7.1 6.6 6.0 4.5 Nondurable goods..................... 1.6 -.2 2.0 2.7 3.5 2.2 2.6 2.7 4.0 4.6 3.8 2.0 2.5 3.2 4.7 4.4 Services............................. 2.9 1.7 3.5 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.0 4.5 2.4 1.9 2.0 3.0 2.9 Gross private domestic investment...... -3.4 -8.1 8.1 8.9 13.6 3.1 8.9 12.4 9.8 7.8 5.7 -7.9 -2.6 3.9 11.9 6.1 Fixed investment..................... -2.1 -6.5 5.9 8.6 9.3 6.5 9.0 9.2 10.2 8.3 6.5 -3.0 -5.2 3.6 9.7 8.1 Nonresidential..................... .5 -5.4 3.2 8.7 9.2 10.5 9.3 12.1 11.1 9.2 8.7 -4.2 -9.2 1.3 9.4 8.6 Structures....................... 1.5 -11.1 -6.0 -.7 1.8 6.4 5.6 7.3 5.1 -.4 6.8 -2.3 -17.1 -4.2 2.2 2.0 Equipment and software........... .0 -2.6 7.3 12.5 11.9 12.0 10.6 13.8 13.3 12.7 9.4 -4.9 -6.2 3.2 11.9 10.9 Residential........................ -8.6 -9.6 13.8 8.2 9.6 -3.2 8.0 1.9 7.6 6.0 .8 .4 4.8 8.4 10.3 7.1 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. 9.0 6.6 6.9 3.2 8.7 10.1 8.4 11.9 2.4 4.3 8.7 -5.4 -2.3 1.8 8.4 6.9 Goods.............................. 8.4 6.9 7.5 3.3 9.7 11.7 8.8 14.3 2.2 3.8 11.2 -6.1 -4.0 1.8 8.9 7.3 Services........................... 10.5 6.0 5.5 3.2 6.3 6.3 7.2 5.9 2.9 5.6 2.9 -3.7 1.9 1.7 7.4 6.0 Imports.............................. 3.6 -.6 7.0 8.8 11.9 8.0 8.7 13.6 11.6 11.5 13.1 -2.7 3.4 4.6 10.7 6.3 Goods.............................. 3.0 -.1 9.3 10.1 13.3 9.0 9.3 14.4 11.7 12.4 13.5 -3.2 3.7 4.9 11.0 6.9 Services........................... 6.5 -2.6 -2.6 2.9 5.7 3.3 5.5 9.4 11.4 6.9 11.1 -.3 2.1 3.0 9.6 3.6 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 3.2 1.1 .5 -.9 .0 .5 1.0 1.9 1.9 3.9 2.1 3.4 4.4 2.8 2.2 1.8 Federal.............................. 2.0 -.2 -1.7 -4.2 -3.7 -2.7 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1 2.2 .9 3.9 7.0 6.9 5.2 2.3 National defense................... .0 -1.1 -5.0 -5.6 -4.9 -3.8 -1.4 -2.8 -2.1 1.9 -.5 3.9 7.4 8.8 7.0 2.6 Nondefense......................... 8.3 2.4 6.9 -.7 -1.2 -.4 -.7 2.6 .7 2.8 3.5 3.9 6.3 3.4 1.8 1.8 State and local...................... 4.1 2.1 2.2 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.3 3.6 3.6 4.7 2.7 3.2 3.1 .6 .4 1.5 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 2.1 .1 3.0 2.6 3.4 3.0 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.5 3.8 1.6 1.2 2.7 3.9 3.8 Gross domestic purchases............. 1.4 -.8 3.3 3.2 4.4 2.4 3.8 4.8 5.3 5.3 4.4 .9 2.2 3.0 4.7 3.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers... 1.6 -.6 3.1 3.2 3.8 2.8 3.8 4.3 5.3 5.4 4.5 1.8 1.8 3.0 4.4 3.9 Gross national product............... 2.0 -.3 3.3 2.7 3.9 2.6 3.7 4.4 4.0 4.6 3.7 .8 1.5 3.0 4.0 3.3 Real disposable personal income...... 1.9 .5 3.4 1.0 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.5 5.8 3.0 4.8 1.9 3.1 2.4 3.4 1.3 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 4.1 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 .6 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.2 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.4 2.5 GDP................................ 3.9 3.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.8 GDP excluding food and energy...... 3.7 3.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.8 2.5 2.7 Personal consumption expenditures.. 4.6 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.7 .9 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.9 2.6 2.8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. Table 8.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r I 06r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP).... 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.6 2.0 3.2 4.0 4.7 4.6 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.6 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)................................. 3.1 3.2 1.9 2.1 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.9 3.8 2.9 3.4 Durable goods........................ 8.9 11.0 1.2 3.2 6.0 7.9 9.2 9.4 5.8 3.7 5.2 4.7 6.7 6.3 .2 4.3 Nondurable goods..................... 