FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION: 8:30 A.M. EST, TUESDAY, DECEMBER 23, 1997 Virginia H. Mannering: (202) 606-5304 (GDP) BEA 97-38 Kenneth A. Petrick: 606-9738 (Profits) Recorded message: 606-5306 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: THIRD QUARTER 1997 (FINAL) CORPORATE PROFITS: THIRD QUARTER 1997 (REVISED) Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 3.1 percent in the third quarter of 1997, according to revised estimates released by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.3 percent. Real GDP increased $54.4 billion in the third quarter, following an increase of $58.0 billion in the second. The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the preliminary estimates issued last month. In the preliminary estimates, the increase in real GDP was 3.3 percent (see "Revisions" on page 3). The increase in third-quarter real GDP was more than accounted for by increases in personal consumption expenditures, in producers' durable equipment, and in exports of goods and services. The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 1.3 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 0.8 percent in the second. Real personal consumption expenditures increased 5.6 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent in the second. Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 19.2 percent, compared with an increase of 14.6 percent. Nonresidential structures increased 6.7 percent, in contrast to a decrease of 4.7 percent. Producers' durable equipment increased 24.1 percent, compared with an increase of 23.0 percent. Real residential fixed investment increased 2.7 percent, compared with an increase of 7.4 percent. Real exports of goods and services increased 4.4 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 18.4 percent in the second. Real imports of goods and services increased 14.6 percent, compared with an increase of 20.5 percent. Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 1.1 percent in the third quarter, in contrast to an increase of 6.6 percent in the second. National defense increased 1.2 percent, compared with an increase of 7.5 percent. Nondefense decreased 5.7 percent, in contrast to an increase of 4.9 percent. Real state and local government increased 2.3 percent, compared with an increase of 1.2 percent. The real change in business inventories subtracted 1.6 percentage points from the third-quarter change in real GDP, after adding 0.8 percentage point to the second-quarter change. Businesses increased inventories $47.5 billion in the third quarter, following an increase of $77.6 billion in the second quarter and an increase of $63.7 billion in the first. Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in business inventories -- increased 4.7 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the second. Gross domestic purchases Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- increased 4.3 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 3.7 percent in the second. Gross national product Real gross national product -- the goods and services produced by the labor and property supplied by U.S. residents -- increased 3.1 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 3.0 percent in the second. GNP includes, and GDP excludes, net receipts of factor income from the rest of the world. Current-dollar GDP Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 4.6 percent, or $90.0 billion, in the third quarter. In the second quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 5.2 percent, or $100.7 billion. Revisions The final estimate of the third-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.2 percentage point, or $3.6 billion, lower than the preliminary estimate issued last month. The downward revision to GDP reflected small downward revisions to all the major components of GDP. The final estimate of the third-quarter increase in the price index for gross domestic purchases is 1.3 percent, the same as the preliminary estimate. Advance Preliminary Final (Percent change from preceding quarter) Real GDP.......................... 3.5 3.3 3.1 Current-dollar GDP................ 4.9 4.8 4.6 Gross domestic purchases price index..................... 1.2 1.3 1.3 Corporate Profits Profits from current production (profits before tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $32.2 billion in the third quarter, according to revised estimates. In the second quarter, profits increased $15.5 billion. Current-production cash flow (net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) -- the internal funds available to corporations for investment -- increased $17.7 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $11.3 billion in the second. The revised estimate of third-quarter corporate profits from current production is $11.1 billion higher than the preliminary estimate issued last month. The foreign component of profits (rest-of-the-world profits) was revised up $10.5 billion. Domestic profits of financial corporations and nonfinancial corporations were revised up $0.4 billion and $0.3 billion, respectively. 1996 1997 IV I II III (Percent change from preceding quarter at quarterly rate) Corporate profits from current production.. 1.1 4.3 2.0 4.0 Profits before tax......................... .1 4.2 1.6 4.7 Profits after tax.......................... 1.5 2.9 1.7 4.2 Current-production cash flow............... 2.6 .6 1.7 2.6 Domestic profits of financial corporations increased $1.6 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $0.9 billion in the second. Domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations increased $31.5 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $11.3 billion in the second. In the third quarter, both real gross corporate product and profits per unit of real product increased. The increase in unit profits reflected a decrease in both labor and nonlabor costs. The foreign component of profits decreased $0.9 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to an increase of $3.4 billion in the second. Profits from the rest of the world is calculated as (1) receipts by U.S. residents of earnings from their foreign affiliates plus dividends received by U.S. residents from unaffiliated foreign corporations minus (2) payments by U.S. affiliates of earnings to their foreign parents plus dividends paid by U.S. corporations to unaffiliated foreign residents. The third-quarter decrease was accounted for by a somewhat larger increase in payments than in receipts. Profits before tax with inventory valuation adjustment is the best available measure of industry profits because estimates of the capital consumption adjustment by industry do not exist. According to this measure, domestic profits of both financial corporations and nonfinancial corporations increased. Profit increases for nonfinancial corporations were widespread among major industry groups; the largest increases occurred in durable goods manufacturing and in trade. Profits before tax increased $33.6 