News Release

FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION: 8:30 A.M. EST, MONDAY, JANUARY 31, 2000
BEA 00-03

Personal Income, December 1999





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James E. Rankin: (202) 606-5301  (Personal Income)                              BEA 00-03
Greg Key:              606-5302  (Personal Outlays)
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            PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS:  DECEMBER 1999

    Personal income increased $25.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI)
increased $14.0 billion, or 0.2 percent, in December, according to the Commerce Department's
Bureau of Economic Analysis.  Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $51.3 billion, or
0.8 percent.  In November, personal income increased $31.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, DPI increased
$25.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $41.5 billion, or 0.7 percent, based on revised
estimates.

                                                                1999
                                          Aug.          Sept.           Oct.           Nov.         Dec.
                                                   (Percent change from preceding month)

Personal income, current dollars          0.4            0.1            1.2            0.4           0.3

Disposable personal income:
  Current dollars                          .6            -.2            1.3             .4            .2
  Chained (1996) dollars                   .4            -.5            1.1             .3            .0

Personal consumption expenditures:
  Current dollars                          .8             .5             .6             .7            .8
  Chained (1996) dollars                   .6             .2             .4             .5            .6

    Personal income for November and December was affected by a number of special factors,
which included Federal agricultural subsidy payments, lump-sum social security benefit payments, and
union contract signing bonuses in the manufacturing sector.  Excluding these special factors, personal
income increased $53.1 billion, or 0.7 percent, in December and increased $35.5 billion in
November, or 0.4 percent.  These special factors are discussed more fully below.
Wages and salaries

    Private wage and salary disbursements increased $30.1 billion in December, compared with
an increase of $11.6 billion in November.  Goods-producing industries' payrolls increased $3.2
billion, in contrast to a decrease of $0.4 billion; manufacturing payrolls increased $0.8 billion, in
contrast to a decrease of $3.9 billion.  These changes reflected the pattern of signing bonuses for
union employees in the automotive and aircraft industries, which were $1.6 billion at an annual
rate in November and $5.9 billion at an annual rate in October.  Distributive industries' payrolls
increased $13.7 billion in December, compared with an increase of $2.2 billion in November.
Service industries' payrolls increased $13.2 billion, compared with an increase of $9.9 billion.
Government wage and salary disbursements increased $3.8 billion, compared with an increase of
$2.2 billion.

Other personal income

    Proprietors' income decreased $19.4 billion in December, in contrast to an increase of $7.9
billion in November.  Farm proprietors' income decreased $24.9 billion, in contrast to an increase of
$1.1 billion.  The changes in farm proprietors' income reflected the pattern of subsidy payments,
which were $0.7 billion at an annual rate in December and $25.2 billion at an annual rate in
November and in October.  These payments were authorized under the Agriculture, Rural
Development, Food and Drug Administration, and Related Agencies Appropriation Act.  Nonfarm
proprietors' income increased $5.5 billion in December, compared with an increase of $6.8 billion in
November.

    Rental income of persons decreased $4.2 billion in December, in contrast to an increase of $1.6
billion in November.  The changes in rental income of persons reflected the pattern of Federal
agricultural subsidy payments to owners of leased farm land, which were $0.2 billion in December
and $5.5 billion in November and in October.

    Transfer payments increased $8.3 billion in December, in contrast to a decrease of $0.6 billion
in November.  The December increase in transfer payments reflected in part retroactive social security
benefit payments of $3.7 billion at an annual rate, resulting from a recalculation of the earnings base
underlying the benefits for recent retirees.

     Personal interest income increased $4.5 billion in December, compared with an increase of
$5.0 billion in November.  Personal dividend income increased $2.1 billion, compared with an
increase of $2.0 billion.

    Personal contributions for social insurance -- a subtraction in calculating personal income --
increased $1.8 billion in December, compared with an increase of $0.5 billion in November.


Personal taxes and disposable personal income

    Personal tax and nontax payments increased $11.4 billion in December, compared with an
increase of $5.5 billion in November.  Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less
personal tax and nontax payments -- increased $14.0 billion, or 0.2 percent, in December, compared
with an increase of $25.7 billion, or 0.4 percent, in November.