3.0 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2 4.2 4.1 4.9 5.1 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.5 Services............................. 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.6 Gross private domestic investment...... -5.4 -1.4 4.9 1.5 1.7 4.4 7.7 10.5 15.1 11.8 10.4 10.1 4.0 4.1 6.3 6.2 Fixed investment..................... -5.8 -4.9 -2.5 -.7 1.8 5.6 7.7 9.3 10.9 9.3 9.4 9.4 8.0 7.9 7.1 7.7 Nonresidential..................... -9.8 -8.7 -6.5 -3.5 .0 3.2 5.6 7.9 9.2 9.4 10.9 10.3 9.2 8.3 6.9 8.7 Structures....................... -17.4 -22.0 -14.9 -12.2 -4.5 -.5 1.2 2.6 1.5 1.9 2.7 3.1 1.7 1.9 1.5 4.8 Equipment and software........... -6.8 -3.2 -3.4 -.3 1.6 4.4 7.2 9.8 11.9 12.0 13.8 12.8 11.7 10.5 8.7 10.0 Residential........................ 4.3 4.4 7.0 5.6 5.6 10.5 11.8 11.9 13.9 9.1 6.6 7.7 6.1 7.2 7.6 5.9 Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports.............................. -4.0 1.6 3.8 1.7 -1.3 .7 6.0 8.1 10.5 9.0 6.1 6.7 7.7 6.9 6.4 8.1 Goods.............................. -4.9 1.1 1.1 1.9 -1.5 .2 6.7 8.3 10.4 10.1 6.8 6.2 8.2 6.9 8.0 11.8 Services........................... -2.0 2.8 10.2 1.4 -1.0 1.9 4.5 7.8 10.9 6.4 4.6 7.9 6.5 6.9 2.8 .1 Imports.............................. 2.1 6.4 9.7 6.0 3.8 3.4 5.1 8.8 11.7 11.8 10.6 9.4 5.7 5.1 5.3 6.6 Goods.............................. 3.2 7.2 9.9 6.8 4.5 3.1 5.3 9.2 11.2 12.3 11.1 10.1 6.1 5.8 5.9 7.2 Services........................... -3.0 2.4 8.8 2.4 .5 5.0 4.2 7.3 13.8 9.7 7.7 6.2 3.9 2.0 2.4 3.1 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 4.0 4.9 4.0 2.9 3.5 3.0 1.9 2.9 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.6 2.2 Federal.............................. 6.7 7.5 7.8 6.4 8.6 7.2 5.5 8.1 3.6 5.1 4.2 2.1 1.9 2.9 2.3 4.3 National defense................... 7.4 7.9 8.4 6.5 12.2 9.2 7.5 12.1 3.7 7.8 4.9 2.3 3.0 3.3 1.7 3.3 Nondefense......................... 5.5 6.8 6.8 6.2 2.1 3.6 1.6 .8 3.5 .0 2.8 1.8 -.2 2.1 3.6 6.4 State and local...................... 2.6 3.6 2.1 1.1 .7 .8 .0 .0 .5 .2 .9 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.0 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 1.2 1.7 .8 1.3 2.0 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.6 3.5 4.2 4.3 3.3 3.8 Gross domestic purchases............. 1.9 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.5 3.4 4.0 4.9 5.1 4.4 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers... 1.9 2.3 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.6 4.0 4.7 4.5 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.8 Gross national product............... 1.0 2.3 1.6 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.4 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.0 3.4 Real disposable personal income...... 4.6 1.4 2.9 .7 1.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.2 2.1 4.1 2.3 2.1 1.0 .1 1.5 Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........... 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.5 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy................... 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.7 GDP................................ 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 GDP excluding food and energy...... 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 PCE................................ 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.7 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.0 PCE excluding food and energy...... 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.9 Market-based PCE\1\................ .9 1.1 1.7 2.3 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.4 3.1 3.0 2.9 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\1\..................... 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. 1. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. Table 9.--Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r I 06r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product..................... 