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $11.4 billion in the second. The before-tax measure of profits does not reflect, as does profits from current production, the capital consumption and inventory valuation adjustments; these adjustments convert depreciation and inventories reported by business to the measures used in the national income and product accounts. The capital consumption adjustment increased $0.9 billion in the third quarter (from $69.4 billion to $70.3 billion), compared with an increase of $1.7 billion in the second. The inventory valuation adjustment decreased $2.3 billion (from $5.9 billion to $3.6 billion), in contrast to an increase of $2.4 billion. Profits tax liability increased $13.7 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $3.3 billion in the second. Profits after tax increased $19.9 billion, compared with an increase of $8.1 billion. Dividends increased $6.1 billion, compared with an increase of $6.2 billion; undistributed profits increased $13.8 billion, compared with an increase of $2.0 billion. BEA's major national, regional, and international estimates, selected articles from the Survey of Current Business, and BEA news releases are available on BEA's web site: http://www.bea.gov STAT-USA maintains an electronic bulletin board (EBB) and an Internet site, which contain BEA estimates, BEA news releases, and the Survey of Current Business. The information available through STAT-USA is often more detailed and more timely than that available from other sources. To subscribe to STAT-USA's World Wide Web system, go to http://www.stat-usa.gov. Subscriptions for single-user unlimited access to STAT-USA's Internet information are $50.00 for 3 months or $150.00 for 1 year. For further information, call (202) 482-1986. Summary BEA estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the following telephone numbers: (202) 606-5306 Gross domestic product 606-5303 Personal income and outlays 606-5362 Summary of international transactions Most of BEA's estimates and analyses appear in the Survey of Current Business, BEA's monthly journal. The printed Survey of Current Business is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington D.C. 20402. First class mail: Annual subscription $69.00 domestic. Second class mail: Annual subscription $35.00 domestic, $43.75 foreign; single issue $11.00 domestic, $13.75 foreign. * * * Next release -- January 30, 1998, at 8:30 A.M. EST for: Gross Domestic Product: Fourth Quarter 1997 (Advance) Release dates in 1998 Gross domestic product 1997: IV and 1997 annual 1998:I 1998:II 1998:III Advance...... January 30 April 30 July 31 October 30 Preliminary.. February 27 May 28 August 27 November 24 Final........ March 26 June 25 September 24 December 23 Corporate Profits Preliminary.. .... May 28 August 27 November 24 Final........ March 26 June 25 September 24 December 23 Table 1.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Prices: Change From Preceding Period ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (1992) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real gross domestic product (GDP)..... 221.1 131.4 186.3 17.8 73.6 84.2 58.0 54.4 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 142.4 109.3 118.8 6.0 38.2 61.7 11.3 66.8 Durable goods............................ 37.4 22.4 27.5 -2.9 5.2 20.7 -8.8 27.1 Nondurable goods......................... 38.9 22.7 19.7 2.3 7.3 16.6 -7.8 15.5 Services................................. 66.6 64.1 71.4 6.3 25.4 25.7 25.9 26.3 Gross private domestic fixed investment.... 72.7 46.6 79.6 25.2 7.8 10.3 32.4 37.9 Nonresidential........................... 48.2 58.1 65.2 29.6 11.5 8.1 28.1 37.5 Structures............................. 1.7 7.4 8.8 4.4 6.9 -1.0 -2.4 3.2 Producers' durable equipment........... 47.2 51.5 57.7 25.8 3.8 9.9 32.7 36.0 Residential.............................. 24.4 -10.0 15.1 -3.1 -3.0 2.2 4.9 1.9 Change in business inventories............. 38.5 -33.3 -2.3 16.6 -5.0 30.8 13.9 -30.1 Net exports of goods and services.......... -34.4 5.8 -15.6 -26.3 33.3 -20.7 -10.3 -27.5 Exports.................................. 54.2 78.8 65.8 4.0 49.7 21.6 39.8 10.5 Imports.................................. 88.6 73.1 81.4 30.2 16.4 42.3 50.2 38.0 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment...................... .2 -.4 6.0 -3.6 .3 -1.3 9.6 3.3 Federal.................................. -19.1 -16.3 -6.1 -5.0 -6.1 -6.8 7.3 -1.3 National defense....................... -17.5 -14.3 -4.8 -3.8 -5.8 -9.7 5.5 .9 Nondefense............................. -1.7 -2.0 -1.4 -1.2 -.3 2.8 1.7 -2.2 State and local.......................... 19.3 15.9 12.1 1.5 6.4 5.4 2.4 4.6 Residual................................... .7 1.3 -1.9 -1.9 -.6 1.5 .4 -1.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change Real GDP............................. 3.5 2.0 2.8 1.0 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 3.3 2.4 2.6 .5 3.3 5.3 .9 5.6 Durable goods............................ 7.1 4.0 4.7 -1.9 3.5 14.1 -5.4 18.4 Nondurable goods......................... 2.9 1.6 1.4 .6 2.1 4.7 -2.1 4.3 Services................................. 2.7 2.5 2.7 1.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 Gross private domestic fixed investment.... 8.6 5.1 8.3 10.1 3.0 3.9 12.6 14.4 Nonresidential........................... 8.0 9.0 9.2 16.5 5.9 4.1 14.6 19.2 Structures............................. 1.0 4.3 4.8 10.0 15.3 -2.1 -4.7 6.7 Producers' durable equipment........... 11.0 10.8 10.9 19.1 2.6 6.7 23.0 24.1 Residential.............................. 10.1 -3.8 5.9 -4.5 -4.3 3.3 7.4 2.7 Exports of goods and services.............. 8.2 11.1 8.3 1.9 25.5 9.9 18.4 4.4 Imports of goods and services.............. 12.2 8.9 9.1 13.2 6.8 17.9 20.5 14.6 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment...................... .0 .0 .5 -1.1 .1 -.4 3.1 1.1 Federal.................................. -3.8 -3.3 -1.3 -4.2 -5.2 -5.8 6.6 -1.1 National defense....................... -4.9 -4.3 -1.5 -4.6 -7.1 -11.8 7.5 1.2 Nondefense............................. -1.1 -1.4 -.9 -3.2 -1.0 8.0 4.9 -5.7 State and local.......................... 2.6 2.1 1.6 .7 3.3 2.7 1.2 2.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GDP price index (chain-type weights)....... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.7 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 Less: Exports of goods and services........ 1.2 2.2 -1.8 -2.6 -4.3 -1.8 -.7 -2.0 Plus: Imports of goods and services........ .6 2.2 -2.2 -4.2 .0 -5.3 -7.6 -3.0 Equals: Gross domestic purchases........... 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.9 .8 1.3 Personal consumption expenditures.......... 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.2 1.0 1.5 Durable goods............................ 2.0 1.0 -.4 -.6 -1.0 -.7 -3.0 -2.9 Nondurable goods......................... 1.3 1.7 2.6 .9 3.7 2.4 .0 1.3 Services................................. 3.1 3.5 2.9 3.9 3.4 2.6 2.4 2.5 Gross private domestic fixed investment.... 