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Virginia H. Mannering: (202) 606-5304 (GDP) BEA 00-12
Kenneth A. Petrick: 606-9738 (Profits)
Recorded message: 606-5306
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FIRST QUARTER 2000 (PRELIMINARY)
CORPORATE PROFITS: FIRST QUARTER 2000 (PRELIMINARY)
Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property
located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.4 percent in the first quarter of 2000,
according to preliminary estimates released by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic
Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 7.3 percent.
The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for
the advance estimates issued last month. In the advance estimates, the increase in real GDP was also 5.4
percent (see "Revisions" on page 3).
As in the advance estimates, the major contributors to the increase in real GDP in the first quarter
were: Personal consumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential fixed investment, and state and local
government spending. The contributions of these components were partially offset by the effects of
imports, of inventory investment, and of defense spending.
BOX
Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts
The annual revision of the national income and product accounts, covering the first quarter of
1997 through the first quarter of 2000, will be released along with the advance estimate of GDP for
the second quarter of 2000 on July 28. An article describing the revision will appear in the August
2000 issue of the Survey of Current Business.
FOOTNOTE.--Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise
specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent
changes are calculated from unrounded data and annualized. "Real" estimates are in chained (1996)
dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures.
The deceleration in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected downturns in inventory
investment and in defense spending, as well as an acceleration in imports and a deceleration in exports,
that more than offset accelerations in nonresidential fixed investment and in PCE.
The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents,
increased 3.2 percent in the first quarter, the same as the advance estimate; this index increased 2.3
percent in the fourth quarter. The acceleration in this price index reflects the impact of a first-quarter pay
raise for federal civilian and military personnel, which is treated as an increase in the price of employee
services purchased by the federal government, and a sharp acceleration in energy prices. Excluding food
and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.1 percent in the first quarter,
compared with an increase of 1.9 percent in the fourth.
Real personal consumption expenditures increased 7.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with
an increase of 5.9 percent in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 25.2 percent,
compared with an increase of 2.9 percent. Nonresidential structures increased 20.7 percent, in contrast
to a decrease of 0.5 percent. Equipment and software increased 26.6 percent, compared with an increase
of 4.0 percent. Real residential fixed investment increased 5.2 percent, compared with an increase of 1.8
percent.
Real exports of goods and services increased 5.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with an
increase of 10.1 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services increased 12.7 percent,
compared with an increase of 8.7 percent.
Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 15.1 percent in
the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of 14.7 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased 22.3
percent, in contrast to an increase of 17.2 percent. Nondefense decreased 0.9 percent, in contrast to an
increase of 10.3 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross
investment increased 7.0 percent, compared with an increase of 6.4 percent.
The real change in private inventories subtracted 1.43 percentage points from the first-quarter
change in real GDP, after adding 1.24 percentage points to the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses
increased inventories $30.5 billion in the first quarter, following increases of $66.7 billion in the fourth
quarter and $38.0 billion in the third.
Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- increased 6.9
percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 6.0 percent in the fourth.
Gross domestic purchases
Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever
produced -- increased 6.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 7.2 percent in the
fourth.
Gross national product
Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied
by U.S. residents -- increased 5.1 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 6.4 percent in
the fourth. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of income from the rest of the world.
Current-dollar GDP
Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased
8.2 percent, or $189.7 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $9,697.6. In the fourth quarter,
current-dollar GDP increased 9.4 percent, or $210.1 billion.
Revisions
The preliminary estimate of the first-quarter increase in real GDP is the same as the advance
estimate issued last month. However, there were a number of offsetting revisions to major components
of GDP: Upward revisions to exports, to equipment and software, and to nonresidential structures offset
a downward revision to personal consumption expenditures and an upward revision to imports.
Advance Preliminary
(Percent change from preceding quarter)
Real GDP.............................. 5.4 5.4
Current-dollar GDP................... 8.2 8.2
Gross domestic purchases price index... 3.2 3.2
Corporate Profits
Profits from current production (profits before tax with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments) increased $34.5 billion in the first quarter. In the fourth quarter, profits
increased $35.3 billion. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- increased $29.9
billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $20.9 billion in the fourth.
The profits estimates reflect the effects of payments by tobacco companies related to out-of-court
settlements, which reduced first-quarter profits by $5.5 billion and fourth-quarter profits by $11.2 billion.
Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $0.6 billion in the first quarter, compared with
an increase of $19.5 billion in the fourth.
Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $32.6 billion in the first quarter, compared
with an increase of $26.3 billion in the fourth. In the first quarter, both real gross corporate product and
profits per unit of real product increased. The increase in unit profits reflected an increase in the prices
corporations received and no change in the unit costs they incurred.
The rest-of-the-world component of profits increased $1.4 billion in the first quarter, in contrast to
a decrease of $10.6 billion in the fourth. This measure is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of
earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign
corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid
by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The first-quarter increase was accounted for by a
larger increase in receipts than in payments.
Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment is the best available measure of industry
profits because estimates of the capital consumption adjustment by industry do not exist. According to
this measure, domestic profits of both financial and nonfinancial corporations increased. Profit increases
for nonfinancial corporations were widespread among major industry groups; the largest increases
occurred in nondurable goods manufacturing and in retail trade.
Profits before tax increased $37.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $32.5
billion in the fourth. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current
production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments. These adjustments convert
depreciation and inventory withdrawals reported on an historical-cost basis to the replacement-cost
measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment
decreased $1.1 billion in the first quarter (from $58.0 billion to $56.9 billion), in contrast to an increase of
$1.0 billion in the fourth. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $1.8 billion (from -$24.9 billion
to -$26.7 billion), in contrast to an increase of $1.8 billion.
Profits tax liability increased $13.0 billion in the first quarter, compared with an increase of $16.3
billion in the fourth. Profits after tax increased $24.4 billion, compared with an increase of $16.3 billion.
Dividends increased $6.5 billion, compared with an increase of $6.2 billion; undistributed profits