Personal outlays and personal saving

    Personal outlays -- PCE, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer payments to the rest of
the world (net) -- increased $51.8 billion in December, compared with an increase of $43.7 billion
in November.  PCE increased $51.3 billion, compared with an increase of $41.5 billion.

    Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $99.6 billion in December, compared with
$137.3 billion in November.  Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 1.5
percent in December, compared with 2.0 percent in November.

Real DPI and real PCE

    Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased less than 0.1 percent in
December, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in November.

    Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.6 percent in December,
compared with an increase of 0.5 percent in November.  Purchases of durable goods increased 1.0
percent, compared with an increase of 2.3 percent.  Purchases of nondurable goods increased 0.9
percent in December, compared with an increase of 0.6 percent in November.  Purchases of services
increased 0.4 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent.

Revisions

    Estimates have been revised for October and November.  Changes in personal income, current-dollar
and chained (1996) dollar DPI, and current-dollar and chained (1996) dollar PCE for October and
November -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below.

                                             Change from preceding month

                                              October                                      November

                           Previous    Revised       Previous     Revised    Previous  Revised   Previous   Revised
                                 (Dollars)                 (Percent)              (Dollars)          (Percent)

Personal income:
 Current dollars . .         100.4       93.2           1.3         1.2        35.4      31.2       0.4       0.4

Disposable personal income:
 Current dollars . .          95.3       88.2           1.4         1.3        28.5      25.7        .4        .4
 Chained (1996) dollars .     74.5       70.3           1.2         1.1        24.6      17.7        .4        .3

Personal consumption expenditures:
 Current dollars . .          44.8       37.6            .7          .6        29.7      41.5        .5        .7
 Chained (1996) dollars .     27.3       22.8            .5          .4        25.9      33.2        .4        .5

Personal income and outlays in 1999

    Personal income increased 5.9 percent, or $432.3 billion, in 1999 (that is, from the 1998 annual
level to the 1999 annual level), compared with an increase of 5.9 percent, or $407.8 billion, in 1998
(see the table below and table 3).   Disposable personal income (DPI) increased 5.6 percent, compared
with an increase of 5.1 percent.  Personal outlays increased 7.0 percent, compared with an increase of
6.0 percent.  Real DPI increased 4.0 percent, compared with an increase of 4.1 percent.  Personal
saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 2.4 percent in 1999, compared with 3.7
percent in 1998.
                                                      1997      1998      1999
                                                (Percent change from preceding year)
  Current dollars

Personal income                                        6.2       5.9       5.9
  Wage and salary disbursements                        7.2       7.6       6.8
  Other labor income                                   2.2       3.0       3.9

  Proprietors' income with inventory valuation
    and capital consumption adjustments                6.2       4.8       8.6
   Farm                                              -14.0     -15.0      24.8
   Nonfarm                                             7.6       5.8       7.9

  Rental income of persons with capital
     consumption adjustment                            0.3       5.6       6.3
  Personal dividend income                            12.1       4.5       4.6
  Personal interest income                             5.5       5.0       3.7

  Transfer payments to persons                         3.6       2.2       3.5
   Old-age, survivors, disability, and
    health insurance benefits                          5.2       2.2       3.2
   Government unemployment insurance benefits         -9.5      -0.8       1.7
   Other                                               2.0       2.4       4.1

  Less:  Personal contributions for social insurance   6.3       6.0       5.9

Personal tax and nontax payments                      11.3      10.8       7.4

Disposable personal income                             5.4       5.1       5.6

Personal outlays                                       5.7       6.0       7.0

Addenda:

  Disposable personal income in
    chained (1996) dollars                             3.6       4.1       4.0

  Personal saving as a percentage of
   disposable personal income                          4.5       3.7       2.4


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                        *          *          *


Next release -- Personal Income and Outlays for January will be released on
                  February 28, 2000 at 8:30 A.M. EST.