10,971.2 11,734.3 12,487.1 12,198.8 12,378.0 12,605.7 12,766.1 13,037.4 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world..................................... 343.7 415.4 507.6 462.3 489.4 520.8 558.0 593.6 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world..................................... 275.6 361.7 474.0 422.9 453.9 476.6 542.6 582.0 Equals: Gross national product............. 11,039.3 11,788.0 12,520.8 12,238.2 12,413.5 12,650.0 12,781.6 13,049.0 Less: Consumption of fixed capital......... 1,331.3 1,435.3 1,574.1 1,448.4 1,457.2 1,863.8 1,526.9 1,524.0 Less: Statistical discrepancy.............. 47.1 76.8 55.0 39.4 78.3 44.3 58.0 33.3 Equals: National income.................... 9,660.9 10,275.9 10,891.7 10,750.4 10,878.0 10,741.9 11,196.7 11,491.7 Compensation of employees................ 6,321.1 6,687.6 7,113.1 7,001.7 7,060.2 7,177.6 7,212.9 7,329.5 Wage and salary accruals............... 5,111.1 5,389.4 5,712.3 5,629.9 5,672.3 5,762.3 5,784.6 5,867.4 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,210.0 1,298.1 1,400.8 1,371.8 1,387.9 1,415.3 1,428.3 1,462.1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 810.2 889.6 938.7 917.9 936.6 932.4 967.7 977.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 131.7 134.2 72.9 118.0 104.4 -11.1 80.3 69.1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1,031.8 1,161.5 1,351.9 1,288.2 1,347.5 1,293.1 1,478.9 1,595.4 Net interest and miscellaneous payments.. 528.5 505.5 498.3 498.3 488.7 497.6 508.5 538.5 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies............................... 754.8 809.4 848.0 833.2 848.0 853.4 857.2 881.9 Business current transfer payments....... 81.6 91.1 80.2 99.0 99.6 21.8 100.3 104.8 Current surplus of government enterprises............................. 1.3 -3.0 -11.3 -6.1 -7.0 -22.8 -9.1 -5.5 Addendum: Gross domestic income.................... 10,924.2 11,657.5 12,432.2 12,159.4 12,299.7 12,561.4 12,708.2 13,004.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. Table 10.--Personal Income and Its Disposition [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r I 06r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income\1\......................... 9,169.1 9,713.3 10,237.7 10,073.4 10,185.7 10,250.4 10,441.1 10,593.7 Compensation of employees, received...... 6,321.1 6,687.6 7,113.1 7,001.7 7,060.2 7,177.6 7,212.9 7,329.5 Wage and salary disbursements.......... 5,111.1 5,389.4 5,712.3 5,629.9 5,672.3 5,762.3 5,784.6 5,867.4 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 1,210.0 1,298.1 1,400.8 1,371.8 1,387.9 1,415.3 1,428.3 1,462.1 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 810.2 889.6 938.7 917.9 936.6 932.4 967.7 977.9 Farm................................... 27.7 35.8 20.8 24.7 19.6 18.0 21.0 15.1 Nonfarm................................ 782.4 853.8 917.8 893.2 917.1 914.3 946.7 962.8 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.................. 131.7 134.2 72.9 118.0 104.4 -11.1 80.3 69.1 Personal income receipts on assets....... 1,338.7 1,396.5 1,457.4 1,407.9 1,439.8 1,468.9 1,512.9 1,535.8 Personal interest income............... 917.6 905.9 945.7 915.4 936.0 951.2 980.1 989.6 Personal dividend income............... 421.1 490.6 511.7 492.5 503.8 517.6 532.9 546.2 Personal current transfer receipts....... 1,344.0 1,427.5 1,525.3 1,488.8 1,509.6 1,558.1 1,544.7 1,582.4 Less: Contributions for government social insurance........................ 776.6 822.2 869.7 861.0 864.9 875.4 877.4 901.0 Less: Personal current taxes............... 999.9 1,049.1 1,207.7 1,171.4 1,206.0 1,220.4 1,233.1 1,292.1 Equals: Disposable personal income......... 8,169.2 8,664.2 9,029.9 8,902.0 8,979.7 9,030.0 9,208.0 9,301.6 Less: Personal outlays..................... 7,996.3 8,512.5 9,072.1 8,854.6 9,001.2 9,173.9 9,258.5 9,421.4 Equals: Personal saving.................... 172.8 151.8 -42.1 47.4 -21.5 -143.9 -50.5 -119.8 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income.............. 