increased $17.9 billion, compared with an increase of $10.1 billion.
BEA's major national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current
Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site:
<www.bea.doc.gov>
STAT-USA maintains an Internet site that contains BEA estimates, the Survey of Current
Business, and BEA news releases. The information available through STAT-USA is often more detailed
than that available from other sources. For information about STAT-USA, go to <www.stat-usa.gov>,
or call (202) 482-1986. Subscriptions for single-user unlimited access to STAT-USA's Internet
information are $50.00 for 3 months or $150.00 for 1 year.
Summary BEA estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the
following telephone numbers:
(202) 606-5306 Gross domestic product
606-5303 Personal income and outlays
606-5362 U.S. international transactions
Most of BEA's estimates and analyses appear in the Survey of Current Business, BEA's monthly
journal. The printed Survey of Current Business is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S.
Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402. First class mail: Annual subscription $120.00
domestic. Second class mail: Annual subscription $48.00 domestic, $60.00 foreign; single issue $17.25
domestic, $21.56 foreign.
* * *
Next release -- June 29, 2000, at 8:30 A.M. EDT for:
Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2000 (Final)
Corporate Profits: First Quarter 2000 (Revised)
Table 1.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period
[Percent; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97 IV 97 I 98 II 98 III 98 IV 98 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product (GDP). 4.2 4.3 4.2 6.8 2.0 4.6 4.5 4.9 3.8 3.0 6.9 2.2 3.8 5.9 3.7 1.9 5.7 7.3 5.4
Personal consumption expenditures... 3.4 4.9 5.3 4.3 1.9 2.9 4.4 1.5 6.4 3.3 5.8 6.1 4.0 4.6 6.5 5.1 4.9 5.9 7.5
Durable goods..................... 6.6 11.3 11.5 13.0 -1.5 5.0 10.9 -1.5 20.2 5.0 16.9 11.2 4.1 20.4 12.4 9.1 7.7 13.0 22.4
Nondurable goods.................. 2.9 4.0 5.4 4.2 2.2 4.0 3.8 -.2 5.7 .3 5.8 6.7 2.4 5.0 8.9 3.3 3.6 7.6 5.6
Services.......................... 3.1 4.1 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.9 3.4 3.0 4.2 4.5 3.7 4.9 4.7 1.5 4.2 5.2 5.0 3.7 5.6
Gross private domestic investment... 11.5 11.7 5.8 22.5 16.5 .7 14.0 22.0 1.0 8.0 33.4 -4.7 10.4 11.5 3.6 -2.1 13.6 10.0 9.9
Fixed investment.................. 8.5 11.8 8.1 13.9 9.6 6.2 7.9 8.6 12.0 4.1 23.4 12.5 2.0 13.8 9.1 6.6 6.8 2.6 19.8
Nonresidential.................. 10.7 12.7 8.3 11.6 13.6 10.0 9.6 9.9 16.0 3.2 26.7 12.1 .0 15.3 7.8 7.0 10.9 2.9 25.2
Structures.................... 8.5 4.1 -2.4 10.5 7.5 23.0 8.0 -4.0 11.2 4.3 5.7 7.1 -6.6 5.8 -5.8 -5.3 -3.8 -.5 20.7
Equipment and software........ 11.5 15.8 12.0 12.0 15.7 5.9 10.1 15.2 17.7 2.8 34.7 13.8 2.4 18.6 12.5 11.2 15.7 4.0 26.6
Residential..................... 2.3 9.2 7.4 20.6 -1.0 -4.1 3.0 4.7 .6 6.6 14.0 13.6 8.0 9.8 12.9 5.5 -3.8 1.8 5.2
Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Exports........................... 12.5 2.2 3.8 6.7 3.3 28.7 8.3 15.9 11.3 1.7 -1.5 -3.9 -1.6 16.3 -5.5 4.0 11.5 10.1 5.5
Goods........................... 14.5 2.1 4.0 4.3 7.9 24.3 14.4 18.3 13.0 3.5 -2.8 -8.8 1.6 19.4 -9.3 4.3 16.9 11.1 6.8
Services........................ 7.6 2.5 3.2 12.9 -7.4 39.8 -4.9 10.4 7.2 -2.7 1.6 9.0 -8.5 9.2 4.1 3.2 .0 7.6 2.2
Imports........................... 13.7 11.6 11.7 13.3 14.4 6.3 15.5 19.1 17.6 5.2 14.4 13.0 5.2 10.8 12.5 14.4 14.9 8.7 12.7
Goods........................... 14.2 11.7 12.7 15.2 14.9 7.5 14.6 21.2 17.0 5.2 14.0 13.6 4.9 12.8 12.6 15.5 17.3 9.7 13.5
Services........................ 11.2 10.8 6.9 4.1 11.8 .0 20.6 8.6 20.7 5.3 16.7 9.7 6.4 1.6 11.9 8.9 3.6 3.4 8.3
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment............... 2.2 1.7 3.7 7.5 -2.3 2.4 1.5 5.6 1.6 -.1 -1.0 6.0 1.3 2.9 5.1 1.3 4.5 9.3 -1.2
Federal........................... -.2 -.9 2.8 8.6 -7.7 -1.4 -2.9 9.8 -1.4 -4.2 -9.8 11.9 -2.3 3.9 -.5 2.1 4.1 14.7 -15.1
National defense................ -2.5 -1.9 1.8 7.7 -8.1 -2.4 -11.3 9.6 -.2 -2.4 -17.0 11.1 7.0 -2.9 -4.0 -2.6 11.2 17.2 -22.3
Nondefense...................... 4.5 .9 4.7 10.7 -6.9 .7 15.8 10.2 -3.6 -7.7 5.4 13.2 -17.4 17.9 6.1 10.9 -7.1 10.3 -.9
State and local................... 3.7 3.2 4.2 6.8 1.0 4.8 4.1 3.3 3.4 2.3 4.1 3.0 3.3 2.4 8.2 .9 4.8 6.4 7.0
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product... 3.8 4.3 4.5 5.5 1.0 5.5 3.5 2.9 5.6 2.4 5.2 5.1 2.4 6.3 4.6 3.4 4.5 6.0 6.9
Gross domestic purchases.......... 4.5 5.4 5.1 7.5 3.3 2.5 5.4 5.4 4.6 3.4 8.8 4.2 4.6 5.5 5.8 3.2 6.2 7.2 6.4
Final sales to domestic
purchasers....................... 4.0 5.4 5.5 6.3 2.3 3.3 4.4 3.3 6.4 2.8 7.2 7.1 3.2 5.8 6.7 4.7 5.1 5.9 7.9
Gross national product (GNP)...... 4.1 4.1 4.0 6.2 1.7 4.9 3.9 5.2 3.5 2.9 7.0 2.0 2.6 6.3 3.8 1.9 5.6 6.4 5.1
Disposable personal income........ 3.3 4.1 4.0 2.0 4.3 1.4 3.9 3.9 3.4 4.3 4.2 3.8 4.5 4.8 4.1 3.2 2.9 4.7 2.2
Current-dollar measures:
GDP............................. 6.2 5.5 5.7 8.3 4.0 6.4 7.4 6.7 5.2 4.3 7.7 3.4 5.4 7.0 5.7 3.3 6.8 9.4 8.2
Final sales of domestic product. 5.8 5.5 6.0 7.0 2.9 7.3 6.4 4.7 7.0 3.7 6.3 6.3 3.8 7.2 6.7 4.8 5.7 8.1 9.9
Gross domestic purchases........ 6.2 6.2 6.7 9.0 5.0 4.7 7.8 6.1 5.8 4.6 8.6 5.1 5.8 6.6 7.5 5.2 8.1 9.6 9.7
Final sales to domestic
purchasers..................... 5.7 6.2 7.1 7.7 4.0 5.6 6.8 4.2 7.6 4.0 7.2 8.0 4.3 6.8 8.5 6.7 7.0 8.4 11.4
GNP............................. 6.0 5.4 5.6 7.7 3.6 6.6 6.8 7.0 4.8 4.2 7.8 3.3 4.1 7.4 5.8 3.3 6.8 8.4 7.9
Disposable personal income...... 5.4 5.1 5.6 4.6 6.0 4.3 6.6 5.1 4.7 5.6 4.5 4.9 5.7 6.0 5.6 5.5 4.8 7.3 5.5
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables.
Table 2.--Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product
[Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97 IV 97 I 98 II 98 III 98 IV 98 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent change at annual rate:
Gross domestic product.......... 4.2 4.3 4.2 6.8 2.0 4.6 4.5 4.9 3.8 3.0 6.9 2.2 3.8 5.9 3.7 1.9 5.7 7.3 5.4
Percentage points at annual rates:
Personal consumption expenditures. 2.30 3.25 3.45 2.95 1.25 1.94 2.93 1.05 4.16 2.17 3.89 4.00 2.67 3.14 4.28 3.36 3.33 4.07 5.02
Durable goods................... .51 .86 .81 .99 -.12 .39 .81 -.11 1.42 .38 1.24 .84 .33 1.51 .96 .71 .62 1.03 1.70
Nondurable goods................ .59 .79 1.05 .86 .44 .79 .77 -.03 1.11 .06 1.15 1.28 .49 .98 1.69 .64 .73 1.51 1.12
Services........................ 1.20 1.59 1.59 1.10 .94 .76 1.34 1.19 1.63 1.73 1.51 1.88 1.85 .66 1.63 2.00 1.98 1.53 2.20
Gross private domestic investment. 1.82 1.93 .99 3.26 2.50 .15 2.12 3.32 .17 1.30 5.04 -.85 1.74 1.94 .64 -.36 2.26 1.72 1.70
Fixed investment................ 1.31 1.86 .97 2.04 1.43 .95 1.19 1.30 1.80 .63 3.45 1.95 .34 2.20 1.49 1.10 1.16 .48 3.13
Nonresidential................ 1.22 1.49 .83 1.28 1.47 1.12 1.07 1.12 1.77 .38 2.91 1.42 .01 1.79 .95 .86 1.33 .39 2.90
Structures.................. .25 .13 -.14 .29 .21 .61 .24 -.12 .32 .13 .18 .22 -.21 .18 -.18 -.16 -.11 -.01 .56
Equipment and software...... .97 1.37 .96 .99 1.27 .51 .83 1.24 1.45 .24 2.73 1.21 .22 1.61 1.13 1.02 1.44 .40 2.35
Residential................... .09 .37 .15 .76 -.04 -.17 .12 .19 .03 .26 .54 .53 .33 .41 .54 .24 -.17 .09 .23
Change in private inventories... .50 .07 .01 1.22 1.07 -.80 .94 2.02 -1.63 .66 1.59 -2.80 1.40 -.26 -.85 -1.46 1.09 1.24 -1.43
Net exports of goods and services. -.28 -1.18 -1.09 -.82 -1.31 2.10 -.85 -.47 -.79 -.45 -1.93 -2.01 -.82 .33 -2.13 -1.35 -.73 -.12 -1.12
Exports......................... 1.37 .25 .48 .75 .36 2.86 .92 1.73 1.27 .20 -.16 -.45 -.17 1.67 -.61 .42 1.19 1.08 .60
Goods......................... 1.12 .17 .37 .35 .61 1.75 1.09 1.39 1.03 .29 -.22 -.73 .12 1.38 -.74 .32 1.19 .83 .52
Services...................... .25 .08 .10 .40 -.25 1.12 -.17 .34 .24 -.09 .06 .29 -.29 .29 .13 .10 .00 .24 .08
Imports......................... -1.65 -1.43 -1.57 -1.57 -1.66 -.76 -1.78 -2.20 -2.07 -.65 -1.77 -1.56 -.65 -1.34 -1.53 -1.77 -1.92 -1.20 -1.72
Goods......................... -1.43 -1.21 -1.43 -1.49 -1.44 -.76 -1.40 -2.03 -1.68 -.54 -1.44 -1.37 -.52 -1.30 -1.28 -1.59 -1.84 -1.12 -1.54
Services...................... -.22 -.22 -.14 -.08 -.22 .00 -.38 -.17 -.39 -.11 -.33 -.20 -.13 -.04 -.24 -.19 -.08 -.08 -.18
Government consumption
expenditures and gross investment .41 .31 .80 1.36 -.43 .45 .28 1.00 .30 -.01 -.16 1.03 .24 .53 .88 .23 .81 1.61 -.20
Federal......................... -.01 -.06 .28 .59 -.54 -.09 -.19 .62 -.09 -.28 -.64 .69 -.14 .24 -.03 .13 .26 .87 -1.00
National defense.............. -.11 -.08 .19 .36 -.38 -.10 -.52 .40 -.01 -.10 -.76 .42 .27 -.12 -.16 -.10 .42 .65 -.99
Nondefense.................... .10 .02 .10 .23 -.16 .02 .33 .23 -.08 -.18 .12 .28 -.41 .36 .13 .23 -.16 .22 -.02
State and local................. .42 .37 .52 .77 .11 .54 .47 .38 .39 .27 .48 .34 .38 .29 .91 .10 .55 .75 .80
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables.
Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (1996) dollars
------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding
at annual rates at annual rates period
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------------------------
1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product (GDP)... 9,256.1 9,072.7 9,146.2 9,297.8 9,507.9 9,697.6 8,848.2 8,717.6 8,758.3 8,879.8 9,037.2 9,156.7 352.5 157.4 119.5
Personal consumption expenditures. 6,257.3 6,090.8 6,200.8 6,303.7 6,434.1 6,602.5 5,983.6 5,871.3 5,944.5 6,015.7 6,102.9 6,214.3 301.8 87.2 111.4
Durable goods................... 758.6 739.0 751.6 761.8 782.1 818.6 815.7 788.8 806.1 821.2 846.7 890.6 84.2 25.5 43.9
Motor vehicles and parts...... 316.1 306.8 313.8 318.1 325.5 344.4 318.2 310.4 317.2 319.6 325.7 346.2 26.3 6.1 20.5
Furniture and household
equipment.................... 290.5 283.8 287.3 292.0 298.9 309.4 341.9 326.7 335.5 346.0 359.4 375.1 44.5 13.4 15.7
Other......................... 152.1 148.3 150.5 151.8 157.7 164.8 157.3 152.9 154.7 157.6 164.1 171.4 14.6 6.5 7.3
Nondurable goods................ 1,843.1 1,787.8 1,824.8 1,853.9 1,905.8 1,957.2 1,776.1 1,749.5 1,763.7 1,779.3 1,812.0 1,836.7 90.8 32.7 24.7
Food.......................... 904.1 885.4 893.4 903.9 933.8 944.8 851.8 839.5 844.6 850.0 873.1 878.1 31.2 23.1 5.0
Clothing and shoes............ 306.3 301.8 306.7 308.1 308.6 319.1 317.8 314.7 316.8 321.6 318.1 332.8 25.6 -3.5 14.7
Gasoline, fuel oil, and
other energy goods........... 138.7 120.1 136.3 144.6 153.6 170.4 144.3 142.9 143.9 144.5 146.0 142.1 2.2 1.5 -3.9
Gasoline and oil............ 123.8 106.5 121.7 129.3 137.7 151.1 128.3 127.1 127.5 128.2 130.4 126.8 .6 2.2 -3.6
Fuel oil and coal........... 14.9 13.7 14.6 15.4 15.9 19.4 16.0 15.8 16.4 16.3 15.6 15.3 1.5 -.7 -.3
Other......................... 494.0 480.5 488.4 497.3 509.8 522.9 462.2 452.6 458.6 463.5 474.1 484.3 31.6 10.6 10.2
Services........................ 3,655.6 3,564.0 3,624.3 3,688.0 3,746.2 3,826.7 3,400.1 3,339.8 3,382.3 3,423.4 3,454.7 3,501.8 132.1 31.3 47.1
Housing....................... 902.5 885.6 897.3 907.6 919.6 932.9 826.0 818.4 823.1 828.5 834.1 839.3 20.4 5.6 5.2
Household operation........... 362.2 356.2 360.3 366.8 365.3 371.5 359.5 354.0 358.8 364.4 361.0 366.5 15.2 -3.4 5.5
Electricity and gas......... 130.2 128.3 129.4 133.8 129.3 132.5 132.3 131.1 132.2 135.4 130.2 132.9 2.7 -5.2 2.7
Other household operation... 231.9 227.9 230.9 233.0 236.0 238.9 227.1 222.8 226.4 228.9 230.5 233.3 12.4 1.6 2.8
Transportation................ 255.0 250.3 254.0 256.5 259.1 263.4 241.0 237.7 239.9 242.4 243.9 245.5 6.8 1.5 1.6
Medical care.................. 941.3 922.5 933.0 948.1 961.7 977.8 876.9 865.6 872.0 880.9 889.1 896.7 22.5 8.2 7.6
Recreation.................... 246.2 233.1 241.0 252.1 258.7 269.2 228.0 218.4 225.0 232.4 236.3 243.2 19.2 3.9 6.9
Other......................... 948.4 916.4 938.8 956.8 981.8 1,011.9 868.1 845.3 863.1 874.6 889.4 909.7 47.8 14.8 20.3
Gross private domestic investment. 1,622.7 1,594.3 1,585.4 1,635.0 1,675.8 1,719.3 1,637.7 1,608.2 1,599.8 1,651.6 1,691.4 1,731.9 90.3 39.8 40.5
Fixed investment................ 1,578.0 1,543.3 1,567.8 1,594.2 1,606.8 1,685.4 1,590.5 1,555.9 1,581.0 1,607.3 1,617.8 1,692.5 118.7 10.5 74.7
Nonresidential................ 1,166.7 1,139.9 1,155.4 1,181.6 1,190.0 1,259.2 1,215.8 1,182.7 1,202.9 1,234.3 1,243.2 1,315.2 93.3 8.9 72.0
Structures.................. 273.4 274.7 272.5 272.1 274.1 290.1 248.1 251.9 248.5 246.1 245.8 257.6 -6.0 -.3 11.8
Nonresidential buildings,
including farm........... 199.9 204.0 199.8 197.5 198.2 210.3 180.4 186.6 181.2 177.2 176.5 185.4 -4.2 -.7 8.9
Utilities................. 39.5 39.2 39.1 39.9 39.6 41.6 38.2 38.1 38.0 38.5 38.0 39.5 .2 -.5 1.5
Mining exploration,
shafts, and wells........ 27.1 25.2 26.0 28.0 29.4 31.1 23.4 21.6 22.6 24.3 25.3 26.3 -2.0 1.0 1.0
Other structures.......... 6.9 6.4 7.6 6.8 6.8 7.2 6.4 6.0 7.1 6.3 6.2 6.5 .2 -.1 .3
Equipment and software...... 893.4 865.2 882.9 909.5 916.0 969.2 974.9 935.7 960.9 996.6 1,006.4 1,067.7 104.3 9.8 61.3
Information processing
equipment and software... 406.9 382.3 401.7 416.8 426.8 455.6 509.8 470.4 501.0 526.0 541.7 582.9 91.3 15.7 41.2
Computers and
peripheral equipment... 97.8 92.3 96.4 100.8 101.6 107.6 220.8 193.4 212.9 233.5 243.3 266.0 66.6 9.8 22.7
Software................ 143.5 135.5 140.7 145.8 152.0 159.0 149.3 141.6 147.0 152.0 156.6 163.7 20.1 4.6 7.1
Other................... 165.6 154.5 164.6 170.2 173.2 189.1 169.9 157.8 168.4 174.7 178.6 195.2 22.8 3.9 16.6
Industrial equipment...... 152.0 147.9 149.3 153.0 157.9 163.9 149.0 145.0 146.6 150.0 154.3 160.0 .9 4.3 5.7
Transportation equipment.. 197.1 193.1 193.6 204.9 196.9 209.6 195.7 190.8 191.6 204.0 196.4 208.0 20.4 -7.6 11.6
Other..................... 137.3 142.0 138.3 134.7 134.3 140.1 132.6 137.0 133.3 130.1 129.9 135.6 .3 -.2 5.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See note at the end of the table.
Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period--Continued
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (1996) dollars
------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding
at annual rates at annual rates period
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------------------------
1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Residential................... 411.3 403.4 412.4 412.7 416.7 426.1 376.1 373.7 378.8 375.1 376.8 381.6 25.9 1.7 4.8
Structures.................. 402.4 394.6 403.6 403.6 407.7 416.8 367.0 364.8 369.7 365.9 367.5 372.1 25.2 1.6 4.6
Single family............. 213.9 211.8 213.7 211.7 218.3 229.9 195.0 195.8 195.8 191.7 196.5 205.0 14.7 4.8 8.5
Multifamily............... 27.7 27.7 27.5 27.8 27.6 29.4 22.9 23.3 22.9 22.9 22.6 23.8 1.1 -.3 1.2
Other..................... 160.8 155.1 162.4 164.1 161.8 157.6 149.2 145.7 151.1 151.5 148.4 143.1 9.4 -3.1 -5.3
Equipment................... 8.9 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.1 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.5 .7 .1 .2
Change in private inventories... 44.6 51.0 17.6 40.8 69.1 34.0 42.2 50.1 14.0 38.0 66.7 30.5 -32.1 28.7 -36.2
Farm.......................... 3.4 10.1 4.8 .7 -2.2 -2.3 -.6 7.4 .9 -3.8 -6.7 -6.8 -1.5 -2.9 -.1
Nonfarm....................... 41.3 40.9 12.8 40.1 71.3 36.3 42.4 43.1 13.1 41.2 72.3 36.7 -30.8 31.1 -35.6
Manufacturing............... .4 .0 -7.8 1.6 7.8 12.4 .4 .0 -8.3 1.7 8.2 12.8 -24.7 6.5 4.6
Wholesale trade............. 14.6 8.8 10.7 24.2 14.7 21.0 15.2 9.5 11.1 25.1 15.0 21.4 -8.2 -10.1 6.4
Retail trade................ 20.7 17.5 5.9 14.3 45.2 -1.7 20.5 17.5 5.9 14.1 44.4 -1.7 9.4 30.3 -46.1
Other....................... 5.6 14.7 4.0 .0 3.6 4.6 5.9 15.7 4.1 .1 3.6 4.6 -8.0 3.5 1.0
Net exports of goods and services. -253.9 -201.6 -245.8 -278.2 -290.1 -330.9 -323.0 -286.6 -321.1 -340.4 -344.1 -372.9 -105.4 -3.7 -28.8
Exports......................... 998.3 966.9 978.2 1,008.5 1,039.5 1,058.9 1,042.3 1,014.3 1,024.3 1,052.6 1,078.2 1,092.6 37.7 25.6 14.4
Goods......................... 699.0 674.3 680.5 708.8 732.3 747.7 751.9 726.4 734.1 763.3 783.7 796.8 29.1 20.4 13.1
Foods, feeds, and beverages. 45.5 43.2 45.3 47.1 46.5 47.1 56.7 52.9 56.1 59.1 58.8 59.4 1.6 -.3 .6
Industrial supplies and
materials.................. 142.0 133.6 137.0 142.6 154.8 158.1 153.0 147.1 150.1 152.7 162.1 162.2 1.5 9.4 .1
Capital goods, except
automotive................. 311.2 301.7 299.5 319.3 324.2 329.1 341.7 329.6 328.4 352.1 356.7 363.0 17.2 4.6 6.3
Automotive vehicles,
engines, and parts......... 74.8 71.4 75.0 76.0 76.8 80.8 73.7 70.5 74.0 74.8 75.3 79.0 1.2 .5 3.7
Consumer goods, except
automotive................. 80.8 79.6 79.1 80.6 83.7 87.7 80.4 79.3 78.9 80.3 83.2 86.9 1.7 2.9 3.7
Other....................... 44.7 44.8 44.5 43.2 46.3 44.9 46.8 46.9 46.8 45.3 48.1 46.4 5.9 2.8 -1.7
Services...................... 299.3 292.6 297.7 299.7 307.2 311.3 290.9 287.9 290.1 290.2 295.5 297.2 8.9 5.3 1.7
Imports......................... 1,252.2 1,168.5 1,224.0 1,286.6 1,329.6 1,389.8 1,365.4 1,300.9 1,345.4 1,393.0 1,422.3 1,465.5 143.2 29.3 43.2
Goods......................... 1,049.1 974.3 1,022.3 1,079.3 1,120.5 1,175.2 1,162.5 1,102.0 1,142.5 1,188.9 1,216.8 1,256.0 130.9 27.9 39.2
Foods, feeds, and beverages. 43.6 41.7 43.8 44.2 44.8 44.3 46.1 43.7 46.0 47.2 47.6 47.0 3.9 .4 -.6
Industrial supplies and
materials, except
petroleum and products..... 148.7 140.0 143.8 151.6 159.4 165.6 157.3 151.1 154.5 159.0 164.7 167.2 7.1 5.7 2.5
Petroleum and products...... 67.5 42.4 63.7 78.3 85.6 108.7 81.3 80.6 85.3 82.7 76.6 82.2 -.1 -6.1 5.6
Capital goods, except
automotive................. 296.8 279.1 291.7 302.2 314.2 323.4 378.7 347.5 370.5 390.0 406.9 420.5 50.4 16.9 13.6
Automotive vehicles,
engines, and parts......... 180.1 171.6 175.1 186.2 187.5 197.2 178.3 170.4 173.4 184.1 185.2 194.4 29.7 1.1 9.2
Consumer goods, except
automotive................. 239.9 229.2 232.8 243.0 254.3 262.2 247.8 235.7 240.8 251.6 263.1 272.1 25.5 11.5 9.0
Other....................... 72.5 70.3 71.4 73.7 74.7 73.7 73.1 70.7 72.2 74.3 75.1 74.1 12.7 .8 -1.0
Services...................... 203.1 194.2 201.7 207.4 209.0 214.6 203.9 199.4 203.7 205.5 207.2 211.4 13.2 1.7 4.2
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See note at the end of the table.
Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Change From Preceding Period--Continued
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (1996) dollars
------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Change from preceding
at annual rates at annual rates period
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------------------------
1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r 1999 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Government consumption
expenditures and
gross investment................. 1,630.1 1,589.1 1,605.9 1,637.2 1,688.0 1,706.7 1,534.1 1,513.4 1,518.3 1,535.3 1,569.6 1,564.8 55.3 34.3 -4.8
Federal......................... 570.6 557.4 561.6 569.8 593.6 579.9 540.8 531.2 534.1 539.5 558.3 535.8 14.9 18.8 -22.5
National defense.............. 364.5 355.8 354.3 365.4 382.6 364.8 347.8 341.4 339.2 348.3 362.4 340.2 6.1 14.1 -22.2
Consumption expenditures.... 310.7 304.6 300.8 312.1 325.5 310.5 293.3 289.5 284.9 294.0 304.9 285.4 1.9 10.9 -19.5
Gross investment............ 53.8 51.2 53.5 53.4 57.1 54.3 54.7 52.1 54.6 54.5 57.8 55.2 4.4 3.3 -2.6
Nondefense.................... 206.1 201.6 207.3 204.4 211.1 215.2 192.9 189.7 194.7 191.1 195.9 195.4 8.7 4.8 -.5
Consumption expenditures.... 164.1 162.4 164.4 162.9 166.5 172.9 151.0 150.6 151.9 149.7 152.0 153.8 3.9 2.3 1.8
Gross investment............ 42.0 39.2 42.9 41.5 44.6 42.3 42.2 39.4 43.2 41.9 44.5 41.9 5.0 2.6 -2.6
State and local................. 1,059.4 1,031.8 1,044.3 1,067.4 1,094.4 1,126.7 993.1 981.8 984.0 995.5 1,011.1 1,028.5 40.4 15.6 17.4
Consumption expenditures.... 857.4 832.4 848.4 866.5 882.4 902.2 800.0 789.3 796.2 803.8 810.7 817.4 26.1 6.9 6.7
Gross investment............ 202.0 199.4 195.8 200.8 212.0 224.6 193.2 192.7 187.8 191.7 200.7 211.6 14.4 9.0 10.9
Residual.......................... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... -39.1 -31.8 -32.6 -44.9 -47.1 -62.3 -24.7 -2.2 -15.2
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product. 9,211.5 9,021.6 9,128.6 9,257.0 9,438.8 9,663.7 8,800.5 8,665.0 8,737.5 8,835.0 8,964.6 9,116.3 379.7 129.6 151.7
Gross domestic purchases........ 9,510.0 9,274.2 9,392.0 9,575.9 9,798.0 10,028.5 9,151.2 8,988.8 9,059.5 9,197.8 9,358.6 9,504.0 446.4 160.8 145.4
Final sales to domestic
purchasers..................... 9,465.4 9,223.2 9,374.4 9,535.1 9,728.9 9,994.5 9,103.6 8,936.2 9,039.0 9,153.1 9,286.0 9,463.7 473.8 132.9 177.7
Gross domestic product.......... 9,256.1 9,072.7 9,146.2 9,297.8 9,507.9 9,697.6 8,848.2 8,717.6 8,758.3 8,879.8 9,037.2 9,156.7 352.5 157.4 119.5
Plus: Income receipts from
the rest of the world.......... 302.3 283.8 296.1 307.7 321.7 337.2 291.8 276.0 286.6 296.5 308.2 320.5 12.6 11.7 12.3
Less: Income payments to
the rest of the world.......... 322.3 298.2 310.4 323.2 357.3 379.7 309.2 288.5 298.8 309.4 340.1 358.5 22.3 30.7 18.4
Equals: Gross national product.. 9,236.2 9,058.2 9,131.9 9,282.3 9,472.3 9,655.1 8,830.8 8,705.1 8,746.0 8,866.8 9,005.2 9,118.5 343.0 138.4 113.3
Net domestic product............ 8,120.4 7,968.8 8,024.9 8,141.8 8,346.1 8,513.6 7,698.6 7,604.1 7,623.9 7,716.0 7,850.2 7,943.2 275.0 134.2 93.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
Note.--Users are cautioned that particularly for components
for which relative prices are changing rapidly, the use of
chained-dollar estimates to calculate component shares or component
contributions to real growth may be misleading even just a few years
from the base year. For accurate estimates of the contributions to
percent changes in real GDP, use table 2.
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables.
Table 4.--Chain-Type Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change From Preceding Period
[Percent; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97 IV 97 I 98 II 98 III 98 IV 98 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product (GDP). 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.6 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.3 .9 1.1 1.3 .8 2.0 1.3 1.1 2.0 2.7
Personal consumption expenditures... 2.0 .9 1.6 2.6 1.6 2.8 2.6 1.1 1.3 1.2 .3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 2.2 1.8 2.5 3.1
Durable goods..................... -2.2 -2.4 -2.6 -2.5 -1.4 -1.8 -1.1 -3.7 -3.3 -2.5 -1.5 -2.0 -2.3 -3.9 -2.8 -1.9 -2.0 -1.7 -1.9
Nondurable goods.................. 1.3 .0 2.3 3.6 .2 3.6 1.7 -.6 .6 .9 -1.4 -.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 5.1 2.8 3.8 5.4
Services.......................... 3.2 2.1 2.1 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.9 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.5 2.4 1.8 2.1 2.3 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.1
Gross private domestic investment... -.2 -.9 -.2 -.8 1.1 -.3 -.3 -.6 .4 -.6 -2.2 -1.0 -.2 -.2 .1 -.4 -.3 .4 .8
Fixed investment.................. -.1 -.8 .0 -.8 1.0 -.1 -.2 -.3 .5 -.7 -1.9 -.9 .1 -.2 .3 -.1 .1 .5 1.1
Nonresidential.................. -1.0 -1.8 -1.3 -1.7 -.2 -.8 -1.0 -1.1 -.7 -1.7 -2.6 -2.2 -1.4 -1.8 -.9 -1.4 -1.3 .0 .1
Structures.................... 4.1 3.1 2.6 2.2 4.2 3.4 4.3 4.6 5.3 3.9 1.0 2.8 3.6 3.5 1.3 2.2 3.4 3.5 4.0
Equipment and software........ -2.6 -3.4 -2.5 -3.0 -1.7 -2.2 -2.8 -3.0 -2.7 -3.6 -3.8 -3.8 -2.9 -3.5 -1.6 -2.5 -2.7 -1.1 -1.0
Residential..................... 2.7 2.6 3.9 1.8 4.4 2.0 2.3 2.1 4.2 2.4 .3 3.0 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.6 4.1 2.2 3.9
Change in private inventories..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Net exports of goods and services... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Exports........................... -1.5 -2.3 -.5 -1.2 -2.8 -3.8 -.8 .3 -1.2 -1.7 -4.2 -1.9 -3.0 -1.5 -.5 .7 1.3 2.6 2.1
Goods........................... -2.7 -3.1 -1.4 -1.9 -4.9 -6.5 -.8 -1.1 -1.3 -2.7 -4.6 -3.0 -4.2 -2.3 -1.4 -.6 .7 2.6 1.7
Services........................ 1.4 -.3 1.7 .3 2.6 3.0 -.6 3.8 -.9 1.0 -3.1 .8 .0 .6 1.5 3.8 2.7 2.6 3.1
Imports........................... -3.6 -5.3 .4 -1.8 -4.4 .6 -4.6 -7.3 -2.4 -2.5 -10.7 -4.0 -4.6 -.3 -3.0 5.2 6.2 4.9 5.9
Goods........................... -4.1 -5.9 .0 -2.4 -5.5 .2 -4.9 -8.7 -2.1 -2.6 -11.1 -5.6 -5.4 -1.2 -2.9 4.9 5.9 5.9 6.6
Services........................ -.5 -2.2 2.4 1.4 1.5 2.5 -2.8 .6 -4.2 -2.0 -8.9 4.4 -.6 4.4 -3.3 6.7 8.0 -.2 2.5
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment............... 1.9 1.5 2.7 -1.4 2.5 1.9 3.2 .7 1.5 2.6 .9 1.4 1.9 1.3 3.8 2.9 3.3 3.4 5.8
Federal........................... 1.3 1.1 3.0 -3.2 1.9 1.7 3.5 .2 -.2 1.5 2.0 .9 .4 1.4 8.6 .9 1.8 2.7 7.3
National defense................ 1.2 .8 2.7 -1.6 2.2 1.7 2.9 -.1 -.4 1.5 1.6 -.1 .9 1.0 7.6 1.0 1.8 2.5 6.4
Nondefense...................... 1.6 1.6 3.6 -6.4 1.4 1.6 4.9 .8 .2 1.6 2.7 2.6 -.4 2.1 10.4 .7 1.8 3.1 9.0
State and local................... 2.2 1.8 2.5 -.3 2.8 2.1 3.1 1.0 2.5 3.2 .3 1.7 2.7 1.2 1.4 4.0 4.2 3.8 5.0
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product... 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.7 2.8 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 .8 2.1 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.7
Gross domestic purchases.......... 1.6 .7 1.5 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 .8 1.2 1.2 -.1 .8 1.0 .9 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.3 3.2
Final sales to domestic
purchasers....................... 1.6 .8 1.5 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.3 .8 1.2 1.2 .0 .8 1.1 .9 1.7 2.0 1.8 2.3 3.2
Gross national product (GNP)...... 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.6 2.7 1.7 1.3 1.3 .9 1.1 1.3 .9 2.0 1.3 1.1 1.9 2.7
Implicit price deflators:
GDP............................. 1.9 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.7 2.8 1.7 1.3 1.2 .8 1.2 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.7
Gross domestic purchases........ 1.6 .7 1.5 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 .7 1.1 1.1 -.2 .9 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.3 3.2
GNP............................. 1.9 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.9 1.6 2.8 1.7 1.3 1.2 .8 1.2 1.5 1.0 2.0 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables.