                                                                                                Table 1. -- Personal Income
                                                                                                [Billions of dollars]

                                                                                                         Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
                                                             1998         1999                                             1999
                                                                                       July         Aug.         Sep.      Oct. /r/     Nov. /r/     Dec. /p/

Personal income                                           7,358.9      7,791.2      7,806.0      7,840.0      7,848.1      7,941.3      7,972.5      7,997.9

   Wage and salary disbursements                          4,186.0      4,472.7      4,491.4      4,508.2      4,528.5      4,556.7      4,570.5      4,604.4
          Private industries                              3,493.2      3,746.3      3,764.2      3,777.6      3,795.6      3,821.2      3,832.8      3,862.9
               Goods-producing industries                 1,038.7      1,082.6      1,089.8      1,087.3      1,093.6      1,101.4      1,101.0      1,104.2
                    Manufacturing                           757.5        779.9        786.0        785.2        788.0        793.7        789.8        790.6
               Distributive industries                      944.6      1,005.5      1,009.8      1,013.1      1,017.3      1,018.8      1,021.0      1,034.7
               Service industries                         1,509.9      1,658.1      1,664.6      1,677.2      1,684.6      1,700.9      1,710.8      1,724.0
          Government                                        692.8        726.4        727.2        730.7        732.9        735.5        737.7        741.5

     Other labor income                                     515.7        535.8        536.7        538.6        540.3        542.0        543.8        545.7

     Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj                 606.1        658.0        653.7        657.8        650.6        683.9        691.8        672.4
          Farm                                               25.1         31.3         23.5         21.4         18.0         45.1         46.2         21.3
          Nonfarm                                           581.0        626.7        630.2        636.4        632.5        638.8        645.6        651.1

     Rental income of persons with CCAdj                    137.4        146.1        144.9        143.6        128.5        148.5        150.1        145.9

     Personal dividend income                               348.3        364.3        364.9        367.0        369.0        371.1        373.1        375.2

     Personal interest income                               897.8        930.6        932.4        938.8        945.3        950.8        955.8        960.3

     Transfer payments  to persons                          983.6      1,018.2      1,017.8      1,022.6      1,023.6      1,027.8      1,027.2      1,035.5
          Old-age, survivors, disability, and health
               insurance  benefits                          578.1        596.6        596.8        599.4        600.8        604.2        602.6        609.4
          Government unemployment insurance benefits         19.8         20.2         20.2         20.4         20.1         19.8         19.7         19.5
          Other                                             385.7        401.5        400.8        402.8        402.8        403.8        405.0        406.6

     Less:  Personal contributions for social insurance     315.9        334.5        335.7        336.6        337.8        339.3        339.8        341.6

     p  Preliminary.
     r  Revised.
     IVA  Inventory valuation adjustment.
     CCAdj  Capital consumption adjustment.

     Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

                                                                               Table 2. -- The Disposition of Personal Income
                                                                                           [Billions of dollars]

                                                                                                    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
                                                        1998         1999                                             1999
                                                                                  July         Aug.         Sep.      Oct. /r/     Nov. /r/     Dec. /p/

Personal income                                      7,358.9      7,791.2      7,806.0      7,840.0      7,848.1      7,941.3      7,972.5      7,997.9

Less: Personal tax and nontax payments               1,072.6      1,152.0      1,159.5      1,151.0      1,170.7      1,175.7      1,181.2      1,192.6

Equals: Disposable personal income                   6,286.2      6,639.2      6,646.5      6,689.0      6,677.4      6,765.6      6,791.3      6,805.3

Less: Personal outlays                               6,056.6      6,480.9      6,485.7      6,537.7      6,571.0      6,610.2      6,653.9      6,705.7

     Personal consumption expenditures               5,848.6      6,254.9      6,259.1      6,309.9      6,342.2      6,379.8      6,421.3      6,472.6
     Interest paid by persons                          185.7        201.6        202.1        203.3        204.4        205.3        207.6        208.0
     Personal transfer payments to the
          rest of the world (net)                       22.3         24.4         24.5         24.5         24.5         25.1         25.1         25.1

Equals: Personal saving                                229.7        158.3        160.8        151.4        106.4        155.4        137.3         99.6

Addenda:

     Disposable personal income:

          Chained (1996) dollars /1/                 6,125.1      6,367.4      6,377.8      6,403.5      6,373.3      6,443.6      6,461.3      6,464.0

          Per capita:
               Current dollars                        23,231       24,305       24,323       24,455       24,390       24,692       24,767       24,802
               Chained (1996) dollars                 22,636       23,310       23,340       23,411       23,280       23,516       23,563       23,558
          Population (thousands)                     270,595      273,160      273,260      273,520      273,773      274,005      274,209      274,388

     Personal saving as a percentage of
          disposable personal income                     3.7          2.4          2.4          2.3          1.6          2.3          2.0          1.5

p  Preliminary.
r  Revised.
   1.  Disposable personal income in chained (1996) dollars equals the current-dollar figure divided by
the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures.