2.1 1.8 -.5 .5 -.2 -1.6 -.5 -1.3 Addendum: Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2000) dollars\2\............... 7,741.8 8,004.3 8,112.2 8,098.1 8,102.6 8,074.2 8,175.6 8,218.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. 1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments, current surplus of government enterprises, and wage accruals less disbursements, plus personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts. 2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Table 11.--Corporate Profits: Level and Percent Change ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of dollars Percent change from preceding period ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ Seasonally adjusted Quarterly Quarter one at annual rates rates year ago --------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------- 2003 2004 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 2004 2005 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 I 06 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......................... 1,031.8 1,161.5 1,351.9 1,288.2 1,347.5 1,293.1 1,478.9 1,595.4 12.6 16.4 4.6 -4.0 14.4 7.9 23.8 Less: Taxes on corporate income...... 232.1 271.1 378.1 362.6 372.5 360.3 417.1 440.3 16.8 39.5 2.7 -3.3 15.8 5.6 21.4 Equals: Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............. 799.7 890.3 973.8 925.6 975.0 932.8 1,061.8 1,155.1 11.3 9.4 5.3 -4.3 13.8 8.8 24.8 Net dividends...................... 423.2 493.0 514.2 494.9 506.3 520.1 535.4 548.8 16.5 4.3 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.5 10.9 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........... 376.5 397.3 459.6 430.7 468.7 412.6 526.4 606.3 5.5 15.7 8.8 -12.0 27.6 15.2 40.8 Cash flow: Net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments....................... 1,130.8 1,196.9 1,303.3 1,239.2 1,280.9 1,324.9 1,368.0 1,452.6 5.8 8.9 3.4 3.4 3.3 6.2 17.2 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......... 376.5 397.3 459.6 430.7 468.7 412.6 526.4 606.3 5.5 15.7 8.8 -12.0 27.6 15.2 40.8 Consumption of fixed capital..... 754.4 799.6 843.6 808.5 812.2 912.3 841.6 846.2 6.0 5.5 .5 12.3 -7.7 .5 4.7 Less: Inventory valuation adjustment........................ -13.3 -39.6 -31.5 -39.1 -18.9 -27.5 -40.4 -20.8 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Equals: Net cash flow.............. 1,144.1 1,236.6 1,334.7 1,278.3 1,299.8 1,352.4 1,408.5 1,473.3 8.1 7.9 1.7 4.0 4.1 4.6 15.3 Addenda: Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).......... 937.2 1,059.3 1,438.3 1,378.3 1,412.2 1,392.6 1,570.1 1,659.9 13.0 35.8 2.5 -1.4 12.7 5.7 20.4 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).......... 705.1 788.2 1,060.2 1,015.7 1,039.7 1,032.3 1,153.0 1,219.7 11.8 34.5 2.4 -.7 11.7 5.8 20.1 Inventory valuation adjustment..... -13.3 -39.6 -31.5 -39.1 -18.9 -27.5 -40.4 -20.8 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Capital consumption adjustment..... 107.9 141.8 -54.9 -51.0 -45.8 -72.1 -50.7 -43.8 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table 12.--Corporate Profits by Industry: Level and Change From Preceding Period [Billions of dollars] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Level Change from preceding period ---------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 2004 2005 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................. 1,031.8 1,161.5 1,351.9 1,288.2 1,347.5 1,293.1 1,478.9 1,595.4 129.7 190.4 59.3 -54.4 185.8 116.5 Domestic industries.......................... 855.8 976.6 1,146.3 1,094.8 1,150.3 1,069.9 1,270.3 1,377.9 120.8 169.7 55.5 -80.4 200.4 107.6 Financial.................................. 330.9 322.7 347.7 377.6 350.7 278.8 383.7 450.8 -8.2 25.0 -26.9 -71.9 104.9 67.1 Nonfinancial............................... 524.9 653.9 798.6 717.1 799.6 791.1 886.6 927.1 129.0 144.7 82.5 -8.5 95.5 40.5 Rest of the world............................ 176.0 184.9 205.6 193.5 197.2 223.1 208.6 217.5 8.9 20.7 3.7 25.9 -14.5 8.9 Receipts from the rest of the world........ 