1.8 1.3 -.1 1.4 -.4 -.9 -.2 .3 Nonresidential........................... 1.2 .4 -1.0 -.3 -1.5 -2.0 -1.5 -.8 Structures............................. 3.6 4.2 2.3 3.9 2.5 2.8 3.9 4.2 Producers' durable equipment........... .3 -1.0 -2.3 -1.9 -3.0 -3.8 -3.5 -2.6 Residential.............................. 3.3 3.6 2.4 5.7 2.6 2.0 3.4 3.2 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment...................... 2.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.5 3.5 1.4 1.4 Federal.................................. 2.3 3.3 3.4 2.1 2.5 4.9 1.3 .9 National defense....................... 1.8 3.1 3.9 2.1 2.8 4.3 1.1 .6 Nondefense............................. 3.3 3.9 2.3 2.2 1.7 6.1 1.5 1.5 State and local.......................... 2.3 3.2 3.2 3.6 2.5 2.7 1.5 1.7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See "Explanatory Note" at end of tables. r Revised Table 2.--Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (1992) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product (GDP)............... 6,610.7 6,742.1 6,928.4 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,159.6 7,214.0 Less: Exports of goods and services........ 712.4 791.2 857.0 851.4 901.1 922.7 962.5 973.0 Plus: Imports of goods and services........ 817.0 890.1 971.5 990.2 1,006.6 1,048.9 1,099.1 1,137.1 Equals: Gross domestic purchases........... 6,712.7 6,837.5 7,037.7 7,075.3 7,118.4 7,220.9 7,286.9 7,364.6 Personal consumption expenditures........ 4,486.0 4,595.3 4,714.1 4,718.2 4,756.4 4,818.1 4,829.4 4,896.2 Gross private domestic fixed investment.. 915.5 962.1 1,041.7 1,060.9 1,068.7 1,079.0 1,111.4 1,149.3 Change in business inventories (CBI)..... 60.6 27.3 25.0 37.9 32.9 63.7 77.6 47.5 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................... 1,252.3 1,251.9 1,257.9 1,261.5 1,261.8 1,260.5 1,270.1 1,273.4 Less: Change in business inventories....... 60.6 27.3 25.0 37.9 32.9 63.7 77.6 47.5 Equals: Final sales to domestic purchasers................................ 6,653.2 6,808.1 7,010.2 7,036.4 7,082.7 7,153.1 7,204.7 7,310.9 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product (GDP less CBI).................. 6,551.2 6,712.7 6,901.0 6,905.0 6,981.7 7,034.1 7,077.7 7,160.3 Gross national product (GNP)............. 6,619.1 6,748.7 6,932.0 6,940.2 7,023.1 7,091.8 7,144.4 7,198.8 Current-dollar measures: GDP.................................... 6,947.0 7,265.4 7,636.0 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 8,034.3 8,124.3 Final sales of domestic product (GDP less CBI)........................ 6,885.7 7,235.3 7,610.2 7,638.9 7,761.0 7,867.4 7,953.2 8,075.3 Gross domestic purchases............... 7,037.9 7,351.4 7,730.9 7,790.0 7,881.5 8,032.4 8,123.1 8,235.6 Final sales to domestic purchasers..... 6,976.6 7,321.3 7,705.0 7,752.8 7,849.6 7,966.3 8,042.0 8,186.6 GNP.................................... 6,955.2 7,270.6 7,637.7 7,669.1 7,796.1 7,919.2 8,013.6 8,103.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Real measures: GDP...................................... 3.5 2.0 2.8 1.0 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 Final sales of domestic product (GDP less CBI).......................... 2.9 2.5 2.8 .2 4.5 3.0 2.5 4.7 Gross domestic purchases................. 3.9 1.9 2.9 2.4 2.5 5.9 3.7 4.3 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 3.3 2.3 3.0 1.5 2.7 4.0 2.9 6.0 GNP...................................... 3.3 2.0 2.7 .6 4.9 4.0 3.0 3.1 Current-dollar measures: GDP...................................... 5.9 4.6 5.1 3.6 6.2 7.4 5.2 4.6 Final sales of domestic product (GDP less CBI).......................... 5.3 5.1 5.2 2.9 6.6 5.6 4.4 6.3 Gross domestic purchases................. 6.3 4.5 5.2 4.7 4.8 7.9 4.6 5.7 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 5.7 4.9 5.2 4.0 5.1 6.1 3.9 7.4 GNP...................................... 5.8 4.5 5.0 3.1 6.8 6.5 4.9 4.6 Price indexes (chain-type weights): GDP...................................... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.7 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 Final sales of domestic product (GDP less CBI).......................... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.7 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.5 Gross domestic purchases................. 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.9 .8 1.3 Final sales to domestic purchasers....... 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.0 .9 1.3 GNP...................................... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.6 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 Addenda: Implicit price deflators: GDP.................................... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.6 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 Gross domestic purchases............... 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.9 .9 1.3 GNP.................................... 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.5 1.8 2.4 1.8 1.4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See "Explanatory Note" at end of tables. r Revised Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and Disposition of Personal Income ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonally adjusted at Seasonally adjusted at annual rates annual rates ----------------------------- ----------------------------- 1995 1996 III 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r 1995 1996 III 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (1992) dollars ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Gross domestic product............... 7265.4 7636.0 7676.0 7933.6 8034.3 8124.3 6742.1 6928.4 6943.8 7101.6 7159.6 7214.0 Personal consumption expenditures......... 4957.7 5207.6 5227.4 5405.7 5432.1 5527.4 4595.3 4714.1 4718.2 4818.1 4829.4 4896.2 Durable goods........................... 608.5 634.5 634.5 658.4 644.5 667.3 583.6 611.1 611.9 637.8 629.0 656.1 Motor vehicles and parts.............. 254.8 261.3 260.0 265.7 252.7 268.7 229.5 231.3 229.7 233.4 223.1 238.7 Furniture and household equipment..... 240.2 252.6 254.2 263.8 265.4 269.9 248.4 269.5 272.3 287.4 292.3 301.1 Other................................. 113.6 120.6 120.3 128.9 126.5 128.8 107.2 113.3 113.2 121.4 119.7 121.7 Nondurable goods........................ 1475.8 1534.7 1538.3 1587.4 1578.9 1600.8 1412.6 1432.3 1433.9 1457.8 1450.0 1465.5 Food.................................. 735.1 756.1 757.4 775.5 771.4 779.3 690.5 689.7 687.3 694.6 688.2 689.5 Clothing and shoes.................... 254.7 264.3 265.7 275.2 274.8 280.5 257.5 267.7 270.8 277.1 273.8 281.3 Gasoline and oil...................... 114.4 122.6 121.4 128.5 121.6 123.5 113.1 114.1 114.1 114.7 116.1 116.2 Fuel oil and coal..................... 10.2 11.6 11.2 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.5 10.6 10.6 9.4 10.1 10.4 Other................................. 361.3 380.1 382.7 397.1 400.0 406.5 341.3 351.2 352.5 363.7 363.4 370.0 Services................................ 