Source:  U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

                                                                 Table 3. -- Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period
                                                                                                      [Billions of dollars]

                                                                                                  Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
                                                       1998        1999                                             1999
                                                                                July         Aug.         Sep.         Oct. /r/     Nov. /r/     Dec. /p/

Personal income                                       407.8       432.3         22.7         34.0          8.1         93.2         31.2         25.4

     Wage and salary disbursements                    297.1       286.7         36.0         16.8         20.3         28.2         13.8         33.9
          Private industries                          268.8       253.1         32.3         13.4         18.0         25.6         11.6         30.1
               Goods-producing industries              63.2        43.9          9.4         -2.5          6.3          7.8         -0.4          3.2
                    Manufacturing                      38.7        22.4          7.0         -0.8          2.8          5.7         -3.9          0.8
               Distributive industries                 65.5        60.9          6.7          3.3          4.2          1.5          2.2         13.7
               Service industries                     140.1       148.2         16.2         12.6          7.4         16.3          9.9         13.2
          Government                                   28.4        33.6          3.7          3.5          2.2          2.6          2.2          3.8

     Other labor income                                14.8        20.1          1.9          1.9          1.7          1.7          1.8          1.9

     Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj            27.5        51.9        -17.1          4.1         -7.2         33.3          7.9        -19.4
          Farm                                         -4.4         6.2        -21.5         -2.1         -3.4         27.1          1.1        -24.9
          Nonfarm                                      31.9        45.7          4.4          6.2         -3.9          6.3          6.8          5.5

     Rental income of persons with CCAdj                7.2         8.7         -5.6         -1.3        -15.1         20.0          1.6         -4.2

     Personal dividend income                          14.9        16.0          1.9          2.1          2.0          2.1          2.0          2.1

     Personal interest income                          42.9        32.8          6.2          6.4          6.5          5.5          5.0          4.5

     Transfer payments to persons                      21.2        34.6          1.4          4.8          1.0          4.2         -0.6          8.3
          Old-age, survivors, disability, and health
               insurance benefits                      12.3        18.5          2.3          2.6          1.4          3.4         -1.6          6.8
          Government unemployment insurance benefits   -0.2         0.4         -0.2          0.2         -0.3         -0.3         -0.1         -0.2
          Other                                         9.1        15.8         -0.7          2.0          0.0          1.0          1.2          1.6

     Less: Personal contributions for social
          insurance                                    17.8        18.6          2.0          0.9          1.2          1.5          0.5          1.8

Less: Personal tax and nontax payments                104.3        79.4         10.0         -8.5         19.7          5.0          5.5         11.4

Equals: Disposable personal income                    303.4       353.0         12.7         42.5        -11.6         88.2         25.7         14.0

Less: Personal outlays                                344.9       424.3         26.1         52.0         33.3         39.2         43.7         51.8

     Personal consumption expenditures                324.2       406.3         27.3         50.8         32.3         37.6         41.5         51.3
     Interest paid by persons                          19.0        15.9         -1.2          1.2          1.1          0.9          2.3          0.4
     Personal transfer payments to the rest of the
          world (net)                                   1.7         2.1         -0.1          0.0          0.0          0.6          0.0          0.0

Equals: Personal saving                               -41.4       -71.4        -13.4         -9.4        -45.0         49.0        -18.1        -37.7

Addendum:
     Disposable personal income,
          chained (1996) dollars                      240.4       242.3         -3.1         25.7        -30.2         70.3         17.7          2.7

p  Preliminary.
r  Revised.
IVA  Inventory valuation adjustment.
CCAdj  Capital consumption adjustment.