255.7 309.5 334.2 313.5 328.2 338.3 356.6 368.6 53.8 24.7 14.7 10.1 18.3 12.0 Less: Payments to the rest of the world.... 79.7 124.6 128.5 120.1 131.0 115.1 148.0 151.1 44.9 3.9 10.9 -15.9 32.9 3.1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment.................... 923.9 1,019.7 1,406.8 1,339.2 1,393.3 1,365.1 1,529.7 1,639.2 95.8 387.1 54.1 -28.2 164.6 109.5 Domestic industries.......................... 747.9 834.8 1,201.2 1,145.7 1,196.1 1,142.0 1,321.1 1,421.7 86.9 366.4 50.4 -54.1 179.1 100.6 Financial.................................. 313.0 300.6 347.0 377.2 349.5 278.7 382.7 449.2 -12.4 46.4 -27.7 -70.8 104.0 66.5 Federal Reserve banks.................... 20.2 20.3 26.8 23.1 26.2 27.0 30.8 31.2 .1 6.5 3.1 .8 3.8 .4 Other financial.......................... 292.8 280.3 320.3 354.2 323.2 251.7 352.0 418.0 -12.5 40.0 -31.0 -71.5 100.3 66.0 Nonfinancial............................... 434.9 534.2 854.2 768.5 846.6 863.3 938.3 972.5 99.3 320.0 78.1 16.7 75.0 34.2 Utilities................................ 11.4 12.1 27.4 23.7 26.4 19.7 39.6 ..... .7 15.3 2.7 -6.7 19.9 ..... Manufacturing............................ 80.7 118.9 207.9 170.2 204.7 218.6 238.3 ..... 38.2 89.0 34.5 13.9 19.7 ..... Durable goods.......................... -4.1 34.8 55.9 35.5 59.9 62.0 66.2 ..... 38.9 21.1 24.4 2.1 4.2 ..... Fabricated metal products............ 8.5 10.3 12.4 8.8 11.4 15.7 13.6 ..... 1.8 2.1 2.6 4.3 -2.1 ..... Machinery............................ 1.4 1.0 4.7 .9 2.9 7.6 7.2 ..... -.4 3.7 2.0 4.7 -.4 ..... Computer and electronic products..... -16.1 -3.2 5.0 .5 4.2 6.7 8.5 ..... 12.9 8.2 3.7 2.5 1.8 ..... Electrical equipment, appliances, and components...................... 1.9 .3 4.5 -1.3 5.5 8.6 5.2 ..... -1.6 4.2 6.8 3.1 -3.4 ..... Motor vehicles, bodies and trailers, and parts........................... -11.6 -3.4 -22.2 -20.8 -15.7 -25.3 -27.0 ..... 8.2 -18.8 5.1 -9.6 -1.7 ..... Other durable goods.................. 11.9 29.9 51.6 47.3 51.6 48.8 58.7 ..... 18.0 21.7 4.3 -2.8 9.9 ..... Nondurable goods....................... 84.8 84.0 152.0 134.7 144.8 156.6 172.1 ..... -.8 68.0 10.1 11.8 15.5 ..... Food and beverage and tobacco products............................ 23.5 24.0 39.8 39.6 37.7 40.8 41.1 ..... .5 15.8 -1.9 3.1 .3 ..... Petroleum and coal products.......... 23.6 31.0 70.2 62.8 66.3 70.8 80.7 ..... 7.4 39.2 3.5 4.5 9.9 ..... Chemical products.................... 20.8 13.5 21.4 18.8 20.5 22.7 23.4 ..... -7.3 7.9 1.7 2.2 .7 ..... Other nondurable goods............... 16.9 15.6 20.7 13.5 20.3 22.3 26.9 ..... -1.3 5.1 6.8 2.0 4.6 ..... Wholesale trade.......................... 56.3 63.5 93.9 81.4 98.1 95.4 100.6 ..... 7.2 30.4 16.7 -2.7 5.2 ..... Retail trade............................. 87.7 90.0 115.2 104.6 109.1 116.9 130.4 ..... 2.3 25.2 4.5 7.8 13.5 ..... Transportation and warehousing........... 8.1 8.4 28.2 22.9 27.9 32.9 29.1 ..... .3 19.8 5.0 5.0 -3.8 ..... Information.............................. -1.9 17.0 51.1 46.7 53.5 50.2 54.0 ..... 18.9 34.1 6.8 -3.3 3.8 ..... Other nonfinancial....................... 192.4 224.3 330.4 318.9 326.9 329.6 346.4 ..... 31.9 106.1 8.0 2.7 16.8 ..... Rest of the world............................ 176.0 184.9 205.6 193.5 197.2 223.1 208.6 217.5 8.9 20.7 3.7 25.9 -14.5 8.9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Note.--Estimates in this table are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Table 13.--Gross Value Added of Nonfinancial Domestic Corporate Business ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005r I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05r I 06 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business.................... 5,595.7 5,995.4 6,465.3 6,282.8 6,414.0 6,528.0 6,636.5 6,783.7 Consumption of fixed capital............... 652.6 690.3 729.1 697.5 700.4 792.8 725.7 729.0 Net value added............................ 4,943.1 5,305.1 5,736.2 5,585.3 5,713.6 5,735.2 5,910.8 6,054.7 Compensation of employees................ 