2873.4 3038.4 3054.6 3159.9 3208.7 3259.3 2599.6 2671.0 2672.8 2723.9 2749.8 2776.1 Housing............................... 750.3 787.2 791.8 810.5 821.2 831.9 688.2 700.2 701.7 708.3 712.0 715.6 Household operation................... 300.7 315.9 313.4 320.8 326.7 328.8 282.9 289.6 285.8 288.0 294.2 295.7 Electricity and gas................. 119.5 125.3 122.8 124.9 127.2 125.2 115.0 117.8 114.8 113.8 117.8 115.7 Other household operation........... 181.2 190.6 190.6 195.9 199.5 203.6 167.8 171.7 170.9 174.0 176.2 179.7 Transportation........................ 203.1 218.4 219.7 228.9 233.4 238.5 185.2 194.6 195.4 199.3 200.9 203.9 Medical care.......................... 772.8 808.1 811.9 841.0 849.6 859.7 674.9 688.1 689.8 704.4 708.8 714.2 Other................................. 846.5 908.9 917.8 958.8 977.9 1000.4 769.1 799.4 800.8 824.3 834.5 847.1 Gross private domestic investment......... 1038.2 1116.5 1149.2 1193.6 1242.0 1250.2 991.5 1069.1 1100.3 1149.2 1197.1 1204.6 Fixed investment........................ 1008.1 1090.7 1112.0 1127.5 1160.8 1201.3 962.1 1041.7 1060.9 1079.0 1111.4 1149.3 Nonresidential........................ 723.0 781.4 798.6 811.3 836.3 872.0 706.5 771.7 789.3 808.9 837.0 874.5 Structures.......................... 200.6 215.2 217.7 227.4 226.8 232.9 179.9 188.7 190.0 195.9 193.5 196.7 Nonresidential buildings, including farm................... 143.8 159.8 162.5 174.0 172.1 177.5 128.8 140.0 141.7 150.1 147.1 150.1 Utilities......................... 33.2 33.3 32.7 32.0 33.7 33.2 30.0 29.3 28.7 27.5 28.7 28.0 Mining exploration, shafts, and wells............................ 16.3 16.1 16.5 16.1 15.6 16.2 14.3 13.9 14.1 13.6 13.0 13.4 Other structures.................. 7.3 6.2 6.0 5.3 5.5 5.9 6.7 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.7 5.1 Producers' durable equipment........ 522.4 566.2 580.9 583.9 609.5 639.1 528.3 586.0 602.9 616.6 649.3 685.3 Information processing and related equipment........................ 172.8 195.1 201.1 202.8 208.4 219.5 201.8 253.1 264.3 281.4 296.9 320.5 Computers and peripheral equipment...................... 65.6 78.7 80.9 81.8 84.5 88.1 102.8 160.8 170.0 195.8 216.1 240.5 Other........................... 107.2 116.3 120.3 121.0 123.9 131.3 107.0 116.3 120.3 121.5 124.4 131.5 Industrial equipment.............. 121.5 127.5 128.2 127.7 134.9 137.5 113.4 117.0 117.6 116.8 123.5 125.6 Transportation and related equipment........................ 125.7 134.5 140.0 137.7 147.1 159.9 118.9 125.0 129.5 127.5 136.0 146.8 Other............................. 102.4 109.1 111.5 115.7 119.1 122.2 97.0 100.8 102.8 106.1 109.1 112.1 Residential........................... 285.1 309.2 313.5 316.2 324.6 329.3 257.0 272.1 274.1 273.3 278.2 280.1 Stuctures........................... 277.8 301.7 305.9 308.3 316.7 321.4 250.0 265.0 266.9 265.9 270.8 272.6 Single family structures.......... 145.2 159.1 162.2 161.0 162.5 163.1 126.9 136.6 138.3 136.2 136.5 135.7 Multifamily structures............ 17.9 20.3 19.2 21.9 23.0 22.3 16.9 18.6 17.5 19.6 20.4 19.6 Other............................. 114.8 122.3 124.5 125.3 131.2 135.9 106.7 110.2 111.5 110.5 114.4 117.9 Producers' durable equipment........ 7.2 7.5 7.5 7.9 7.9 8.0 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.4 7.5 7.6 Change in business inventories.......... 30.1 25.9 37.1 66.1 81.1 48.9 27.3 25.0 37.9 63.7 77.6 47.5 Farm.................................. -7.9 2.9 5.8 3.9 6.2 8.1 -9.2 2.6 6.5 5.3 7.5 9.5 Nonfarm............................... 38.1 23.0 31.3 62.2 74.9 40.9 35.7 22.5 31.6 58.3 70.1 38.3 Manufacturing....................... 8.4 10.6 15.3 22.3 30.9 15.8 7.8 9.9 14.3 20.9 29.0 14.8 Durable goods..................... 5.8 10.2 14.4 12.9 19.1 10.3 5.5 9.7 13.8 12.3 18.2 9.9 Nondurable goods.................. 2.6 .4 .9 9.3 11.8 5.5 2.3 .4 .8 8.5 10.8 5.0 Wholesale trade..................... 13.4 3.3 -7.7 24.3 26.0 15.8 12.7 4.0 -5.0 22.9 24.6 14.9 Durable goods..................... 11.7 2.5 4.7 15.4 23.5 4.0 11.3 2.4 4.5 14.8 22.7 3.8 Nondurable goods.................. 1.7 .8 -12.4 8.9 2.4 11.8 1.5 1.6 -9.0 8.1 2.3 10.8 Retail trade........................ 9.3 4.1 21.2 .6 8.3 3.0 8.8 4.0 20.0 .6 7.7 2.8 Durable goods..................... 6.9 1.9 14.6 1.4 2.4 1.7 6.3 1.7 13.3 1.2 2.0 1.5 Motor vehicle dealers........... 4.6 -1.6 11.9 -2.9 -4.0 -.6 4.1 -1.4 10.6 -2.5 -3.7 -.6 Other........................... 2.3 3.5 2.7 4.2 6.4 2.3 2.2 3.3 2.5 3.9 5.9 2.1 Nondurable goods.................. 2.4 2.3 6.6 -.8 5.9 1.3 2.3 2.3 6.5 -.7 5.8 1.3 Other............................... 7.0 5.0 2.5 15.2 9.8 6.3 6.5 4.5 2.3 13.7 8.9 5.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Table 3.--Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and Disposition of Personal Income--Continued ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seasonally adjusted at Seasonally adjusted at annual rates annual rates ----------------------------- ----------------------------- 1995 1996 III 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r 1995 1996 III 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Billions of current dollars Billions of chained (1992) dollars ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Net exports of goods and services......... -86.0 -94.8 -114.0 -98.8 -88.7 -111.3 -98.8 -114.4 -138.9 -126.3 -136.6 -164.1 Exports................................. 818.4 870.9 863.7 922.2 960.3 965.8 791.2 857.0 851.4 922.7 962.5 973.0 Goods................................. 583.9 617.5 609.7 656.2 690.0 691.1 573.9 628.4 623.0 686.2 725.8 731.8 Agricultural products............... 57.2 61.5 60.4 57.3 56.4 58.1 49.5 48.6 46.8 47.7 47.2 49.5 Nonagricultural products............ 526.6 556.0 549.3 598.9 633.5 632.9 524.6 581.3 578.1 641.6 682.8 686.1 Services.............................. 234.6 253.3 254.0 266.0 270.3 274.8 218.0 229.9 229.4 238.9 240.8 245.0 Imports................................. 904.5 965.7 977.6 1021.0 1049.0 1077.1 890.1 971.5 990.2 1048.9 1099.1 1137.1 Goods................................. 757.5 809.0 820.2 855.8 880.1 905.6 749.2 823.1 841.7 891.3 938.4 972.7 Petroleum and products.............. 56.2 72.7 76.2 76.7 71.0 70.4 59.3 63.8 67.5 62.2 68.1 69.2 Nonpetroleum products............... 701.4 736.3 743.9 779.1 809.1 835.2 688.6 757.8 772.3 829.7 870.3 903.7 Services.............................. 146.9 156.7 157.5 165.2 168.9 171.6 141.2 149.0 149.3 158.4 161.8 165.8 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment......................... 1355.5 1406.7 1413.5 1433.1 1449.0 1457.9 1251.9 1257.9 1261.5 1260.5 1270.1 1273.4 Federal................................. 509.6 520.0 521.6 516.1 526.1 525.7 470.3 464.2 465.7 452.8 460.1 458.8 National defense...................... 344.6 352.8 354.8 343.3 350.6 352.1 322.6 317.8 319.4 303.9 309.4 310.3 Consumption expenditures............ 298.6 305.7 309.3 306.4 311.3 311.6 280.6 275.5 278.1 270.3 273.9 273.6 Gross investment.................... 46.0 47.0 45.5 37.0 39.3 40.5 42.1 42.3 41.4 33.5 35.4 36.7 Nondefense............................ 