Table 5.--Quantity and Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product
[Index numbers, 1996=100]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
---------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product:
Chain-type quantity index........ 104.25 108.74 113.25 111.58 112.10 113.65 115.67 117.20
Chain-type price index........... 101.91 103.11 104.55 104.03 104.37 104.65 105.16 105.86
Implicit price deflator.......... 101.91 103.11 104.61 104.07 104.43 104.71 105.21 105.91
Personal consumption expenditures:
Chain-type quantity index................ 103.43 108.48 114.25 112.10 113.50 114.86 116.52 118.65
Chain-type price index................... 101.98 102.93 104.57 103.74 104.32 104.79 105.43 106.25
Durable goods:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 106.63 118.66 132.32 127.95 130.76 133.21 137.35 144.47
Chain-type price index................. 97.79 95.45 93.00 93.67 93.22 92.75 92.35 91.90
Nondurable goods:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 102.92 107.07 112.84 111.15 112.05 113.04 115.12 116.69
Chain-type price index................. 101.35 101.40 103.76 102.19 103.47 104.20 105.18 106.56
Services:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 103.06 107.26 111.59 109.61 111.01 112.36 113.38 114.93
Chain-type price index................. 103.17 105.31 107.51 106.72 107.16 107.73 108.45 109.28
Private fixed investment:
Chain-type quantity index................ 108.52 121.37 131.15 128.30 130.37 132.54 133.40 139.56
Chain-type price index................... 99.95 99.20 99.22 99.19 99.17 99.19 99.32 99.58
Nonresidential:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 110.71 124.80 135.17 131.49 133.74 137.23 138.23 146.23
Chain-type price index................. 99.04 97.22 95.97 96.38 96.04 95.72 95.71 95.74
Residential:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 102.35 111.78 120.06 119.30 120.91 119.75 120.27 121.82
Chain-type price index................. 102.68 105.30 109.40 107.97 108.93 110.04 110.65 111.70
Exports of goods and services:
Chain-type quantity index................ 112.46 114.92 119.24 116.03 117.17 120.42 123.34 124.99
Chain-type price index................... 98.47 96.19 95.76 95.33 95.49 95.80 96.41 96.92
Imports of goods and services:
Chain-type quantity index................ 113.72 126.89 141.77 135.07 139.69 144.63 147.68 152.16
Chain-type price index................... 96.45 91.31 91.64 89.81 90.96 92.35 93.46 94.82
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment:
Chain-type quantity index................ 102.24 104.00 107.89 106.43 106.78 107.97 110.39 110.05
Chain-type price index................... 101.87 103.44 106.24 105.01 105.77 106.64 107.55 109.07
Federal:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 99.84 98.94 101.73 99.94 100.46 101.49 105.02 100.80
Chain-type price index................. 101.33 102.42 105.51 104.93 105.16 105.63 106.34 108.24
State and local:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 103.66 107.00 111.54 110.27 110.51 111.81 113.56 115.51
Chain-type price index................. 102.19 104.03 106.67 105.09 106.14 107.23 108.24 109.56
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 103.76 108.19 113.07 111.33 112.26 113.51 115.18 117.13
Chain-type price index................. 101.94 103.18 104.67 104.12 104.48 104.78 105.29 106.01
Implicit price deflator................ 101.94 103.18 104.67 104.12 104.48 104.78 105.29 106.00
Gross domestic purchases:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 104.48 110.16 115.81 113.75 114.65 116.40 118.43 120.27
Chain-type price index................. 101.61 102.35 103.86 103.13 103.62 104.06 104.65 105.47
Implicit price deflator................ 101.61 102.35 103.92 103.18 103.67 104.11 104.70 105.52
Final sales to domestic purchasers:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 103.99 109.62 115.64 113.52 114.82 116.27 117.96 120.22
Chain-type price index................. 101.64 102.42 103.97 103.22 103.72 104.18 104.78 105.61
Implicit price deflator................ 101.64 102.42 103.97 103.21 103.71 104.17 104.77 105.61
Gross national product:
Chain-type quantity index.............. 104.08 108.38 112.76 111.16 111.68 113.22 114.99 116.44
Chain-type price index................. 101.89 103.09 104.53 104.01 104.36 104.63 105.14 105.84
Implicit price deflator................ 101.89 103.09 104.59 104.06 104.41 104.69 105.19 105.88
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables.
Table 6.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Historical Perspective
[Percent change from preceding year]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product (GDP).... 7.3 3.8 3.4 3.4 4.2 3.5 1.8 -.5 3.0 2.7 4.0 2.7 3.6 4.2 4.3 4.2
Personal consumption expenditures...... 5.4 5.0 4.2 3.3 4.0 2.7 1.8 -.2 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 4.9 5.3
Durable goods........................ 14.6 9.9 9.1 1.7 5.8 2.1 -.9 -6.6 5.3 8.2 7.6 4.6 5.6 6.6 11.3 11.5
Nondurable goods..................... 4.0 2.7 3.6 2.4 3.2 2.7 1.4 -.4 1.9 2.9 3.8 3.0 2.9 2.9 4.0 5.4
Services............................. 4.2 5.2 3.3 4.3 4.1 2.8 2.8 1.4 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.7 2.8 3.1 4.1 4.0
Gross private domestic investment...... 29.3 -.9 -.7 2.5 2.7 3.7 -3.1 -8.6 8.5 8.7 13.2 3.0 9.0 11.5 11.7 5.8
Fixed investment..................... 16.8 5.3 1.2 .0 3.6 2.7 -1.8 -6.9 6.5 8.1 9.1 6.0 9.3 8.5 11.8 8.1
Nonresidential..................... 17.6 6.7 -2.7 -.1 5.4 5.5 .7 -4.9 3.4 8.4 8.9 9.8 10.0 10.7 12.7 8.3
Structures....................... 14.3 7.3 -10.8 -3.6 1.3 2.5 1.5 -11.0 -6.1 .8 .8 4.8 7.1 8.5 4.1 -2.4
Equipment and software........... 19.5 6.4 2.0 1.7 7.5 7.0 .4 -2.0 7.4 11.3 11.9 11.5 11.0 11.5 15.8 12.0
Residential........................ 14.6 1.4 12.0 .2 -.5 -4.1 -8.6 -12.8 16.3 7.3 9.7 -3.6 7.4 2.3 9.2 7.4
Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Exports.............................. 8.4 2.7 7.4 11.2 16.1 11.8 8.7 6.5 6.2 3.3 8.9 10.3 8.2 12.5 2.2 3.8
Goods.............................. 7.9 3.4 5.1 11.1 18.8 12.6 8.2 7.1 6.8 3.0 9.7 11.9 8.7 14.5 2.1 4.0
Services........................... 9.7 .9 13.3 11.6 9.3 9.6 10.0 5.1 4.6 4.1 7.2 6.4 6.8 7.6 2.5 3.2
Imports.............................. 24.3 6.5 8.4 6.1 3.8 3.9 3.8 -.5 6.6 9.1 12.0 8.2 8.6 13.7 11.6 11.7
Goods.............................. 24.2 6.2 10.3 4.6 4.1 4.2 3.0 -.1 9.3 10.1 13.3 9.0 9.4 14.2 11.7 12.7
Services........................... 25.1 7.6 .3 12.6 2.7 2.8 7.6 -2.3 -4.0 4.7 5.8 4.1 4.8 11.2 10.8 6.9
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment.................. 3.5 6.5 5.4 3.0 1.2 2.8 3.3 1.2 .5 -.8 .1 .5 1.1 2.2 1.7 3.7
Federal.............................. 3.1 7.6 5.5 3.7 -1.8 1.3 2.0 -.3 -1.6 -3.9 -3.6 -2.7 -.9 -.2 -.9 2.8
National defense................... 4.8 8.4 6.3 4.7 -.8 -.8 .0 -1.1 -4.9 -5.4 -4.8 -3.7 -1.3 -2.5 -1.9 1.8
Nondefense......................... -1.6 5.4 3.1 .5 -5.2 8.4 8.3 1.8 7.1 -.3 -1.0 -.5 .0 4.5 .9 4.7
State and local...................... 3.8 5.4 5.4 2.3 3.7 3.9 4.2 2.3 2.0 1.4 2.6 2.5 2.3 3.7 3.2 4.2
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product...... 5.3 5.0 3.8 3.0 4.3 3.3 2.0 -.2 2.8 2.6 3.4 3.1 3.6 3.8 4.3 4.5
Gross domestic purchases............. 8.7 4.2 3.6 3.1 3.2 2.9 1.4 -1.1 3.1 3.3 4.4 2.5 3.7 4.5 5.4 5.1
Final sales to domestic purchasers... 6.8 5.3 3.9 2.7 3.4 2.7 1.6 -.9 2.8 3.2 3.8 3.0 3.7 4.0 5.4 5.5
Gross national product............... 7.1 3.5 3.2 3.3 4.2 3.5 1.9 -.5 3.0 2.6 3.9 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.0
Real disposable personal income...... 7.7 3.3 3.2 2.1 4.4 2.6 2.2 .4 3.1 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.0
Gross domestic purchases price
index............................... 3.5 2.9 2.3 3.3 3.4 3.8 4.1 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 .7 1.5
GDP price index...................... 3.7 3.2 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.2 1.4
Personal consumption expenditures
price index......................... 3.7 3.5 2.4 3.8 3.9 4.4 4.6 3.8 3.1 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.0 .9 1.6
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 7.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97 IV 97 I 98 II 98 III 98 IV 98 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product (GDP).... 4.0 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.0 4.5 4.1 4.6 4.0 3.9 4.7 3.9 3.8 4.3 4.6 5.0