3,703.2 3,906.8 4,173.3 4,105.4 4,140.5 4,214.7 4,232.5 4,306.1 Wage and salary accruals............... 3,007.8 3,168.6 3,375.3 3,323.6 3,349.9 3,408.6 3,419.2 3,471.8 Supplements to wages and salaries...... 695.4 738.3 798.0 781.8 790.6 806.1 813.4 834.3 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies............................... 486.5 519.1 549.7 537.7 547.9 553.7 559.8 569.7 Net operating surplus.................... 753.4 879.2 1,013.2 942.2 1,025.2 966.8 1,118.5 1,178.9 Net interest and miscellaneous payments.............................. 166.2 164.9 171.5 167.0 167.3 172.8 179.0 190.5 Business current transfer payments..... 62.4 60.4 43.1 58.0 58.4 2.9 52.9 61.3 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... 524.9 653.9 798.6 717.1 799.6 791.1 886.6 927.1 Taxes on corporate income............ 126.5 165.9 254.7 231.9 248.6 258.0 280.3 282.6 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......................... 398.3 487.9 543.9 485.2 550.9 533.1 606.3 644.6 Net dividends...................... 295.5 361.2 252.5 306.7 297.6 181.7 224.0 489.3 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........... 102.8 126.7 291.4 178.5 253.4 351.4 382.3 155.3 Addenda: Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments)............................ 448.1 573.9 885.7 807.6 865.5 890.8 978.8 993.3 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments)............................ 321.6 407.9 630.9 575.6 616.9 632.8 698.5 710.7 Inventory valuation adjustment........... -13.3 -39.6 -31.5 -39.1 -18.9 -27.5 -40.4 -20.8 Capital consumption adjustment........... 90.0 119.7 -55.6 -51.3 -47.0 -72.2 -51.7 -45.4 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2000) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business\1\................. 5,418.2 5,714.1 6,077.2 5,943.3 6,046.0 6,121.9 6,197.6 6,284.9 Consumption of fixed capital\2\............ 629.4 656.5 686.9 660.2 663.6 745.2 678.6 675.9 Net value added\3\......................... 4,788.8 5,057.6 5,390.3 5,283.1 5,382.4 5,376.6 5,519.0 5,609.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price, costs, and profits per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business: Price per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business\4\... 1.033 1.049 1.064 1.057 1.061 1.066 1.071 1.079 Compensation of employees (unit labor cost)................................... .683 .684 .687 .691 .685 .688 .683 .685 Unit nonlabor cost....................... .252 .251 .246 .245 .244 .249 .245 .246 Consumption of fixed capital........... .120 .121 .120 .117 .116 .130 .117 .116 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies plus business current transfer payments..................... .101 .101 .098 .100 .100 .091 .099 .100 Net interest and miscellaneous payments .031 .029 .028 .028 .028 .028 .029 .030 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (unit profits from current production)........ .097 .114 .131 .121 .132 .129 .143 .148 Taxes on corporate income.............. .023 .029 .042 .039 .041 .042 .045 .045 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... .074 .085 .089 .082 .091 .087 .098 .103 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the introduction of revised wage and salary estimates for the fourth quarter of 2005. 1. The current-dollar gross value added is deflated using the gross value added chain-type price index for nonfinancial industries from the GDP-by-industry accounts. For periods when this price index is not available, the chain-type price index for GDP goods and structures is used. 2. Chained-dollar consumption of fixed capital of nonfinancial corporate business is calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 2000 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. 3. Chained-dollar net value added of nonfinancial corporate business is the difference between the gross value added and the consumption of fixed capital. 4. The deflator for gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business divided by 100. Note.