165.0 167.3 166.8 172.8 175.5 173.6 147.5 146.1 146.0 148.5 150.2 148.0 Consumption expenditures............ 144.9 145.7 144.6 151.7 152.9 153.1 128.0 125.3 124.6 127.7 128.2 127.8 Gross investment.................... 20.1 21.5 22.1 21.1 22.6 20.5 19.4 21.0 21.6 20.8 22.2 20.3 State and local......................... 846.0 886.7 891.9 917.0 923.0 932.3 781.6 793.7 795.9 807.7 810.1 814.7 Consumption expenditures............ 698.6 730.9 735.9 751.7 757.4 766.1 646.0 653.6 655.7 661.1 664.3 668.6 Gross investment.................... 147.4 155.7 156.0 165.2 165.6 166.2 135.6 140.1 140.1 146.6 145.8 146.1 Residual.................................. ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... -13.7 -44.3 -49.9 -62.7 -77.5 -87.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Gross domestic product.................... 7265.4 7636.0 7676.0 7933.6 8034.3 8124.3 6742.1 6928.4 6943.8 7101.6 7159.6 7214.0 Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world........................ 222.8 234.3 235.4 248.2 261.6 269.4 207.7 214.2 214.8 224.6 236.3 242.5 Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world........................ 217.5 232.6 242.3 262.5 282.3 290.1 200.7 210.2 218.1 234.0 250.8 256.9 Equals: Gross national product............ 7270.6 7637.7 7669.1 7919.2 8013.6 8103.5 6748.7 6932.0 6940.2 7091.8 7144.4 7198.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Disposition of personal income Personal income........................... 6150.8 6495.2 6541.9 6746.2 6829.1 6906.9 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Wage and salary disbursements........... 3429.5 3632.5 3662.8 3791.5 3841.6 3896.1 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Other labor income...................... 406.8 407.6 408.4 412.3 415.1 417.7 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 489.0 520.3 523.8 534.6 543.6 547.2 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Farm.................................. 23.4 37.2 40.1 40.2 43.6 40.9 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Nonfarm............................... 465.5 483.1 483.7 494.4 500.0 506.3 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 132.8 146.3 148.0 149.0 148.7 148.0 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Personal dividend income................ 251.9 291.2 292.0 312.5 318.3 324.5 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Personal interest income................ 718.9 735.7 742.7 757.2 766.1 772.6 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Transfer payments to persons............ 1015.0 1068.0 1072.4 1107.2 1117.0 1125.7 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.............................. 293.1 306.3 308.2 318.2 321.3 324.8 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Less: Personal tax and nontax payments.... 795.1 886.9 897.3 955.7 979.2 998.0 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Equals: Disposable personal income........ 5355.7 5608.3 5644.6 5790.5 5849.9 5908.9 4964.2 5076.9 5094.8 5161.1 5200.9 5234.1 Less: Personal outlays.................... 5101.1 5368.8 5390.6 5574.6 5602.8 5700.8 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Equals: Personal saving................... 254.6 239.6 254.0 215.9 247.0 208.2 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income............... 4.8 4.3 4.5 3.7 4.2 3.5 ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ See "Explanatory Note" at end of tables. r Revised Table 4.--Quantity and Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product [Index numbers, 1992=100] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product: Chain-type quantity index...... 105.87 107.97 110.95 111.20 112.38 113.73 114.66 115.53 Chain-type price index......... 105.09 107.76 110.22 110.59 111.10 111.78 112.27 112.67 Implicit price deflator........ 105.09 107.76 110.21 110.54 111.05 111.71 112.22 112.62 Personal consumption expenditures: Chain-type quantity index................ 106.31 108.90 111.71 111.81 112.72 114.18 114.45 116.03 Chain-type price index................... 105.15 107.89 110.47 110.80 111.61 112.21 112.49 112.91 Durable goods: Chain-type quantity index.............. 114.87 119.46 125.09 125.25 126.32 130.55 128.75 134.31 Chain-type price index................. 103.27 104.27 103.83 103.72 103.45 103.27 102.50 101.74 Nondurable goods: Chain-type quantity index.............. 105.15 106.86 108.36 108.48 109.03 110.29 109.70 110.87 Chain-type price index................. 102.77 104.48 107.15 107.29 108.26 108.90 108.89 109.24 Services: Chain-type quantity index.............. 105.23 107.89 110.86 110.93 111.99 113.05 114.13 115.22 Chain-type price index................. 106.85 110.53 113.76 114.29 115.26 116.02 116.70 117.42 Gross private domestic fixed investment: Chain-type quantity index................ 116.86 122.81 132.97 135.42 136.41 137.73 141.86 146.70 Chain-type price index................... 103.40 104.78 104.70 104.85 104.75 104.52 104.47 104.55 Nonresidential: Chain-type quantity index.............. 116.22 126.65 138.33 141.48 143.54 145.00 150.03 156.75 Chain-type price index................. 101.89 102.33 101.26 101.21 100.82 100.31 99.93 99.73 Residential: Chain-type quantity index.............. 118.39 113.94 120.64 121.51 120.18 121.17 123.36 124.19 Chain-type price index................. 107.11 110.93 113.64 114.37 115.10 115.68 116.65 117.57 Exports of goods and services: Chain-type quantity index................ 111.41 123.74 134.03 133.15 140.92 144.30 150.53 152.17 Chain-type price index................... 101.24 103.44 101.61 101.47 100.35 99.90 99.72 99.21 Imports of goods and services: Chain-type quantity index................ 122.13 133.05 145.22 148.03 150.48 156.80 164.30 169.98 Chain-type price index................... 99.39 101.62 99.41 98.76 98.75 97.42 95.52 94.81 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment: Chain-type quantity index................ 99.09 99.06 99.54 99.83 99.85 99.74 100.50 100.77 Chain-type price index................... 104.85 108.28 111.83 112.07 112.76 113.74 114.14 114.54 Federal: Chain-type quantity index.............. 92.17 89.08 87.92 88.21 87.04 85.76 87.14 86.89 Chain-type price index................. 104.84 108.34 112.03 112.05 112.74 114.10 114.46 114.71 State and local: Chain-type quantity index.............. 104.06 106.23 107.88 108.17 109.04 109.78 110.10 110.73 Chain-type price index................. 104.85 108.24 111.71 112.07 112.77 113.54 113.95 114.44 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product: Chain-type quantity index.............. 105.03 107.62 110.64 110.70 111.93 112.77 113.47 114.80 Chain-type price index................. 105.11 107.79 110.28 110.65 111.17 111.85 112.37 112.78 Implicit price deflator................ 105.11 107.79 110.28 110.63 111.16 111.85 112.37 112.78 Gross domestic purchases: Chain-type quantity index.............. 106.99 108.98 112.17 112.77 113.46 115.09 116.14 117.38 Chain-type price index................. 104.85 107.52 109.86 110.15 110.79 111.32 111.55 111.90 Implicit price deflator................ 