Personal consumption expenditures...... 3.4 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.7 3.8 3.9 4.2 5.4 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.0 5.3 5.6 5.8
Durable goods........................ 7.5 4.6 5.0 6.7 3.1 8.4 8.4 9.8 13.2 9.2 13.0 11.9 11.4 12.3 10.5 12.9
Nondurable goods..................... 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.6 2.4 3.3 2.4 2.8 4.6 3.8 5.0 5.7 4.9 5.2 5.8 5.0
Services............................. 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.8 3.8 4.3 4.4 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.5 4.9
Gross private domestic investment...... 9.3 14.5 11.4 13.2 13.0 9.1 11.0 15.4 8.5 11.0 11.9 5.0 5.7 6.5 6.1 7.7
Fixed investment..................... 9.9 11.2 10.4 9.3 8.1 8.6 8.1 11.8 12.8 10.2 12.7 9.2 7.8 9.0 6.3 8.8
Nonresidential..................... 9.1 11.9 12.1 11.2 10.8 11.3 9.6 13.6 14.2 10.1 13.1 8.6 7.4 10.2 7.1 11.2
Structures....................... 4.9 6.9 12.8 12.1 8.2 9.1 4.7 4.2 7.1 2.5 2.9 -.1 -3.1 -2.4 -3.9 2.3
Equipment and software........... 10.6 13.7 11.8 10.8 11.6 12.1 11.3 17.1 16.7 12.7 16.8 11.7 11.0 14.5 10.8 14.1
Residential........................ 12.2 9.3 5.6 4.2 .6 1.0 3.7 6.4 8.6 10.5 11.3 11.0 9.0 5.9 3.9 2.1
Change in private inventories........ ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Net exports of goods and services...... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Exports.............................. 9.0 5.5 9.8 11.3 13.7 15.8 9.2 6.6 1.7 -1.4 2.0 1.0 3.0 6.3 4.8 7.7
Goods.............................. 8.8 7.0 10.1 12.5 16.1 17.4 12.2 7.7 .9 -1.8 1.8 .1 3.5 7.2 5.3 9.7
Services........................... 9.5 1.8 8.9 8.6 8.0 12.0 2.3 4.0 3.7 -.3 2.6 3.2 1.8 4.1 3.7 3.2
Imports.............................. 7.2 10.5 11.2 12.3 13.7 14.5 14.2 13.9 12.5 9.4 10.8 10.3 10.7 13.2 12.6 12.7
Goods.............................. 7.7 11.2 12.3 13.0 14.4 15.0 14.3 14.2 12.4 9.4 11.3 11.0 11.4 14.5 13.8 14.0
Services........................... 4.7 6.9 5.3 8.9 10.0 12.1 13.6 12.7 12.9 9.4 8.5 7.3 7.1 6.4 6.9 6.0
Government consumption expenditures
and gross investment.................. 1.2 .8 2.7 2.2 1.8 2.8 2.2 1.5 1.6 1.5 2.3 3.8 2.6 3.5 5.0 3.4
Federal.............................. -.8 -2.0 2.0 -1.0 -.7 .9 .2 -1.6 -1.2 -1.4 .6 3.1 .8 2.4 5.0 .9
National defense................... -1.1 -2.2 .8 -3.8 -3.3 -1.3 -1.3 -3.0 -2.6 -.9 -1.1 2.6 -.7 .2 5.1 -.4
Nondefense......................... -.1 -1.7 4.5 4.7 4.6 5.5 3.2 .8 1.5 -2.3 3.8 4.0 3.5 6.6 4.8 3.0
State and local...................... 2.4 2.5 3.0 4.2 3.3 3.9 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 4.2 3.7 4.0 5.0 4.8
Addenda:
Final sales of domestic product...... 4.1 3.2 3.9 3.9 3.2 4.4 3.6 4.0 4.6 3.8 4.7 4.6 4.1 4.7 4.6 5.2
Gross domestic purchases............. 3.8 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.1 4.4 4.7 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.7 5.0 4.8 5.2 5.6 5.7
Final sales to domestic purchasers... 3.9 3.8 4.1 4.1 3.3 4.4 4.2 4.9 5.9 5.1 5.8 5.7 5.1 5.6 5.6 5.9
Gross national product............... 3.9 3.7 4.0 4.2 3.9 4.4 3.9 4.6 3.8 3.6 4.5 3.7 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.7
Real disposable personal income...... 2.5 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.3
Gross domestic purchases price
index............................... 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.3 .8 .8 .7 .7 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.3
GDP price index...................... 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.8
Personal consumption expenditures
price index......................... 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
Table 8.--Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income
[Billions of dollars]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
---------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross domestic product..................... 8,300.8 8,759.9 9,256.1 9,072.7 9,146.2 9,297.8 9,507.9 9,697.6
Plus: Income receipts from
the rest of the world..................... 282.6 285.3 302.3 283.8 296.1 307.7 321.7 337.2
Less: Income payments to
the rest of the world..................... 278.4 295.2 322.3 298.2 310.4 323.2 357.3 379.7
Equals: Gross national product............. 8,305.0 8,750.0 9,236.2 9,058.2 9,131.9 9,282.3 9,472.3 9,655.1
Less: Consumption of fixed capital......... 1,009.1 1,064.6 1,135.8 1,103.9 1,121.3 1,156.0 1,161.8 1,184.0
Less: Indirect business tax and
nontax liability.......................... 645.8 677.0 716.3 696.6 706.7 718.3 743.7 753.4
Less: Business transfer payments........... 36.9 38.1 39.4 38.8 39.3 39.5 40.0 40.6
Less: Statistical discrepancy.............. -3.2 -47.6 -125.1 -99.4 -135.5 -141.2 -124.5 -128.1
Plus: Subsidies less current
surplus of government enterprises......... 19.0 20.8 26.5 21.0 27.9 17.3 39.7 22.8
Equals: National income.................... 6,635.5 7,038.8 7,496.3 7,339.4 7,428.1 7,527.0 7,690.9 7,828.0
Compensation of employees................ 4,675.7 5,011.2 5,331.7 5,217.7 5,287.1 5,373.6 5,448.3 5,546.2
Wage and salary accruals............... 3,884.7 4,189.5 4,472.3 4,371.5 4,432.6 4,509.4 4,575.6 4,659.8
Supplements to wages and salaries...... 791.0 821.7 859.4 846.2 854.5 864.2 872.7 886.4
Proprietors' income with inventory
valuation and capital consumption
adjustments............................. 578.6 606.1 658.5 639.9 655.3 654.0 685.0 685.4
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment.......... 130.2 137.4 145.9 148.6 148.8 139.0 147.3 145.2
Corporate profits with inventory
valuation and capital consumption
adjustments............................. 838.5 848.4 892.7 886.9 880.5 884.1 919.4 953.9
Net interest............................. 412.5 435.7 467.5 446.3 456.4 476.3 491.0 497.3
Addendum:
Gross domestic income.................... 8,303.9 8,807.5 9,381.3 9,172.0 9,281.7 9,439.0 9,632.4 9,825.8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
Table 9.--Personal Income and Its Disposition
[Billions of dollars]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
---------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income\1\......................... 6,951.1 7,358.9 7,791.8 7,630.2 7,732.6 7,831.4 7,972.9 8,092.5
Wage and salary disbursements............ 3,888.9 4,186.0 4,472.3 4,371.5 4,432.6 4,509.4 4,575.6 4,659.8
Other labor income....................... 500.9 515.7 535.8 528.0 533.0 538.5 543.7 550.5
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments................. 578.6 606.1 658.5 639.9 655.3 654.0 685.0 685.4
Farm................................... 29.5 25.1 31.3 32.5 34.1 21.0 37.6 23.7
Nonfarm................................ 549.1 581.0 627.3 607.5 621.2 633.0 647.4 661.7
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment.......... 130.2 137.4 145.9 148.6 148.8 139.0 147.3 145.2
Personal dividend income................. 333.4 348.3 364.3 356.1 361.2 367.0 373.1 379.6
Personal interest income................. 854.9 897.8 931.3 907.4 920.5 938.8 958.5 972.5
Transfer payments to persons............. 962.4 983.6 1,018.2 1,007.8 1,013.6 1,021.3 1,030.2 1,047.1
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance........................ 298.1 315.9 334.6 328.9 332.3 336.7 340.4 347.6
Less: Personal tax and nontax payments..... 968.3 1,072.6 1,152.1 1,124.8 1,139.4 1,160.4 1,183.8 1,212.7
Equals: Disposable personal income......... 5,982.8 6,286.2 6,639.7 6,505.4 6,593.2 6,671.0 6,789.1 6,879.8
Less: Personal outlays..................... 5,711.7 6,056.6 6,483.3 6,310.3 6,425.2 6,531.5 6,666.3 6,839.2
Equals: Personal saving.................... 271.1 229.7 156.3 195.1 168.0 139.5 122.8 40.6
Addenda:
Disposable personal income,
billions of chained (1996) dollars\2\... 5,866.7 6,107.1 6,349.4 6,271.0 6,320.7 6,366.2 6,439.6 6,475.4
Personal saving as a percentage of
disposable personal income.............. 4.5 3.7 2.4 3.0 2.5 2.1 1.8 .6
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r revised
1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate
profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments,
net interest, contributions for social insurance, and wage accruals
less disbursements, plus personal interest income, personal dividend
income, government transfer payments to persons, and business
transfer payments to persons.
2. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price
deflator for personal consumption expenditures.
Table 10.--Corporate Profits: Level and Percent Change
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of dollars Percent change from preceding period
---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted Quarterly Quarter one
at annual rates rates year ago
--------------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00 1998 1999 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00 I 00
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corporate profits with inventory
valuation and capital consumption
adjustments......................... 838.5 848.4 892.7 886.9 880.5 884.1 919.4 953.9 1.2 5.2 -.7 .4 4.0 3.8 7.6
Profits before tax................. 795.9 781.9 848.5 818.1 835.8 853.8 886.3 923.7 -1.8 8.5 2.2 2.1 3.8 4.2 12.9
Profits tax liability............ 238.3 240.2 259.4 248.0 254.4 259.4 275.7 288.7 .8 8.0 2.6 2.0 6.3 4.7 16.4
Profits after tax................ 557.6 541.7 589.1 570.1 581.4 594.3 610.6 635.0 -2.9 8.8 2.0 2.2 2.7 4.0 11.4
Dividends...................... 333.7 348.6 364.7 356.4 361.5 367.3 373.5 380.0 4.5 4.6 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 6.6
Undistributed profits.......... 223.9 193.1 224.4 213.7 219.9 227.0 237.1 255.0 -13.8 16.2 2.9 3.2 4.4 7.6 19.3
Inventory valuation adjustment..... 7.4 20.9 -13.0 13.3 -13.6 -26.7 -24.9 -26.7 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Capital consumption adjustment..... 35.3 45.6 57.2 55.5 58.2 57.0 58.0 56.9 29.3 25.4 5.0 -2.1 1.7 -1.8 2.6
Addenda:
Corporate profits after tax with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments........... 600.2 608.2 633.3 638.9 626.0 624.7 643.6 665.2 1.3 4.1 -2.0 -.2 3.0 3.3 4.1
Net cash flow with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption adjustments........... 845.3 876.5 929.7 923.4 916.7 929.0 949.9 979.8 3.7 6.1 -.7 1.3 2.2 3.2 6.1
Undistributed profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments......... 266.6 259.6 268.6 282.5 264.5 257.4 270.1 285.2 -2.6 3.5 -6.4 -2.7 5.0 5.6 1.0
Consumption of fixed capital..... 578.8 616.9 661.1 640.9 652.2 671.6 679.7 694.6 6.6 7.2 1.8 3.0 1.2 2.2 8.4
Less: Inventory valuation
adjustment........................ 7.4 20.9 -13.0 13.3 -13.6 -26.7 -24.9 -26.7 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .....
Equals: Net cash flow.............. 838.0 855.5 942.7 910.1 930.3 955.6 974.8 1,006.5 2.1 10.2 2.2 2.7 2.0 3.3 10.6
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 11.--Corporate Profits by Industry: Level and Change From Preceding Period
[Billions of dollars]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Level Change from preceding period
---------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
--------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00 1998 1999 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj..... 838.5 848.4 892.7 886.9 880.5 884.1 919.4 953.9 9.9 44.3 -6.4 3.6 35.3 34.5
Domestic industries.......................... 730.4 748.4 789.4 782.6 777.1 776.0 821.9 855.0 18.0 41.0 -5.5 -1.1 45.9 33.1
Financial.................................. 167.3 171.7 186.6 185.4 177.6 182.0 201.5 202.1 4.4 14.9 -7.8 4.4 19.5 .6
Nonfinancial............................... 563.1 576.7 602.8 597.2 599.5 594.0 620.3 652.9 13.6 26.1 2.3 -5.5 26.3 32.6
Rest of the world............................ 108.1 100.0 103.3 104.3 103.3 108.1 97.5 98.9 -8.1 3.3 -1.0 4.8 -10.6 1.4
Receipts from the rest of the world........ 159.7 148.4 166.2 157.0 164.1 169.5 174.0 185.2 -11.3 17.8 7.1 5.4 4.5 11.2
Less: Payments to the rest of the world.... 51.6 48.4 62.8 52.7 60.8 61.4 76.5 86.3 -3.2 14.4 8.1 .6 15.1 9.8
Corporate profits with IVA............... 803.2 802.8 835.6 831.4 822.2 827.1 861.4 897.0 -.4 32.8 -9.2 4.9 34.3 35.6
Domestic industries.......................... 695.1 702.8 732.2 727.1 718.9 719.0 763.9 798.1 7.7 29.4 -8.2 .1 44.9 34.2
Financial.................................. 184.2 191.3 208.1 205.3 198.3 203.9 224.9 227.1 7.1 16.8 -7.0 5.6 21.0 2.2
Federal Reserve banks.................... 23.3 24.6 25.6 24.3 24.5 25.5 28.1 29.3 1.3 1.0 .2 1.0 2.6 1.2
Other.................................... 160.9 166.7 182.5 180.9 173.7 178.4 196.8 197.8 5.8 15.8 -7.2 4.7 18.4 1.0
Nonfinancial............................... 510.9 511.5 524.2 521.9 520.6 515.1 539.0 571.0 .6 12.7 -1.3 -5.5 23.9 32.0
Manufacturing............................ 185.6 168.4 165.6 171.0 167.8 163.1 160.3 ..... -17.2 -2.8 -3.2 -4.7 -2.8 .....
Durable goods.......................... 93.3 95.1 98.6 100.5 100.7 94.4 99.0 ..... 1.8 3.5 .2 -6.3 4.6 .....
Primary metal industries............. 5.1 5.4 .9 1.7 1.2 .4 .5 ..... .3 -4.5 -.5 -.8 .1 .....
Fabricated metal products............ 16.7 17.3 18.9 19.4 19.0 19.4 17.6 ..... .6 1.6 -.4 .4 -1.8 .....
Industrial machinery and equipment... 13.5 14.6 17.9 16.6 18.6 17.1 19.3 ..... 1.1 3.3 2.0 -1.5 2.2 .....
Electronic and other electric
equipment........................... 22.1 18.2 20.7 20.5 19.6 20.8 21.9 ..... -3.9 2.5 -.9 1.2 1.1 .....
Motor vehicles and equipment......... 4.9 7.5 10.2 10.7 10.4 9.5 10.1 ..... 2.6 2.7 -.3 -.9 .6 .....
Other................................ 30.9 32.2 30.1 31.6 32.0 27.2 29.5 ..... 1.3 -2.1 .4 -4.8 2.3 .....
Nondurable goods....................... 92.3 73.3 66.9 70.5 67.0 68.7 61.4 ..... -19.0 -6.4 -3.5 1.7 -7.3 .....
Food and kindred products............ 22.1 17.0 16.0 17.2 18.6 18.7 9.2 ..... -5.1 -1.0 1.4 .1 -9.5 .....
Chemicals and allied products........ 26.0 20.6 19.9 25.1 20.8 17.4 16.2 ..... -5.4 -.7 -4.3 -3.4 -1.2 .....
Petroleum and coal products.......... 16.0 8.3 1.5 -.9 -.3 3.6 3.7 ..... -7.7 -6.8 .6 3.9 .1 .....
Other................................ 28.2 27.3 29.6 29.0 28.0 29.0 32.2 ..... -.9 2.3 -1.0 1.0 3.2 .....
Transportation and public utilities...... 104.7 109.0 116.3 111.9 107.9 117.3 128.0 ..... 4.3 7.3 -4.0 9.4 10.7 .....
Transportation......................... 18.5 19.4 18.1 18.3 17.2 17.7 19.3 ..... .9 -1.3 -1.1 .5 1.6 .....
Communications......................... 47.4 49.3 55.4 52.2 52.5 56.4 60.7 ..... 1.9 6.1 .3 3.9 4.3 .....
Electric, gas, and sanitary services... 38.8 40.2 42.7 41.5 38.2 43.2 48.0 ..... 1.4 2.5 -3.3 5.0 4.8 .....
Wholesale trade.......................... 46.8 47.2 42.4 43.4 44.3 39.1 42.8 ..... .4 -4.8 .9 -5.2 3.7 .....
Retail trade............................. 63.7 69.8 72.9 75.7 75.4 67.7 72.6 ..... 6.1 3.1 -.3 -7.7 4.9 .....
Other.................................... 110.1 117.1 127.1 119.8 125.2 127.9 135.3 ..... 7.0 10.0 5.4 2.7 7.4 .....