--Estimates in this table are based on the 1997 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Appendix Table A.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates and Price Indexes: Percent Change From Preceding Period [Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 2004 2005 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03 II 03 III 03 IV 03 I 04 II 04 III 04 IV 04 I 05 II 05 III 05 IV 05 I 06r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP) and related aggregates: GDP............................... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.2 2.4 .2 1.7 3.7 7.2 3.6 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.8 3.3 4.1 1.7 5.3 Goods............................. 3.4 6.5 4.7 1.5 5.2 -5.2 4.3 2.3 16.8 2.9 7.2 4.7 6.6 3.9 4.4 5.0 5.3 2.3 11.0 Services.......................... 2.2 2.7 2.7 3.4 1.7 2.9 .7 3.7 1.3 3.8 3.3 1.2 3.0 3.2 3.2 1.5 3.6 1.1 2.7 Structures........................ 3.2 5.7 4.8 -2.7 -3.0 3.1 -.9 8.2 13.6 4.1 .6 13.1 1.2 2.2 5.2 8.4 3.3 2.6 3.3 Motor vehicle output.............. 3.8 4.6 3.4 5.7 11.6 .5 .3 -2.5 22.6 -3.6 14.4 -7.3 3.0 8.8 4.3 -.3 17.6 -17.2 -3.5 GDP excuding motor vehicle output........................... 2.7 4.2 3.5 2.1 2.0 .2 1.8 3.9 6.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.1 3.8 3.4 3.7 2.4 5.6 Final sales of computers\1\....... 20.2 20.4 39.6 .7 29.3 15.3 7.1 14.4 78.0 11.9 10.2 10.3 13.3 56.5 54.9 45.4 20.3 45.9 5.6 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 2.6 4.1 3.3 2.2 2.2 .1 1.7 3.6 6.8 3.5 4.2 3.4 3.9 3.0 3.5 3.0 4.0 1.3 5.3 Farm gross value added\2\......... 8.4 .0 -8.0 133.6 63.9 34.2 -22.3 27.0 -34.1 -13.1 89.8 -31.5 -11.3 -17.1 7.3 -31.1 20.9 36.7 3.2 Nonfarm business gross value added\3\......................... 3.3 4.8 4.2 1.4 3.1 .1 2.0 4.7 10.4 2.8 4.2 4.6 4.6 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.7 1.5 6.5 Price indexes: GDP............................... 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.2 3.1 1.1 1.8 1.9 3.6 3.9 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.3 GDP excluding food and energy..... 1.8 2.5 2.7 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.6 .9 1.6 1.7 3.3 3.4 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.3 GDP excluding final sales of computers........................ 2.2 2.7 3.0 1.7 1.7 2.4 3.2 1.2 2.0 1.9 3.7 3.9 1.6 2.9 3.3 2.8 3.5 3.7 3.5 Gross domestic purchases.......... 2.2 2.9 3.2 2.5 1.7 2.2 4.1 .4 2.0 1.7 4.2 4.1 2.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 4.2 3.7 2.8 Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy.................. 1.8 2.4 2.5 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.5 1.0 1.7 1.8 3.4 3.2 2.0 2.4 3.0 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.2 Gross domestic purchases excluding final sales of computers to domestic purchasers.............. 2.4 3.0 3.4 2.6 1.9 2.4 4.3 .5 2.2 1.8 4.3 4.3 2.2 3.4 3.1 3.5 4.5 3.9 3.0 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)............................ 1.9 2.6 2.8 2.8 1.8 1.7 3.0 .6 2.0 1.3 3.9 3.8 1.5 3.1 2.3 3.3 3.7 2.9 2.0 Personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy........ 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.7 2.5 1.5 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.4 2.4 2.0 Market-based PCE\4\............... 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 1.7 1.7 3.1 .5 1.9 .9 3.4 3.7 1.1 2.8 2.1 3.4 3.9 2.6 1.7 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\4\.................... 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.2 .8 1.0 1.4 .9 1.9 2.0 1.1 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.1 1.9 1.6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised 1. For some components of final sales of computers, includes computer parts. 2. Farm output less intermediate goods and services purchased. 3. Consists of GDP less gross value added of farm, of households and institutions, and of general government. 4. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, the services furnished without payment by financial intermediaries) and the expenses of nonprofit institutions. See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Explanatory Note: NIPA Measures of Quantities and Prices Current-dollar GDP is a measure of the market value of goods, services, and structures produced in the economy in a particular period. Changes in current-dollar GDP can be decomposed into quantity and price components. Quantities, or "real" measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with the reference year -- at present, the year 2000 -- equal to 100. Annual changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent years. (Quarterly changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent quarters; quarterly indexes are adjusted for consistency to the annual indexes before percent changes are calculated.) For example, the 2003-04 annual percent change in real GDP uses prices for 2003 and 2004 as weights, and the 2003-04 annual percent change in GDP prices uses quantities for 2003 and 2004 as weights. These annual changes are "chained" (multiplied) together to form time series of quantity and price indexes. Percent changes in Fisher indexes are not affected by the choice of reference year. (BEA also publishes a measure of the price level known as the implicit price deflator (IPD), which is calculated as the ratio of the current-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value, multiplied by 100. The values of the IPD are very close to the values of the corresponding "chain-type" price index.) Index numbers of quantity and price indexes for GDP and its major components are presented in this release in tables 5 and 6. Percent changes from the preceding period are presented in tables 1, 4, 7, and 8. Contributions by major components to changes in real GDP are presented in table 2. Measures of real GDP and its major components are also presented in dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (2000) dollar estimates." For most series, these estimates, which are presented in table 3, are computed by multiplying the current-dollar value in 2000 by a corresponding quantity index number and then dividing by 100. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 2000 and if real output for this component increased 10 percent in 2001, then the chained (2000) dollar value of this component in 2001 would be $110 (= $100 x 110 / 100). Percent changes calculated from chained-dollar estimates and from chain-type quantity indexes are the same; any differences will be small and due to rounding. Chained-dollar values for the detailed GDP components will not necessarily sum to the chained-dollar estimate of GDP (or to any intermediate aggregate). This is because the relative prices used as weights for any period other than the reference year differ from those of the reference year. A measure of the extent of such differences is provided by a "residual" line, which indicates the difference between GDP (or other major aggregate) and the sum of the most detailed components in the table. For periods close to the reference year, when there usually has not been much change in the relative prices that are used as weights, the residuals tend to be small, and the chained-dollar estimates can be used to approximate the contributions to growth and to aggregate the detailed estimates. For periods further from the reference year, the residuals tend to be larger, and the chained-dollar estimates are less useful for analyses of contributions to growth. Thus, the contributions to percent change shown in table 2 provide a better measure of the composition of GDP growth. In particular, for components for which relative prices are changing rapidly, calculation of contributions using chained-dollar estimates may be misleading even just a few years from the reference year. Reference: "Chained-Dollar Indexes: Issues, Tips on Their Use, and Upcoming Changes," November 2003 Survey, pp. 8-16.