104.84 107.52 109.85 110.10 110.72 111.24 111.48 111.83 Gross national product: Chain-type quantity index.............. 105.81 107.88 110.81 110.95 112.27 113.37 114.21 115.08 Chain-type price index................. 105.08 107.74 110.19 110.55 111.06 111.73 112.22 112.62 Implicit price deflator................ 105.08 107.73 110.18 110.50 111.01 111.67 112.17 112.57 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See "Explanatory Note" at end of tables. r Revised Table 5a.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Historical Perspective ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- IV 93 I 94 II 94 III 94 IV 94 I 95 II 95 III 95 IV 95 I 96 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from preceding quarter (seasonally adjusted at annual rates) Real gross domestic product..... 5.3 3.0 4.7 1.8 3.6 .9 .3 3.0 2.2 1.8 6.0 1.0 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 Personal consumption expenditures...... 2.9 3.8 3.0 2.3 3.2 1.5 2.9 2.6 1.8 3.1 3.7 .5 3.3 5.3 .9 5.6 Durable goods........................ 9.6 6.4 3.8 4.3 11.0 -3.0 3.9 9.3 2.0 4.8 9.7 -1.9 3.5 14.1 -5.4 18.4 Nondurable goods..................... 1.5 5.0 2.1 2.2 2.7 1.7 .9 .7 .7 1.7 2.6 .6 2.1 4.7 -2.1 4.3 Services............................. 2.3 2.7 3.3 2.0 1.9 2.4 3.7 2.2 2.3 3.5 3.1 1.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 Gross private domestic fixed investment 18.3 3.2 11.9 4.2 7.0 7.6 -.7 3.5 5.9 10.7 14.4 10.1 3.0 3.9 12.6 14.4 Nonresidential....................... 16.4 .4 9.9 7.7 12.6 14.2 5.7 1.6 4.9 11.7 13.0 16.5 5.9 4.1 14.6 19.2 Structures......................... 3.3 -14.8 21.1 -1.1 2.3 9.5 4.3 .7 -5.8 8.2 7.9 10.0 15.3 -2.1 -4.7 6.7 Producers' durable equipment....... 22.3 7.0 5.9 11.4 16.9 16.1 6.2 2.0 9.4 13.1 14.9 19.1 2.6 6.7 23.0 24.1 Residential.......................... 23.1 10.0 16.6 -3.1 -5.0 -7.0 -15.5 8.4 8.5 8.3 17.9 -4.5 -4.3 3.3 7.4 2.7 Change in business inventories......... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... Exports of goods and services.......... 21.9 -1.8 17.7 10.6 14.7 7.2 9.3 13.5 11.5 1.7 9.6 1.9 25.5 9.9 18.4 4.4 Imports of goods and services.......... 17.7 7.6 19.0 13.1 9.9 10.0 7.7 2.3 2.4 13.1 14.1 13.2 6.8 17.9 20.5 14.6 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. 1.3 -4.0 .4 8.2 -3.8 .6 -.1 -.7 -5.4 1.8 7.2 -1.1 .1 -.4 3.1 1.1 Federal.............................. -.1 -10.7 -4.9 13.3 -11.3 -1.1 -4.5 -1.3 -16.4 7.5 8.8 -4.2 -5.2 -5.8 6.6 -1.1 National defense................... -.3 -16.7 1.0 13.8 -18.6 -1.1 -1.6 -4.0 -15.9 6.1 11.0 -4.6 -7.1 -11.8 7.5 1.2 Nondefense......................... .2 3.9 -16.6 12.2 6.5 -.9 -10.3 4.8 -17.5 10.5 4.3 -3.2 -1.0 8.0 4.9 -5.7 State and local...................... 2.3 .7 4.0 5.1 1.2 1.7 2.6 -.4 1.9 -1.4 6.3 .7 3.3 2.7 1.2 2.3 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 4.8 1.2 3.4 3.3 2.7 1.8 1.9 3.3 2.0 2.6 5.2 .2 4.5 3.0 2.5 4.7 Gross domestic purchases price index. 2.5 2.0 2.6 3.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 1.7 1.9 2.7 1.8 2.4 2.4 1.9 .8 1.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Contribution to change in GDP (percentage points at annual rates) Real gross domestic product..... 5.3 3.0 4.7 1.8 3.6 .9 .3 3.0 2.2 1.8 6.0 1.0 4.3 4.9 3.3 3.1 Personal consumption expenditures...... 2.0 2.6 2.0 1.6 2.2 1.0 1.9 1.8 1.2 2.1 2.5 .4 2.2 3.6 .6 3.8 Durable goods........................ .8 .5 .3 .3 .9 -.3 .3 .7 .2 .4 .8 -.2 .3 1.1 -.5 1.4 Nondurable goods..................... .3 1.0 .4 .5 .5 .3 .2 .1 .1 .4 .5 .1 .4 .9 -.4 .8 Services............................. .9 1.0 1.3 .8 .7 .9 1.4 .9 .9 1.4 1.2 .4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Gross private domestic fixed investment 2.3 .4 1.5 .6 .9 1.0 -.1 .5 .8 1.4 1.9 1.4 .4 .6 1.7 2.0 Nonresidential....................... 1.4 .0 .9 .7 1.1 1.3 .6 .2 .5 1.1 1.3 1.6 .6 .4 1.4 1.9 Structures......................... .1 -.4 .5 .0 .1 .2 .1 .0 -.2 .2 .2 .3 .4 -.1 -.1 .2 Producers' durable equipment....... 1.3 .5 .4 .7 1.1 1.0 .4 .1 .6 .9 1.0 1.3 .2 .5 1.6 1.7 Residential.......................... .8 .4 .6 -.1 -.2 -.3 -.7 .3 .3 .3 .7 -.2 -.2 .1 .3 .1 Change in business inventories......... .6 1.8 1.4 -1.5 .9 -.8 -1.6 -.2 .3 -.8 .7 .8 -.2 1.8 .8 -1.6 Exports of goods and services.......... 2.0 -.2 1.7 1.0 1.4 .7 1.0 1.4 1.2 .2 1.1 .2 2.7 1.1 2.0 .5 Imports of goods and services.......... -1.8 -.8 -2.0 -1.4 -1.1 -1.1 -.9 -.2 -.3 -1.5 -1.7 -1.6 -.8 -2.1 -2.5 -1.7 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. .3 -.8 .1 1.5 -.7 .1 .0 -.1 -1.0 .3 1.3 -.2 .0 -.1 .6 .2 Federal.............................. .0 -.9 -.4 .9 -.9 -.1 -.3 -.1 -1.2 .5 .6 -.3 -.4 -.4 .4 -.1 National defense................... .0 -1.0 .0 .7 -1.0 -.1 -.1 -.2 -.8 .3 .5 -.2 -.3 -.6 .3 .1 Nondefense......................... .0 .1 -.4 .3 .1 .0 -.3 .1 -.4 .2 .1 -.1 .0 .2 .1 -.1 State and local...................... .3 .1 .5 .6 .1 .2 .3 .0 .2 -.2 .7 .1 .4 .3 .1 .3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Table 5b.--Real Gross Domestic Product: Historical Perspective ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- IV 93 I 94 II 94 III 94 IV 94 I 95 II 95 III 95 IV 95 I 96 II 96 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from quarter one year ago Real gross domestic product..... 2.4 3.1 3.8 3.7 3.3 2.7 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.8 3.2 2.7 3.2 4.0 3.4 3.9 Personal consumption expenditures...... 2.7 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.7 3.2 2.5 3.8 Durable goods........................ 7.4 9.2 7.0 6.0 6.3 3.9 3.9 5.2 3.0 5.0 6.4 3.6 3.9 6.2 2.3 7.2 Nondurable goods..................... 1.6 3.1 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.5 1.3 2.2 Services............................. 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.9 Gross private domestic fixed investment 9.3 9.0 9.9 9.3 6.6 7.7 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.8 8.6 10.2 9.5 7.7 7.3 8.3 Nonresidential....................... 9.9 8.4 7.8 8.5 7.6 11.1 10.0 8.4 6.5 5.9 7.7 11.4 11.7 9.8 10.2 10.8 Structures......................... 4.5 -1.0 2.4 1.3 1.1 7.6 3.7 4.1 2.0 1.7 2.6 4.9 10.3 7.6 4.3 3.5 Producers' durable equipment....... 12.2 12.4 10.0 11.5 10.2 12.5 12.6 10.1 8.3 7.6 9.7 14.1 12.2 10.6 12.5 13.7 Residential.......................... 7.8 10.2 15.0 11.2 4.2 .0 -7.8 -5.1 -1.9 1.9 10.7 7.3 3.9 2.7 .4 2.2 Exports of goods and services.......... 4.6 4.4 6.7 11.7 10.0 12.5 10.4 11.1 10.3 8.9 9.0 6.1 9.3 11.4 13.6 14.3 Imports of goods and services.......... 10.2 10.2 11.8 14.2 12.3 13.0 10.2 7.5 5.6 6.3 7.8 10.6 11.8 12.9 14.5 14.8 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. -1.4 -.7 -.8 1.4 .1 1.3 1.1 -1.0 -1.4 -1.2 .6 .5 2.0 1.4 .4 .9 Federal.............................. -6.1 -4.9 -5.3 -1.0 -3.9 -1.4 -1.3 -4.6 -6.0 -4.1 -.9 -1.6 1.5 -1.7 -2.3 -1.5 National defense................... -6.9 -6.7 -5.8 -1.2 -6.0 -1.9 -2.6 -6.6 -5.9 -4.2 -1.3 -1.4 1.1 -3.5 -4.3 -2.8 Nondefense......................... -4.3 -.7 -4.0 -.6 .9 -.3 1.5 -.2 -6.4 -3.8 -.1 -2.1 2.5 1.9 2.1 1.4 State and local...................... 