Rest of the world............................ 108.1 100.0 103.3 104.3 103.3 108.1 97.5 98.9 -8.1 3.3 -1.0 4.8 -10.6 1.4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IVA Inventory valuation adjustment
CCAdj. Capital consumption adjustment
Table 12.--Gross Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates
---------------------------------------------------
1997 1998 1999 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of dollars
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gross product of nonfinancial
corporate business.................... 4,464.4 4,766.4 5,072.5 4,956.7 5,022.8 5,102.5 5,207.9 5,321.2
Consumption of fixed capital............... 490.9 520.6 554.7 539.0 547.5 563.8 568.5 579.9
Net product................................ 3,973.5 4,245.9 4,517.8 4,417.6 4,475.3 4,538.8 4,639.4 4,741.3
Indirect business tax and nontax
liability plus business transfer
payments less subsidies................. 430.7 455.3 484.4 470.5 477.6 484.5 504.9 512.0
Domestic income.......................... 3,542.8 3,790.6 4,033.4 3,947.2 3,997.7 4,054.3 4,134.5 4,229.3
Compensation of employees.............. 2,860.1 3,090.4 3,298.7 3,223.8 3,270.0 3,326.3 3,374.7 3,433.7
Wage and salary accruals............. 2,408.4 2,618.7 2,805.2 2,737.9 2,779.4 2,830.1 2,873.6 2,924.8
Supplements to wages and salaries.... 451.7 471.7 493.5 486.0 490.7 496.2 501.1 509.0
Corporate profits with IVA and CCAdj... 563.1 576.7 602.8 597.2 599.5 594.0 620.3 652.9
Profits before tax................... 503.6 490.6 537.1 508.6 534.2 541.8 563.9 597.7
Profits tax liability.............. 158.8 152.5 167.6 157.9 166.9 169.3 176.1 187.6
Profits after tax.................. 344.7 338.1 369.6 350.6 367.3 372.5 387.8 410.2
Dividends........................ 219.8 245.4 259.7 241.5 267.9 264.6 264.8 262.0
Undistributed profits............ 124.9 92.7 109.9 109.1 99.4 108.0 123.1 148.1
Inventory valuation adjustment....... 7.4 20.9 -13.0 13.3 -13.6 -26.7 -24.9 -26.7
Capital consumption adjustment....... 52.2 65.2 78.6 75.4 78.8 78.8 81.3 81.8
Net interest........................... 119.6 123.5 131.9 126.1 128.1 134.0 139.4 142.7
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Billions of chained (1996) dollars
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Gross product of nonfinancial
corporate business.................... 4,439.6 4,736.6 5,013.9 4,911.0 4,964.2 5,044.0 5,136.5 5,228.1
Consumption of fixed capital\1\............ 493.7 530.0 577.1 554.1 566.9 587.3 600.0 616.2
Net product\2\............................. 3,945.8 4,206.6 4,436.9 4,356.9 4,397.4 4,456.7 4,536.5 4,611.9
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Dollars
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Price, costs, and profits per unit of
real gross product of nonfinancial
corporate business:
Price per unit of real gross product
of nonfinancial corporate business\3\... 1.006 1.006 1.012 1.009 1.012 1.012 1.014 1.018
Compensation of employees
(unit labor cost)....................... .644 .652 .658 .656 .659 .659 .657 .657
Unit nonlabor cost....................... .235 .232 .234 .232 .232 .235 .236 .236
Consumption of fixed capital........... .111 .110 .111 .110 .110 .112 .111 .111
Indirect business tax and nontax
liability plus business transfer
payments less subsidies............... .097 .096 .097 .096 .096 .096 .098 .098
Net interest........................... .027 .026 .026 .026 .026 .027 .027 .027
Corporate profits with IVA and CCADj.
(unit profits from current production).. .127 .122 .120 .122 .121 .118 .121 .125
Profits tax liability.................. .036 .032 .033 .032 .034 .034 .034 .036
Profits after tax with IVA and CCAdj... .091 .090 .087 .089 .087 .084 .086 .089
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1. Chained-dollar consumption of fixed capital of nonfinancial corporate
business is calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the
1996 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100.
2. Chained-dollar net product of nonfinancial corporate business is the
difference between the gross product and the consumption of fixed capital.
3. The deflator for gross product of nonfinancial corporate business divided
by 100.
IVA Inventory valuation adjustment
CCAdj. Capital consumption adjustment
Appendix Table A.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates and Price Indexes: Percent Change From Preceding Period
[Percent; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
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1997 1998 1999 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97 IV 97 I 98 II 98 III 98 IV 98 I 99 II 99 III 99 IV 99 I 00r
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GDP and related aggregates:
GDP............................... 4.2 4.3 4.2 6.8 2.0 4.6 4.5 4.9 3.8 3.0 6.9 2.2 3.8 5.9 3.7 1.9 5.7 7.3 5.4
Goods............................. 6.4 6.0 5.4 9.0 4.7 4.2 8.8 7.9 4.9 3.7 14.0 -3.0 5.7 11.7 2.9 .5 9.5 11.5 7.4
Services.......................... 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.9 .4 4.6 1.3 3.6 3.0 2.6 1.6 5.1 2.7 2.2 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.8 2.7
Structures........................ 4.4 5.5 3.7 15.1 .6 6.7 5.6 .1 4.8 2.5 9.7 7.6 2.7 5.0 10.2 -2.8 -2.0 4.7 13.1
Motor vehicle output.............. 6.6 7.5 9.3 69.6 -2.4 -19.2 11.4 4.0 28.7 13.7 -4.4 -8.2 6.3 69.2 -20.7 8.4 26.2 5.1 -7.9
GDP less motor vehicle output..... 4.2 4.2 4.0 5.0 2.2 5.6 4.2 4.9 3.0 2.6 7.3 2.6 3.7 4.1 4.7 1.6 5.0 7.4 5.9
Final sales of computers\1\....... 45.4 53.9 44.1 36.6 45.4 33.0 56.1 51.2 53.6 19.9 66.8 62.2 77.5 44.4 31.6 44.2 53.2 15.4 78.9
GDP less final sales of computers. 3.9 3.9 3.8 6.5 1.6 4.4 4.0 4.5 3.4 2.8 6.3 1.7 3.2 5.6 3.4 1.5 5.2 7.2 4.8
Farm product\2\................... 12.0 -2.5 -1.2 14.5 -.1 4.3 28.2 11.0 18.6 -8.6 -9.1 -11.5 7.2 3.4 -4.8 5.9 -21.1 21.2 1.4
Nonfarm business less housing
product\3\....................... 5.1 5.3 4.8 7.7 2.4 5.8 5.1 5.9 4.6 4.1 8.7 2.4 4.5 7.4 4.1 1.9 6.9 8.6 6.2
Price indexes:
GDP............................... 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.6 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.3 .9 1.1 1.3 .8 2.0 1.3 1.1 2.0 2.7
GDP less food and energy.......... 2.0 1.3 1.5 .8 2.1 2.0 2.7 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.9 1.4 1.2 2.2 2.1
GDP less final sales of computers. 2.3 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.0 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.2 2.4 1.5 1.3 2.2 2.9
Gross domestic purchases.......... 1.6 .7 1.5 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 .8 1.2 1.2 -.1 .8 1.0 .9 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.3 3.2
Gross domestic purchases less
food and energy.................. 1.6 1.0 1.3 .5 1.7 1.7 2.2 1.6 1.0 1.1 .6 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.9 2.1
Gross domestic purchases less
final sales of computers......... 2.0 1.2 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.7 1.1 1.6 1.5 .4 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.6 3.4
Personal consumption expenditures. 2.0 .9 1.6 2.6 1.6 2.8 2.6 1.1 1.3 1.2 .3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 2.2 1.8 2.5 3.1
Personal consumption expenditures
less food and energy............. 2.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.2 2.0 1.8
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r revised
1. For some components of final sales of computers, includes
computer parts.
2. Farm output less intermediate goods and services purchased.
3. Consists of GDP less gross product of farm, of housing,
of households and institutions, and of general government.
See "Explanatory Note" at the end of the tables. Explanatory Note: Measures of Output and Prices
This note describes the calculation of chain-type quantity and price indexes used in the NIPA's.
Changes in current-dollar GDP measure changes in the market value of goods, services, and structures produced in the
economy in a particular period. These changes can be decomposed into quantity and price components. Quantities, or
"real" measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with the reference year--at present, the year 1996--equal to
100.
The annual changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights from two
adjacent years. (Quarterly changes in quantities and prices are calculated using a Fisher formula that incorporates weights
from two adjacent quarters; quarterly indexes are adjusted for consistency to the annual indexes before percent changes
are calculated.) For example, the 1997-98 annual percent change in real GDP uses prices for 1997 and 1998 as weights,
and the 1997-98 annual percent change in GDP prices uses quantities for 1997 and 1998 as weights. These annual
changes are "chained" (multiplied) together to form time series of quantity and price indexes. The Fisher formula also
produces percent changes in quantities and prices that are not affected by the choice of reference years. In addition,
because the changes in quantities and prices calculated in this way are symmetric, in general, the product of a quantity
index and the corresponding price index equals the current-dollar index. (BEA also publishes a measure of the price level
known as the "implicit price deflator (IPD)," which is calculated as the ratio of current-dollar value to the corresponding
chained-dollar value, multiplied by 100. The values of the IPD are very close to the values of the corresponding
"chain-type" price index for all periods.)
Chain-type quantity and price indexes for GDP and its major components are presented in this release as index
numbers in table 5 and in the form of percentage changes from the preceding period in tables 1, 4, 6A, and 6B.
Contributions by major components to changes in real GDP are presented in table 2. BEA also prepares measures of real
GDP and its components in a dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (1996) dollar estimates." For GDP and most
other series, these estimates, which are presented in table 3, are computed by multiplying the 1996 current-dollar value by
a corresponding quantity index number and then dividing by 100. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component
equaled $100 in 1996 and if real output for this component increased 10 percent in 1997, then the chained (1996) dollar
value of this component in 1997 would be $110 ($100 x 1.10).
For analyses of changes over time in an aggregate or in a component, the percentage changes calculated from the
chained-dollar estimates and from the chain-type quantity indexes are the same; any differences will be small and due to
rounding. However, because the relative prices used as weights for any period other than the reference year differ from
those used for the reference year, the chained-dollar values for the detailed GDP components will not necessarily sum to
the chained-dollar estimate of GDP or to any intermediate aggregate. A measure of the extent of such differences is
provided by a "residual" line, which indicates the difference between GDP (or another major aggregate) and the sum of
the most detailed components in the table. For periods close to the reference year, when there usually has not been much
change in the relative prices that are used as weights for the chain-type index, the residuals tend to be small, and the
chained (1996) dollar estimates can be used to approximate the contributions to growth and to aggregate the detailed
estimates. As one moves further from the reference year, the residual tends to become larger, and the chained-dollar
estimates become less useful for analyses of contributions to growth. Thus, the contributions to percent change shown in
table 2 provide a better measure of the composition of GDP growth. In particular, for components for which relative
prices are changing rapidly, calculation of contributions using chained-dollar estimates may be misleading even just a few
years from the reference year.
References: "A Preview of the 1999 Comprehensive Revision of the NIPA's: Statistical Changes," October 1999 Survey,
pp. 6-17; "A Guide to the NIPA's," March 1998 Survey, pp. 36-40; "BEA's Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of
Long-Term Economic Growth," May 1997 Survey, pp. 58-68.
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