Source:  U.S.  Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

                                                      Table 4. -- Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product

                                                                                                    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
                                                        1998         1999                                             1999
                                                                                  July         Aug.         Sep.      Oct. /r/     Nov. /r/     Dec. /p/

                                                                                              Billions of current dollars

Personal consumption expenditures                    5,848.6      6,254.9      6,259.1      6,309.9      6,342.2      6,379.8      6,421.3      6,472.6
     Durable goods                                     698.2        758.1        753.1        765.7        766.6        767.0        783.7        789.7
     Nondurable goods                                1,708.9      1,841.1      1,836.4      1,854.9      1,870.4      1,883.5      1,892.4      1,917.4
     Services                                        3,441.5      3,655.7      3,669.5      3,689.2      3,705.1      3,729.3      3,745.2      3,765.5

                                                                                       Billions of chained (1996) dollars

Personal consumption expenditures                    5,698.6      5,998.7      6,006.0      6,040.5      6,053.3      6,076.1      6,109.3      6,148.0
     Durable goods                                     731.5        815.1        810.8        826.0        826.9        828.8        847.9        856.7
     Nondurable goods                                1,685.3      1,774.6      1,771.9      1,782.6      1,783.3      1,793.1      1,804.0      1,820.4
     Services                                        3,284.5      3,416.8      3,430.3      3,440.3      3,451.3      3,462.4      3,467.7      3,481.8

                                                                              Implicit price deflators (Index numbers, 1996 = 100)

Personal consumption expenditures                     102.63       104.27       104.21       104.46       104.77       105.00       105.11       105.28
     Durable goods                                     95.45        93.01        92.89        92.71        92.71        92.55        92.44        92.17
     Nondurable goods                                 101.40       103.75       103.64       104.06       104.88       105.04       104.90       105.33
     Services                                         104.78       106.99       106.97       107.24       107.35       107.71       108.00       108.15

                                                                                        Change From Preceding Period
                                                                                              Billions of current dollars

Personal consumption expenditures                      324.2        406.3         27.3         50.8         32.3         37.6         41.5         51.3
     Durable goods                                      55.3         59.9         -4.7         12.6          0.9          0.4         16.7          6.0
     Nondurable goods                                   67.2        132.3          6.6         18.5         15.5         13.1          8.9         25.0
     Services                                          201.7        214.2         25.4         19.7         15.9         24.2         15.9         20.3

                                                                                        Billions of chained (1996) dollars

Personal consumption expenditures                      264.9        300.1         11.8         34.5         12.8         22.8         33.2         38.7
     Durable goods                                      74.1         83.6         -4.5         15.2          0.9          1.9         19.1          8.8
     Nondurable goods                                   65.4         89.3          1.4         10.7          0.7          9.8         10.9         16.4
     Services                                          127.8        132.3         14.1         10.0         11.0         11.1          5.3         14.1

                                                          Table 5.-- Percent Change From Preceding Period in Selected Series
                                                                                              Based on current dollars

Personal income                                          5.9          5.9          0.3          0.4          0.1          1.2          0.4          0.3
Disposable personal income                               5.1          5.6          0.2          0.6         -0.2          1.3          0.4          0.2

Personal consumption expenditures                        5.9          6.9          0.4          0.8          0.5          0.6          0.7          0.8
     Durable goods                                       8.6          8.6         -0.6          1.7          0.1          0.1          2.2          0.8
     Nondurable goods                                    4.1          7.7          0.4          1.0          0.8          0.7          0.5          1.3
     Services                                            6.2          6.2          0.7          0.5          0.4          0.7          0.4          0.5

                                                                                      Based on chained (1996) dollars

Disposable personal income                               4.1          4.0          0.0          0.4         -0.5          1.1          0.3          0.0

Personal consumption expenditures                        4.9          5.3          0.2          0.6          0.2          0.4          0.5          0.6
     Durable goods                                      11.3         11.4         -0.6          1.9          0.1          0.2          2.3          1.0
     Nondurable goods                                    4.0          5.3          0.1          0.6          0.0          0.5          0.6          0.9
     Services                                            4.0          4.0          0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3          0.2          0.4

p  Preliminary.
r  Revised.

Source:  U.S.  Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.