2.0 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.7 3.0 2.6 1.3 1.4 .7 1.5 1.8 2.2 3.2 2.0 2.4 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.4 3.2 2.5 3.1 3.2 2.5 3.7 Gross domestic purchases price index. 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Percent change from preceding year Real gross domestic product..... 2.3 -2.1 4.0 7.0 3.6 3.1 2.9 3.8 3.4 1.2 -.9 2.7 2.3 3.5 2.0 2.8 Personal consumption expenditures...... 1.2 1.2 5.2 5.2 4.7 4.0 3.1 3.9 2.3 1.7 -.6 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.4 2.6 Durable goods........................ 1.2 -.1 14.7 14.5 9.7 9.0 1.5 6.3 2.6 -.6 -6.4 5.8 7.2 7.1 4.0 4.7 Nondurable goods..................... .9 .6 2.9 3.5 2.3 3.2 1.9 2.8 2.3 1.0 -1.0 1.5 2.2 2.9 1.6 1.4 Services............................. 1.5 1.9 4.7 4.1 5.0 3.2 4.2 4.0 2.3 2.6 .8 2.9 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.7 Gross private domestic fixed investment 1.9 -7.6 7.2 16.5 4.8 .7 -.7 2.4 1.7 -3.1 -8.0 5.7 7.6 8.6 5.1 8.3 Nonresidential....................... 5.3 -4.4 -1.7 17.3 6.2 -3.5 -1.1 4.4 4.0 -.6 -6.4 1.9 7.6 8.0 9.0 9.2 Structures......................... 7.9 -1.5 -10.4 14.3 7.3 -10.8 -3.6 .5 2.2 1.1 -10.7 -6.8 1.0 1.0 4.3 4.8 Producers' durable equipment....... 3.7 -6.4 4.6 19.2 5.5 1.0 .3 6.4 5.0 -1.5 -4.1 6.2 10.5 11.0 10.8 10.9 Residential.......................... -8.0 -18.2 41.1 14.6 1.4 12.0 .2 -2.0 -3.7 -9.3 -12.3 16.6 7.6 10.1 -3.8 5.9 Exports of goods and services.......... 1.2 -7.1 -2.6 8.3 2.7 7.4 11.0 15.9 11.7 8.5 6.3 6.6 2.9 8.2 11.1 8.3 Imports of goods and services.......... 2.6 -1.3 12.6 24.3 6.5 8.4 6.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 -.7 7.5 8.9 12.2 8.9 9.1 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................. .7 1.3 2.8 3.1 6.1 5.1 2.7 1.3 2.8 3.0 .6 .5 -.9 .0 .0 .5 Federal.............................. 4.2 3.2 5.4 2.4 6.9 4.6 3.1 -1.8 1.3 2.0 -.5 -2.1 -4.2 -3.8 -3.3 -1.3 National defense................... 5.4 6.9 5.7 4.0 7.5 5.2 4.0 -.9 -1.0 .0 -1.0 -5.5 -5.7 -4.9 -4.3 -1.5 Nondefense......................... 1.1 -5.9 4.6 -2.2 5.1 2.8 .1 -4.9 9.2 8.0 1.1 7.2 -.7 -1.1 -1.4 -.9 State and local...................... -2.0 -.3 .7 3.8 5.3 5.5 2.4 3.9 4.0 3.8 1.4 2.4 1.5 2.6 2.1 1.6 Addenda: Final sales of domestic product...... 1.1 -.9 3.7 5.0 4.6 3.5 2.6 4.1 3.0 1.6 -.7 2.5 2.1 2.9 2.5 2.8 Gross domestic purchases price index. 9.2 5.9 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.6 3.4 3.6 4.2 4.5 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Table 6.--Corporate Profits [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments....... 570.5 650.0 735.9 739.6 747.8 779.6 795.1 827.3 Profits before tax..................... 535.1 622.6 676.6 679.1 680.0 708.4 719.8 753.4 Profits tax liability................ 186.6 213.2 229.0 231.6 226.0 241.2 244.5 258.2 Profits after tax.................... 348.5 409.4 447.6 447.5 454.0 467.2 475.3 495.2 Dividends.......................... 216.2 264.4 304.8 305.7 309.1 326.8 333.0 339.1 Undistributed profits.............. 132.3 145.0 142.8 141.8 144.9 140.3 142.3 156.1 Inventory valuation adjustment......... -16.1 -24.3 -2.5 -2.7 3.3 3.5 5.9 3.6 Capital consumption adjustment......... 51.4 51.6 61.8 63.2 64.4 67.7 69.4 70.3 Addenda: Net cash flow with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments..... 579.9 601.3 654.3 657.8 674.6 678.9 690.2 707.9 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... 167.6 172.4 202.1 202.3 212.6 211.5 217.6 230.0 Consumption of fixed capital........... 412.3 428.9 452.3 455.5 462.0 467.4 472.6 478.0 Less: Inventory valuation adjustment..... -16.1 -24.3 -2.5 -2.7 3.3 3.5 5.9 3.6 Equals: Net cash flow.................... 596.0 625.5 656.8 660.5 671.3 675.5 684.4 704.3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Table 7.--Corporate Profits by Industry [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.......................... 570.5 650.0 735.9 739.6 747.8 779.6 795.1 827.3 Domestic industries........................ 497.1 563.2 640.0 647.8 640.3 682.2 694.4 727.5 Financial................................ 60.0 88.7 94.2 94.6 78.5 106.8 107.7 109.3 Nonfinancial............................. 437.1 474.6 545.8 553.3 561.7 575.4 586.7 618.2 Rest of the world.......................... 73.4 86.7 95.9 91.8 107.5 97.4 100.8 99.9 Receipts from the rest of the world...... 96.8 120.2 132.7 133.4 142.6 139.9 148.3 150.5 Less: Payments to the rest of the world. 23.5 33.5 36.7 41.6 35.0 42.5 47.5 50.6 Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment................. 519.1 598.4 674.1 676.4 683.4 711.9 725.7 757.1 Domestic industries........................ 445.7 511.7 578.2 584.6 575.8 614.5 624.9 657.2 Financial................................ 69.4 97.6 103.5 104.0 88.1 116.5 117.5 119.4 Federal Reserve banks.................. 17.8 22.2 22.0 22.0 22.3 22.8 23.2 23.7 Other.................................. 51.7 75.4 81.5 82.0 65.8 93.7 94.3 95.7 Nonfinancial............................. 376.3 414.1 474.7 480.7 487.8 498.0 507.4 537.8 Manufacturing.......................... 151.6 181.3 205.5 210.5 209.7 208.2 221.0 240.4 Durable goods........................ 76.7 85.2 99.0 102.9 99.7 101.3 111.8 128.1 Primary metal industries........... 2.2 6.5 5.6 7.0 5.1 3.9 5.6 7.6 Fabricated metal products.......... 11.0 12.4 17.1 18.0 18.1 17.4 18.4 20.8 Industrial machinery and equipment. 12.7 22.0 25.8 25.6 24.6 24.0 27.8 32.5 Electronic and other electric equipment......................... 22.5 19.2 23.9 25.2 29.6 31.4 33.3 36.7 Motor vehicles and equipment....... 7.5 -.2 -3.2 -1.5 -8.3 -1.3 -3.5 .4 Other.............................. 20.9 25.3 29.8 28.6 30.6 25.9 30.2 30.0 Nondurable goods..................... 74.8 96.0 106.5 107.7 109.9 106.9 109.2 112.3 Food and kindred products.......... 20.0 27.1 28.5 28.8 34.2 28.0 28.2 29.1 Chemicals and allied products...... 24.5 30.3 31.2 31.5 28.9 28.8 29.9 30.0 Petroleum and coal products........ .1 6.0 10.0 10.0 11.9 12.4 10.3 12.4 Other.............................. 30.2 32.6 36.8 37.3 34.9 37.7 40.8 40.9 Transportation and public utilities.... 83.1 86.4 91.7 91.2 90.5 91.5 89.6 90.0 Transportation....................... 10.3 11.4 11.7 13.0 11.4 14.9 16.4 16.9 Communications....................... 36.8 33.6 36.0 37.6 34.8 33.8 30.8 33.4 Electric, gas, and sanitary services. 36.0 41.4 44.0 40.6 44.3 42.8 42.4 39.8 Wholesale trade........................ 29.4 26.9 38.3 37.7 47.4 49.0 49.5 54.1 Retail trade........................... 46.0 41.9 48.9 50.6 48.3 55.1 54.9 57.9 Other.................................. 66.2 77.6 90.3 90.6 91.9 94.2 92.4 95.3 Rest of the world.......................... 73.4 86.7 95.9 91.8 107.5 97.4 100.8 99.9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Table 8.--Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------- 1994 1995 1996 III 96 IV 96 I 97 II 97 III 97r ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business...... 3,709.7 3,905.3 4,132.4 4,165.8 4,220.1 4,299.7 4,361.1 4,446.3 Consumption of fixed capital............... 360.7 373.4 393.4 396.2 401.8 406.3 410.7 415.3 Net domestic product....................... 3,349.0 3,531.9 3,739.0 3,769.7 3,818.3 3,893.4 3,950.4 4,031.0 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies................. 389.0 399.8 421.8 423.7 430.0 432.2 437.0 445.3 Domestic income.......................... 2,960.1 3,132.1 3,317.2 3,345.9 3,388.3 3,461.2 3,513.3 3,585.7 Compensation of employees.............. 2,426.7 2,555.5 2,682.9 2,704.7 2,745.3 2,801.9 2,840.1 2,880.6 Wage and salary accruals............. 1,985.4 2,107.9 2,228.6 2,248.7 2,287.5 2,335.8 2,370.0 2,406.3 Supplements to wages and salaries.... 441.2 447.5 454.4 456.0 457.8 466.0 470.1 474.2 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... 437.1 474.6 545.8 553.3 561.7 575.4 586.7 618.2 Profits before tax................... 392.3 438.3 477.2 483.4 484.4 494.5 501.5 534.2 Profits tax liability.............. 128.8 139.4 154.8 156.8 159.0 159.4 161.8 174.1 Profits after tax.................. 263.5 298.9 322.4 326.6 325.5 335.1 339.8 360.1 Dividends........................ 158.6 188.3 196.4 191.8 199.4 207.0 208.1 207.7 Undistributed profits............ 104.9 110.6 126.0 134.8 126.1 128.2 131.7 152.4 Inventory valuation adjustment....... -16.1 -24.3 -2.5 -2.7 3.3 3.5 5.9 3.6 Capital consumption adjustment....... 60.8 60.5 71.1 72.6 74.0 77.4 79.3 80.4 Net interest........................... 96.3 102.0 88.5 88.0 81.3 83.9 86.6 87.0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (1992) dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business...... 3,586.3 3,719.7 3,887.8 3,913.7 3,963.5 4,022.2 4,068.9 4,146.5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dollars ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of real gross domestic product.. 1.034 1.050 1.063 1.064 1.065 1.069 1.072 1.072 Consumption of fixed capital............... .101 .100 .101 .101 .101 .101 .101 .100 Net domestic product....................... .934 .950 .962 .963 .963 .968 .971 .972 Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies................. .108 .107 .108 .108 .108 .107 .107 .107 Domestic income.......................... .825 .842 .853 .855 .855 .861 .863 .865 Compensation of employees.............. .677 .687 .690 .691 .693 .697 .698 .695 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........................... .122 .128 .140 .141 .142 .143 .144 .149 Profits tax liability................ .036 .037 .040 .040 .040 .040 .040 .042 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments......................... .086 .090 .101 .101 .102 .103 .104 .107 Net interest........................... .027 .027 .023 .022 .021 .021 .021 .021 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Explanatory Note: Measures of Output and Prices Changes in current-dollar GDP measure changes in the market value of goods and services produced in the economy in a particular period. For many purposes, it is necessary to decompose these changes into quantity and price components. This note describes the indexes used by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) to estimate the quantity and price changes presented in this release and in the related tables that appear in the Survey of Current Business. To compute the quantity indexes, the quantities of individual goods and services are weighted by their prices. (Quantity changes for GDP are often referred to as changes in "real GDP.") For the price indexes, the prices for individual goods and services are weighted by quantities produced. (In practice, the current-dollar value and price indexes for most GDP components are determined largely using data from federal government surveys. The real values of these components are calculated by deflation at the most detailed level for which all the required data are available.) Except for the most recent period, the annual and quarterly changes in real GDP and prices are "chain-type" measures based on a "Fisher Ideal" formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent years. For example, the 1992-93 percent change in real GDP uses prices for 1992 and 1993 as weights, and the 1992-93 percent change in price uses quantities for 1992 and 1993 as weights. Because the quantity and price index numbers calculated in this way are symmetric, the product of the annual change in real GDP and the annual change in prices equals the annual change in current-dollar GDP. In the most recent period (currently, for quarters beginning with the third quarter of 1996), a variant of the standard quarterly formula is used because only one year's information is available for computing the index number weights. For this period, BEA uses weights from two adjacent quarters to calculate the change from the preceding quarter. BEA also publishes a second measure of the price level, known as the "implicit price deflator." The implicit price deflator is calculated as the ratio of current-dollar value to the corresponding chained-dollar value multiplied by 100. Its values are very similar to those of the "chain-type" price index. The quantity and price indexes and implicit price deflators for GDP and its major components are presented in this release as index numbers in table 4 and in the form of percentage changes from the preceding period in tables 1, 2, 5A and 5B. Table 5A also presents the contributions of the major components to the change in real GDP. In addition, BEA prepares measures of real GDP and its components in a dollar-denominated form, designated "chained (1992) dollar estimates." These estimates, which are presented in tables 2 and 3 of this release, are computed by multiplying the 1992 current-dollar value of GDP, or of a GDP component, by the corresponding quantity index number. For example, if a current-dollar GDP component equaled $100 in 1992 and if real output for this component increased by 10 percent in 1993, then the "chained (1992) dollar" value of this component in 1993 would be $110 ($100 x 1.10). Note that percentage changes in the chained (1992) dollar estimates and the percentage changes calculated from the quantity indexes are identical, except for small differences due to rounding. Because of the formula used for calculating real GDP, the chained (1992) dollar estimates for the detailed GDP components shown in tables 1 and 3 do not add to the chained-dollar value of GDP or to any intermediate aggregates. The "residual" line shown in these tables is the difference between GDP and the sum of the most detailed components shown in each table. For current periods, the residual is small. However, the residual tends to become larger as one moves further from the base period. In such cases, the table of contributions of the major components to the change in real GDP provides a better basis for determining the composition of GDP growth than the chained-dollar estimates. Reference: "BEA's Chain Indexes, Time Series, and Measures of Long-Term Economic Growth," May 1997 Survey of Current Business.